I took fivethirtyeights odds then looked for the best potential upsets and went with that. It’s working out well for me so far, I’m still in the 99th percentile. But everything could go to hell if Gonzaga loses, have them winning.
Wouldn’t ever bet real money on this though, it’s too random and chaotic.
I think it had a shot given that it’s being released in a weekend friendly setting and TFA was rather backloaded for how big it was. But it’s still no lock, I’m thinking around 230-235m rn for 2nd largest OW.
Honestly, ICOI number 1 for the weekend, while not as insane as a Samson breakout over BP would be, would be massively impressive on its own right.
Would be set to go for over 100m, which is a huge breakout for a faith film.
However, I’m wondering how big it’ll be this weekend relative to presales. Especially since Paul and GDND3 will hurt its legs.
Dang it! Arizona losing broke my perfect bracket!
My overall rank just dropped from 1st to 304th
At least I had had Kentucky beating Arizona, so it won’t stick with me.
Some interesting things to point out too,
in previous years a movie like The Avengers would make this list while TDKR or Silver Linings would not (the two of which were #1 and 2 on the 2012 list). So it lets you see which movies from years a set of people are really passionate about. While TDKR maybe a consensus 2012 choice, in the past we’ve seen more passion behind TA, which I find interesting. There’s other things you can pick up too (like Interstellar missing while 2014 movies like GOTG and Boyhood might make it).
It’ll be interesting to see how things shake out this year because the BOT active population has definitely changed some. I was trying to design the scoring to prioritize highly ranked movies but also require there to be a relatively decent sized consensus behind them.
If you’re going to include a movie you haven’t seen on your list at least let it be Before Sunrise or another Linklater/Spielberg/Cuaron/Ford/etc movie and not Ghost in the Shell
But there’s technically no rule about having to see the movies you include, so whatever floats your boat.
Remember spring breaks will start this week and continue through around the first week of April. So Friday and Saturday jumps probably won’t be as huge to compensate
In all honesty out of the three amigos
Cuaron’s easily the best
for second it’s probably Inarritu because he’s more consistent, even though Del Torro’s best (Pan’s Labyrinth) is Top 20 all time.
Honestly, Nolan and Del Torro haven’t earned it yet. And if I take a step back from being a Villeneuve fanboy, neither has Denis either (but if Dune is grand, maybe so).