BadAtGender

1. Will Office Christmas Party open to more than $15m? Yes 2. Will Office Christmas Party open to more than $17.5m? 3000 Yes 3. Will Office Christmas Party open to more than $20m? No 4. Will The Bounce Back open to more than $4M? No 5. Will The Bounce Back open to more than $6M? 2000 No 6. Will Miss Sloane make more than $6M for the weekend? No 7. Will Miss Sloane make more than $8.5M for the weekend? No 8. Will La La Land have a PTA above $40,000? Yes 9. Will La La Land have a PTA above $55,000? 2000 Yes 10. Will Moana stay at number one this weekend? Yes 11. Will Fantastic Beasts remain in the top 3 this weekend? Yes 12. Will Arrival cross $80M domestic by the end of the weekend? Yes 13. Will Manchester by the Sea enter the top 10? 3000 Yes 14. Will Allied stay above Dr Strange? Yes 15. Will a Christmas film increase more than 200% on Friday? Yes 16. Will any film drop more than 42.5% on Sunday? 2000 Yes 17. Will Trolls increase more than 125% on Saturday? No 18. Will Rules Don't apply have a bigger percentage drop than Bleed for this? 3000 Yes 19. Will Trolls make more than $2.5M this weekend? Yes 20. Will this this weekend make up for the void which is the release schedule for the rest of the year? It'll probably be more interesting than Christmas. Bonus: 14/20 2000 15/20 3000 16/20 5000 17/20 7000 18/20 10000 19/20 14000 20/20 20000 Part 2: Closest predictor wins 5000 points (Added bonus: If prediction is within 10% win 6000; 5% 7000; 2.5% 9000; 1% 12000) 1. Predict Almost Christmas Weekend Gross $1.78m 2. Predict Miss Sloane's percentage increase +3579% 3. What will La La Land's PTA be? $120k Part 3: Predict the films that place in the following positions: 1. Moana 3. Fantastic Beasts & Where to Find Them 6. Doctor Strange 9. Hacksaw Ridge 12. Almost Christmas 14. The Bounce Back

Why is Odin doing the trailer narration? It's like someone told Bay he was making the third Thor film and then no one corrected him. Paramount could probably switch the footage of this and Monster Trucks and at least half of the audience wouldn't know the difference.

BH6 made more money. And more than that, it wasn't ever viewed as a box office disappointment. HTTYD2 had a few things that probably held it back. First, it wasn't quite as good as the first film, so even though it was great, it was seen as a step down. Second, it got overshadowed in terms of business by 22 Jump Street, so not only did it underperform, it looked like it lost. Third it wasn't a Disney film. In comparison, BH6 beat a Christopher Nolan film, didn't have any other film to specifically be compared against, and was actually from Disney. It also didn't have to contend with a Pixar film in the same year, historically a problem point for WDAS. However, had LEGO gotten a nom, it almost certainly would have won. (It shouldn't have, IMO, but it would have.) The thing about the Animated Feature Oscar is that while it sometimes might happen that the best film gets the award, the inherent quality isn't going to be the reason for said win.

I'm closer to @WrathOfHan than I am to you.

One interesting thing about both TS2 and Tangled is that they just about hit their halfway mark to their final total on wide release day 16, which would be this Thursday for Moana. (Frozen didn't do it until about wide release day 27.) Actually for other Thanksgiving animated releases, Rise of the Guardians also just about did half its business in 16 days. OTOH, both The Good Dinosaur and Penguins of Madagascar hit their halfways marks in about 9 or 10 days.

It wasn't an estimate.

Wasn't Frozen effectively a week later, though? Thanksgiving was really late in 2013.

I have yet to hear anything positive about the book.

Damn, JakeGittes had a great week.

So long as they ensure that John Powell returns to do the score, it's fine.

Not specifically Frozen related, but Kristen Anderson-Lopez's musical In Transit is in previews on Broadway right now. I believe it opens next week.

Gonna check out Trolls.

Every time I see the trailer, the future prison sequences kill all interest I have. Cut those out and the film might be mildly compelling... On video... In 2020... When I have nothing better to do.

We're waiting for the casting news. I fully expect Aubrey Plaza to get the lead.

In the future Monster Trucks won't be seen as an aberration, but rather patient zero for when Hollywood got fucking high when it came to movie concepts.

1. Will Incarnate open to less than $7.5m? Yes 3. Will Incarnate open in the top 5? No 13. Will Almost Christmas cross $40M? No 15. Will at least 2 films increase more than 200% on Friday? Yes 16. Will any film drop less than 35% on Sunday? Yes 20. Will Incarnate take advantage of its prime spot of having no big competing new releases and storm its way to a 3 figure OW? The Opening Weekend is likely to be at least one hundred dollars, so, yes. It might actually get to four or even five figures if we don't watch out.

All questions are related to the top 12, are for the 3 day weekend and are worth 1000 points unless otherwise stated. 1. Will Incarnate open to less than $7.5m? Yes 2. Will Incarnate open to Less than $5m? 3000 Yes 3. Will Incarnate open in the top 5? No 4. Will Moana drop more than 52.5%? Yes 5. Will Moana drop more than 55%? 2000 No 6. Will Fantastic Beasts drop more than 52.5%? Yes 7. Will Fantastic Beasts drop more than 55%? Yes 8. Will Jackie have a PTA above $30,000? Yes 9. Will Jackie have a PTA above $45,000? 2000 Yes 10. Will anything drop less than 38% without increasing in theatres? No 11. Will Allied stay above Trolls? Yes 12. Will Rules Don't Apply drop more than 70%? Yes 13. Will Almost Christmas cross $40M? 3000 No 14. Will Arrival remain in the top 5? Yes 15. Will at least 2 films increase more than 200% on Friday? Yes 16. Will any film drop less than 35% on Sunday? 2000 Yes 17. Will Edge of Seventeen have a PTA above $1000? No 18. Will Boo stay above Miss Peregine? 3000 No 19. Will Bad Santa stay above ALmost Christmas? Yes 20. Will Incarnate take advantage of its prime spot of having no big competing new releases and storm its way to a 3 figure OW? The Opening Weekend is likely to be at least one hundred dollars, so, yes. It might actually get to four or even five figures if we don't watch out. Bonus: 14/20 2000 15/20 3000 16/20 5000 17/20 7000 18/20 10000 19/20 14000 20/20 20000 Part 2: Closest predictor wins 5000 points (Added bonus: If prediction is within 10% win 6000; 5% 7000; 2.5% 9000; 1% 12000) 1. Predict Dr Stange's Weekend Gross $5.85m 2. Predict Incarnate's Saturday total $1.35m 3. What will Jackie's PTA be? $123,456 Part 3: Predict the films that place in the following positions: 4. Arrival 6. Doctor Strange 9. Almost Christmas 12. The Edge of Seventeen 15. Loving 18. Rules Don't Apply

Eh. It's certainly a well made film, but the more I think about it, the more I don't think I like it at all. In a lot of ways, it feels like the culmination of Charlie Kaufman's career, as it's the most Charlie Kaufman film I've seen. That works in some ways, but ultimately I felt like Kaufman's shortcoming is that his movies aren't really about anything. They're quirky and "interesting" but feel hollow in the end, leaving an unsatisfying sensation upon finishing the film. There are some really nice scenes. The nightmare sequence in particular is quite well done, especially the moment when Michael loses his face, but that's surrounded by so much banal dross that I can't really see it as elevating. If you'd asked me a decade ago if I wanted to see the multiple Malkovich scene from Being John Malkovich expanded out to an entire film, I'd probably have been excited about it. Now I'm just tired. This is probably the weakest of the five films that got an Oscar nomination last year. I want to say that something else should have been nominated in its place, but really the field wasn't super strong, so even if I enjoyed Home a lot more, I couldn't really argue for its placement instead. 2/5

I'm probably misremembering, then. You're right that GKIDs does know their shit when it comes to nominations, so it's probably not a good idea to count Zucchini out. Heck, it could be this year's Boy and the World.

I find it really interesting that Imja says this has been "delayed and delayed since 2014." I mean, they didn't even announce it until 2015, right? How could they delay something that didn't officially exist before then?

Hmm... Could be. I seem to remember something about... Waltz With Bashir, I think, being submitted for Foreign Language and not being eligible for the Best Animated Feature because of it.

I'm not sure Zucchini can get a nom for animated feature. It's being pushed as the Swiss entry for Best Foreign Language Film, and I think (though please, someone confirm) that it's a one or the other proposition.

TWR is one of Miyazaki's weakest films. It's beautiful and very well made, but he's done considerably better multiple times. And he'd already won with Spirited Away, so it's not like they could have done a "career award". The only real argument for it is it was his retirement piece. (Although he's making noise about doing a new feature, so, perhaps not.)

It's stop motion. That pretty much guarantees an Oscar nom. But it's also really good. Laika has some offbeat storytelling choices that sets their films apart from the mainstream. It's refreshing to see that.

So after a disappointing Thursday drop and Friday bump, it looks like Moana had better than expected Saturday and Sunday holds. WOM kicking in, or just variance?