Eric the Clown

I thought I was the favorite admin

The Quorum is a website that publishes pre-release tracking data for upcoming releases. How aware people are of a movie, how interested people are, whether they would see it at home or in theaters, you get the point. It's a great resource that I think is very beneficial in showing, at the very least, the potential a movie is going to make. Not a perfect metric for exact numbers, but still indicative of a film's opening weekend range. Website link is right here: https://thequorum.com/

Quorum Updates Women Talking T-8: 12.03% Awareness, 4.41 Interest Plane T-15: 22.17%, 5.52 Missing T-22: 19.56%, 5.66 When You Finish Saving the World T-22: 7.64%, 5.0 Dungeons and Dragons: Honor Among Thieves T-92: 28.98%, 5.04 Evil Dead Rise T-113: 27.84%, 5.7 The Little Mermaid T-148: 55.17%, 6.22 Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom T-361: 53.26%, 6.35 M3GAN T-8: 46.31% Awareness, 6.05 Interest Final Awareness: 90% chance of 10M, 60% chance of 20M, 40% chance of 30M, 25% chance of 40M Final Interest: 100% chance of 10M, 94% chance of 20M and 30M, 82% chance of 40M Horror Awareness: 100% chance of 20M, 60% chance of 30M, 40% chance of 40M Horror Interest: 100% chance of 40M

https://www.boxofficepro.com/long-range-box-office-forecast-m3gan-and-a-man-called-otto-will-have-to-prop-up-a-light-january-before-2023-truly-ramps-up/ Release Date Title 3-Day (FSS) Opening Low-End Range Domestic Total Low-End Range Distributor 12/30/2022 A Man Called Otto (LA / NY Platform) Sony Pictures / Columbia 1/6/2023 M3GAN $20,000,000+ $49,000,000+ Universal Pictures 1/6/2023 A Man Called Otto (Limited) Sony Pictures / Columbia 1/6/2023 Women Talking (Wide) United Artists Releasing 1/13/2023 The Devil Conspiracy Third Day Productions 1/13/2023 House Party $4,000,000+ $10,000,000+ Warner Bros. Pictures 1/13/2023 A Man Called Otto (Wide Expansion) $9,000,000+ $30,000,000+ Sony Pictures / Columbia 1/13/2023 Plane $6,000,000+ $15,000,000+ Lionsgate 1/20/2023 Missing $4,000,000+ $10,000,000+ Sony / Screen Gems

I mean...I get that part.

...excuse me?

M3GAN Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-7 and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 36 86 6237 1.38% Total Seats Sold Today: 5 Comp 0.246x of The Conjuring 3 T-7 (2.41M) 0.140x Halloween Kills T-7 (679K) 0.171x of Scream T-7 (598K) 0.100x of Halloween Ends T-7 (542K)

Just letting y'all know I think pretty much all the PG-13 blockbusters, especially ones with sci-fi and fantasy elements, that come out are kids movies in some ways because they all have and aim for a kid audience in some way. I know that's not how everybody rolls, but that is how I do it.

It's got a Disney World ride and the last movie had two Kids Choice Awards. It's a family/kids movie dawg.

Also from Deadline

I mean it has in limited release. But nobody showed up.

May 26 The Little Mermaid: Racist trolls found dead in a ditch. When that first teaser trailer dropped, both Stan Twitter and Black Twitter went crazy solely on Halle’s pipes. Tiktok was full of viral vids of little Black girls in awe of that teaser, excited to see somebody who looks like them play a top 5 favorite Disney Princess. Regardless of quality, this movie will mean a lot to certain demographics and Disney knows that. Add on cool underwater visuals and the other fun aspects people love about these remakes, and this will be a big, big deal. Honestly the only problem the movie faces is the dreaded Disney+ factor and Spider-Verse competition, but I think the hype is strong enough that it won’t matter. Could obviously be wrong, and it should still be a huge hit either way, but I think this will be competitive for the top three of the summer and the year in general. I even think its 3-Day for the Memorial Day weekend will even outpace TGM. That's how confident (and I guess controversial 👀) I am being. 128/150/435 (3.40x)

May 19 Fast X: The new cast members are cool, but like...there’s no new hook for this franchise anymore. They already did the space thing in the last movie (badly I might add), the last couple movies have been critical duds, the franchise has been on the decline for a while anyways (doubt F9 would have done that much better with less COVID in the world), the new cast members probably won’t do much. What else is there to get people excited? And with all the Justin Lin drama, I doubt the film’s going to be all that good anyways. Sorry Vin, but your micromanaging has killed your golden goose. Good thing Avatar will save your ass. 65/150 (2.31x)

May 12 Book Club 2: The Next Chapter What did Downton Abbey 2 do? *checks* Uh...yeah, let’s go with half of that. 6/24 (4x) Love Again: Reading the plot for this sounds pretty corny and for the olds, who don't go to movies anymore. So...yeah. 5/15

May 5 Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3: Weird to think it’s been six whole years since the last Guardians sequel. Thankfully, Marvel’s been keeping the characters alive and in the conversation through the Avengers movies, the Disney rides, Thor 4, the Groot shorts, and the Holiday Special. Still, not too oversaturated, where people still kinda miss them. A legit nice happy medium. Quorum metrics are already very strong and the trailer promises a lot of emotional thrills and tearful goodbyes, although legs could be hurt by both Disney+ and the sad vibes expected. But of all the superhero movies this year, this is the one that will actually land with people. Probably on par with what it would have done in a non-COVID, non-Disney+ world if I’m being honest. So good on you James Gunn. Good luck to fixing that messed-up DC ship. 167/423 (2.53x)

M3GAN Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-8 and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 36 81 6237 1.30% Total Seats Sold Today: 0 Comp 0.255x of The Conjuring 3 T-8 (2.5M) 0.145x of Halloween Kills T-8 (705K) 0.168x of Scream T-8 (588K) 0.103x of Halloween Ends T-8 (559K)

Quorum Updates A Man Called Otto T-16: 30.36% Awareness, 5.39 Interest House Party T-16: 32.06%, 5.74 Alice, Darling T-23: 17.39%, 5.16 Golda T-72: 6.82%, 4.33 Inside T-72: 10.86%, 5.34 Scream 6 T-72: 48.05%, 6.24 Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse T-156: 48.48%, 6.46 Transformers: Rise of the Beasts T-163: 40.58%, 6.19 The Blackening T-170: 13.7%, 5.43 Cocaine Bear T-58: 28.79% Awareness, 5.65 Interest T-60 Awareness: 59% chance of 10M, 31% chance of 20M, 16% chance of 30M T-60 Interest: 72% chance of 10M, 67% chance of 20M, 55% chance of 30M Original - Low Awareness: 78% chance of 5M, 33% chance of 10M Original - Low Interest: 60% chance of 5M, 40% chance of 10M

I mean...I don't think it's all that bold (superhero fatigue is real), but I'm sure some Marvel fan will throw a fit over that prediction, so go with that.

April 28 Are You There, God? It’s Me Margaret: Like I said with Chevalier, the olds this is aiming itself towards (yes I know this is a YA book) don't show up to these things anymore. But this could go just a bit farther, as it'll be an okay counterprogram choice going into May and should be a solid crowdpleaser picture. Edge of Seventeen numbers, which, funny enough, would now be considered a good thing for a movie like this. 5/15 (3x) George Foreman Biopic: Probably the same as Father Stu, if not a wee bit higher if they put in some fun sports stuff in there. I dunno. Some of these entries I just don't feel like I have much of a reason to go into why a film will gross what they do, especially when there's no trailers or marketing to fall back on. 6/20 (3.33x)

April 21 Evil Dead Rise: The 2013 film adjusts to 61M, which...yeah, that sounds good here. Evil Dead's not the biggest horror franchise in the world, but still iconic and recognizable. And while Zaslav still sucks, he seems confident in this film's performance to move it away from HBO Max. So let's just go with this. 30/60 (2x)