Elessar

It could still just scrape by $600m but hopefully it's closer to NWH.

Not funny but it's still a long way to go.

It finally took over R1 day-to-day...

body { color: black; } red { color: red; } blue { color: blue; } grey { color: grey; } Day / Date Rogue One Avatar Way of Water 0 / Dec 15 Thu $29,000,000 total $29,000,000 $17,000,000 total $17,000,000 1 / Dec 16 Fri $71,094,394 (theaters 4,157) (YD - / LW -) total $71,094,394 $53,200,270 (theaters 4,202) (YD - / LW -) total $53,200,270 2 / Dec 17 Sat $46,308,115 (theaters 4,157) (YD -35% / LW -) total $117,402,509 $44,327,887 (theaters 4,202) (YD -17% / LW -) total $97,528,157 3 / Dec 18 Sun $37,679,172 (theaters 4,157) (YD -19% / LW -) total $155,081,681 WE 1 $155,081,681 (-) $36,572,069 (theaters 4,202) (YD -17% / LW -) total $134,100,226 WE 1 $134,100,226 (-) 4 / Dec 19 Mon $17,596,150 (theaters 4,157) (YD -53% / LW -) total $172,677,831 $16,257,078 (theaters 4,202) (YD -56% / LW -) total $150,357,304 5 / Dec 20 Tue $17,582,978 (theaters 4,157) (YD - / LW -) total $190,260,809 $18,288,904 (theaters 4,202) (YD +12% / LW -) total $168,646,208 6 / Dec 21 Wed $14,965,790 (theaters 4,157) (YD -15% / LW -) total $205,226,599 $14,403,438 (theaters 4,202) (YD -21% / LW -) total $183,049,646 7 / Dec 22 Thu $16,773,075 (theaters 4,157) (YD +12% / LW -) total $221,999,674 $14,632,040 (theaters 4,202) (YD +2% / LW -) total $197,681,686 8 / Dec 23 Fri $22,860,256 (theaters 4,157) (YD +36% / LW -68%) total $244,859,930 $19,289,141 (theaters 4,202) (YD +32% / LW -64%) total $216,970,827 9 / Dec 24 Sat $15,308,508 (theaters 4,157) (YD -33% / LW -67%) total $260,168,438 $14,869,288 (theaters 4,202) (YD -23% / LW -66%) total $231,840,115 10 / Dec 25 Sun $25,865,004 (theaters 4,157) (YD +69% / LW -31%) total $286,033,442 WE 2 $64,033,768 (-59%) $29,179,791 (theaters 4,202) (YD +96% / LW -20%) total $261,019,906 WE 2 $63,338,220 (-53%) 11 / Dec 26 Mon $32,085,637 (theaters 4,157) (YD +24% / LW +82%) total $318,119,079 $32,270,430 (theaters 4,202) (YD +11% / LW +99%) total $293,290,336 12 / Dec 27 Tue $22,515,612 (theaters 4,157) (YD -30% / LW +28%) total $340,634,691 $24,128,503 (theaters 4,202) (YD -25% / LW +32%) total $317,418,839 13 / Dec 28 Wed $18,021,482 (theaters 4,157) (YD -20% / LW +20%) total $358,656,173 $20,582,014 (theaters 4,202) (YD -15% / LW +43%) total $338,000,853 14 / Dec 29 Thu $16,722,532 (theaters 4,157) (YD -7% / LW n/c) total $375,378,705 $20,117,061 (theaters 4,202) (YD -2% / LW +37%) total $358,117,914 15 / Dec 30 Fri $18,224,317 (theaters 4,157) (YD +9% / LW -20%) total $393,603,022 est. $24,440,000 (theaters 4,202) (YD +21% / LW +27%) total $382,557,914 16 / Dec 31 Sat $14,632,828 (theaters 4,157) (YD -20% / LW -4%) total $408,235,850 est. $18,000,000 (theaters 4,202) (YD -26% / LW +21%) total $400,557,914 17 / Jan 1 Sun $16,751,857 (theaters 4,157) (YD +14% / LW -35%) total $424,987,707 WE 3 $49,609,002 (-23%) est. $24,400,000 (theaters 4,202) (YD +36% / LW -16%) total $424,957,914 WE 3 $66,840,000 (+6%) 18 / Jan 2 Mon $15,913,674 (theaters 4,157) (YD -5% / LW -50%) total $440,901,381 est. $19,460,000 (theaters 4,202) (YD -20% / LW -40%) total $444,417,914

Sounds about right.

It looks to be increasing by about 5% (they underestimated Sunday). Otherwise i agree with the sentiment of your post.

Actualls come out after the weekend, usually on mondays but this monday is a holiday for many. EDIT: We should get updated estimates today, though.

I'm not Charlie but SAT and FRI grosses are already pretty accurate for the most part. SUN is but a projection based on historical data and maybe some early presales.

What is the movie with the most 20m+ days? Avatar 2 should have 11, same as Endgame.

body { color: black; } red { color: red; } blue { color: blue; } grey { color: grey; } Day / Date Rogue One Avatar Way of Water 0 / Dec 15 Thu $29,000,000 total $29,000,000 $17,000,000 total $17,000,000 1 / Dec 16 Fri $71,094,394 (theaters 4,157) (YD - / LW -) total $71,094,394 $53,200,270 (theaters 4,202) (YD - / LW -) total $53,200,270 2 / Dec 17 Sat $46,308,115 (theaters 4,157) (YD -35% / LW -) total $117,402,509 $44,327,887 (theaters 4,202) (YD -17% / LW -) total $97,528,157 3 / Dec 18 Sun $37,679,172 (theaters 4,157) (YD -19% / LW -) total $155,081,681 WE 1 $155,081,681 (-) $36,572,069 (theaters 4,202) (YD -17% / LW -) total $134,100,226 WE 1 $134,100,226 (-) 4 / Dec 19 Mon $17,596,150 (theaters 4,157) (YD -53% / LW -) total $172,677,831 $16,257,078 (theaters 4,202) (YD -56% / LW -) total $150,357,304 5 / Dec 20 Tue $17,582,978 (theaters 4,157) (YD - / LW -) total $190,260,809 $18,288,904 (theaters 4,202) (YD +12% / LW -) total $168,646,208 6 / Dec 21 Wed $14,965,790 (theaters 4,157) (YD -15% / LW -) total $205,226,599 $14,403,438 (theaters 4,202) (YD -21% / LW -) total $183,049,646 7 / Dec 22 Thu $16,773,075 (theaters 4,157) (YD +12% / LW -) total $221,999,674 $14,632,040 (theaters 4,202) (YD +2% / LW -) total $197,681,686 8 / Dec 23 Fri $22,860,256 (theaters 4,157) (YD +36% / LW -68%) total $244,859,930 $19,289,141 (theaters 4,202) (YD +32% / LW -64%) total $216,970,827 9 / Dec 24 Sat $15,308,508 (theaters 4,157) (YD -33% / LW -67%) total $260,168,438 $14,869,288 (theaters 4,202) (YD -23% / LW -66%) total $231,840,115 10 / Dec 25 Sun $25,865,004 (theaters 4,157) (YD +69% / LW -31%) total $286,033,442 WE 2 $64,033,768 (-59%) $29,179,791 (theaters 4,202) (YD +96% / LW -20%) total $261,019,906 WE 2 $63,338,220 (-53%) 11 / Dec 26 Mon $32,085,637 (theaters 4,157) (YD +24% / LW +82%) total $318,119,079 $32,270,430 (theaters 4,202) (YD +11% / LW +99%) total $293,290,336 12 / Dec 27 Tue $22,515,612 (theaters 4,157) (YD -30% / LW +28%) total $340,634,691 $24,128,503 (theaters 4,202) (YD -25% / LW +32%) total $317,418,839 13 / Dec 28 Wed $18,021,482 (theaters 4,157) (YD -20% / LW +20%) total $358,656,173 $20,582,014 (theaters 4,202) (YD -15% / LW +43%) total $338,000,853 14 / Dec 29 Thu $16,722,532 (theaters 4,157) (YD -7% / LW n/c) total $375,378,705 $20,117,061 (theaters 4,202) (YD -2% / LW +37%) total $358,117,914 15 / Dec 30 Fri $18,224,317 (theaters 4,157) (YD +9% / LW -20%) total $393,603,022 est. $24,440,000 (theaters 4,202) (YD +21% / LW +27%) total $382,557,914 16 / Dec 31 Sat $14,632,828 (theaters 4,157) (YD -20% / LW -4%) total $408,235,850 est. $18,000,000 (theaters 4,202) (YD -26% / LW +21%) total $400,557,914 17 / Jan 1 Sun $16,751,857 (theaters 4,157) (YD +14% / LW -35%) total $424,987,707 WE 3 $49,609,002 (-23%) est. $21,004,000 (theaters 4,202) (YD +17% / LW -28%) total $421,561,914 WE 3 $63,444,000 (n/c)

Not really.

I believe some of that THU gross goes into the weekend gross. Some countries have a 4-day weekend, some 3-day, and a couple a 2-day weekend.

Yeah, it is a bit apples vs oranges. But the point i was making is, Avatar 1 will probably have the bigger 3rd weekend so it's already making up ground. And that should continue / accelerate in the upcoming weeks.

What do you mean? I told you MON will obviously be much bigger since people are still off work / school.

Only because of inflated SUN. And MON will obviously be much bigger also because people are still having off.

It already did on Friday. 3rd weekend will probably go to Avatar 1 and the difference will only grow in the coming weeks.

It's still the aftermath of the much bigger opening weekend.

Because it's not having the legs that Avatar had? Avatar 1 would have probably dropped like 35% on its 2nd weekend and increased like 50% on its 3rd weekend with the same calendar setup (and storm).

Which Avatar is that?

body { color: black; } red { color: red; } blue { color: blue; } grey { color: grey; } Day / Date Rogue One Avatar Way of Water 0 / Dec 15 Thu $29,000,000 total $29,000,000 $17,000,000 total $17,000,000 1 / Dec 16 Fri $71,094,394 (theaters 4,157) (YD - / LW -) total $71,094,394 $53,200,270 (theaters 4,202) (YD - / LW -) total $53,200,270 2 / Dec 17 Sat $46,308,115 (theaters 4,157) (YD -35% / LW -) total $117,402,509 $44,327,887 (theaters 4,202) (YD -17% / LW -) total $97,528,157 3 / Dec 18 Sun $37,679,172 (theaters 4,157) (YD -19% / LW -) total $155,081,681 $36,572,069 (theaters 4,202) (YD -17% / LW -) total $134,100,226 4 / Dec 19 Mon $17,596,150 (theaters 4,157) (YD -53% / LW -) total $172,677,831 $16,257,078 (theaters 4,202) (YD -56% / LW -) total $150,357,304 5 / Dec 20 Tue $17,582,978 (theaters 4,157) (YD - / LW -) total $190,260,809 $18,288,904 (theaters 4,202) (YD +12% / LW -) total $168,646,208 6 / Dec 21 Wed $14,965,790 (theaters 4,157) (YD -15% / LW -) total $205,226,599 $14,403,438 (theaters 4,202) (YD -21% / LW -) total $183,049,646 7 / Dec 22 Thu $16,773,075 (theaters 4,157) (YD +12% / LW -) total $221,999,674 $14,632,040 (theaters 4,202) (YD +2% / LW -) total $197,681,686 8 / Dec 23 Fri $22,860,256 (theaters 4,157) (YD +36% / LW -68%) total $244,859,930 $19,289,141 (theaters 4,202) (YD +32% / LW -64%) total $216,970,827 9 / Dec 24 Sat $15,308,508 (theaters 4,157) (YD -33% / LW -67%) total $260,168,438 $14,869,288 (theaters 4,202) (YD -23% / LW -66%) total $231,840,115 10 / Dec 25 Sun $25,865,004 (theaters 4,157) (YD +69% / LW -31%) total $286,033,442 $29,179,791 (theaters 4,202) (YD +96% / LW -20%) total $261,019,906 11 / Dec 26 Mon $32,085,637 (theaters 4,157) (YD +24% / LW +82%) total $318,119,079 $32,270,430 (theaters 4,202) (YD +11% / LW +99%) total $293,290,336 12 / Dec 27 Tue $22,515,612 (theaters 4,157) (YD -30% / LW +28%) total $340,634,691 $24,128,503 (theaters 4,202) (YD -25% / LW +32%) total $317,418,839 13 / Dec 28 Wed $18,021,482 (theaters 4,157) (YD -20% / LW +20%) total $358,656,173 $20,582,014 (theaters 4,202) (YD -15% / LW +43%) total $338,000,853 14 / Dec 29 Thu $16,722,532 (theaters 4,157) (YD -7% / LW n/c) total $375,378,705 $20,117,061 (theaters 4,202) (YD -2% / LW +37%) total $358,117,914 15 / Dec 30 Fri $18,224,317 (theaters 4,157) (YD +9% / LW -20%) total $393,603,022 est. $24,440,000 (theaters 4,202) (YD +21% / LW +27%) total $382,557,914

seems to be official estimate

It got postponed by a full year, that worries me a little. Hopefully it comes together...

Like the misconception that Cameron writes bad dialog.

If it hasn't happened yet, please post OS numbers in the OS thread so it's easier to find when A3 comes around and we compare.

Nah, Disney themselves (and competitors) overpredicted. It's their fault.