dxmatrixdt

Predix 21 - Venom 12 - Star

grading today's predictions... Milwaukee - 6 0/10 points Rockies - 0 Atlanta - 6 8/10 points Dodgers - 5 8/20 points today, 40% Tomorrow's MLB predix CLE - 4 HOU - 3 ATL - 6 LAD - 5 NYY - 5 BOS - 4

^^ Venom marketing to kids & the symbiote. This one was a family friendly movie and the numbers show it. i'm confused as to what kind of message Venom sends. The Phantom Menace, Attack of the Clones, Revenge of the Sith had a slow build of the dark side. Harry Potter slowly progressed darker. same with Spider-man going to Spider-man 3 with Venom. but instead of being a hero who slowly seeps at the dark, does Venom encourage kids to embrace their hedonistic genes at younger ages, or to go all out punk? it is like, on Halloween the kids are Venom and Harley Quinn, but that is their usual attire.

grading yesterday's predictions... Houston wins 3-1. 8/10 New York wins 6-2. 8/10 final grade - 16/20 = 80% Today's predictions. COL - 4 MIL - 3 ATL - 5 LAD - 3

Star Wars films define a generation. Star Wars 77-80 Empire 80-83 Jedi 83- Phantom Menace - 99-02 Attack of the Clones - 02-05 Revenge of the Sith - 05-08 Clone Wars - 08 Force Awakens - 15-16 Rogue One - 16-17 Solo - 17-18 Force Awakens did not stir up film the way The Phantom Menace did. but Rogue One followed up a year later with a heavy punch. The Last Jedi made up for The Force Awakens IMO. then Solo is a lost Star Wars film so it is hard to determine which franchise is victorious, anyone have an idea at which one won?

halfway into Pacific Rim 2, the first 30 minutes much better than I thought it would be. it takes it own world seriously, but now its getting boring and in the B range so i'm going to see if I can get it back up to an A- right now in the last 45 min

updated - # is avg. purchases per theater 4,250 Venom 577.4 3,686 Star/Born 368.8 3,019 Night School 128.1 -56% 4,131 Smallfoot 94.1 -35% 3,456 House/Clock 57.1 -40% 2,408 Simple Favor 48.4 -36% 2,264 The Nun 37.8 -30% 2,297 Hellfest 29.6 -61% 1,466 Crazy 45.4 -22% 1,643 Predator 16.2 -58% 880 White Boy Rick 21.4 -47% 813 Peppermint 17.8 -36% 36 Hate U Give 524 30,349

take the Friday per screen average of this Friday, Fri(1) and divide it by last Friday's per screen average, Fri(2). then subtract by 1 and multiply by 100%.

Friday to Friday declines % avg. tickets purchased -37% Smallfoot -58% Night School -40% House/Clock -36% ASF -30% Nun -62% Hell -22% Crazy -58% Predator -46% WBR +22% Searching -36% Peppermint -53% Christopher Robin -24% Mi6 +63% Incredibles -33% Unbroken -20% Ant-Man Saturday jumps should be about the same as last week. +80% Smallfoot maxing out at +90% House/Clock. All the rest around +55% including Night School. ASF likely going to push +40% with Hellfest while the rest go to that 55 spot. Sunday drops between -20% and -30%, and or +10% over Friday's #s on the holdovers.

I have Star/Born at a generous +33% even though it has sunk all my theories of overpredictions thus far. but, Night School increased 38% last weekend. Star/Born will increase 33% if Star/Born does 25% more on Saturday than Night School did with PTA Star/Born should increase close to 36% if it doubles the PTA of Smallfoot's opening Saturday too

Hellfest - 0.612 (+40%) 0.857 (-20%) 0.685 = 2.15 Venom - 22.75 (+10%) 25.0 (-30%) (-23%) 19.25 = 67/77

Star/Born - 12.6 (+33%) 16.75 (-25%) 12.6 = 41.95/45.15/46.50 Smallfoot - 3.5 (+80%) 6.3 (-21%) 5.0 = 14.80 Night School - 3.48 (+50%) 5.22 (-24%) 3.95 = 12.65 The Nun - 0.77 (+55%) 1.19 (-29%) 0.84 = 2.80 Crazy Rich - 0.60 (+55%) 0.93 (-25%) 0.70 = 2.23 House/Clock - 1.78 (+87%) 3.32 (-20%) 2.66 = 7.76 Predator - 0.24 (+67%) 0.40 (-20%) 0.32 = 0.96

grading yesterday's predictions... Houston wins 7-2. 6/10 Boston wins 5-4. 2/10 Milwaukee wins 4-0. 0/10 Los Angeles wins 3-0. 8/10 final grade - 16/40 = 40% Today's predictions. Houston - 4 Cleveland - 3 NYY - 5 BOS - 4

happy smacky

Cinemascores updates for major releases. Black Panther - A+ Imagine - A+ Incredibles - A+ Love - A+ 12 Strong - A Avengers - A Christopher Robin - A Crazy Rich Asians - A Death of a Nation - A Deadpool - A Equalizer - A Forever My Girl - A Isle of Dogs - A Miracle Season - A Mission: Impossible - A Paddington - A Searching - A Sgt. Stubby - A Star/Born - A Ya Veremos - A Acrimony - A- Ant-Man - A- Black Klansman - A- Book Club - A- Dog Days - A- Jurassic World - A- God's Not Dead - A- Hotel Transylvania - A- Mamma Mia - A- Midnight Sun - A- Night School - A- Operation Finale - A- Overboard - A- Paul, Apostle - A- Peter Rabbit - A- Rampage - A- Ready Player - A- Smallfoot - A- Solo - A- 50 Shades - B+ Alpha - B+ A Quiet Place - B+ A.X.L. - B+ Death Wish - B+ Den of Thieves - B+ Every Day - B+ Game Night - B+ I Feel Pretty - B+ Kin - B+ Maze Runner - B+ The Meg - B+ Oceans Eight - B+ Peppermint - B+ Proud Mary - B+ Sherlock Gnomes - B+ Skyscraper - B+ Super Troopers - B+ Superfly - B+ Tag - B+ Teen Titans - B+ Venom - B+ Adrift - B Blockers - B Breaking In - B Chappaquiddick - B Commuter - B Darkest Minds - B Early Man - B Life of Party - B Pacific Rim - B Red Sparrow - B Spy Who Dumped - B Tomb Raider - B Wrinkle in Time - B 15:17 to Paris - B- Bad Samaritan - B- First Purge - B- Hurricane Heist - B- Insidious 4 - B- Mile 22 - B- Truth or Dare - B- Unsane - B- Winchester - B- Action Point - C+ Gringo - C+ Annihilation - C Hellfest - C The Nun - C Strangers: Prey - C Unfriended: Dark Web - C Happytime Murders - C- Hotel Artemis - C- Hereditary - D+ Slender Man - D- these are unreported: Little Women Samson Traffik Tully Upgrade  

happy Christmas!

and the best picture goes to...

they should start lowering the Blu-ray retail price on these

even the worlds greatest thinkers cry at the movies. the cinemascore i'm predicting, Star/Born = A Venom = B+

60.00 - Venom - 70.00 43.10 - Star/Born - 47.65 13.30 - Smallfoot - 41.86 13.00 - Night School - 47.48 7.50 - House/Clock - 55.28 3.60 - Simple Favor - 49.18 2.70 - The Nun - 113.46 2.05 - Crazy Rich - 169.12 1.90 - Hellfest - 7.89 1.49 - Predator - 50.58 0.79 - White Boy Rick - 23.54 0.70 - Hate U Give - 0.70 0.64 - Peppermint - 34.88 0.59 - Christopher Robin - 98.26 0.36 - The Meg - 142.59 0.36 - Mission 6 - 219.79 0.13 - Loving Pablo - 0.13

60.00 - Venom - 70.00 43.10 - Star/Born - 47.65 13.30 - Smallfoot - 41.86 13.00 - Night School - 47.48 7.50 - House/Clock - 55.28 3.60 - Simple Favor - 49.18 2.70 - The Nun - 113.46 2.05 - Crazy Rich - 169.12 1.90 - Hellfest - 7.89 1.49 - Predator - 50.58 0.79 - White Boy Rick - 23.54 0.70 - Hate U Give - 0.70 0.64 - Peppermint - 34.88 0.59 - Christopher Robin - 98.26 0.36 - The Meg - 142.59 0.36 - Mission 6 - 219.79 0.13 - Loving Pablo - 0.13

if Venom is aimed at 'just pleasing' audiences, does that mean that home platform sales will be limited?

Venom - 20 + 24 + 15.9 + 10.0 = 59.9 + 10.0 = 69.9 Star - 13.7 + 17.6 + 11.8 - 43.1 - 47.65

mk