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lab276

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Everything posted by lab276

  1. lab276
    Some Batman OW comps TDK 11.8m (14.1m 5-day) TDKR 15.1m BvS 13.2m If it can't make it to at least 13m for the four-day I'd be pretty disappointed. Apologies! I originally put the opening WEEK for TDK not weekend.
  2. lab276
    Billionwatch '22 The two weekends just gone by compared with last year vs So that's +59.9% and +105.1%, and this week which was +161.6%. So those are some really nice jumps. The weekend cumulative top 10 is ~+33% on last year and if 2022 can maintain that lead for the rest of the year we'll end up with about $800m total box office. Compared with 2014 (the lowest grossing billion dollar year), we're about 30% down. If that is maintained 2022 will end up around $750m. At the moment I would still say reaching a billion is unlikely, but it's not as out of reach as I first thought. That said, the fourth quarter of this year looks pretty weak compared to 2021, I don't think the one-two-three-four-five punch of Eternals, Bond, Venom, Dune and Spider-Man is going to be repeated. Apart from Avatar, what is even coming out then?
  3. lab276
    God this movie is three hours long?!
  4. lab276
    Weekend 6.5m vs last year 6.4m. No new big releases will do that, the top 10is entirely made up of holdovers. Spider-Man drops 23% and is now on 76.66m. Avengers Endgame 7th weekend 0.499m, total 82.7m.
  5. lab276
    *Still* waiting on 2021 box office, the MPDAA/Numero are slacking. Usually I would've expected the press release at the beginning of the week, now we're looking at Jan 31 into February, which is as late as I can remember it being. https://www.mpdaa.org.au/latest-news And this thing is now one month and twelve days old.
  6. lab276
    NSW and Vic school returns this Friday but Qld returns Feb 7. Might see slightly better than normal weekdays next week as a result. Not much competition to speak of either.
  7. lab276
    AEG sixth weekend 791k vs NWH 2.15m. Total 82m vs 73.8m.
  8. lab276
    Quite a hold from Spider-Man down 21%. Impressed that Spencer managed to get in the top 10. Overall numbers 8.36m, up 19% from last year.
  9. lab276
    A B Scream C
  10. lab276
    A The Last Duel No Time To Die Dune King Richard Locked Down A Quiet Place Part 2 B The French Dispatch The House of Gucci Spider-Man: No Way Home Nobody Hi, Mom The Matrix Resurrections Old Encanto Eternals Malignant Wrath of Man The Conjuring: The Devil Made Me Do It Venom: Let There Be Carnage Last Night in Soho Val Raya and the Last Dragon Those Who Wish Me Dead Titane A Boy Called Christmas The King's Man The Harder They Fall Shang Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings Fast and Furious 9 Flashback C Mortal Kombat
  11. lab276
    Fairly weak, but with 10.1m still ahead of the equivalent week last year (7.21m). Spider-Man still tops, ahead of Scream by almost a million. The 355 doesn't even manage a top 10 placing.
  12. lab276
    BillionWatch '22 The lowest grossing year that still made it to a billion is 2014, with $1074.8m, so for 2022 to finish with a billion it can't do much worse week on week vs 2014. The first weekend of 2014 had a top 10 gross of $23.4m whereas this year we've started with $13.4m. So we're not off to a great start. I wouldn't say never, but the release schedule is fairly barren let's be honest. We're gonna need pretty much all movies to really pull through to get there.
  13. lab276
    Spider-Man still dominating, weak opening for The King's Man well behind the previous two movies. And James Bond *still* hanging out at 10th place! Top 10 13.4m. Up from 12.2m against the first week of 2021. But! weeks this year don't align with last year. This current weekend is the 6-9 of January, so more correctly, it's up from 8.2m on 7-10 of January 2021.
  14. lab276
    $1b would be fantastic, but I reckon we still have to wait until next year for that. Last weekend of 2021, top 10 16.45m
  15. lab276
    Happy New Year! Let's hope it's a good one. Some time in the last week of January, the MPDAA will release the yearly box office and top 10, the rest of the information (full top 50, ticket prices admissions etc) follows several weeks later on the Screen Australia website. I'm predicting $650m total, a 62% increase on last year, but still around 50% off pre-pandemic box office.
  16. lab276
    Yeah Spider-Man has significantly exceeded my expectations, 70m is in reach, James Bond is at 34m, give him another 1-2m. We have had very high Covid case numbers (for Australia) in the past week, which may have impacted numbers it's hard to tell. But I'm hoping now that the shock of seeing such high numbers has come, and gone, that we'll get used to them and not let it scare us from doing whatever we like. Lockdowns are (should be anyway) completely unthinkable now.
  17. lab276
    Seems pretty good for Spider-Man, up to 52.2m now, Matrix disappointing, but could still eke out 10m. Sing 2 not that far behind The Croods 2, so that could make it to 15-20m Biggest surprise is James Bond only down by a bit over 1%. I thought they would've chucked it to make way for the new releases, but it's still holding on! 29m for the weekly top 10 vs 18.6m last year, so a sizeable jump.
  18. lab276
    So, are we going to get any numbers? Or are we to be left in the dark until like mid-January? Always an incredibly frustrating time for box office reporting considering this is usually one of the busiest weeks of the year
  19. lab276
    Huge opening, way exceeded my expectations. Surprisingly strong hold for James Bond too, not even a 60% drop. Drops next week however will be shocking across the board, cinemas are closed on Christmas Day, and business on the 23rd and 24th should be pretty depressed too. Odds are Spider-Man, and possibly all holdovers, will make more on Sunday (Boxing Day) then on Thursday, Friday and Saturday combined. On the other hand, given next weeks drops, there's a chance we could see jumps the weekend after. For example Rogue One with a sort of similar yearly configuration:
  20. lab276
    How on earth can politicians, who broke their own Covid rules, turn around now and say that more restrictions are necessary? They've set the example.
  21. lab276
    It was… better than I was expecting. Good audience reactions too.
  22. lab276
    Right, I’m seeing Spider-Man in an hour owing to heatwave conditions over the weekend.
  23. lab276
    Don't think that's gonna stop anyone. We're vaxxed to max and ready to do what we want.
  24. lab276
    Traditionally the market expands in the summer time and holiday period and you get several movies doing well at the same time.
  25. lab276
    Hopefully if Rth doesn't show up, we'll get an update on the widget. It's a bit hit or miss though, it wasn't updated last week until the weekend was over. You'd think this would be a pretty simple task, like this is something that could be automated. But apparently it's just one guy who maintains it and when he's off then we just don't get an update.
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