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Eric Prime

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Everything posted by Eric Prime

  1. Movie/Date Monday Tuesday Aladdin 1,725 2,022 11 days 10 days Pets 2 Early 312 294 12 days 11 days Godzilla 2,389 1,052 18 days 17 days Secret Life of Pets 2 64 52 25 days 24 days Dark Phoenix 1,976 685 25 days 24 days Spider-Man FFH 795 556 50 days 49 days Aladdin Last 7 Days 51% of Incredibles 2 (92.6M) 277% of Lego 2 (94.5M) 188% of Dragon 3 (103.4M) 252% of Dumbo (115.9M) 230% of Shazam (123M) Day 23-11 (minus 21-19) 180% of Shazam (96.2M) 354% of Lego 2 (121M) Day 25-11 60% of Incredibles 2 (109.4M) 202% of Dragon 3 (111M) Cumulative 41% of Incredibles 2 (75.9M) 173% of Dragon 3 (95M) 162% of Pikachu (88M) Again, Aladdin's presales are so weird. This is a movie that, at least marketing-wise, has everything going against it. And yet, when looking at presales, it's vastly overperforming from tracking. Even if you want to argue "well, it's fanboy driven", which I won't discredit, Incredibles 2 was arguably just as, if not more fanboy driven than Aladdin will probably be, and almost all of those comps are strong too. Of course, this could just be pointing towards a 4-Day, which isn't as impressive, but still not bad all things considered. Godzilla Last 7 Days (23-17) 64% of Captain Marvel (98.2M) Yesterday saw a bit of a drop (in ticket sales, not percentages), but it's still kicking and going strong. Pets 2 Day 28-24 41% of Grinch (27.9M) Last 7 Days (30-24) 25% of Dragon 3 (14M) Again, still feel like this should be doing at least a wee bit better. Maybe doing something cumulative would be better, but...it's like a month's worth of presales. I ain't bothering with that. Dark Phoenix Last 7 Days (30-24) 34% of Captain Marvel (52.2M) Like Godzilla, big drop from Monday to Tuesday, but taking out the initial first day leads to a jump in the comp either way. And yeah, it would be cool if this did manage to hit this # in the end, though we've still got a couple weeks to go. Far From Home Last 7 Days (55-49) 102% of Captain Marvel (156.3M) Still basically at the same pace as CM. Cool I guess
  2. oh yeah and I'll look at the other movies sometime in the morning/afternoon.
  3. Fandango App Monday Tues Wed Thursday Love, Simon 863 1,256 2,907 Deadpool 2 23,134 28,896 41,212 SW: Solo 13,688 15,855 28,533 Jurassic World 2 9,310 12,761 23,266 The Darkest Minds 130 244 579 1,777 House With Clocks 897 1,469 3,607 8,074 Smallfoot 734 1,261 2,448 Venom 13,602 13,818 20,867 31,569 Goosebumps 2 300 631 1,733 3,615 Aquaman 8,502 9,671 15,063 Dogs Way Home 259 623 1,516 3,257 Glass 3,106 3,978 6,478 17,810 Kid Who Would Be King 107 318 980 1,892 Five Feet Apart 613 1,053 2,225 4,118 Wonder Park 607 988 1,749 3,640 Us 10,742 13,597 27,634 39,514 After 681 1,098 1,904 3,436 Missing Link 167 299 634 1,483 John Wick 3 7,867 10,932 A Dog's Journey 340 565 The Sun is Also a Star 124 221 Somebody mentioned the MCU movies weren't the best comps for John Wick, and...yeah, I do kind of agree with that (also I'm lazy and want to do less comps), so I'm getting rid of those for now. With that said... John Wick Tuesday before release 38% of Deadpool 2 (47.5M) 78% of Us (55.7M) 69% of Solo (58.2M) 79% of Venom (63.5M) 113% of Aquaman (76.7M) 86% of Jurassic World 2 (126.8M) Last 7 Days (9-3) 78% of Us (55.5M) 268% of Alita (76.5M using 3-Day, 99.8M using first 4 days) 234% of Glass (94.4M) Days 18-3 (minus 14-12) 82% of Us (58.4M) Days 39-3 90% of Us (64.4M) Us seems like the best comp here, being R-rated thrillers with pre-established fanbases (Peele drove presales hard, and y'all know it). Using that, it's about 55M-65M. It would be legit cool to see each Wick double from its prior movies' opening, but I don't want to get my hopes up that high. However, I am hoping for 50M+. Doggo 57% of Wonder Park (9.1M) 38% of House w/ Clock (10.2M) 91% of A Dog's Way Home (10.2M) 45% of Smallfoot (10.3M) 189% of Missing Link (11.2M) 180% of Kid Who Would Be King (12.9M) 89% of Goosebumps 2 (14.1M) I was impressed with this movie's results yesterday, but this had a really soft jump from yesterday. Still above double digits, but it's just barely scraping by it now. Sun is Star 20% of After (1.2M) 17% of Love, Simon (2.1M) 21% of Five Feet Apart (2.8M) 91% of Darkest Minds (5.3M) LOL
  4. https://www.boxofficepro.com/social-pulse-spider-man-far-from-home-it-chapter-2-pick-up-buzz-with-new-trailers/ This is a new thing BOP is doing, looking at the top 3 social media services. As a quick recap, Far From Home and It Chapter 2 are leading, largely due to the new trailers, while John Wick and Aladdin appear on all three platforms. A random fifth movie (Dark Phoenix for Twitter, Child's Play for Facebook, TROS for Instagram). The article also mentions concern over KOTM not popping up yet. Don't know how effective it will be for tracking, but it seems like a fun series to look at every once in a while.
  5. 2019-05-14 21:00:00 907 John Wick Chapter 3 – Parabellum 2019-05-14 21:00:00 794 Avengers Endgame (2019) 2019-05-14 21:00:00 678 Pokémon Detective Pikachu 2019-05-14 21:00:00 146 The Hustle (2019) 2019-05-14 21:00:00 133 Aladdin (2019) 2019-05-14 21:00:00 118 The Intruder (2019) 2019-05-14 21:00:00 114 Long Shot 2019-05-14 21:00:00 71 Fandango Early Access Rocketman oh snap
  6. This is the second Disney remake to feature Emma Thompson in a supporting role with a leading actress also named Emma. Weird.
  7. I still think dcasey is the funniest out of all the alt-account posters. While other people at least tried to hide their identity, he didn't even care. Also had an amazing knack in popping up every time Fantastic Beasts was even uttered. It's kind of admirable in a way. If only FB3 wasn't pushed back
  8. Indiewire (B-) https://www.indiewire.com/2019/05/dead-dont-die-review-jim-jarmusch-cannes-1202140841/ TheWrap (mixed) https://www.thewrap.com/the-dead-dont-die-film-review-star-studded-zombie-flick-runs-out-of-steam/ Variety (negative) https://variety.com/2019/film/reviews/the-dead-dont-die-review-adam-driver-bill-murray-1203213609/ The Guardian (3/5) https://www.theguardian.com/film/2019/may/14/the-dead-dont-die-review-stumbling-zombie-comedy-kicks-off-cannes The Cannes Opening curse continues
  9. I...actually didn't hate that? Maybe it's just Nasim's reaction shots, but I got a bit of a smile out of it.
  10. So it's following the strategy that Everest and The Walk did back in 2015. Didn't really work out for either movie, so we'll see how this one does.
  11. Movie/Date Monday Aladdin 1,725 11 days Pets 2 Early 312 12 days Godzilla 2,389 18 days Secret Life of Pets 2 64 25 days Dark Phoenix 1,976 25 days Spider-Man FFH 795 50 days Okay... Aladdin Last 7 Days (17-11) 50% of Incredibles 2 (91.6M) 253% of Lego 2 (86.4M) 173% of Dragon 3 (95M) 202% of Dumbo (93.1M) 228% of Shazam (122.1M) Days 23-11 (minus 21-19) 334% of Lego 2 (114.2M) 168% of Shazam (90.1M) Days 25-11 (minus 21-19) 61% of Incredibles 2 (111.8M) 194% of Dragon 3 (106.8M) Cumulative (minus 21-19) 39% of Incredibles 2 (72M) 162% of Dragon 3 (89.1M) 140% of Detective Pikachu (76M) (I also excluded 14-12) It's such a weird movie, this Aladdin. There are plenty of people mentioning soft presales at their theater, but when it comes to Pulse, it's doing solid business. I don't know if it's just those specific theaters underperforming, or the 4-Day weekend inflating things, or what. Guess we'll wait and see. Godzilla Last 7 Days (24-18) 62% of Captain Marvel (94.6M) This is the only thing I really have at the moment (don't have Fallen Kingdom data), but either way, yesterday was incredible. It should come down to earth a bit due to "first few days of presales hype", but this is doing solid stuff. Pets 2 Day 28-25 43% of The Grinch (29.4M) Last 7 Days (31-25) 25% of Dragon 3 (14M) Even ignoring the Fandango presales, or being a family movie, or being walk-up driven...this should be doing a lot better at this point, and I'm not seeing much progress. Maybe having presales up so early is the culprit? I dunno. Dark Phoenix Last 7 Days (31-25) 24% of Captain Marvel (36.3M) Like Godzilla, this is the only thing I have to work off of at the moment (don't have Deadpool 2 data), but unlike Godzilla, I don't think this is as impressive, especially since this was the "official" day of pre-sales, and it had a huge promotional blitz with #XMenDay. But hey, it's still early, and we've got a couple weeks to go.
  12. So about a week apart from one another, this is where we're at. That is obviously fantastic for Wick. Doubling results is typical, but 2.3M is still 2.3M. I feel like Aladdin could have done better though. Far From Home also saw a huge boost, but that's probably due to the top results being only a few hours of the first day of presales.
  13. Fandango App Monday Tues Wed Thursday Black Panther 35,429 36,302 39,934 65,453 Love, Simon 863 1,256 2,907 Avengers: Infinity War 49,836 54,892 68,826 76,734 Deadpool 2 23,134 28,896 41,212 SW: Solo 13,688 15,855 28,533 Jurassic World 2 9,310 12,761 23,266 The Darkest Minds 130 244 579 1,777 House With Clocks 897 1,469 3,607 8,074 Smallfoot 734 1,261 2,448 Venom 13,602 13,818 20,867 31,569 Goosebumps 2 300 631 1,733 3,615 Aquaman 8,502 9,671 15,063 Dogs Way Home 259 623 1,516 3,257 Glass 3,106 3,978 6,478 17,810 Kid Who Would Be King 107 318 980 1,892 Captain Marvel 33,951 37,060 49,745 64,456 Five Feet Apart 613 1,053 2,225 4,118 Wonder Park 607 988 1,749 3,640 Us 10,742 13,597 27,634 39,514 After 681 1,098 1,904 3,436 Missing Link 167 299 634 1,483 Avengers: Endgame 53,999 59,102 75,594 80,411 John Wick 3 7,867 A Dog's Journey 340 The Sun is Also a Star 124 John Wick Monday before release 23% of Captain Marvel (34.8M) 16% of Infinity War (40.7M) 34% of Deadpool 2 (42.7M) 22% of Black Panther (44.8M) 58% of Venom (46.4M) 57% of Solo (48.5M) 15% of Endgame (52M) 73% of Us (52.1M) 92% of Aquaman (62.8M) 253% of Glass (102.1M) 84% of Jurassic World 2 (125.1M) Presales are pretty strong, but comps vary from film to film. But a common one is basically somewhere in the 40s range, which is about right. Not anything amazing, but certainly healthy and a strong jump from the last chapter. Looking at other comps... Last 7 Days (10-4) 79% of Us (56.4M) 261% of Alita (74.5M using 3-Day, 97.3M using first 4 days) 142% of Shazam (76.2M) 208% of Glass (83.9M) Days 18-4 (minus 14-12) 83% of Us (59.1M) 140% of Shazam (74.9M) Days 39-4 (minus 21-19, 14-12) 96% of Us (68.4M) Well, it looks better. Now instead of the 40s range, it's 50s/70s range. I feel like it's better to be pessimistic and go with the former. It might have been easy for Wick 2 to double from the previous movie, but 3 doubling from 2 seems like more of a stretch. Doggo 56% of Wonder Park (8.9M) 38% of House w/ Clock (10.1M) 46% of Smallfoot (10.7M) 203% of Missing Link (12.1M) 131% of A Dog's Way Home (14.8M) 113% of Goosebumps 2 (17.9M) 318% of The Kid Who Would Be King (22.8M) This is...pretty solid actually. Bodes well for a double digits opening. Sun is a Star 18% of After (1.1M) 14% of Love, Simon (1.7M) 20% of Five Feet Apart (2.7M) 95% of The Darkest Minds (5.6M) So admittedly, I can't think of a lot of good comps for this at the moment, but I feel this should be doing a lot better. It probably won't open this low, but it really needs to pick up steam the next two days. I'll look at the other movies I'm tracking later. I need some rest.
  14. Umm...does Rocketman feature a divorce in the movie? (yes I know it's a typo)
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