Quigley

Weekend 06-09/10/2016 Ranking Title Weekend admissions % Change from last weekend Total admissions Week 1 The Girl on the Train 32,260 N/A 32,260 1 2 Storks 21,203 N/A 21,203 1 3 Miss Peregrine's Home for Peculiar Children 10,878 -33.3% 37,988 2 4 Don't Breathe 10,620 N/A 10,620 1 5 Elle [French–German–Belgian] 10,019 N/A 10,019 1 6 Finding Dory 7,146 -30.6% 264,121 6 7 Lights Out 7,050 -42.5% 31,121 2 8 Sully 5,537 -27.3% 141,702 5 9 The Secret Life of Pets 4,732 -28.9% 183,326 8 10 Kubo and the Two Strings 4,235 -43.8% 25,765 3 Source: http://www.grandmagazine.gr/ngine/article/3276/box-office-to-koritsi-tou-trenou-taxidepse-proti-8esi-sta-tameia With 4 new openers above 10K admissions, it is the first time that this happened since last October. It turns out that despite two consecutive weekend-debacles, distributors succeeded the third time round, since not only did the torrent of new films attract moviegoers, but holdovers also remained solid. 'The Girl on the Train' didn't quite match the admissions to which 'Gone Girl' opened on the first weekend of October two years ago (55.4K admissions), but it still opened in first place and can exceed 100K admissions if word-of-mouth is good enough. Once again, animation helped save the day, with 'Storks' settling for second place. Not many comparisons here since it is a Warner Animation Group film (of which the only other film in the past 10 years is 'The Lego Movie'). Most impressive of all was 'Elle' which scored the best per-screen average of the Top 10. In the meantime, other family films held well, with 'Miss Peregrine', 'Dory' and 'Pets' dropping less than 35%. Further down, 'Kubo', 'Sausage Party' and 'Ice Age 5' also had decent drops while 'Barbie' plummeted by more than 55%. 'Dory' is still trying to out-run 'Minions' (but even if it does it will remain a disappointment for Pixar). It is ahead of the latter in weekend admissions but behind in total admissions. 'Inside Out' sold twice as many admissions on its 6th weekend. In any case, 300K remains unlikely. 'Pets' is also trying hard to break its own milestone; in copmarison to 'The Good Dinosaur (195,289 admissions), 'Pets' sold the same as the latter did on its 7th weekend, but 'Pets' is ahead by 2.7K in total admissions. So if it has the same holds as 'TGD' from now on, it could reach 198K admissions. Fun times. 'Sully' will soon be ahead of many recent comps ('The Social Network', 'Bridge of Spies', 'Theory of Everything', 'Captain Phillips') with the exception of 'The Imitation Game', which 'Sully' has been trailing for quite a while now. A total above 160K admissions looks likely. 'Lights Out' is dimming away with no one there to care. A lot of films below the Top 10 dropped precipitously with no significant milestones in sight for any of them. Next week, 'Inferno' will infiltrate theaters. I remember the book was on all front shelves and shop windows a few years ago in Greece and I believe interest is quite high, so anything below a 100K-admission opening is unthinkable at the moment. After all, not only were the last two Dan Brown novel adaptations very successful, but Tom Hanks has had an excellent track record ever since (a question remains as to whether his recent success, 'Sully', will have a positive or negative effect on 'Inferno', since some viewers may feel that one Tom Hanks film per year is enough).

Films opening this weekend: Storks The Girl on the Train Don't Breathe Indignation The Neon Demon [French–Danish–American] Η τελευταία παραλία [GR] Un homme idéaln [French] Elle [French–German–Belgian] Un Condor [English- and Spanish-language Greek] Baza ludzi umarlych [Polish]

Weekend 29/09–02/10/2016 Ranking Title Weekend admissions % Change from last weekend Total admissions Week 1 Miss Peregrine's Home for Peculiar Children 16,303 N/A 16,303 1 2 Lights Out 12,265 N/A 12,265 1 3 Finding Dory 10,295 -29.4% 255,081 5 4 Sully 7,614 -48.2% 131,553 4 5 Kubo and the Two Strings 7,532 -35.9% 20,839 2 6 The Magnificent Seven 6,898 -60.1% 35,121 2 7 The Secret Life of Pets 6,651 -19.2% 178,163 7 8 Deepwater Horizon 6,352 N/A 6,352 1 9 Barbie: Star Light Adventure 4,610 N/A 4,610 1 10 Bridget Jones's Baby 3,711 -57.8% 42,182 3 Source: http://flix.gr/news/box-office-29092016.html http://freecinema.gr/greek-box-office-with-a-blast/ I feel like my predictions get more and more ridiculous each weekend. A few days ago, I was actually sure that 'Sausage Party' could be the only new film to open on top but decided to add 'Deepwater Horizon' as a possibility. The prior tanked with 2,420 admissions, outside the Top 10, while the latter ranked 8th. Overall, this weekend's cumulative admissions went back to five digits (96,839), dropping from last weekend despite 9 new openers. The big picture was similar last weekend and will be the same next weekend, unless one of the horror films breaks out. Distributors clearly do no research before choosing what films to release and they just hope for an opening-weekend cash-grab before the film dies down quickly after 2-3 weeks. We've discussed this many times and it must be tiring for you to hear (read) the same things again and again – but when it happens for three weekends in a row, I wonder if distributors will get the message. Anyhow, 'Miss Peregrine' did happen to end up in first place, but it is probably on the (very) low end for a Tim Burton film (I'll post a table later). All 4 openers that ended up in the Top 10 were released on at least 40 screens, so their results are even more disappointing than they look. 'Dory', 'Pets' and 'Kubo' had the best two drops in the Top 10, with the first two aiming for the 300K- and 200K-admission milestones respectively. 'Dory' has fallen behind 'Inside Out', and it was already behind 'Minions', however, the latter earned less on its 5th weekend, so there is still a chance 'Dory' finishes ahead. 'Sully' has seen bigger and bigger drops each weekend, the opposite trend of 'Dory', but it will surpass 150K admissions which still counts as a very solid run. 'The Magnificent Seven' and 'Bridget' were in free-fall mode and odds are this will continue due to the shear amount of physical competition for screens. I'm already looking forward to the weekend after the next, when 'Inferno' will be released. 'The Da Vinci Code' posted the fourth-best opening weekend of all time in May 2006 (178K admissions) and 'Illuminati' (AKA 'Angels' and Demons') sold 150K admissions on opening weekend, 3 years later, so I doubt this one can go much lower – definitely not below 100K admissions.

Over at the German thread, they're saying early numbers point to 1M-admission opening which looks like good news!

We'll need an animated opening weekend chart if possible with the ranking of Dory. Thanks.

Films opening this weekend: Deepwater Horizon Lights Out Sausage Party Miss Peregrine's Home for Peculiar Children Barbie: Star Light Adventure Ilegitim [Romanian–Polish–French] Ma ma [Spanish] Pionery-Geroi [Russian–English-language Russian] Les Souvenirs [French] As with last week, a torrent of new films is being released, however this will be the second weekend in a row that is significantly lower than last year (182,752 tickets). I could see 'Sausage Party' or 'Deepwater Horizon' ranking first but I wouldn't expect remarkable openings.

I'd like to see at least 2/3rds of the original (5.9M). But I guess at this point anything that takes it above $1B will do...

The time it took for the OS gross to overtake NA is another indication of how disappointing its run was.

Wow, that is certainly a number Dory will struggle to live up to.

How big was Nemo's opening and total in admissions?

Similar situation to Greece. Big opening, big drops.

Weekend 22-25/09/2016 Ranking Title Weekend admissions % Change from last weekend Total admissions Week 1 The Magnificent Seven 17,277 N/A 17,277 1 2 Sully 14,702 -44.2% 117,239 3 3 Finding Dory 14,582 -37.7% 241,905 4 4 Kubo and the Two Strings 11,745 N/A 11,745 1 5 Bridget Jones's Baby 8,786 -49.1% 34,473 2 6 The Secret Life of Pets 8,230 -7.2% 170,705 6 7 War Dogs 5,634 N/A 5,634 1 8 Blair Witch 5,158 N/A 5,158 1 9 I.T. 3,782 N/A 3,782 1 10 Suicide Squad 3,760 -47.2% 201,196 5 Source: http://flix.gr/news/box-office-22092016.html Thanks to a relatively sharp drop for 'Sully', 'The Magnificent Seven' found itself in first place this weekend with a not-so-magnificent number of tickets. The chart-topper opened lower than most recent Westerns, although release dates and big names can make a difference. In comaprison to 'Cowboys & Aliens' which opened around the same time of year in 2011, 'Magnificent' did fare better (that film sold 10,390 admissions on opening weekend). It's important to note that 10 new films intruded cinemas, a trend which is starting to get ridiculous. 'Sully' obviously lost a significant number of screens, dropping from 97 to 58. On the other hand, while 'Dory' did lose a lot of screens too (down to 85 from 140), its per-screen average actually increased, and the film posted its best –and first decent– hold as yet. However, it is now definitely more likely than not to miss 300K admissions, with my estimate putting it at 280K admissions, lower than 'Minions'. Quite disappointing if you ask me. All this doom and gloom could have been made even worse by 'Kubo' although it looks as if it didn't have an effect on 'Dory'; 'Kubo' had a quite wide release but did not attract many youngsters and certainly pales in comparison to a little film released exactly one year ago called 'Minions' which opened to 91,770 admissions. 'Kubo' did however break the opening-weekend record among Laika productions, with the previous ones being 'Coraline' (5,110 admissions), 'ParaNorman' (7,165 admissions) and 'The Boxtrolls' (10,655 admissions). And while 'Bridget', 'SS' and 'Jason' (2,511 admissions) all plummeted by about 50%, 'SLOP' had an impressively small drop, indicating it has not yet adandoned its quest to top 200K admissions. However, a final total in the range of 190-200K admissions still seems more likely. The feat of 200K admissinos was achieved by 'SS', which now has one of the highest mulitpliers for a superhero film outside the Batman and Spider-Man franchises. Finally, a trio of uneventful openings, with respectable screen averages nonetheless, occupied the lower part of the Top 10. It is also worth noting that this was the first weekend since late May that had fewer cumulative admissions compared to the weekend a year earlier. With three quarters of the year now over, 2016 is leading 2015 by a comfortable 7.8%.

"yellow shit" hahaha

Source?

Flims released this weekend: The Magnificent Seven Blair Witch War Dogs Kubo and the Two Strings I.T. Pelé: Birth of a Legend Les Héritiers [French] Heart of a Dog Roger Waters: The Wall Nostalgia de la Luz [Spanish- and English-laguage French–Chilean] As you can see, a plethora of films is flooding the market, with no one having serious expectations for any of them. As often said, they're released in order to make an opening-weekend cash grab just before they're forgotten forever. Expect 'Sully' to retain first place.

Down 42% from OD

Bear in mind that it doesn't need 20M€ to get to $20M. $20M is defo happening.

I don't think we can really tell unless we get some reviews or audience reactions to the film. I would be very happy if it out-grossed SLOP in the US, as the highest-grossing original animated film (initial run). Other than that, anything above $700M would be fine for me. If it gets close to $1B, it does. One thing is for sure, Disney will own at least 5 of the 6 biggest films this year (and maybe 6 out of 6). That is already mind-blowing, regardless of the achievements (or disappointments) of any individual film.

IO's Monday was 450K€, so slightly larger drop for Dory.

Weekend 15-18/09/2016 Ranking Title Weekend admissions % Change from last weekend Total admissions Week 1 Sully 26,336 -34.0% 88,433 2 2 Finding Dory 23,422 -51.8% 221,882 3 3 Bridget Jones's Baby 17,259 N/A 17,259 1 4 The Secret Life of Pets 8,872 -34.6% 161,099 5 5 Suicide Squad 7,126 -53.6% 192,461 4 6 Free State of Jones 5,685 N/A 5,685 1 7 Jason Bourne 5,209 -62.6% 83,148 3 8 Café Society 4,829 -28.3% 101,011 4 9 Demolition 2,272 N/A 2,272 1 10 Ben-Hur 2,205 -65.9% 12,257 2 Source: http://www.grandmagazine.gr/ngine/article/3250/box-office-o-tom-xanks-katakta-tin-korufh-me-ton-sully 'Sully' dropped lightly and is well-poised to keep up this good pace. Among the comps I mentioned last weekend, its 11-day cume is only trailing 'The Theory of Everything' but 'Sully's second weekend was about 3K admissions higher. 150K admissions are well within reach. On the other hand, 'Dory' sank to new depths with 50%+ drop that crushed the last few drops of hope for finding her parents – I mean, for a record-breaking run. We could be looking at a final total as low as 260K admissions (if it follows 'Minions's trajectory from now on) or as high as 360K admissions (if it follows 'Ice Age 4's trajectory). At the moment though, I would say the chances of a gross above or below 300K admissions are 50-50). Certainly not the kind of run we hoped for after that seismic wave of an opening weekend, with the main factor, in my opinion, being so-so word-of-mouth. Its 18-day cume is trailing 'Ice Age 3', 'Ice Age 2' and 'Minions' and I can only assume this trend will not reverse. On the other hand, 'Pets' and 'Ice Age 5' had decent holds but both of them are falling behind the coveted milestones that they are aiming at. The prior looks likes it's losing sight of the 200K-admissions mark, while 'Ice Age 5' is melting too fast to catch up with 'Civil War'. 'Suicide Squad' had a rather sharp drop this weekend but it is still on course to gross more than 200K admissions. It looks like a tough race between 'Squad' and 'Ice Age 5' and it's hard to predict which one will finish ahead. 'Café Society' is looking at a solid cume of 115-125K admissions, while 'Jason Bourne' will almost certainly miss the 100K-admission mark, finishing far behind the initial trilogy of its franchise. As for the openers, none of them opened to a particularly noteworthy number. 'Bridget' gets an A for the effort but in reality it looks like 'Sully' was a much more appealing option for adult crowds (at least for the portion of adult who didn't have to deal with kids begging to watch 'Dory' or 'Pets'). Next week, should be an easy victory for 'Sully' again, unless 'The Magnificent Seven' does sizeable business.

Actuals, according to BOM, put Dory's OS wknd at $8.99M, up from an est. $8.3M, and Dory's OS total at $477.8M, up from an est. $477.1M. This means that holdover markets dropped an average 18.2%. Exlcuding Italy, the WW sume is $955.5M. The WW wknd (excl. Italy) was $3.07M. These markets should bring the cume to about $961.5–962.5M, so Italy and Germany should need less than $40M to reach $1B. Italy is almost certainly making more than $20M, even with the opening of Pets in 3 weeks time, and it is hard to imagine Germany making less than $20M. Even France, where the film was released in the middle of the Euro cup, made $21.7M.

Actuals according to BOM put Dory at $6.21M, trailing Inside Out's opening by less than 4%.

Does someone have a list of OWs for Pixar films/animated films?

The only issue is that BOM reports a 6.29M€ OW for IO, so the IO numbers must be estimates? And @efialtes76 reports a 5.57M€ OW for Dory so clearly Dory's numbers were also estimates. Also Minions opened to 7.16M€ (in 3 days)

Will it increase on Sunday?