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MikeQ

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  1. With the updated estimate for A Star is Born, it has dropped only 33.6% from its opening weekend (effectively a holiday weekend). Very impressive. Venom's drop is also solid, all things considered. I would have expected a 60+% drop given the circumstances, but it easily bested that. Peace, Mike
  2. Definitely. A significant reason for the success of the original Aladdin was Robin Williams as Genie at the height of his fame. Disney used his voice in marketing everywhere, and issues with how they used him in advertising was the reason why he didn't return for the DTV sequel. I think Will Smith will have to have done something really special with Genie for this to capitalize fully at the box office, given Williams' original performance and how central it was to the original film. Peace, Mike
  3. Why are you using Book Club as a comp? It’s a comedy that opened in May and that skewed heavily female and older (80% female with nearly 50% women-over-50). Peace, Mike
  4. That's very true. I could be wrong here, and I'm curious to see how the teaser trailer takes off in terms of views. But I'll add that box office gross is often a moment in time, and doesn't necessarily reflect how people look back on a film any number of years later in terms of nostalgia. It's definitely a classic Disney animated film - I just wonder whether, of the films from the Disney Renaissance era, Aladdin is perceived to be on quite the same level as Beauty and the Beast or The Lion King. It's hard to say, because I'm sure those of us who lived through it have our own perspectives that are shaped by which of the animated films in this period most made an impression on us. Peace, Mike
  5. It's hard for me to make any kind of judgement on how I think the film looks in terms of quality based on this teaser, as it shows us virtually nothing. I'm going to have to wait for the next trailer. It feels similar to the Beauty and the Beast teaser, in that if Aladdin is a childhood classic for you, the music will give you 'the feels' similar to the musical tease in the Beast teaser. The difference is that I think Beauty and the Beast is more of a classic (or, perhaps more accurately, its music is more iconic), so I don't think this teaser will inspire the same levels of nostalgia/magical feelings in the same way that Beast teaser did, on average. I could be wrong - I only say this as someone who grew up in the 90s Disney Renaissance for animation. (Additionally, the fact that Beauty and the Beast was the first animated film ever to be nominated for the Best Picture Oscar suggests to me its rather special position in history. Only two other animated films have ever been nominated for the Best Picture Oscar - Up (2009) and Toy Story 3 (2010) - and those were both in the first two years of the nominee expansion when there were actually 10 nominees and members wrote in 10 nominees when voting, unlike since then and currently where members write down 5 nominees and somewhere between 5 and 10 films are nominated. So Beauty and the Beast was it seems a pretty special animated film for its time. Anyhow, I'm getting off topic.) Peace, Mike
  6. Huge weekend. Handily the #1 October weekend ever with the top 12 raking in nearly $168M: Row Rank Weekend Date / Wknd # Top 12 Gross Theaters / Avg. New Movies #1 Movie Gross % of Total 1 123 Oct. 5–7, 2018 40 $167,945,000 29,548 $5,684 2 Venom $80,030,000 47.7% 2 254 Oct. 2–4, 2015 40 $142,708,444 30,018 $4,754 2 The Martian $54,308,575 38.1% 3 276 Oct. 3–5, 2014 40 $139,541,021 29,825 $4,679 4 Gone Girl $37,513,109 26.9% 4 307 Oct. 10–12, 2014 41 $135,718,063 29,275 $4,636 5 Gone Girl $26,406,134 19.5% 5 332 Oct. 5–7, 2012 40 $132,743,286 28,066 $4,730 2 Taken 2 $49,514,769 37.3% And both Venom and A Star is Born open big. Venom handily captures the October weekend record and outdoes tracking by $15-20M. And A Star is Born, an R-rated musical, cracks the top 10 and outdoes tracking by $11-14M. You just don't get weekends like this at this time of year - pretty awesome. I'm now interested to see how these two films play out over the coming weeks - it has me more interested in daily tracking of the box office (usually I'm fairly "checked-out" this time of year and check in only on weekends). Rank Title (click to view) Studio Opening* % of Total Theaters Average Total Gross^ Date** 1 Venom (2018) Sony $80,030,000 100.0% 4,250 $18,831 $80,030,000 10/5/18 2 Gravity WB $55,785,112 20.4% 3,575 $15,604 $274,092,705 10/4/13 3 The Martian Fox $54,308,575 23.8% 3,831 $14,176 $228,433,663 10/2/15 4 Paranormal Activity 3 Par. $52,568,183 50.5% 3,321 $15,829 $104,028,807 10/21/11 5 Jackass 3-D Par. $50,353,641 43.0% 3,081 $16,343 $117,229,692 10/15/10 6 Taken 2 Fox $49,514,769 35.4% 3,661 $13,525 $139,854,287 10/5/12 7 Scary Movie 3 Dim. $48,113,770 43.7% 3,505 $13,727 $110,003,217 10/24/03 8 Shark Tale DW $47,604,606 29.6% 4,016 $11,853 $160,861,908 10/1/04 9 High School Musical 3: Senior Year BV $42,030,184 46.4% 3,623 $11,601 $90,559,416 10/24/08 10 A Star is Born (2018) WB $41,250,000 96.8% 3,686 $11,191 $42,600,000 10/5/18 Peace, Mike
  7. Unless I'm mistaken, this weekend is looking to handily be the largest weekend ever in October, with $160-165+ million total gross for the top 12, besting the previous record of 142.7M when The Martian opened: Row Rank Weekend Date / Wknd # Top 12 Gross Theaters / Avg. New Movies #1 Movie Gross % of Total 1 253 Oct. 2–4, 2015 40 $142,708,444 30,018 $4,754 2 The Martian $54,308,575 38.1% 2 275 Oct. 3–5, 2014 40 $139,541,021 29,825 $4,679 4 Gone Girl $37,513,109 26.9% 3 306 Oct. 10–12, 2014 41 $135,718,063 29,275 $4,636 5 Gone Girl $26,406,134 19.5% 4 331 Oct. 5–7, 2012 40 $132,743,286 28,066 $4,730 2 Taken 2 $49,514,769 37.3% 5 387 Oct. 16–18, 2009 42 $127,600,527 27,248 $4,683 3 Where the Wild Things Are $32,695,407 25.6% This will be the largest weekend ever during the September/October period. Peace, Mike
  8. This is a really, really strong weekend for October. Venom looks to hit its $60-65M tracking (and even have decent WOM, it appears), and A Star is Born looks to best its $28-30M tracking by ~10M+. Will be two of the biggest (with Venom being the biggest) October opening weekends of all time, both on the same weekend, making for potentially a combined $100M+ in openers this weekend. Peace, Mike
  9. It has happened a few times already: June 27-29, 2008 Wall-E — 63.1M Wanted — 50.9M June 8-10, 2012 Madagascar 3: Europe’s Most Wanted — 60.3M Prometheus — 51.1M June 21-23, 2013 Monsters University — 82.4M World War Z — 66.4M However, this would be the fist time it happened outside of the summer season (June specifically) - it would be very impressive to happen in October of all months. I'm not sure, though, that A Star is Born will be hitting the 50M mark. I think somewhere in the 40M range is more likely. But who knows. Peace, Mike
  10. Now both Venom and A Star is Born are on MT:1. Night School: 19.8% 2. Small Foot: 16.1%3. The House With a Clock: 8.8%4. Venom: 7.2% 5. A Star is Born: 5.2% Peace, Mike
  11. I'm looking forward to the movie, but especially excited for the soundtrack. Shallow is terrific, and what we hear of Maybe It's Time from Bradley Cooper in the trailer sounds great too - looking forward to hearing the whole song. Lady Gaga also teased the ballad Is That Alright? which sounds beautiful: Bring on the movie and bring on the full soundtrack. Peace, Mike
  12. MikeQ

    Tuesday Numbers

    Forgot to post my final update for the Summer RT Watch in the labour day weekend thread. Here it is - another similar Fresh vs Rotten ratio as the past two summers, with 13 films at 80+% (almost on par with last summer, and again clearly better than two summers ago), and three films that nabbed an 8+ average rating. Also a pretty interesting/varied top 5 in terms of the Tomatometer: an exceptionally well-crafted action film, a hard hitting Spike Lee comedy-drama, a delightful and entertaining Pixar sequel, a historic top-notch romantic comedy with an all-Asian cast, and an original and surprisingly moving thriller. I would recommend all of these films. See you all next summer! 2018 Summer Films RT Watch (Wide-Release — May/June/July/August) Mission: Impossible - Fallout — 97% — 8.3 rating BlacKkKlansman — 95% — 8.2 rating Incredibles 2 — 93% — 7.9 rating Crazy Rich Asians — 93% — 7.7 rating Searching — 91% — 7.4 rating Teen Titans Go! To the Movies — 90% — 7.1 rating Hereditary — 89% — 8.2 rating Ant-Man and the Wasp — 88% — 6.9 rating Tully — 87% — 7.7 rating Upgrade — 86% — 7.1 rating Deadpool 2 — 83% — 7.0 rating Alpha — 82% — 6.5 rating Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again — 80% — 6.3 rating Adrift — 73% — 6.2 rating Solo: A Star Wars Story — 71% — 6.4 rating Christopher Robin — 70% — 6.1 rating Ocean’s 8 — 67% — 6.2 rating Uncle Drew — 65% — 6.0 rating Sicario: Day of the Soldado — 64% — 6.4 rating Operation Finale — 60% — 5.9 rating Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation — 60% — 5.4 rating Dog Days — 60% — 5.1 rating Unfriended: Dark Web — 58% — 5.7 rating Hotel Artemis — 58% — 5.7 rating Tag — 55% — 5.4 rating The First Purge — 53% — 5.4 rating Book Club — 53% — 5.3 rating Bad Samaritan — 52% — 5.6 rating Equalizer 2 — 51% — 5.6 rating Superfly — 51% — 5.4 rating Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom — 50% — 5.6 rating The Spy Who Dumped Me — 49% — 5.3 rating Skyscraper — 48% — 5.2 rating The Meg — 46% — 5.5 rating Life of the Party — 38% — 4.9 rating Kin — 33% — 5.0 rating Breaking In — 26% — 4.3 rating Overboard — 26% — 4.2 rating A.X.L. — 25% — 3.5 rating (only 16 reviews) The Happytime Murders — 23% — 3.9 rating Mile 22 — 22% — 4.1 rating Action Point — 19% — 3.4 rating The Darkest Minds — 18% — 4.2 rating Show Dogs — 17% — 3.2 rating Slender Man — 7% — 3.3 rating 2018 — 45 wide-release films 22 fresh, 23 rotten 80% or higher: 13 films 8.0+ rating: 3 films (BlacKkKlansman, Mission: Impossible - Fallout, and Hereditary) 2017 — 42 wide-release films 18 fresh, 24 rotten 80% or higher: 14 films 8.0+ rating: 4 films (Dunkirk, The Big Sick, War for the Planet of the Apes, Baby Driver) 2016 — 42 wide-release films 20 fresh, 22 rotten 80% or higher: 9 films 8.0+ rating: 1 film (Kubo and the Two Strings) Peace, Mike
  13. David Tennant is definitely the best doctor, but I really like Matt Smith too (I thought after losing Tennant that the next doctor just couldn't possibly live up, but Matt Smith was great). Tennant also had the best companions, with lovely Rose, who won our hearts, and fiery Donna (and her dad), making for some of the most terrific, emotional stories. Peace, Mike
  14. Summer RT Update: Opening this week, The Happytime Murders and A.X.L. are both very rotten (albeit, A.X.L. only has 10 reviews). On the other hand, opening wide next week, Searching looks like it will end up being one of the best reviewed wide-release films of the summer - currently sitting at 93% and a 7.8 average rating, in the top 5. One more weekend of summer to go, with three wide-release films: the aforementioned Searching (already added to our list), and Kin and Operation Finale. I'll add the remaining two films at the end of the long weekend, and see where the final list stands for Summer 2018. For the third summer in a row (i.e. since I started tracking), the summer seems to predictably have around a 50/50 split of Fresh vs Rotten films (2016: 48% / 52% split; 2017: 43% / 57%; 2018 so far: 49% / 51%), with usually somewhat more Rotten films than Fresh it seems. This is of course only a sample size of three summers, and also the designation of "Fresh" vs "Rotten" is a somewhat arbitrary one, particularly as some films end up being right near the cusp of Fresh or Rotten. (Also, while 2017 has the worst split in terms of a larger proportion of films being Rotten, it is the summer with the highest number of films 80% or higher and with an 8+ average rating). 2018 — 43 wide-release films (so far; two more films to add) 21 fresh, 22 rotten 80% or higher: 13 films 8.0+ rating: 3 films (BlacKkKlansman, Mission: Impossible - Fallout, and Hereditary) 2018 Summer Films RT Watch (Wide-Release — May/June/July/August) Mission: Impossible - Fallout — 97% — 8.3 rating BlacKkKlansman — 95% — 8.2 rating Crazy Rich Asians — 94% — 7.7 rating Incredibles 2 — 93% — 7.9 rating Searching — 93% — 7.8 rating Teen Titans Go! To the Movies — 91% — 7.1 rating Hereditary — 89% — 8.2 rating Ant-Man and the Wasp — 87% — 6.9 rating Tully — 86% — 7.6 rating Upgrade — 86% — 7.1 rating Deadpool 2 — 83% — 7.0 rating Alpha — 82% — 6.6 rating Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again — 80% — 6.3 rating Adrift — 73% — 6.2 rating Solo: A Star Wars Story — 71% — 6.4 rating Christopher Robin — 70% — 6.1 rating Ocean’s 8 — 67% — 6.2 rating Uncle Drew — 65% — 6.0 rating Sicario: Day of the Soldado — 64% — 6.4 rating Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation — 60% — 5.4 rating Dog Days — 60% — 5.1 rating Unfriended: Dark Web — 58% — 5.7 rating Hotel Artemis — 58% — 5.7 rating Tag — 55% — 5.4 rating The First Purge — 53% — 5.4 rating Book Club — 53% — 5.3 rating Bad Samaritan — 52% — 5.6 rating Equalizer 2 — 51% — 5.6 rating Superfly — 51% — 5.4 rating Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom — 50% — 5.6 rating The Spy Who Dumped Me — 49% — 5.3 rating Skyscraper — 48% — 5.2 rating The Meg — 47% — 5.5 rating Life of the Party — 38% — 4.9 rating A.X.L. — 30% — 4.2 rating (only 10 reviews) Breaking In — 26% — 4.3 rating Overboard — 26% — 4.2 rating The Happytime Murders — 22% — 3.9 rating Mile 22 — 20% — 4.0 rating Action Point — 19% — 3.4 rating The Darkest Minds — 18% — 4.2 rating Show Dogs — 17% — 3.2 rating Slender Man — 8% — 3.4 rating 2017 — 42 wide-release films 18 fresh, 24 rotten 80% or higher: 14 films 8.0+ rating: 4 films (Dunkirk, The Big Sick, War for the Planet of the Apes, Baby Driver) 2016 — 42 wide-release films 20 fresh, 22 rotten 80% or higher: 9 films 8.0+ rating: 1 film (Kubo and the Two Strings) Peace, Mike
  15. I was surprised at how much I liked this. There are rudimentary plot points, but the film is more compelling and the characters (the new additions Franklin, Zia and Maisie) are more interesting and likeable compared to the first Jurassic World. The most noticeable improvement is that a much more capable and inspired director is at the helm. There is an attention to detail that just isn’t present in the first Jurassic World, thanks to Bayona. There are several really captivating sequences. The dinosaur stampede sequence, when running from the Volcano is very well shot. There are moments that feel significantly claustrophobic and terrifying. The horror elements in the latter part of the film are all well crafted. The film feels like a return to the horror roots of the franchise, which I appreciate. The film is well shot, makes good use of shadows, etc. The film at times touches on interesting themes around science vs nature; the ethics of genetic engineering; etc. The nods to the original are great (e.g. the awe of witnessing the Brachiosaurus; the girl attempting to shut the dumb waiter when it’s stuck a la the kitchen cupboard in Jurassic Park; the yellow rain jacket; the goat; raptor tapping on the floor; etc). Lastly, the film, I think most successfully of any of the Jurassic Park sequels, makes it clear that dinosaurs are animals. They have existed, for real. The film paints an ethical or empathetic view of dinosaurs, and as a result much of what happens to them in action sequences and in the narrative feels more real and more like there is something at stake. And certainly by the end of the film, you get a clear sense that there are ultimately real consequences to having brought dinosaurs back. Thus, while the film has a somewhat rudimentary script, there is something to admire about this movie (as far as action-adventure blockbusters go). It may be my favourite of the JP sequels. It brings back that original philosophical question posed in the original Jurassic Park, and it left me genuinely intrigued to see what happens in the next film (though I'm disappointed to read Trevorrow is back for the third Jurassic World). Peace, Mike
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