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Archerdude

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Everything posted by Archerdude

  1. I think Spidey's dreams to hit US$100M or even to 600 RMB is in serious trouble. I think it will come close, today will be crucial, we know its weekdays are weak and by next weekend, XM:DOFP will essentially supplant it at the multiplex.
  2. I'm guessing 220M or so, it depends on how long of a period it will be without 3D or foreign pic for it to dominate. I can't/don't see local films that can hold this off (sorry tiny times 3) so depends on how soon Dragon 2 or Dawn of the Planet of the Apes come up.
  3. Spidey will do fine this weekend, only 3D show and only imported film of note (yes, specifically referring to you, Jason Statham) on screens...plus, family auds will be back, no other animated to distract it. Next week will be a different story with X out in full force (go X-men!). Just don't see Coming Home, despite the huge show count share, to be 500 mil huge, it will do 300 thereabouts methinks.
  4. Wonder if the World Cup being in Brazil will have any effect to the box office this time around as it did the last two...matches should be taking place in the wee hours of the morning instead of prime time.
  5. the worst of the rainstorm was last Sunday, this is just proving to be closer to an animated/family pic trajectory than a live action blockbuster like a Cap (or X Men would be), spider is young playing I guess...
  6. What has WB done to pi$$ off powers-that-be? First they slot Edge of Tomorrow and Godzilla within a week of each other then they move up T4?
  7. Whether Spidey breaches 600 will depend on how the public embraces (or don't) the new Zhang Yimou movie "Coming Home." Feels underwhelming so far in terms of buzz, certainly not being hotly anticipated as say, "Aftershock", back in the day.
  8. Thought so, competition is too weak for it not to top 500 since Godzilla moved off next weekend (or got moved off , more aptly). Sony has got to be hurting though...how are they going to launch Venom and Sinister Six on the backs of this? It could not even hold off Seth Rogen and Zac Efron in N. America on its second weekend...they apparently boasted that this will be the second highest grossing imported film in China after Transformers 4, now I don't know if it can hold off X-Men:DOFP or Godzilla.
  9. I don't recall but doesn't seem to be the kind of movie the authorities would warm too. I cited DVC because back in the day, the movie was on screens for maybe two weeks and was forcibly pulled down from the screens in the name of the Vatican being upset by it...for religious reasons clearly. The ridiculous thing is the Vatican doesn't even have formal ties with China. http://www.nytimes.com/2006/06/10/world/asia/10china.html?_r=0
  10. Does that mean US$90M - 100M can be ruled out? Just a hunch, Sony will still spin that it is better than TASM1, or that it is the highest grossing film in the series, therefore failing to account the fact that the market has grown immeasurably since Raimi's Spideys, specially with 3D and IMAX in play, and will ignore to mention that TASM1 was shafted by the Batman duke out and really should have done 500-600 easily were it not screwed by dating (3 months after US, last day of Summer) and competition head to head.
  11. Virtually same number as its first Monday...no bump whatsoever from Tuesday's generally (now just slightly) lower ticket prices?
  12. I'm a little more optimistic than Firedeep but probably not quite as positive as Columbia China. With nothing on the 3D, IMAX or foreign film front for another 17 days, I think Spidey will be 500+ close to 600 when it's said and done, this weekend will be key. Otherwise, fire deep is right in saying day 1 was no normal "work day" and that the drop on Monday while drastic, is not tragic.
  13. Cap's sizzling on its last few days, seems criminal to pull down forcibly but that's China! Looking to do 10-11 Mil RMB today and bursting through the gates of 700 Mil RMB tomorrow!
  14. Apparently Universal spent North of US$3 Mil on Despicable Me 2.
  15. Hold on a sec here...2 weekends with 2 WB releases back to back?
  16. Rio2 will surge again Sat-Sun...Cap seems steady, at this rate before it leaves screens on May 4th, it may have a shot at the M:I4 figure of 679?
  17. Iceman just looks horrendous in its marketing materials, the tech trouble isn't helping, may mean 3D shows for Rio, Cap and Transcendence get an unexpected boost this weekend.
  18. One thing that doesn't change, this game is rigged for the home team, though there are years like 2012 when the hometeam couldn't overcome the lead..
  19. Agreed it will OWN the holidays. But why not just give Godzilla the 23rd date, a week later than planned and move X to after Dragonboat...unless truly the intention is to aid X (FBB factor?).
  20. Wow big news...guess they're not coddling ZYM's new movie as much by allowing a big X Men movie to open a week after. Marvel properties (not necessarily Marvel Studio, I know) are on a roll from Cap to Spidey to X if that's the case.
  21. Apparently, but not by much, definitely less than a million US$. Said pic dominated screen counts and had higher ticket prices as it was converted to 3D for China...something interesting as Chris Nolan who exec produced is known to be quite aversive to 3D.
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