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Everything posted by narniadis
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Weekday Numbers (10/25-28) | Dune 3.65M Monday
narniadis replied to Eric the IF's topic in Numbers and Data
Anything over 17.5 is a great hold considering the usual negatives for 2nd weekend /HMax/ Halloween, etc. My assumption with a weak Friday will still be it hitting between 17-19 since it is holding well on the weekdays. -
Weekday Numbers (10/25-28) | Dune 3.65M Monday
narniadis replied to Eric the IF's topic in Numbers and Data
Tis what I get for not looking back. Been crazy life the last month and hadn't paid enough attention. -
Weekday Numbers (10/25-28) | Dune 3.65M Monday
narniadis replied to Eric the IF's topic in Numbers and Data
Seems a tad weak even by crappy covid standards? Or am I overthinking it? I get the higher non-discounted PLF screens skew it to. -
Weekday Numbers (10/25-28) | Dune 3.65M Monday
narniadis replied to Eric the IF's topic in Numbers and Data
Keep trying Charlie.... when the moans start with Fridays increase we cant say there wasn't conversation. Also looks like your original 3.75m was nearly spot on. -
Weekday Numbers (10/25-28) | Dune 3.65M Monday
narniadis replied to Eric the IF's topic in Numbers and Data
Yup. Speaks both to the older adult crowd and the PLF ticket prices. Should also lead to a cautious look at the Friday % increase, would tend to indicate a lower than "usual" one. I'd be way down for a big surprise though and anything over 18.5 (~55%) would be phenomenal when the previews, HBO and Halloween proper are factored in. -
You are also talking about a film that will be fortunate to make in total what Batman Begins made in its adjusted 5-day opening. Us old timers aren't trying to pop a balloon but also trying to get reality a fairer play than some of yall have been on. *edit for commentary* Your comments about GA friendly play a significant factor into this. You cannot use a family film (JungleC) to compare with something more akin to BladeR49, etc. The significant IMAX/PLF % combined with the lack of younger audiences in the demos also shows a problem when it comes to legs in the current pandemic era. This isn't 2019 or before. 100m as a final total will be a big win and its not a slam dunk.
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Its more the fact that its also a federal banking holiday so banks may be closed (no guarantee) and government offices are usually off. It is also Canadian Thanksgiving so its a full market type of situation.
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Rather large Sunday drop for a holiday weekend. Couple that with a slightly better Friday and it will safely cross 30m.
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
narniadis replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
I think part of what we are seeing with Bond is what @TwoMisfits has hounded on regarding age skew. Couple that with the length and the fact that in sheer ticket sales, you can have more opportunities with Venom and it all just eats into the final growth. That stupid 100m article will probably cause some questions on Monday when Bond is over/under Spectre and nowhere close to 100m. Sheer tickets sales and screens availability with the length of show time will stunt the final numbers. Hoping to be wrong, not that the 65-75m window is not a bad thing mind you. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
narniadis replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
These explosions add excitement that has been missing the last month.... always a good thing and we appreciate the work each of you do. -
Yeah, seems like a better than usual Monday, roughly like -66-67% from Sunday I think off the top of my head? The week over week hold is really good for sure. I mean, its not hugely better than -70% but it could affect Tuesdays increase. Did Canada's national election mean no schools?
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Jewish Holiday. Tends to skew things in the major metros such as NYC due to the population.
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Weekday Numbers (9/7-9) | Shang-Chi 6.62M Tuesday
narniadis replied to Eric the IF's topic in Numbers and Data
I'd forgotten about that 🤣 that was a crazy summer and I will always miss not having those forums to revisit. Lots of memories sent to the deep.... -
Weekday Numbers (9/7-9) | Shang-Chi 6.62M Tuesday
narniadis replied to Eric the IF's topic in Numbers and Data
Its a combination of many things, including more limited showings than in years past. Remember as well that we have never, even in good times, had a film playing at this level until the 2nd or 3rd weekend of September. Its all a bit different on top of the Covid issues. That said, its hold have been in keeping with past behaviors so a lot will as usual just depend on the days to come. We as a forum tend to live on the highs and lows and when a film runs in the middle - or appears to - it can cause that angst that sometimes arises. Personally, I find the 15% a tad rough (higher end of possibilities) but its actually better than what the tracking suggested last night. -
Weekday Numbers (9/7-9) | Shang-Chi 6.62M Tuesday
narniadis replied to Eric the IF's topic in Numbers and Data
Nope, Forbes was barely off - just over 100k. You need to understand the difference in box office from say 2 weeks ago before school and football to now. The leggy hopes of 1 poster (the 260m) are not the norm even before covid. Shang-Chi is doing well and held well this week. Anything over 30m this weekend is a win considering its opening was highly inflated with the holiday and it doesnt have the spillover of say Black Panther which was doing more than double the business overall. -
Weekday Numbers (9/7-9) | Shang-Chi 6.62M Tuesday
narniadis replied to Eric the IF's topic in Numbers and Data
Probably, some of it will just depend on overseas holds. As for the weekdays, I am going to assume that you are still somewhat new to tracking box office. The weekdays (Tuesday and Wednesday) have been fantastic, particularly when considering the effect of Covid on the box. Keep hoping for better numbers its good to be positive -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
narniadis replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Yup its terrible.... we didnt mess with it until Boss Baby - way cheaper with a newborn to pay the cheap price and let the kiddos watch at home. Not worth it even then overall. I assume they want more subs, but maybe there is an age demographic issue they are paying attention to as well? -
Weekday Numbers (9/7-9) | Shang-Chi 6.62M Tuesday
narniadis replied to Eric the IF's topic in Numbers and Data
There was a day last week, may have been for Wednesdays number as well that Disney's didnt come in until like after 8pm cst. It was ridiculously late, but since there wasnt anything big to track nobody really paid attention. It is weird though