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Everything posted by BadAtGender
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BOT Movie Night | The Fifth Element on Wednesday at 9 PM EST!
BadAtGender replied to That One Girl's topic in The Speakeasy
Could be interesting, though my computer sucks and I don't watch movies on it. -
Transformers: The Last Knight | 6/21/2017 | Big Budget, Weak OW?
BadAtGender replied to Neo's topic in Box Office Discussion
I gotta say, it was really fun to have @grim22 rant about how bad an incoherent this was to me in person. He's almost convinced me to go see it. -
All questions pertain to the top 12 and the 3 day weekend unless otherwise stated. Part A: 1. Will Transformers' 5 day opening (Wed-Sun) be higher than Pirates 3 day OW ($62.9M) gross? 1000 No 2. Will Transformers Open to more than $50M for its 3 Day? 2000 No 3. Will Transformers' Wed+Thursday total be more than 27.5% of the total gross by end of Sunday? 3000 Yes 4. Will Transformers gross more on Friday or Saturday? 4000 Saturday 5. Will Transformers have a daily PTA above $4000 for every day of the weekend? 5000 No 6. Will Cars drop less than 50% 1000 Yes 7. Will Guardians drop less than 45% 2000 Yes 8. Will Cars stay in the top 2? 3000 Yes 9. Will The Mummy drop more than 62% 4000 Yes 10. Will all Eyes on me drop more than 64%? 5000 Yes 11. Will 47 Metres Down have a PTA above $2,250? 1000 Yes 12. Will Rough Night drop more than 55%? 2000 No 13. Will anything in its 2nd weekend drop less than 42%? 3000 Yes 14. Will All Eyes on me cross $50M by the end of the weekend? 4000 No 15. Will Baywatch stay above Book of Henry? 5000 No 16. Will The Mummy stay above 47 Metres Down 1000 No 17. Will Captain Underpants have a higher weekend percentage drop than Megan Leavey? 2000 No 18. Will The Big Sick have a PTA above $8,000? 3000 Yes 19. Will The Beguiled have a PTA above $11,000? 4000 Yes 20. How many sets of dangling robot testicles will it take for both Ethan and Baumer to hate this film? 5000 We know that Baumer already doesn't. Ethan's probably 50/50 at this point. Bonus: 12/20 2000 13/20 4000 14/20 7000 15/20 12000 16/20 16,000 17/20 21,000 18/20 26,000 19/20 32,000 20/20 40,000 Part B: The top 3 predictions will score points as follows: Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points 2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points 3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points 1. What will Transformers make for its 5 day OW? 52.73m 2. What percentage of Transformers' 5 day gross will be made on Wed and Thurs? 43% 3. What will be the difference in percentage between Wonder Woman's percentage drop and The Mummy's (so if WW drops 75% and Mummy 50% the answer is 25%, order doesn't matter)? 29% Part C: There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here: 2. Cars 3 5. Rough Night 7. The Mummy 10. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 12. Beatriz at Dinner 15. Baywatch Because I realised bonuses are stupid... 1/6 4,000 2/6 10,000 3/6 18,000 4/6 25,000 5/6 36,000 6/6 - 50,000 Deadline is Thursday May 25th at 11:59pm
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I'm kiiiinda hoping for a situation like with Cars3 last Friday, where the initial projections were for well over 20, for a weekend in the high 60s, but it kept dropping and dropping until we were wondering if it was even going to do 50 before finally getting a slight recovery so we were all, "well, it's not so bad, really." So, c'mon TF5. Give me that 13m OD. 12m OD. Really make us wonder how far it's going to crater.
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Whenever I saw the trailer for TF5, there'd be a shot of a woman who I was sure was Megan Fox, except she's wearing glasses. But then a bit later she speaks and has a British accent, so I'm prety sure it wasn't Fox. Am I just face blind, or did Bay deliberately try to get a British clone of Fox? Or is Megan Fox actually in the film?