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Eric Prime

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Everything posted by Eric Prime

  1. Probs not gonna do this all the time, but using that multiplier right there, that would translate to about $8.45M as a preview number. It's obviously not a perfect metric, especially since you only have the one good comp. But using that preview, it translates to a 3-Day of 96.8M using Pirates 5's IM, and 90.6M using BatB's IM. Would be pretty good when all is said and done, though obviously we still have two weeks to go.
  2. It could also be her unhappy over being on the show. Sometimes you're forced to be in an unwelcome or uncomfortable work environment. If she wants to let off steam, maybe she shouldn't have been so public about it, she should do it if she likes.
  3. You could say that Aladdin's prospects are in...*finding my sunglasses*...a whole new world
  4. The IMDb trivia is killing me https://www.imdb.com/title/tt7620554/trivia?ref_=tt_trv_trv
  5. I've taken a couple Public Relations classes at school, and the important thing my professor mentioned is that celebrities should not be in charge of their Twitter accounts. This is further proof of that.
  6. As a fellow member of the Chalamet fan club, you musn't be afraid to dream a little bit bigger darling.
  7. Probably didn't happen, but did Melissa ever badmouth the CBS show she was on after Bridesmaids and The Heat landed? Either way, Wu's deffo pulling a Heigl here, and I like her too much that I hope she doesn't get hurt that hard.
  8. https://www.boxofficepro.com/long-range-tracking-spider-man-far-from-home-looks-to-web-200m-6-day-domestic-launch-in-july/ Far From Home: 90-120 3-Day/190-230 6-Day/405+ John Wick: 38.5/110 (+4%) Aladdin: 67/188 (+2%) Rocketman: 40 (+8%)/165 Annabelle Comes Home: 31 (-21%)/101 (The drop for Annabelle is because of the movie shifting to Wednesday)
  9. To be fair, the other Pokemon movies were pretty frontloaded too. Pokemon 2000's OW had a OW/OD ratio of about 2.13x. Then using OW to total, that's about 2.2x. The First Movie also made almost 60% of its final gross in its first 5 days. Even today, that's absurdly frontloaded. And these movies came out at a time when multipliers were a lot bigger than they are now. I know somebody's going to argue, "those movies were based off the anime, so it's different," but...it's still a Pokemon movie. Why would this being live-action suddenly make it any different multiplier wise? (btw I don't think it'll be that frontloaded. I just think there's precedence here)
  10. If Endgame follows IW's Mother's Day weekend 18 30.3 23.8 72.1 Of course, Pikachu is taking a bigger chunk of some of Endgame's target audiences compared to Breaking In/Life of the Party, so we shouldn't expect it to hold that well. But that 70M figure doesn't seem that off
  11. https://deadline.com/2019/05/pokemon-detective-pikachu-avengers-endgame-box-office-weekend-1202611690/
  12. Runtimes w/out credits and attachments for next week's releases: A Dog's Journey: 1:42. Pets 2 and Abominable are attached John Wick 3: 2:01. Anna and Angel Has Fallen are attached The Sun is Also a Star: 1:36. Attachments unknown (likely Shaft and Annabelle Comes Home)
  13. Because I know Fandango gon' fuck up somehow this weekend, might as well start this. Movie/Date Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday John Wick 3 1,076 1,134 1,355 1,178 11 days 10 days 9 days 8 days Aladdin 663 687 804 747 18 days 17 days 16 days 15 days Pets 2 Early 1,402 531 234 18 days 17 days 16 days Godzilla 16 180 426 376 25 days 24 days 23 days 22 days Secret Life of Pets 2 28 33 26 24 32 days 31 days 30 days 29 days Dark Phoenix 0 12 56 89 31 days 30 days 29 days Spider-Man FFH 13,647 3,356 1,669 1,073 57 days 56 days 55 days 54 days And here we go... John Wick Day 11-8 165% of Glass (66.6M) 170% of Alita (63.2M using the first 4 days of release) Day 18-8 (minus days 14-12) 13% of Captain Marvel (19.6M) Day 32-8 (minus days 21-19 and 14-12) 16% of Captain Marvel (24M) Day 39-8 (minus days 21-19 and 14-12) 15% of Captain Marvel (22.5M) With Glass and Alita, I finally have comps that actually work. Captain Marvel was fine, but was too big to be perfect. And using the first set of comps...yeah, this is doing wonderful. Aladdin Day 18-15 57% of Incredibles 2 (103.7M) 412% of Lego 2 (140.8M) 166% of Dragon 3 (91.4M) 126% of Dumbo (58.2M) 249% of Shazam (133.5M) Day 23-15 (minus days 21-19) 63% of Incredibles 2 (116.1M) 550% of Lego 2 (187.6M) 178% of Dragon 3 (97.7M) 145% of Shazam (77.7M) Day 25-15 (minus days 21-19) 74% of Incredibles 2 (135.9M) 211% of Dragon 3 (116.1M) Cumulative (minus days 21-19) 35% of Incredibles 2 (64.5M) 155% of Dragon 3 (85.6M) So generally speaking, almost all of the comps show great results for Aladdin, except Dumbo, which is arguably the best one to use. Hmm...next week might be the determining factor for this movie's potential. Pets 2 Early Access First 3 Days 16% of Dragon 3's Early Access shows (396K) 86% of Lego 2's Early Access shows (519K) Day 18-16 25% of Dragon 3's Early Access shows (632.7K) Yeesh. This is not looking too good. Even if you want to argue that this might not be presales-driven...you have to use Fandango in order to get tickets. But hey, maybe it'll pick up in the next few days as we get closer and closer. Godzilla Day 23-22 53% of Shazam (28.2M) Day 25-22 16% of Captain Marvel (24M) 136% of Us (97M) @Mulder Before you pronounce Doomsday, it's important to recognize that it's very early, and I don't have the best comps right now. John Wick seems like a perfect candidate, but there's no numbers to use yet, and I'm sure there are plenty of great comps available in 2018, but I don't have them at the moment. Either way, this seems like a decent enough start, though it will really depend on the boost it gets in the future. Pets Day 32-29 3% of Incredibles 2 (6.2M) 27% of Dragon 3 (14.9M) Finally, I have days I can work with. And...shockingly, I still can't work with these movies. The big issue is that both Incredibles and Dragon are likely way more pre-sales driven than something like Pets. We are getting Grinch, Hotel, and Lego comps shortly, all of which started pretty low in pre-sales, so at least the movie's got that going for it. Dark Phoenix Day 31-29 3% of Captain Marvel (5.1M) 83% of Us (59.1M) Like with Godzilla, it's very early and I don't have any good comps right now. So...shrug emoji. Far From Home First 4 Days 100.1% of Captain Marvel (153.5M) Tricky to look at, since this is opening on a Tuesday, but that seems like a good 6-day to reach for.
  14. Also from Deadline By comparison, Life of the Party did 700K last year on the same weekend. Although this one has even worse reviews, so I doubt it'll open better than that film
  15. To think I was still in elementary school, counting down the days until Night at the Museum 2 dropped.
  16. He's more of this forum's Beetlejuice. @ him enough times, and he magically appears
  17. He was also in the Tuesday thread. I managed to even get a few likes by making fun of him.
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