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Rsyu

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  1. The Battleship Island release date is set for July 26. It will fall on Dunkirk's 2nd week.
  2. Closer to $20M most likely. Weekend gross was exactly as expected and its already dropped to 4th place in presales.
  3. The easiest way to find a theater near you, search for 옥자 on Naver portal I'm not sure how well you are with Korean content, but click on this and you can access specific showtimes for Okja. At the moment I see 9 theaters available in the Seoul region. I'm sure the names of most of those theaters are new to you, but if you copy and paste their names (say like "이봄씨어터") in the naver search engine, they give you a location on a map to show where it is. If you don't see a theater close by, there's more theater information available on kobis (http://kobis.or.kr/kobis/business/main/main.do). Type Okja in the search box, and click on the first Okja link that shows up. On the third tab where it says 상영현황정보 you can find a list of all the theaters that are scheduled to screen it.
  4. Anyone else having trouble accessing the site?
  5. [Sunday Box Office] Transformers: The Last Knight (6/25) Admissions: 483,176 (-10.6%) Total admissions (with previews): 1,749,149 Gross (USD): $3.61M Total Gross (USD): $12.8 Seat Saturation: 32.2% TF4 Sunday: 707,417 (-10.8%)
  6. Transformers Series Multiplier (Admissions based off 3-day OW) Transformers: X4.69 Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen: X3.51 Transformers: The Dark side of the Moon: X3.28 Transformers: Age of Extinction: X2.86 TF5 is heading towards a 3 day OW of around 1.2M admissions. AoE-esque multiplier would see it over 3M admissions, but that's far from a given. Age of extinction in its second week Saturday had a seat saturation of 46%. Compare that with seat saturation for TF5 on its OW....coupled with bad WoM and new releases, I'm guessing holds wont be pretty next week.
  7. [Saturday Box Office] Transformers: The Last Knight (6/24) Admissions: 534,019 (+121.7%) Total admissions (with previews): 1,259,370 Gross (USD): $4.03M Seat Saturation: 34.6% TF4 Saturday: 793,451 (+125.3%)
  8. It is on the lower end when compared to other Marvel films which is one way to look at it I guess. But from a different perspective, it still doubled the admission number of the first and 2.7M on an absolute scale, is a pretty decent run for a film here.
  9. Most attended films (2017) 01. 7,817,459 Confidential Assignment 02. 5,316,015 The King 03. 5,138,195 Beauty and the Beast 04. 3,653,238 Fast and Furious 8 05. 3,616,144 Your Name 06. 3,295,583 The Mummy 07. 3,016,177 Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead men tell no tales 08. 2,931,897 The Prison 09. 2,735,362 Guardians of the Galaxy VOL. 2 10. 2,585,273 The Sheriff in town 2017 Biggest opening weekend (3 day) 01. 1,402,007 Beauty and the Beast 02. 1,311,882 The King 03. 1,155,339 POTC5 04. 1,128,403 The Mummy 05. 1,057,222 Fast and Furious 8 06. 967,178 The Prison 07. 896,578 Fabricated City 08. 883,831 Guardians of the Galaxy VOL. 2 09. 845,969 Confidential Assignment 10. 837,735 Your Name
  10. Not too sure about that mate, Friday increase seems to be very average to me more than anything.
  11. Transformers: The Last Knight Box Office (6/23) Admissions: 235,528 (+19.7%) Total admissions (with previews): 720,058 Gross (USD): $1.79M TF4 Friday: 352,124 (+11.6%)
  12. Using the trajectory of Age of Extinction, OW should land somewhere around 1.6-1.8M admissions. Age of extinction managed a 2X multiplier off its OW so the same multiplier should give it a ballpark of 3.2-3.6M admissions. Having said that, I think that is the optimistic outlook at this point...seat saturation is the lowest it has been in the series and as Olive has mentioned, competition in its second week looks a lot tougher than it was for Age of extinction, which had only The Divine Move to compete with really. Given that, I'm thinking it will end somewhere around the 3 million admission mark, maybe a little higher or lower depending on how it holds. In gross that would be around $20 million.
  13. Transformers: The Last Knight Box Office (6/22) Admissions: 195,324 (-31.7%) Total admissions (with previews): 483,125 Gross (USD): $1.34M TF4 Thursday: 315,479 (-32.5%) Drop is mostly on par with TF4. Daily seat saturation down to 13.1%.
  14. Seat saturation yesterday for TFK was 18.9% which is pretty horrendous. Even age of extinction had a saturation of 36.9% on its OD. If things don't improve can see its screens and showtimes being slashed dramatically.
  15. Transformers: The Last Knight Box Office (Opening day) OD admissions: 280,495 Total admissions (with previews): 282,334 Gross (USD): $1.92M Previous Transformers series Opening Day (admissions) TF1: 306,678 TF2: 478,269 TF3: 544,995 TF4: 467,419 Current Rating (12:05AM) Netizen: 8.04/10.0 (3064 votes) Audience: 8.10/10.0 (152 votes) Lowest OD of the series in admissions, but it's higher than TF1 in terms of gross.
  16. Good question. Well, Naver offers a service where you can buy movie tickets through them. The audience rating can only be performed by people who bought their ticket through naver and presumably watched the film. In contrast, anyone can vote on netizen, so the ratings tend to be more skewed due to haters and fanboy votes. Typically, you'd get a lot less 0s and 10s in audience ratings. It's not exact but I tend to think of audience score as the more accurate rating of the film (as long as there are enough samples) while with the netizen score you can gauge the public mood towards the film more effectively (are there more fanboys or haters? etc) due to the larger test sample.
  17. 2017 summer blockbuster Preview #2: Dunkirk (July 20th release) Analysis With a string of consecutive films that have received high acclaim and commercial success in Korea, Christopher Nolan is now an established name and and the release of a Nolan directed film is sure to grab the attention of moviegoers here. He has garnered a reputation for creating authentic, visually stimulating films with an original plot and although Dunkirk is a little different in that it is based on a true story, it should still benefit from the attention and the credibility he brings. Potential pitfalls for Dunkirk. Well, the first is the genre. There is definitely audience for war themed films in Korea but, up till now, it has primarily been for local films focused on the Japanese colonial era and the North-South civil war that have done well. Films based on WW2 from the Western PoV, haven't particularly done all that well when it comes to box office, although films like Pearl Harbor and Saving private Ryan are generally well regarded. Another area where Dunkirk may struggle is competition. There is a reason why foreign blockbusters tend to avoid releasing during peak summer and it's because the big budget local films tend to be released during this time. It's no different this year and The Battleship Island, which has only been scheduled to be released sometime during July, may turn out to be direct competition not only in time frames but also in key demography. Every Nolan directed film has shown an increase in admissions starting from TDK in 2008, but I think it's unrealistic to expect Dunkirk will achieve anything close to the 10M admissions Interstellar managed. I think 3 million should be the realistic goal and anything above 4 million would make it a solid hit.
  18. Better than Age of Extinction I guess so an improvement but still, a disappointment overall. My biggest problem with the Transformers series is that I think it has come to a point where the ultimate ending is never in doubt and the plot is just an excuse to get there. A line that was pushed from the beginning of the film to the end was "No sacrifice, no victory". Okay so they got the victory but was it ever in doubt? Moreover, there was no sacrifice in getting there (well, aside from the dozen or so cities that were scraped off like an old scab from a skin... totally unrelatable though). There are some good moments here and there, and I found myself enjoying some of the characters (Cogman and Hopkins was great), but I caught myself thinking at times; "okay so now I get the general gist and direction of the film, quit dragging and get on with it". Unsurprisingly, the film failed to surprise me and the familiar tropes of the protagonist battling against all odds to save humanity felt like old ground that had been covered before and covered again. I used to be okay with that but I guess my taste in movies has changed over the years. Visually it is stunning though, which for me was one of its few saving graces. Rating: C+
  19. Early Naver ratings for TF5 (12:45PM) Netizen: 8.33/10.0 (642 votes) Audience 8.57/10.0 (7 votes) Transformers series ratings (netizen ratings only) TF1: 8.84/10.0 (22,206 votes) TF2: 8.11/10.0 (15,129 votes) TF3: 7.08/10.0 (13,697 votes) TF4: 6.61/10.0 (17,258 votes)
  20. 2017 summer blockbuster Preview #1: The Battleship Island (군함도) Trailer Synopsis During the Japanese colonial era, roughly 400 Korean people, who were forced onto Battleship Island to mine for coal, attempt to escape. Analysis The Battleship Island (군함도) is most likely to be THE blockbuster local film for this summer and quite possibly the year, in the vein of Train to Busan the year before and Veteran/The Assassination the year before that. It has all the right ingredients for a 10M admission film too. It looks to be a 4-quad film with a historic & patriotic theme and an emotionally charged undercurrent, elements that Korean people have shown to be very receptive towards. The cast are all A-list actors/actresses too, especially Hwang-jung min who already has two 10M admission films as well as a raft of other critically acclaimed films to his name. This is also the second time he joins up with the film director Ryu Seung-wan, after they previously worked together on Veteran 2 years ago, to huge commercial and critical success. If the movie is half decent, it could maybe even challenge Roaring Currents (17.61M), which wasn't all that great in my personal opinion. Several things would have to go very wrong for this film to bomb.
  21. For those unfamiliar with how the box office in South Korea works, and what exactly constitutes a successful film, usually the dividing parameter is how many admissions it manages rather than the gross which is the typical measuring stick in most other countries. Admissions is the metric that is reported most in the media and by people in the movie business when analyzing the run of a specific film. In terms of revenue, the South Korean box office industry is the 6th largest overseas market after China, Japan, India, UK and France respectively. The box office has shown steady, healthy growth in both admissions and gross ever since systematic box office tracking was implemented with KOBIS in 2004, although it has stagnated in admissions in recent years. Due to ticket price inflation, box office is still showing growth in regard to gross. The total population of South Korea is 50 million, which means the average Korean goes to the cinema at least 4 times a year. So naturally, it is seen as one of the most popular cultural past times here. Megahit films in Korea refer to films that pass the 10 million admissions mark. To date, only 18 films have managed this number the majority of which are Local Korean films. Only 4 Foreign films; Avatar, The Avengers: AoU, Frozen and Interstellar make the list. The box office annually hits its peak during summer and winter seasons which is why, 16 out of these 18 films have come during these periods. Only "Veteran" and "Interstellar" have hit 10 million admissions outside of this holiday season frame. Typically, a lot of controversy surrounds these high admission films, the most common of which is concerned with how the film chains give these films the majority of the screens and showtimes, while not giving enough to other films that are released during the similar time frame. Notably, the most attended film in Korea, "Roaring Currents", took close to half the showings during it's OW with the divide a lot bigger during the weekends and prime watching time. Films chains argue that this represents supply and demand, but popular opinion is that they push these boundaries over the limit. Despite this, word-of-mouth still plays a huge role in South Korea box office with many relatively minor films going on unexpected and leggy runs contrary to pre-release expectations. Smartphone penetration is among the highest in the world, and with a lot of media coverage surrounding films and SNS usage being typically high, WoM can travel extremely fast, giving films with low-exposure a fighting chance. South Korea is also extremely sensitive towards trends (most of which are very short lived) so if a film gets an event feel much like Avatar, Frozen and Interstellar did, it can cause it to break out. In terms of genre, local-fare has a popular base audience in themes to do with history, war and crime etc. Among foreign releases, Superhero films have a large presence with Marvel the most popular among them. Spectacle films with a lot of top notch graphics are also a popular choice for movie-goers. Also worth mentioning are musical films which have a huge popularity in Korea, with films such as Les miserables, Frozen, La La Land, etc managing extremely leggy runs and high critical acclaim. Animated films which traditionally had little to no presence, have started showing an upward trend in recent years. Overall, I think the SK box office has probably hit its limit in growth with regards to admissions. With the exception of freak years here and there, I don't really see it increasing or decreasing much for the foreseeable future, unless maybe unification happens with the North (watch this space). Gross wise though, it still probably has room to grow just with increases in ticket price. Fairer allocation of screens is definitely an area which could be improved upon allowing lower budgeted films a fighting chance. In terms of local to foreign films ratio, I think the box office is very healthy, with an almost 50 to 50 ratio in any given year.
  22. Presale comparison TF4 presales (D-1): 173,711 (83.5%) TF5 presales (D-1): 79,671 (55.2%) ------------------------------------------------- Previous Transformer series in numbers Transformers (07.06.28) OD: 310,929 Admissions: 7,440,531 OW gross: $11,225,537 Gross: $51,511,860 Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen (09.06.24) OD: 478,269 Admissions: 7,505,700 OW gross: $11,229,911 Gross: $43,392,124 Transformers: Dark of the moon (11.06.29) OD: 544,995 Admissions: 7,784,807 OW gross: $21,810,742 Gross: $69,067,774 Transformers: Age of Extinction (14.06.25) OD: 467,419 Admissions: 5,295,836 OW Gross: $15,880,286 Gross: $43,338,590 Transformers franchise aggregate Number of films: 4 Admissions: 28,023,874 Average admission per film: 7,005,968 Gross: $207.3M Average gross per film: $51.8M TF films to date have been very convenient to compare because they have a fixed demography and have been released in identical time frames. TF aside, the rest have shown a similar run pattern, in that they start out big and drop quickly after 2 weeks. The OW peaked at TF3 and dropped for TF4. I'm guessing TF5 will continue the downward trend and could see an OW maybe in the region of TF. I expect it will clear 3M admissions and an balanced chance to clear 4M. 5M looks tough though with several big hitters lined up in its second week.
  23. Top 10 Animated films (Admissions:2001~) 01. 10,296,101 Frozen (2014) 02. 5,062,722 Kung-fu Panda 2 (2011) 03. 4,969,735 Inside Out (2015) 04. 4,703,245 Zootopia (2016) 05. 4,673,009 Kung-fu Panda (2008) 06. 3,984,812 Kung-fu Panda 3 (2016) 07. 3,300,533 Shrek 2 (2004) 08. 3,015,165 Howl's moving Castle (2004) 09. 3,000,100 How to train your dragon (2014) 10. 2,844,159 Shrek 3 (2007) Walt Disney Animated Studios productions (Admissions: 2002~) 1. 10,296,101 Frozen (2014) 2. 4,703,245 Zootopia (2016) 3. 2,801,949 Big Hero 6 (2015) 4. 1,011,163 Tangled (2010) 5. 918,299 Wreck-it-Ralph (2012) 6. 757,337 Bolt (2008) 7. 584,706 Chicken Little (2005) 8. 352,691 Brother Bear (2003) 9. 235,724 Treasure Planet (2002) 10. 110,963 Meet the Robinsons (2007) Moana will already be in the top10 most attended WDAS in admissions with Friday numbers
  24. Moana early naver ratings Audience: 9.44/10.0 (175 votes) Netizen: 8.84/10.0 (850 votes) Critics: 7.0/10.0 (2 votes) Moana has had a very muted OD in comparison to Frozen but still expect it to outperform most other WDAS productions. For comparison BH6 OD was 72,487 admissions. Moana vs BH6 http://imgur.com/a/TbLDs http://imgur.com/43RvfD5
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