redfirebird2008

Spidey 1 was the first one I remember tracking. Wish I was paying closer attention in 1997-1998 for Titanic. I was mainly annoyed at my junior high classmates who were making such a big deal about it. Lol

No way. Titanic, both Avatar movies, Force Awakens, Spidey 1 in 2002, and others.

Yep. Heading into geezer mode soon. My sister turned 40 this month. I turn 38 in November.

I think he might have been too young in 2008. I do remember Noctis trolling on other movies later. The name I seem to remember with TDK was Lancer something.

I thought it was a guy named Lancer something. One of the funnier moments in box office tracking. This wasn’t an actual insider posting legit data, he was trolling the shit out of everyone. And it damn near came true. 98% accuracy! Lol

The funny part was Monday when a trolling guy on the old Mojo forum posted a bullshit number of $25M. Everyone called him full of shit, and the joke number almost happened in reality. Lol

The frontloading stuff on Friday & Saturday is normal. Similar thing with TDK where Saturday number wasn’t great, but the Sunday & Monday numbers were awesome. Barbie is doing the same thing, which is epic!

Different era. Discount Tuesday wasn’t as big of a deal in 2010 as it is now. So the key is Thursday compared to the previous Sunday.

The squeeze is always there in summer. Next week we have Disney pushing Haunted Mansion pretty hard. Already noticed AMC is giving the Dolby Cinema screens to that one.

$23M for Oppy puts it right in line with Inception’s 11.8% drop on Sunday. Dunkirk’s drop was almost 25%. I would not mind one bit if Oppy keeps tracking with Inception daily percentages, lol

I would think Barbie goes over $25M for Monday.

I did not. I said TDK did something similar on Saturday and then had an amazing Sunday hold. Barbie did even better. Looks like a 6.5% drop, which is amazing!

That’s an incredible Sunday number for Barbie.

Here's an interesting one to throw in there, especially since it was boosted by a $40 million holiday on Day 4 of release: Black Panther. Even with that 4th day being insanely boosted, it still pulled off a 2.4 Multiplier from the 7-day total. That's amazing! And then we have Titanic, which had a jawdropping 10.5 multiplier from the 7-day opening. The GOAT!

I would say the Aladdin remake is pretty solid. Same thing for Jungle Book. But no way in hell are they "better" than the animated versions. Can't go there at all.

I wasn't paying attention at all during Mario's run and I didn't realize it was a Wednesday opener until you just posted it. The way I've tried to balance out for those kind of movies is to take the Friday to Sunday total and average it with the 5-day total to get an idea of what it might do as a legit Friday opener. So in Mario's case, that would be a $175M opening on a normal weekend...and a 3.3 multiplier overall. Much different than the 3.9 multiplier that it appears to be thanks to the opening Wednesday & Thursday numbers being excluded in the calculation. A 3.3 multiplier is still pretty awesome (TDK), but it's not quite the insane 3.9 multi that Mario appears to be on the surface.

I agree with you 100% on using Weekly numbers instead of Weekend numbers. Sadly it has never been done that way in box office tracking. But it probably should have always been done that way. Like you said, that's the best way to help deal with the "summer weekday" issue.

I agree about Dune. How about Blade Runner?

Maybe so. Nolan had the misfortune of inheriting the Batman brand when it was completely in the toilet after Batman & Robin. Batman Begins was very under the radar in pop culture at the time. Tim Burton's 1989 Batman got to enjoy the 50 years of anticipation that Barbie is enjoying right now.

Barbie is no less of a "known IP" than Hunger Games. Barbie has been around forever and had giant pent-up demand before the movie came out. I would not compare it to an original movie like Avatar. The huge opening guarantees more frontloading than what happens with original movies. In any case, Hunger Games had a pretty respectable 2.7 multiplier. That would be a pretty solid result for Barbie if it goes that way. It's not a bad comparison point by any means. High end would be something crazy like Super Mario's 3.9 multiplier. That would be incredible!

I mean 50 Shades, Twilight, & Hunger Games had a "brand new" movie that was pretty frontloaded right out of the gates. I think Hunger Games is probably a pretty good comparison point for Barbie. We'll have to see how it goes. There is a segment of the population that will have zero interest in watching the movie, no matter what. It's NOT like Avatar in that way.

You would think so, but DH2 also had the summer weekdays with a Late July opening and a staggering amount of frontloading. Can't be forgotten that Twilight & 50 Shades were extremely frontloaded. So that's 3 franchises with major frontloading where females are a huge portion of the audience. It's something we should not forget. I prefer to not be caught off-guard by that scenario.

The first two Hunger Games movies had "A" quality WOM, huge openings above $150M, and both of them finished with a 2.7 multiplier. That type of multiplier for Barbie would mean a total around $420-430M. Could be a decent comparison point, though the release date makes it hard to compare on a daily basis.

Yeah, I enjoyed the final 2 hours of the movie a lot more than the first hour of it. But I need to see it again. Perhaps my perspective will change. I was pretty disoriented during the early part of the runtime. Fast pace editing mixed with 2-3 hours of sleep. Not a great combo, lol

It will be hard to compare the daily numbers with Super Mario because of the release date difference. Mario's weekdays are deflated, while its weekends are probably inflated compared to any Late July release such as Barbie. The other 4 movies are great comparison points, all of them released in Late July. So we have the low end with heavy frontloading in Deathly Hallows Part 2, and we have the higher end with stronger legs such as TDK. More likely scenario is probably in between, so maybe it will look more similar to TDKR or Lion King.