Juby
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Posts posted by Juby
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2 hours ago, Charlie Jatinder said:
4.8 actually.
I have a strange feeling that Tuesday will be $5,7M max. Wednesday and Thursday also might be worse than Infinity War had.
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Endgame now has $723.75 mln domestic. Before the next weekend it could have around $743M. If the next weekend drop wouldn't be so harsh like so far, it might add another $35M = $778M by the next Sunday.
Now look at Iron Man 3 numbers. It also had over $35 million weekend before the Memorial Day weekend (it was May 17-19th, like this year) and after May 19th Iron Man add another $71,34M to its domestic gross with also very strong competition in the next few weeks. I think we have very similar situation here.
With similar pattern, Endgame should finish its run with $849-850 mln. Of course it might have much better "late legs" due to Spider-Man release in July, that's why for now, I would say $840-859 mln is the target for the film.
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On 5/12/2019 at 9:13 PM, Elessar said:
Weeks? Would have preferred the trailer being days away.
Wow. This is kinda sad. They gave fans nothing on Terminator's Day, so the director write that they are working on the trailer and it will be released soon.
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I love IW ending. For me:
Infinity War 9+/10 > Avatar 9/10 > Endgame 7/10
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I think Endgame will beat Avatar WW by less than $50M. Shame, cause I think Avatar is a better film and it deserves to be a box office king a little bit longer. If there was a film that deserves to beat Avatar record, it was Infinity War last year.
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Damn, it will be really close.
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18 minutes ago, KJsooner said:
Nope. It’s at 75 million admissions. A head of TDK which is at 74 million. Nice of you to conveniently shave off about 15 million admissions. 😂
It's all estimated! TDK wasn't in 3D and had far less IMAXes, no 4DX screens, and so on. Endgame probably still didn't passed TDK and first Avengers, but will do in couple of weeks.
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Movie Gross % Change Theaters Total Gross Days 1 (1) Avengers: Endgame $7,510,154 -11% 4,662 $660,445,739 14 -
5 hours ago, Sheldon Cr said:
If I'm not mistaken is still the best 2nd weekend drop of all time. People keep returning to a JC project like no other.
Only if You consider +$50 mln openers. If not, Titanic had +23,8%.
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No, TDK wasn't re'released, film's initial run was expanded, and Warner brought the movie to IMAX theaters again. This was still its initial run.
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6 hours ago, andrewgr said:
The exchange rate is the only reason EG isn't crushing Avatar's WW record beyond recognition. When Avatar made its run, every 10 Euros translated into $14; during EG, every 10 Euros translates into $11.
If there was 60K screens in China in 2010 like it is now, Avatar could have made there over $1B alone. Also, Avatar's adjusted domestic gross is around $877 mln, so Endgame wouldn't have much or any advantage in its two biggest markets. Think about that.
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Nope. TDK wasn't re-released back then, WB just add 344 theaters DOM in Oscar season. The film was still in theaters, there was no break even for one day, so it was still it's initial run. The very first official re-release that TDK had was last year, during its 10th anniversary.
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10 hours ago, Quigley said:
Films that reached $2B during their initial run
Title Days to $2B Opening day Reached $2B Avengers: Endgame 11 24/04/19 04/05/19 Avatar 46 16/12/09 30/01/10 Avengers: Infinity War 48 25/04/18 11/06/18 Star Wars: The Force Awakens 53 16/12/15 06/02/16 Avatar was the fourth film to reach $1B during its initial run. (...)
Nope. The Dark Knight was the fourth. Avatar was the fifth.
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2 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:
Nothing beats Endgame. almost 40% increase from previous record just set an year ago and that is the biggest increase since Return of the Jedi when OW were quite small.
Nope. The Lost World and Batman increased more than Endgame with their previous (both over 40%). Endgame is the fourth.
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It's not that flat. I'm just not sure how big Monday will be. Maybe $11 mln tops?
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3 hours ago, druv10 said:
O/U 12M for today?
I say under. $11.3M Monday, $11.95M Tuesday, $8.9M Wednesday, $8.6M Thursday, $662 mln before the weekend.
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In Poland, Endgame had the biggest opening this year, the biggest for any superhero film, almost 100% bigger than previous record (Inifnity War) and just after 5 days is the third biggest superhero film after 1989. This would be probably the first in Poland (after 1989) superhero film to cross 2 million in admission.
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The biggest global opening of all time by far!
Now the question is, how far the Endgame can go?
Infinity War added $168.5M in China after it's opening weekend. If we add the same amount to Endgame opening, it gave us $499M. So, $500M in China alone is in the game for sure (but not locked, this was 5-day opening, IW had 3-day OW). The rest OS for IW was $1.01B and Endgame has at least 38% higher opening than IW. With similar 'legs' it might come close to $1.4B and $1.9B with China.
Of course, the film might be more front loaded than Infinity War, so I would say Endgame is going for $1.8B overseas and +$2.6B worldwide right now. Beating Avatar (I don't believe I'm typing it) and even $3B worldwide are possible.
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The stills looks fine. The cast looks fine. The title wit modified Terminator font looks fine. Everything looks better than Genisys so far.
But did they seriously have shown line "I'll be back" in the very first trailer again? Eh. . .
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$160-200 million budget according to Arnold.
We can all say. . .
. . . to the R-rating.
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I think the late April would be perfect for teaser. 6 months before T6 release, just before the biggest hit of the summer (Avengers: Endgame). The full trailer later, in August.
Also, I still think they should move the film to October 25th (T1 35-year Anniversary).
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T6 won't have $255-295 mln production budget (Genisys costs $153 mln and floped hard in US, it's clear they won't spent more money on the next one), and T2 definitely was an R-rated film.
Eot
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On 1/21/2019 at 1:12 AM, VenomXXR said:
2. Star Wars: Episode 9 = $683 million
3. Avengers: Endgame = $644 million
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7 hours ago, Safeno Rdz said:
Here is my WW prediction for 2019:
1. The Lion King 2.1B
2. Avengers EndGame 1.92B
3. Star Wars IX 1.8B
4. Frozen 2 1.39B
5. The Secret Life of Pets 2 1.25M
6. Toy Story 4 1.15M
7. Spiderman 2 943M
8. Wonder Woman 1984 916M
9. Detective Pikachu 855M
10. Jumanji 3 750MFor sure.
Monday numbers - 05/13/19 | Actuals: A: EG 4.70, PDP 3.69
in Numbers and Data
Posted · Edited by Juby
But Endgame will start to loose screens and IMAXs on Thursday, isn't it?