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MikeQ

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About MikeQ

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  1. That's true, I get what you're saying. I think it will work out well in the summer months, since the market expands during this period (especially by the time July rolls around and basically all schools in Canada and the US are out). Disney seemingly has so many tentpoles (or blockbusters that are potential tentpoles) nowadays throughout the year, ever year, as the studio is so dominant. I would find it hard to put my own schedule of their films together in a way that feels totally satisfactory, given their multiple brands/franchises and animated powerhouses. (From a totally subjective point of view, both Aladdin and The Lion King feel like summer films to me, given the warm/tropical settings and feel of the movies.) And if I were to overestimate the appeal of one of their tentpoles (say Aladdin - it is arguably not as beloved as Beauty and the Beast, for example) and under-estimate the appeal of another of their tentpoles, I may create a less than ideal schedule anyway. *shrug* Peace, Mike
  2. Terrific for Crazy Rich Asians. The strong pattern of increases and decreases over its 5-day opening (especially that incredibly soft Sunday drop) seem to suggest strong WOM and a potentially very leggy run. Will be interesting to see if it can pull off that really special king of leggy run (a la The Help, as has been mentioned). Summer RT Update: The summer box office season is coming to a close soon. Summer 2018 seems to have bested Summer 2016 in terms of films with strong critical reception, with already more films 80% or higher and more films with an 8+ average rating (and currently a 50/50 split of Fresh/Rotten). By the end of August, we'll see how this summer compares to last summer overall. According to BOM, there are 5 more wide-release films this month. 2018 — 40 wide-release films (so far) 20 fresh, 20 rotten 80% or higher: 11 films 8.0+ rating: 3 films (BlacKkKlansman, Mission: Impossible - Fallout, and Hereditary) 2018 Summer Films RT Watch (Wide-Release — May/June/July/August) Mission: Impossible - Fallout — 97% — 8.3 rating BlacKkKlansman — 96% — 8.2 rating Incredibles 2 — 93% — 7.9 rating Crazy Rich Asians — 93% — 7.7 rating Teen Titans Go! To the Movies — 91% — 7.1 rating Hereditary — 89% — 8.2 rating Ant-Man and the Wasp — 88% — 6.9 rating Tully — 86% — 7.6 rating Upgrade — 85% — 7.1 rating Alpha — 85% — 6.7 rating Deadpool 2 — 83% — 7.0 rating Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again — 79% — 6.3 rating Adrift — 73% — 6.2 rating Solo: A Star Wars Story — 71% — 6.4 rating Christopher Robin — 70% — 6.1 rating Ocean’s 8 — 67% — 6.2 rating Uncle Drew — 65% — 6.0 rating Sicario: Day of the Soldado — 64% — 6.4 rating Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation — 61% — 5.4 rating Dog Days — 62% — 5.1 rating Unfriended: Dark Web — 59% — 5.6 rating Hotel Artemis — 58% — 5.8 rating Tag — 55% — 5.4 rating Book Club — 53% — 5.3 rating Bad Samaritan — 52% — 5.6 rating The First Purge — 52% — 5.4 rating Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom — 51% — 5.7 rating Equalizer 2 — 51% — 5.6 rating Superfly — 51% — 5.4 rating The Meg — 48% — 5.5 rating Skyscraper — 48% — 5.1 rating The Spy Who Dumped Me — 45% — 5.2 rating Life of the Party — 38% — 5.0 rating Overboard — 26% — 4.2 rating Breaking In — 25% — 4.2 rating Mile 22 — 20% — 3.9 rating Action Point — 20% — 3.6 rating The Darkest Minds — 18% — 4.2 rating Show Dogs — 17% — 3.2 rating Slender Man — 11% — 3.4 rating 2017 — 42 wide-release films 18 fresh, 24 rotten 80% or higher: 14 films 8.0+ rating: 4 films (Dunkirk, The Big Sick, War for the Planet of the Apes, Baby Driver) 2016 — 42 wide-release films 20 fresh, 22 rotten 80% or higher: 9 films 8.0+ rating: 1 film (Kubo and the Two Strings) Peace, Mike
  3. I'm trying to figure out why this is a problem (Aladdin opening May 24 and The Lion King July 19). By the time The Lion King opens, Aladdin will be on its 9th weekend. Even the highest opening grosser of all time, Infinity War, only made $2.6 million on its 9th weekend. Aladdin will be making relative pennies by the time The Lion King opens, and either way, the two films together make for the most perfect double feature in July. Just my two cents. Peace, Mike
  4. MikeQ

    Monday's Numbers

    Fallout had a strong Monday last week (-34.8% from its first Monday, compared to Rogue Nation's -51.2% from its first Monday). If you compare this Monday (its third Monday) to two Mondays ago, Fallout is down -69% compared to Rogue Nation's -73%. As of Monday, Fallout is at a 2.67 multiplier compared to Rogue Nation's 2.52 multiplier. Fallout is still doing better overall, which is impressive given Rogue Nation's run was a great one to begin with. Peace, Mike
  5. I would consider trying MoviePass if it came to Canada. The other options aren't convenient/easy enough (Sinemia) or don't exist here (AMC). 10 bucks for 3 movies a month is honestly perfect for me. I don't need any other perks or add-ons - I don't buy theatre food/drinks (too expensive). Peace, Mike
  6. I echo so many of the other comments in this thread that the addition of a Best Popular Film category is terrible. First, the category itself doesn't make any sense, as it suggests popular film cannot also be great 'Best Picture' worthy film, among the best of the year. It's own history says this isn't the case, as past nominees and winners have been box office blockbusters. Other awards organizations already have these kind of cheap categories - I don't need the Oscars to do it too. (And at least with Best Animated Film you can say that it is a different medium - a 'Best Popular Film' category isn't actually a meaningful designation by medium or genre, as a bare minimum.) Second, it does cheapen the Oscars, which, for all its faults, has always branded itself as the organization that strives to award the best in film. And it has been uncompromising in awarding the full slate of 24 categories, including categories for film tech/crafts that are less acknowledged (barely even recognized by some of the other awards bodies, save the industry guilds). The change to broadcast some categories during commercial breaks and then edit them to show later in the ceremony is also a terrible idea, which again goes against how the organization has always branded itself, and it designates some categories as the "lesser than" achievements. Obviously, none of the acting categories, for example, will be done during commercial breaks and edited for later. A ceremony that actually better highlighted some of the technology and crafts inherent to making film, and that the Academy recognizes in its awards, would be more entertaining and even better distinguish the Oscars as the awards ceremony that is committed to honouring film in all its facets. Years in which the ceremony incorporated more visuals - showing clips of the nominees, documentary type clips showing how aspects of film are created, actors describing their nominated peers, etc - were more interesting and watchable ceremonies. Would love to see studios, or filmmakers, make short clips for the tech categories that break down how they managed to edit the sound for a particular scene in their nominated film (whether a quiet or loud scene - show us, the viewers, the work that goes into this craft), or that visually break down how difficult it was to create the visual effects for a particular scene or character in the big action/blockbuster films that are often nominated for Best Visual Effects, etc. Still have a funny and quotable host, but keep their work to a minimum (their main focus being to keep the show running smoothly). Cut musical numbers (unless relevant to a nominated musical that year) and extended gags that don't have a big payoff. Cut down the fake banter from the presenters - it is usually stilted and unfunny. The presenters should be cut to the basics. Would love to see the ceremonies have better producers focused on a clean show that highlights the arts/crafts of film or creating a ceremony that tells some kind of overarching message about film that year, given the particular nominees. Make the broadcast available ONLINE. Consider locking up one good host (or pair of hosts) to do the show for a 3 year stint and to be the face of the Oscars for that stretch. Consider having the category winners voted on ONLY by the members of that branch of the Academy (similar to how the nominees are voted on already), or some combination where winner voting is only open to all members for certain main categories that are deemed to be categories that can be appraised by all members. I dunno, 'tis just my opinion, and maybe I'm asking too much. The only change I do like is the earlier broadcast. Peace, Mike
  7. MikeQ

    Monday Numbers: MI6 - $4.46M

    Superb second weekend drop and Monday gross for MI6. This is really nice to see, especially given the unrealistic expectations I feel some seem to have on these forums. For some, it really seems like almost every film is a disappointment except the odd few that do huge gangbuster numbers. The standard shouldn't be that high. This looks likely to be the franchise's most successful film financially (unadjusted) six films in. The film could continue to rake in the dough with sexy legs if the -42.3% second weekend drop is any indication. That has got to be one of the nicest second weekend drops for a 60M+ opener in today's box office that didn't have a holiday second weekend. Peace, Mike
  8. MikeQ

    Monday Numbers: MI6 - $4.46M

    Incredibles 2 continues to outpace/outleg Finding Dory post-second weekend: Weekend drops: ——— FD ——— I2 W2: 46.0% — 56.0% W3: 42.7% — 42.2% W4: 50.2% — 38.8% W5: 45.8% — 42.7% W6: 35.9% — 29.2% W7: 40.3% — 39.0% W8: 54.7% — 31.4% Though the film ranked 9th this past weekend (and 8th on Monday), it sits in the top 5 in terms of PTA. It is having strong legs, and looks to be over 590M total domestically after this coming weekend. Peace, Mike
  9. MikeQ

    Monday Numbers: MI6 - $4.46M

    SUMMER RT WATCH: Nearing the end of the summer box office season, and here is where we sit right now: 2018 — 33 wide-release films (so far) 16 fresh, 17 rotten 80% or higher: 9 films 8.0+ rating: 2 films (Mission: Impossible - Fallout, Hereditary) Where will the last handful of films fall for the summer? Will anything else get an 8+ rating? We’ll find out. 2018 Summer Films RT Watch (Wide-Release — May/June/July/August) Mission: Impossible - Fallout — 97% — 8.3 rating Incredibles 2 — 94% — 7.9 rating Teen Titans Go! To the Movies — 90% — 7.2 rating Hereditary — 89% — 8.2 rating Ant-Man and the Wasp — 88% — 6.9 rating Tully — 87% — 7.7 rating Upgrade — 85% — 7.1 rating Deadpool 2 — 83% — 7.0 rating Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again — 80% — 6.3 rating Adrift — 73% — 6.2 rating Solo: A Star Wars Story — 71% — 6.4 rating Christopher Robin — 70% — 6.2 rating Ocean’s 8 — 67% — 6.2 rating Uncle Drew — 65% — 6.0 rating Sicario: Day of the Soldado — 64% — 6.4 rating Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation — 61% — 5.4 rating Hotel Artemis — 59% — 5.8 rating Unfriended: Dark Web — 59% — 5.7 rating Tag — 55% — 5.4 rating Book Club — 54% — 5.3 rating The First Purge — 52% — 5.4 rating Bad Samaritan — 52% — 5.6 rating Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom — 51% — 5.7 rating Equalizer 2 — 49% — 5.6 rating Superfly — 51% — 5.4 rating Skyscraper — 48% — 5.1 rating The Spy Who Dumped Me — 40% — 5.0 rating Life of the Party — 38% — 5.0 rating Overboard — 26% — 4.2 rating Breaking In — 25% — 4.2 rating Action Point — 20% — 3.6 rating The Darkest Minds — 19% — 4.2 rating Show Dogs — 17% — 3.2 rating 2017 — 42 wide-release films 18 fresh, 24 rotten 80% or higher: 14 films 8.0+ rating: 4 films (Dunkirk, The Big Sick, War for the Planet of the Apes, Baby Driver) 2016 — 42 wide-release films 20 fresh, 22 rotten 80% or higher: 9 films 8.0+ rating: 1 film (Kubo and the Two Strings) Peace, Mike
  10. MikeQ

    Wednesday numbers: MI6 $6.33M

    Incredibles 2 has a higher PTA than Ant-Man and the Wasp, Equalizer 2, and Teen Titans, for the fourth best PTA in the top 12. It and Fallen Kingdom have been riding strong legs together through this summer. Looking forward to when Black Panther passes 700M so I don't have to read any more complaining about how Black Panther hasn't passed 700M yet. Peace, Mike
  11. When/if Sinemia becomes less convoluted/confusing to use (right now having to manually enter info, switch back and forth from apps to buy the ticket, enter a temporary credit card number, etc, is just not convenient at all) and has a better app design, etc, then I will consider signing up with them. I would love to have a good subscription service for movies. Moviepass and AMC Stubs A-list aren't available in Canada, so neither of those are options for me either, and obviously the whole surge-pricing situation with Moviepass is not ideal anyway. Peace, Mike
  12. Assuming Incredibles 2 is making an estimated $7.5M this weekend based on it's Friday number, then if it were to have the same remaining legs as Finding Dory, it would hit ~603M total domestic. I'm now at a point where I feel quite strongly that 600M+ is happening. It continues to hold better than Finding Dory. Peace, Mike
  13. Good for MI6 - looking at a ~60M weekend and over 200M total domestic gross. Could even potentially be the highest grossing Mission: Impossible film unadjusted with great legs bringing it to $216M. To still be churning out successful and profitable runs (and a great, critically acclaimed movie) six films in is impressive. Peace, Mike
  14. It is so early, but if MI6's Friday hits the upper end of Deadline's Friday projection, and it follows it's predecessor, Rogue Nation, over the weekend and total run, then it is looking at a ~66M weekend and a ~231M total domestic gross. If it hits the mid-range of Deadline's projection, it is still looking at ~61M weekend ~215M total. Either of these would be really strong, in my opinion, and essentially a best for the franchise (unadjusted), six films in. Combined with it's critical acclaim, this would be a definite win for the franchise. But again, it is still early. Comparing this film to the adjusted opening weekends and grosses of the first two films in the series is really problematic, as the first two films opened in years 1996 and 2000, eons ago when it comes to the theatrical/box office landscape and changes in media consumption. It really doesn't make sense to make those comparisons. Peace, Mike
  15. Summer RT Watch Update: MI6 looks to be the most critically acclaimed wide-release film this summer (so far at least) and one of the most critically acclaimed films of the last two summers as well (I've been doing my Summer RT Watch since 2016). Only The Big Sick has the same Tomato-meter (98%, 8.2 rating), and only Dunkirk (92%, 8.7 rating) and Kubo and the Two Strings (97%, 8.4 rating) have a better average rating. So far, the summer currently sits at 15 "Fresh" and 15 "Rotten" films. 2018 Summer Films RT Watch (Wide-Release — May/June/July/August) Mission: Impossible - Fallout — 98% — 8.3 rating Incredibles 2 — 93% — 7.9 rating Hereditary — 89% — 8.2 rating Teen Titans Go! To the Movies — 88% — 7.2 rating Tully — 87% — 7.7 rating Ant-Man and the Wasp — 87% — 6.9 rating Upgrade — 85% — 7.1 rating Deadpool 2 — 82% — 7.0 rating Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again — 80% — 6.3 rating Adrift — 72% — 6.2 rating Solo: A Star Wars Story — 71% — 6.4 rating Ocean’s 8 — 67% — 6.2 rating Uncle Drew — 65% — 6.0 rating Sicario: Day of the Soldado — 64% — 6.4 rating Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation — 61% — 5.4 rating Unfriended: Dark Web — 59% — 5.6 rating Hotel Artemis — 57% — 5.8 rating Tag — 55% — 5.5 rating Book Club — 53% — 5.3 rating The First Purge — 53% — 5.3 rating Bad Samaritan — 52% — 5.6 rating Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom — 51% — 5.7 rating Equalizer 2 — 50% — 5.6 rating Superfly — 51% — 5.4 rating Skyscraper — 49% — 5.2 rating Life of the Party — 38% — 5.0 rating Overboard — 26% — 4.2 rating Breaking In — 25% — 4.2 rating Action Point — 20% — 3.6 rating Show Dogs — 18% — 3.2 rating 2017 — 42 wide-release films 18 fresh, 24 rotten 80% or higher: 14 films 8.0+ rating: 4 films (Dunkirk, The Big Sick, War for the Planet of the Apes, Baby Driver) 2016 — 42 wide-release films 20 fresh, 22 rotten 80% or higher: 9 films 8.0+ rating: 1 film (Kubo and the Two Strings) Peace, Mike
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