Honestly, I won't be super surprised if even Moana misses a nomination. We could get a situation like last year where there's one blockbuster and four smaller films.
Zootopia and Kubo are shoe-ins. The other three slots have Moana, Dory, Turtle, Zucchini, and Your Name to fight it out. In any other year I'd say that April and Little Prince would also have a shot, but they probably lost their push a while ago.