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Everything posted by Eric Quinn
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Han and Eric's (Not-So) Controversial Predictions of 2023
Eric Quinn replied to Eric Quinn's topic in Box Office Discussion
March 31 Dungeons and Dragons: Honor Among Thieves: D&D is arguably the most popular it has ever been thanks to Critical Role, COVID, and Stranger Things. But Quorum data for this movie is very poor and this is coming in the midst of major competition from John Wick, with Mario also just one week later taking up all the PLFs. Plus like Shazam, the ad campaign is still stuck on the one trailer, which is just odd to me. March is just around the corner, doncha know? Unless this is a huge critical hit, which I kind of doubt, this will get lost in the shuffle big time. 25/67 (2.68x) -
Han and Eric's (Not-So) Controversial Predictions of 2023
Eric Quinn replied to Eric Quinn's topic in Box Office Discussion
March 24 A Good Person: So it's some cheesy Zach Braff movie...yeah, this isn't going anywhere. 3/10 (3.33x) John Wick: Chapter 4: I thought Parabellum would only slightly increase back in 2019...I was wrong. I thought Parabellum was the peak...but I think I'm wrong again. While not as huge an increase for obvious reasons, Chapter 4 promises some fun new cast members with both Skarsgard and Donnie Yen and the popularity of the franchise is still at an all-time high. Plus the direct competition is very light all throughout April (I know there's Dungeons and Dragons, but...well...), so this should still increase once again, though obviously not as much. 60/180 (3x) -
Han and Eric's (Not-So) Controversial Predictions of 2023
Eric Quinn replied to Eric Quinn's topic in Box Office Discussion
March 17 65: While I am optimistic on the other "meme movies" so far, this is the one that I don't have much faith in. This didn't really become all that big on social media and has the look and feel of a boring and crummy Sony genre feature. It's going to be tough for this to stand out with all the other big March movies out this year and I doubt reviews will be all that good. Sorry Adam and sorry Brainbug. 12/31 (2.58x) Shazam! Fury of the Gods: Like with Marvel, DC’s going to go through major declines as well. Superhero fatigue is real and streaming killed it. With Gunn and Safran rebooting everything, fandom morale for this and the other DC films this year is at a low, and Shazam feels like one of those hits that people saw and liked but didn’t have much staying power afterwards. Plus the ad campaign has been nonexistent, with the only footage we have been given being the same damn Comic-Con trailer back in July. It's baffling to me that they didn't put out a trailer for this for neither Black Adam nor Avatar to keep the hype and advertising going. It won't be Birds of Prey bad, but I'd be surprised if this reaches 100M. 33/95 (2.88x)- 328 replies
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Han and Eric's (Not-So) Controversial Predictions of 2023
Eric Quinn replied to Eric Quinn's topic in Box Office Discussion
March 10 Scream 6: Coming at the peak of Omicron, the last Scream did about 82M. Accounting for the departure of Neve Campbell and the larger competition, I think that’s about where this will end up too. The New York City location does give this a fresh, new spin, and Jenna Ortega's now the hip new thing post-Wednesday, but I don’t know if it’s too much to compensate for its other issues. But these movies are cheap to make and likely perform well on VOD that these 80M grosses are good enough for more films. 32/85 (2.66x) -
Han and Eric's (Not-So) Controversial Predictions of 2023
Eric Quinn replied to Eric Quinn's topic in Box Office Discussion
March 3 Creed III: When the first trailer dropped, Quorum “Awareness” and “Interest” data went through the roof, and I can understand why. The trailer’s effective in selling the Jordan vs. Majors hook and Adonis Creed’s managed to become fairly iconic to a lot of people, especially folks my age, a la Rocky. Plus this was filmed in IMAX, which gives it a proper PLF boost that can juice up the numbers. Although the lack of Rocky will hurt the film when it comes to older fans, I’m actually thinking it could end up being the strongest performer despite the handicap, though it does depend on how strong reviews and reception is. But you know what? Let's go controversial. 43/122 (2.84x) -
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LMAO I can only imagine how confused the kids were at seeing these random old people on the screen.
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)
Eric Quinn replied to Cap's topic in Numbers and Data
Quorum Updates 65 T-81: 16.82% Awareness, 5.64 Interest Champions T-88: 12.61%, 4.7 The Super Mario Bros. Movie T-102: 51.42%, 5.96 Are You There God? It's Me, Margaret T-123: 13.05%, 4.77 Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3 T-130: 53.48%, 6.43 Barbie T-207: 35.36%, 4.72 Wonka T-354: 38.7%, 6.13 M3GAN T-11: 44.28% Awareness, 5.84 Interest Final Awareness: 90% chance of 10M, 60% chance of 20M, 40% chance of 30M Final Interest: 100% chance of 10M, 80% chance of 20M, 50% chance of 30M Horror Awareness: 100% chance of 20M, 60% chance of 30M Horror Interest: 100% chance of 20M, 50% chance of 30M Knock at the Cabin T-39: 23.29% Awareness, 5.58 Interest T-30 Awareness: 58% chance of 10M, 25% chance of 20M T-30 Interest: 78% chance of 10M, 72% chance of 100M Horror Awareness: 75% chance of 10M, 50% chance of 20M Horror Interest: 100% chance of 10M, 50% chance of 20M Creed III T-67: 45.59% Awareness, 6.03 Interest T-60 Awareness: 100% chance of 30M, 87.5% chance of 40M, 62.5% chance of 60M T-60 Interest: 100% chance of 50M, 87.5% chance of 100M -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)
Eric Quinn replied to Cap's topic in Numbers and Data
M3GAN Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-10 and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 33 72 5433 1.33% Total Seats Sold Today: 5 Comp 0.329x of The Conjuring 3 T-10 (3.22M) 0.161x of Halloween Kills T-10 (779K) 0.190x of Scream T-10 (665K) 0.101x of Halloween Ends T-9 (545K) -
Han and Eric's (Not-So) Controversial Predictions of 2023
Eric Quinn replied to Eric Quinn's topic in Box Office Discussion
I think this is a constant from the NFL from now on to have the second weekend of February be Super Bowl weekend. I don't know why, but this is just how the NFL rolls now. -
Han and Eric's (Not-So) Controversial Predictions of 2023
Eric Quinn replied to Eric Quinn's topic in Box Office Discussion
This is why it's CONTROVERSIAL -
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Han and Eric's (Not-So) Controversial Predictions of 2023
Eric Quinn replied to Eric Quinn's topic in Box Office Discussion
February 24 Cocaine Bear: For a while, I thought this would have done Snakes on a Plane numbers, which would ironically be pretty good in a post-COVID, attendance-shrunk box office landscape. But looking things over, memes are the biggest selling point for a film these days, especially ones aimed at 18-34 year olds like this one. And Universal’s done a great job getting the meme machine going on this film, as shown by the major boost in awareness from Quorum over the past couple weeks post-trailer drop. It won't get close to 100M, but it should do close to double SoaP numbers and be a surprise breakout by post-COVID standards. (heh...SoaP. That’s funny) 25/70 (2.8x) Jesus Revolution: Seeing Kelsey Grammer in this crap crushed my soul. Never felt so embarrassed for an actor. I guess this could bring in the religious crowd, but even something like The Chosen wasn’t that big and this is way too far from Easter to get some holiday bump. But I guess it could still leg out fine and get church groups excited? Who knows? This could surprise us. 6/20 (3.33x) -
Han and Eric's (Not-So) Controversial Predictions of 2023
Eric Quinn replied to Eric Quinn's topic in Box Office Discussion
February 17 Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania: This promises to be the real deal and a big MCU gamechanger with the introduction of the new Thanos of the MCU, Kang. But Quorum metrics are pretty mediocre, even after the trailer landed, and they have not picked up whatsoever. Not a good sign two months from release. Plus MCU fatigue is real, as everybody’s sick and tired of all these crappy shows, of which this is tying into. While Loki is one of the more popular ones, it still makes it hard for the people who didn’t see or care much for Loki to get all that enthused about this movie's repercussions or this Kang guy. It will still be comfortably ahead of Ant-Man and the Wasp, but I feel in a non-Disney+ world, this would have for sure done way more. And yeah, Marvel underperformances are going to be a big trend this year. 90/240 (2.67x) -
Han and Eric's (Not-So) Controversial Predictions of 2023
Eric Quinn replied to Eric Quinn's topic in Box Office Discussion
February 10 Magic Mike’s Last Dance: Yeah, this will do solid. Magic Mike’s still a recognizable name and property, and there’s enough of a gap between this and the first movie for some good ol' nostalgia to kick in. Plus Tatum had two legit hits last year, showing he’s still got some popularity, and the surround sound and striptease action will be a great spectacle. And we all know that spectacle wins above all else. Won't rock the boat, but a good, solid way to end the franchise and a nice piece of counterprogramming versus Ant-Man. 30/70 (2.33x)