Elessar
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Posts posted by Elessar
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So, some are predicting a better drop than A1's post holiday drop. Okaaaay....
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Just now, Ozymandias said:
SW has been demoted to Disney+, there won't be another decade of "starved GA".
Luckily Avatar is too expensive for Disney+
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1 minute ago, IronJimbo said:
Reminder that A2 lost 7-10m from saturday being new years eve.
At the same time FRI and SUN are inflated whereas A1 only had FRI inflated.
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1 hour ago, IronJimbo said:
I got told it was time for me to face reality and give up on it, just accept that it's going to scrape past 600m and be thankful for that.
No Way Home is the target
It could still just scrape by $600m but hopefully it's closer to NWH.
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1 minute ago, IronJimbo said:
So do we still think it's funny someone would suggest Top Gun Maverick won't be #1 domestic this year?
Not funny but it's still a long way to go.
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It finally took over R1 day-to-day...
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32 minutes ago, Bruce said:
Think 600m is locked,650m is doable,700m is hard,beating TGM is really hard
Sounds about right.
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4 minutes ago, baumer said:
Granted it's not going to increase this weekend but it's going to fall what looks to be around 5%.
It looks to be increasing by about 5% (they underestimated Sunday).
Otherwise i agree with the sentiment of your post.
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21 minutes ago, Gkalaitza said:
Wasnt the 24.4 for FRI actuals
Actualls come out after the weekend, usually on mondays but this monday is a holiday for many.
EDIT:
We should get updated estimates today, though.
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2 minutes ago, stripe said:
Thanks! What about Saturday? Can we expect a better gross than 18M estimates?
I'm not Charlie but SAT and FRI grosses are already pretty accurate for the most part. SUN is but a projection based on historical data and maybe some early presales.
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What is the movie with the most 20m+ days? Avatar 2 should have 11, same as Endgame.
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1 minute ago, Sheldon Cr said:
Charlie predicts 1.8-2b OS .
Not really.
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6 minutes ago, ThomasNicole said:
One question, i'm having a bit of a hard time understanding the OS numbers this week.
The weekend is a 4-day and counts THU or MON?
Because i was reading 180M as the usual FRI - SUN. 51M for FRI and another 129M for SAT + SUN.
But then the total would be ~987M by SUN instead of ~955M, so i must be reading something wrong, but i don't know what lol.
I believe some of that THU gross goes into the weekend gross. Some countries have a 4-day weekend, some 3-day, and a couple a 2-day weekend.
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9 minutes ago, cory said:
You mean when A1 had New Year's Day?
Yeah, it is a bit apples vs oranges. But the point i was making is, Avatar 1 will probably have the bigger 3rd weekend so it's already making up ground. And that should continue / accelerate in the upcoming weeks.
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3 minutes ago, IronJimbo said:
oh yeah but A2's Mon is gonna be 10m+ higher than A1, how do you account for that?
What do you mean? I told you MON will obviously be much bigger since people are still off work / school.
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6 minutes ago, IronJimbo said:
Avatar 2 will be ahead in dailies if weekend numbers hold. A2's Sunday should be around $5m higher than Avatar ($22m vs 17m)
Only because of inflated SUN. And MON will obviously be much bigger also because people are still having off.
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3 minutes ago, IronJimbo said:
So when is it Avatar 1 breaks ahead in dailies?
This Tuesday?
Next Saturday?or maybe never!
It already did on Friday.
3rd weekend will probably go to Avatar 1 and the difference will only grow in the coming weeks.
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2 minutes ago, stuart360 said:
After the OW A2 had a 57mil lead over the first film.
After the 3rd weekend, A2's lead will be around 70mil.
It's still the aftermath of the much bigger opening weekend.
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5 minutes ago, IronJimbo said:
can someone explain to me very slowly why Avatar 2 can't make post holiday $397m that Avatar made? I'm finding it hard to understand why it's impossible
Because it's not having the legs that Avatar had?
Avatar 1 would have probably dropped like 35% on its 2nd weekend and increased like 50% on its 3rd weekend with the same calendar setup (and storm).
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4 minutes ago, Deep Wang said:
It's obvious all these records will go down in the same run.
$400m OW opening Dec 18th.
$200m second weekend
$150m third weekend
$1 billion domestic in 14 days
Which Avatar is that?
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Avatar: The Way of Water Fourth Weekend Stab Fest!! Closes in 4 hours! TICK TOCK!!
in The Speakeasy
Posted
We had this discussion, A2 is not holding as well as A1, why would it suddenly start dropping better than that film?