Quigley

It's less than IO's 1st Friday (840K€), but the weekend will be more critical

Inside Out's daily gross (I don't think it's accurate but I got it from this thread) 479.105€ 840.045€ 1.900.000€ 2.285.758€

Flims released this weekend: Bridget Jones's Baby Free State of Jones Demolition Nine Lives [English-language French] 10 Years (2011) Ich und Kaminski [Austrian-German] Queen of Earth Mamma Roma [Italian]

The Italian OD indicates possibility of a break-out success (20M€+)

Yeah I think like the OD-OW ratio will be much smaller than 1:8

Any presales or other indications of Dory's performance?

All true. This number is nothing but disappointing. It's been humiliated so much that the only way it can be humiliated further is if SLOP surpasses its OS gross (which I still think is possible).

Weekend 08-11/09/2016 Ranking Title Weekend admissions % Change from last weekend Total admissions Week 1 Finding Dory 48,624 -46.2% 184,679 2 2 Sully 39,874 N/A 39,874 1 3 Suicide Squad 15,374 -46.6% 177,060 3 4 Jason Bourne 13,944 -62.7% 71,008 2 5 The Secret Life of Pets 13,561 -10.7% 149,645 4 6 Café Society 6,736 -70.4% 92,315 3 7 Ben-Hur 6,459 N/A 6,459 1 8 Mechanic: Resurrection 4,314 -48.9% 45,474 3 9 Quo Vado? [Italian] 2,765 -4.5% 70,456 7 10 Ice Age: Collision Course 2,220 -4.6% 204,532 9 Source: http://flix.gr/news/box-office-08092016.html 'Finding Dory' swam to what is (probably) the biggest 11-day cume for an animated film. That was undoubtedly due to the very strong weekdays since its sophomore frame sank to about half the tally of its opening. 'Minions' (63.5K admissions), 'Ice Age 2' (67–70K admissions) and even last year's 'Inside Out' (52.2K admissions) had significantly higher second weekends. It is difficult to predict how 'Dory' will play out from now on but the range of possibilities seems to be 270–410K, depending on what film you compare it to (comp with 'Minions' leads to the minimum of the range and comp with 'Ice Age 3' leads to the maximum). The midpoint of this range, 340K admissions, looks like the most likely outcome, which is incidentally the exact number of admissions that 'Nemo' sold back in 2003 (exculding 3–D re-release). Obviously, with schools opening, a drop like this coud have been expected, although 'The Secret Life of Pets' and 'Ice Age 5' didn't seem to be affected by this, nor was 'Inside Out' affected last year (its 2nd-weekend drop was 17%). In any case, its weekdays have helped it maintain a lead over all these films through the same point in their runs, so there is reason to remain optimistic. In the meantime, 'Sully' had an impressive opening which beat other Tom Hanks films such as 'Captain Phillips' (37,992 admissions) and 'Bridge of Spies' (33,544 admisisons), as well as other award contenders like 'The Imitation Game' (37,695 admissions), 'The Social Network' (34,968 admissions) and 'The Theory of Everything' (37,160 admissions). Time will tell if it can reach 150K admissions, but that is the range it should be aiming for. While 'Jason Bourne' plummeted, 'Suicide Squad' had another superb hold, the best 3rd weekend hold for a 2016 superhero film and will definitely surpass 200K admissions, eyeing the tallies of 'Civil War' and 'Deadpool'. 'Pets' is still entertaining the possibility of a 200K-admission run, while 'Café Society' and 'Mechanic 2' will barely scrape past 100K and 50K admissions respectively. Just like 'Suicide Squad' (and indeed 'Pets'), 'Ice Age 5' is also making a last-minute attempt to surpass 'Civil War' and 'Deadpool', but it will require very strong holds every weekend, something that is arguably possible but still a longshot. Finally 'Quo Vado?' continues to impress, but as I said last week, a final total of much more than 80K admissions is still unlikely – nevertheless, it is way out of its league, and that it something for which we must give it credit. Next week looks like a battle between 'Finding Dory' and 'Sully' again, as they will be vying for the top spot.

Can someone post how much each Ice Age film has made?

Interesting perspective: Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest still remains the highest-grossing first sequel in a franchise. Second is Despicable Me 2, soon to be passed by Finding Dory. That means that the two biggest first sequels of all time are for films both released in 2003 both by Disney. A debatable second place is actually still held by The Dark Knight (although not really a first sequel since many Batman films were released before that). 4th and 5th place are held by Lord of the Rings 2 and Shrek 2 (both sequels to 2001 films). Since Dory is almost certainly not surpassing Dead Man's Chest, it will be more than 10 years that that film holds this title. The only film having a serious chance of surpassing it is Avatar 2. UPDATE: I'll add SLOP 2 as a possibility as well as Frozen 2, Wreck-It Ralph 2 and The Incredibles 2.

I'm failing to see any reason for this excitement

If that stays true, I think it's almost a foregone conclusion now that it will surpass TJB, don't you think?

How many days did it take for SA to reach ¥10B?

Films released this weekend: Ben-Hur Sully Trois souvenirs de ma jeunesse [French] Hands of Stone [American–Panamanian] Tudo Que Aprendemos Juntos [Brazilian] Potop [Polish–Soviet] I soliti ignoti [Italian] Expect 'Dory' to dominate the box office once again. 'Sully' will probably be the biggest of the new releases.

OS yes. NA no.

It could have small drops from now on. Plus Australia and Italy - who knows how much it can make there.

If Finding Dory's success in Greece is any indication, I believe Italy and Germany will have impressive openings too. However, $27.7M and $53.9M are both tough numbers to beat. We'll see. I remain confident that it can make at least 75% of those totals.

This could actually gross less than AUJ, purely because of the bad exchange rate. So many movies have come out lately and have broken records in various countries, but the dollar OS gross doesn't reflect that. Anyway, I still think 'breaking the B' is more likely than not.

I think it's pretty clear that this film won't beat Guardians of the Galaxy WW, although there is still a chance of it beating GotG in NA

The absolute ceiling for this film is about $910M: $380M NA and $530M OS. So I don't think it's a threat to Disney owning the top 5 films of 2016. The only possible threats are Inferno and Fantastic Beasts. There is a chance that SLOP beats FD in OS but I still find that probability to be <50%.

Assuming that the average ticket price hasn't changed, Greece could be looking at yearly gross of about 70M€, as it is about 10% ahead of 2015 in admissions. I agree with you that Romania will move haead of Greece. As long as Greece is part of the eurozone (in its current structure) or as long as the eurozone doesn't become a true economic/monetary union, I doubt we will ever see a yearly gross of 100M€ again, like 2007.

I've updated the list of 2015 and 2016 films on the first page. I've also managed to get the final tally for Finding Nemo, which I have updated on the first page and in the above post.

Weekend 01-04/09/2016 Ranking Title Weekend admissions % Change from last weekend Total admissions Week 1 Finding Dory 90,356 N/A 90,356 1 2 Jason Bourne 37,369 N/A 37,369 1 3 Suicide Squad 28,765 -53.3% 138,042 2 4 Café Society 22,785 -34.9% 78,982 2 5 The Secret Life of Pets 15,190 -43.2% 127,888 3 6 Mechanic: Resurrection 8,436 -37.0% 33,479 2 7 Quo Vado? [Italian] 2,896 -37.4% 66,677 6 8 Ice Age: Collision Course 2,328 -35.4% 200,975 8 9 Sing Street 1,821 N/A 1,821 1 10 Éperdument [French] 1,697 N/A 1,697 1 Sources: http://freecinema.gr/greek-box-office-just-give-them-what-they-know/ http://www.grandmagazine.gr/ngine/article/3229/box-office-o-anamenomenos-8riambos-tis-ntori Wowsers! 'Finding Dory' confirmed it is a worthy successor to one of Greece's highest-grossing animated films of all time. It scored the third biggest opening weekend for an animated film, but the numbers are so close that it is virtually a tie between the top 3: Biggest animated openings (and their totals) Title Opening weekend Release date Total Multiple 1 Ice Age: The Meltdown 93,000 06/04/06 350,000-360,000 3.82 2 Minions 91,770 24/09/15 290,513 3.17 3 Finding Dory 90,356 01/09/16 4 Ice Age: Dawn of the Dinosaurs 80,337* 29/06/09 381,097 4.74 5 Tangled 77,247 06/01/11 232,500 3.01 6 A Christmas Carol 72,323 24/12/09 175,456 2.43 7 The Smurfs 71,600 08/09/11 283,010 3.95 8 Ratatouille 68,000-70,000 27/09/07 312,019 4.52 9 Ice Age: Continental Drift 67,836 05/07/12 305,445 4.50 10 Inside Out 62,766 03/09/15 310,104 4.94 *Ice Age: Dawn of the Dinosaurs opened on a Monday and scored a 7-day total of 110,655 admissions. The numbers shown here are from the first 4-day Thursday-to-Sunday weekend. [UPDATE: The daily grosses followed an impressive pattern, with Thursday topping 20K admissions, followed by an even bigger Saturday. Definitely the most surprising part, Sunday was its biggest day with 26,223 admisisons.] 'Dory' is fortunate enough to be released ahead of a very quiet September with virtually no animated competition, which can only bode well for its long-term propsects. Following the revision of earlier data, it seems that 'Finding Nemo' actually earned around 341K admissions, back in 2003-2004. 'Ice Age 3's 381K admissions is still the top animated tally. 'Dory' will need a 4.26 multiplier to beat that record. Based on historical comparisons from late August and early September, that mulitplier is definitely doable (it is actually below average). I would not be surprised if it reaches 400K admissions, and utlimately that is the target that it's aiming for. However, even a shortcoming that leads to about 330K admissions is in no way a disappointment. On the other hand, I find it possible that it can exceed 470K in the best-case scenario. In any case, it will set a very high bar for fall/winter movies as it is a foregone conclusion that it will beat 'The Revenant' for the top spot in 2016 so far. 'Jason Bourne' was unlucky, since, on any other weekend, this box-office report would be mostly devoted to this film. That's what happens, I guess, when you open against a regal blue tang (aka Paracanthurus hepatus). However, 'Bourne' actually did incredibly well, opening to around the same number as the original 'Bourne' and the first sequel. Most importantly, it is a significant improvement over the dismal fourth outing of the franchise: Bourne series Title Opening weekend Release date Total Multiple The Bourne Ultimatum 52,410 04/10/07 160,400 3.06 The Bourne Supremacy 38,975 17/09/04 153,000 3.93 The Bourne Identity 35,000-40,000 22/11/02 140,000-150,000 3.87 Jason Bourne 37,369 01/09/16 The Bourne Legacy 6,190 04/10/12 17,596 2.84 Lower down the chart, news wasn't that bad either. 'Suicide Squad' had a superb 2nd-weekend hold of 53% – significantly higher than all other superhero films of 2016. The previous best was 'Deadpool', with a 59% drop. The film actually seems poised to reach 200K admissions and give 'Civil War' and 'Deadpool' a run for their money, but we'll see how that plays out in the following weeks. 'Café Society' will cruise past the 100K-admission mark very soon and I even think 150K admissions could be in sight. 'Pets' had an arguably soft drop, in the face of the forgetful bait fish, although I think its chances of reaching 200K admissions are about 50-50 now. 'Mechanic 2' held better than its predecessor and has matched its 11-day total – a feat not as common as you'd think nowadays, so kudos for that. 'Quo Vado?' continued its sensationl run, which is however approaching the end (80K admissions is the ceiling, I think), while 'Ice Age 5' is saving some face near the end of its run by crossing 200K admissions. It will probably get past 210K admissions and could also out-gross 'Civil War' and 'Deadpool' but it is impossible to know since its holds are expected to be strong from now on. 'Sing Street' and 'Éperdument' were two other openers – with 'Camino a La Paz' being the final one at #11 with 1,531 admissions. They all made about the same from a limited release (<10 screens) but nothing notable. Next week, I am very curious to see what the 2nd-weekend drop for Dory will be: anything above 65K admissions will be terrific. If it matches 'Inside Out's second-weekend 17% drop, then we could be looking at a possible 500K-admission run.

'Finding Dory' has opened to 90,356 admissions!! Humongous opening. More later.

According to Deadline, Findind Dory opened in #1 in Greece. Jason Bourne opened with an estimated $257K which translates to about 32K admissions. This means Dory made more than that, but we don't know how much more.