Eric Prime

Trolls sells way more toys.

I feel very, very confident that @VenomXXR was just cracking a joke at what he feels is an outlandish prediction, thanks to a witty South Park gif. Doing this purposely is really not cool and would certainly lead to infractions (hint hint). If he was being serious, then I will make sure that he earns repercussions for his actions.

95% sure BTS will appear in this somehow.

People disagreeing with you and your predictions are not trolling. We let people talk about their distaste for movies, franchises, and even directors in other threads, so there's no reason for "your" thread to be any different, no matter how wonderful and amazing Avatar and Cameron are.

The Descendants disrespect!

I keep on seeing this stuff about how "OMG ITS ON DIGITAL THE MOVIES GONNA DROP LIKE A ROCK DIGITAL AND STREAMING ARE EVILLLLLLLLLLLLL" when for the past year, that's just not the case. If you want to exclude the first quarter of the year, where movies just stuck around because there was nothing to replace it with, a good chunk of movies when they hit PVOD/digital stores don't really get impacted by legs at all. A Quiet Place 2's weekend drops post-digital: 29%, 46%, 47% Cruella's weekend drops post-digital: 21%, 37%, 1% F9's post-digital: 45%, 55%, 57% Forever Purge's post-digital: 42%, 52%, 54% Black Widow's post-digital: 51%, 41%, 29% Jungle Cruise's post-digital: 20%, 42%, 11% Free Guy's post-digital: 45%, 45%, 48% Don't Breathe 2's post-digital: 50%, 42%, 31% Respect's post-digital: 40%, 45%, 59% Candyman's post-digital: 26%, 27%, 50% No Time to Die's post-digital: 25%, 40% Do some movies have better holds after PVOD than others? Yes. However, and this is a big however, it's not like this is the only factor at play here. There's the issue of competition, which will take away screen space for these movies, as well as some movies, simply put, just not being very good. F9, Forever Purge, and Respect all had middling reception behidn them, so even if they went onto digital stores 6 months from their release date, I sincerely doubt their legs here would be that much better. Free Guy's first three weeks after digital was the 1-2-3 punch of Venom, NTTD, and Halloween Kills. That's gonna impact any movie. Sure you can argue that people are just not used to early digital drops and that in the future movies will drop like a stone, but honestly, it reads to me people will still go to the theaters if it's an option and won't opt for digital right away, especially since it'll likely cost less to go to the theater than paying $20 to own/rent it.

If you look at the long weekend IM for Moana and Coco, that goes to about 31.6x and 31.7x respectively. Of course, there's been several years of frontloading, so Encanto probably won't be that leggy. The minimum should be Ralph Breaks the Internet's 5-Day IM of 22.3x its previews. I guess the midpoint would be like 26x, maybe 25x on the conservative side. So at a minumum of 2M previews, which could change sporadically, this should lead to a 50M 5-Day, though I could be completely wrong here. Ralph was 3 years ago, so maybe Encanto will be more frontloaded? It's all really muddy and confusing stuff.

Sing 2 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-31 and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 50 437 9642 4.53% Total Seats Sold Today: 105 Important to recognize here that all the sales for today are for the Early Access shows this coming Saturday. Which hey, at least indicates that people are eager to check it out I guess.

Encanto Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-2 and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 41 232 6595 3.53% Total Seats Sold Today: 63 Comp 0.428x of Cruella's Thu+Fri T-2 (3.3M) 0.975x of Jungle Cruise T-2 (2.63M) 1.040x of Free Guy T-2 (2.29M) Just about all these previews would be pretty good, though I don't know if it's just an overperformance or not. Crossing my fingers here of course.

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@SchumacherFTW See Afterlife did open well, but it still opened below the Feig movie. If Mickey's Law didn't exist, the film would have opened above it. Mickey's Law works in shifty, mysterious ways.

Sing 2 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-32 and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 50 332 9642 3.44% Total Seats Sold Today: 8

Encanto Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-3 and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 41 169 6595 2.56% Total Seats Sold Today: 25 Comp 0.335x of Cruella's Thu+Fri T-3 (2.58M) 0.944x of Jungle Cruise T-3 (2.55M) 1.090x of Free Guy T-3 (2.4M)

At a cursory glance it looks like it's doing alright, but I haven't had the time to run any comps

What's most baffling is that they place it in the middle of the trailer run. If it was sandwiched into Maria Menounos' show that's understandable, but you're telling me I have to see this shit inbetween the trailers? When I'm already watching 25 minutes of previews for movies I'll never watch? The jackassery!