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Everything posted by Eric the Clown
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LMAO I can only imagine how confused the kids were at seeing these random old people on the screen.
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)
Eric the Clown replied to Cap's topic in Numbers and Data
Quorum Updates 65 T-81: 16.82% Awareness, 5.64 Interest Champions T-88: 12.61%, 4.7 The Super Mario Bros. Movie T-102: 51.42%, 5.96 Are You There God? It's Me, Margaret T-123: 13.05%, 4.77 Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3 T-130: 53.48%, 6.43 Barbie T-207: 35.36%, 4.72 Wonka T-354: 38.7%, 6.13 M3GAN T-11: 44.28% Awareness, 5.84 Interest Final Awareness: 90% chance of 10M, 60% chance of 20M, 40% chance of 30M Final Interest: 100% chance of 10M, 80% chance of 20M, 50% chance of 30M Horror Awareness: 100% chance of 20M, 60% chance of 30M Horror Interest: 100% chance of 20M, 50% chance of 30M Knock at the Cabin T-39: 23.29% Awareness, 5.58 Interest T-30 Awareness: 58% chance of 10M, 25% chance of 20M T-30 Interest: 78% chance of 10M, 72% chance of 100M Horror Awareness: 75% chance of 10M, 50% chance of 20M Horror Interest: 100% chance of 10M, 50% chance of 20M Creed III T-67: 45.59% Awareness, 6.03 Interest T-60 Awareness: 100% chance of 30M, 87.5% chance of 40M, 62.5% chance of 60M T-60 Interest: 100% chance of 50M, 87.5% chance of 100M -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)
Eric the Clown replied to Cap's topic in Numbers and Data
M3GAN Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-10 and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 33 72 5433 1.33% Total Seats Sold Today: 5 Comp 0.329x of The Conjuring 3 T-10 (3.22M) 0.161x of Halloween Kills T-10 (779K) 0.190x of Scream T-10 (665K) 0.101x of Halloween Ends T-9 (545K) -
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February 24 Cocaine Bear: For a while, I thought this would have done Snakes on a Plane numbers, which would ironically be pretty good in a post-COVID, attendance-shrunk box office landscape. But looking things over, memes are the biggest selling point for a film these days, especially ones aimed at 18-34 year olds like this one. And Universal’s done a great job getting the meme machine going on this film, as shown by the major boost in awareness from Quorum over the past couple weeks post-trailer drop. It won't get close to 100M, but it should do close to double SoaP numbers and be a surprise breakout by post-COVID standards. (heh...SoaP. That’s funny) 25/70 (2.8x) Jesus Revolution: Seeing Kelsey Grammer in this crap crushed my soul. Never felt so embarrassed for an actor. I guess this could bring in the religious crowd, but even something like The Chosen wasn’t that big and this is way too far from Easter to get some holiday bump. But I guess it could still leg out fine and get church groups excited? Who knows? This could surprise us. 6/20 (3.33x)
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February 17 Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania: This promises to be the real deal and a big MCU gamechanger with the introduction of the new Thanos of the MCU, Kang. But Quorum metrics are pretty mediocre, even after the trailer landed, and they have not picked up whatsoever. Not a good sign two months from release. Plus MCU fatigue is real, as everybody’s sick and tired of all these crappy shows, of which this is tying into. While Loki is one of the more popular ones, it still makes it hard for the people who didn’t see or care much for Loki to get all that enthused about this movie's repercussions or this Kang guy. It will still be comfortably ahead of Ant-Man and the Wasp, but I feel in a non-Disney+ world, this would have for sure done way more. And yeah, Marvel underperformances are going to be a big trend this year. 90/240 (2.67x)
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February 10 Magic Mike’s Last Dance: Yeah, this will do solid. Magic Mike’s still a recognizable name and property, and there’s enough of a gap between this and the first movie for some good ol' nostalgia to kick in. Plus Tatum had two legit hits last year, showing he’s still got some popularity, and the surround sound and striptease action will be a great spectacle. And we all know that spectacle wins above all else. Won't rock the boat, but a good, solid way to end the franchise and a nice piece of counterprogramming versus Ant-Man. 30/70 (2.33x)
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February 3 80 for Brady: I don’t even get who this is for. Not saying women don't like football, but a lot of NFL/Brady fans probably won’t watch a Book Club-style comedy and I don't think grandmas are desperate for a Jane Fonda football movie. And comedies are dead anyways and with bad Quorum results...yeah. 6/15 (2.5x) Knock at the Cabin: Old just barely missed 50M during a time when audiences were still slow to return to theaters. And I think ultimately this will do about on par, maybe a little less than that. I just plain don’t feel like the “stopping the apocalypse” hook is as strong or as memorable as Old’s “beach turns you old” hook, and I’m not sure it will do much better critically to get non-Shyamalan fans on board. Quorum metrics are also pretty mediocre too. Still, these movies are cheap and have a solid enough fanbase that it will probably be another solid entry in the Shyamagod/Blumhouse relationship. 17/45 (2.65x)
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)
Eric the Clown replied to Cap's topic in Numbers and Data
M3GAN Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-11 and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 33 67 5433 1.23% Total Seats Sold Today: 4 Comp 0.485x of The Conjuring 3 T-11 (4.76M) 0.178x of Halloween Kills T-11 (864K) 0.200x of Scream T-11 (702K) 0.099x of Halloween Ends T-11 (534K)