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Everything posted by Eric the Clown
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The tweet above mentions they have no plans to reveal a theater count nor any grosses. Funny how even ten years ago, this would have debuted in 2,000+ theaters and make a modest $45 million. Probably could have done something like that even today on an empty weekend and barren summer like this. But of course, these studios probably want movie theaters to die because capitalism or something. Pathetic.
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The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
Eric the Clown replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
Quorum Updates Inside Out 2 T-15: 57.24% Awareness, 51.97% Interest It Ends with Us T-71: 16.41% Awareness, 38.23% Interest Alien: Romulus T-78: 28.69% Awareness, 44.05% Interest The Crow T-85: 32.33% Awareness, 42.53% Interest Killer's Game T-106: 14.17% Awareness, 43.33% Interest Joker: Folie a Deux T-127: 55.37% Awareness, 60.72% Interest Piece by Piece T-134: 14.62% Awareness, 32.92% Interest Venom: The Last Dance T-148: 32.62% Awareness, 53.5% Interest Bad Boys for Life T-8: 65.02% Awareness, 57.79% Interest Final Awareness: 100% chance of 20M, 88% chance of 30M, 85% chance of 40M, 73% chance of 50M, 58% chance of 60M, 46% chance of 70M Medium Awareness: 100% chance of 70M Final Interest: 79% chance of 20M, 60% chance of 30M, 45% chance of 40M, 31% chance of 50M, 23% chance of 60M, 16% chance of 70M Medium Interest: 75% chance of 20M, 58% chance of 30M, 25% chance of 40M, 8% chance of 50M The Watchers T-8: 28.06% Awareness, 44.67% Interest Final Awareness: 16% chance of 10M Horror Awareness: 33% chance of 10M Final Interest: 49% chance of 10M Horror Interest: 45% chance of 10M -
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Timothee should win, and the Academy are cowards because they won’t do it
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The Garfield Movie | Sony | May 24, 2024
Eric the Clown replied to AMCTheater2000's topic in Box Office Discussion
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The Smashing Machine | A24 | Dwayne Johnson | 2025
Eric the Clown replied to movies!movies!'s topic in Box Office Discussion
I mean I didn’t recognize him in that photo. 🤷 -
The Smashing Machine | A24 | Dwayne Johnson | 2025
Eric the Clown replied to movies!movies!'s topic in Box Office Discussion
I’m assuming this isn’t coming out this year after A24 dated a bunch of other movies? Little sad, but it’s fine. -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
Eric the Clown replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
A movie can have tons of trailers and marketing and ads and so on, and just straight up not connect with audiences. Trailers can help boost a film's awareness and interest, and just as likely not do anything for a film. Sucks, but it is what it is. The Fall Guy for instance had its trailers fail to move the needle in terms of awareness. That was an early premonition the film wasn't going to be all that. https://thequorum.com/film/?filmID=453 -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
Eric the Clown replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
Quorum Updates The Bikeriders T-23: 17.55% Awareness, 34.04% Interest Despicable Me 4 T-35: 61.24% Awareness, 58.97% Interest Fly Me to the Moon T-44: 21.97% Awareness, 37.67% Interest Longlegs T-44: 13.19% Awareness, 42.74% Interest Flight Risk T-142: 15.17% Awareness, 44.17% Interest Nosferatu T-210: 17.67% Awareness, 36.33% Interest The Wolf Man T-233: 15.5% Awareness, 40.33% Interest A Quiet Place: Day One T-30: 38.34% Awareness, 51.05% Interest T-30 Awareness: 82% chance of 10M, 56% chance of 20M, 32% chance of 30M, 12% chance of 40M Horror Awareness: 89% chance of 10M, 55% chance of 20M, 33% chance of 30M, 11% chance of 40M T-30 Interest: 95% chance of 10M, 86% chance of 20M, 76% chance of 30M, 70% chance of 40M Horror Interest: 80% chance of 10M, 40% chance of 30M, 20% chance of 40M Maxxxine T-37: 17.55% Awareness, 34.65% Interest T-30 Awareness: 15% chance of 10M Horror Awareness: 11% chance of 10M T-30 Interest: 32% chance of 10M Horror Interest: 33% chance of 10M Deadpool & Wolverine T-58: 58.26% Awareness, 66.56% Interest T-60 Awareness: 100% chance of 20M, 93% chance of 40M, 86% chance of 50M, 64% chance of 60M, 57% chance of 70M, 50% chance of 90M, 43% chance of 100M, 7% chance of 200M DC/MCU Awareness: 100% chance of 20M, 83% chance of 100M, 17% chance of 200M T-60 Interest: 100% chance of 100M DC/MCU Interest: 100% chance of 100M -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
Eric the Clown replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
Because it's quite frustrating to spend hours of my own personal free time, compiling and reviewing and looking over information, for something I have strong interest and passion in, only to have somebody mock and degrade it all for no reason when they have made their point very, very clear and could have just ignored these posts. Plus, if you really must know, it makes perfect sense for Bad Boys to have more awareness than Deadpool, because that's almost always how this works. Generally speaking, the closer you are to a movie's release date, the higher the Quorum awareness number is. That's because the earlier movie will have more ads, more promos, a bigger push compared to the movie that's coming out much later, so it will be in the public conscious way easier. Plus, if you want to look at Interest, which is as much, if not more important of a barometer, Deadpool is in fact #1, while Bad Boys is all the way at #5. It's not just who is aware a movie is coming out, but whether they want to see it. So yeah, those Quorum people you think are hacks? They have data that believes Deadpool will be a bigger opener than Bad Boys. And I'm sure their projections have that, despite Bad Boys having more awareness, due to the fact it's dropping in a week. And again, if you look at the data I have, it indicates that Bad Boys 4's mid-60s awareness would mean an almost certain chance of 40M, 50M is super super likely, and even 60M isn't out of the question. I still don't think it's perfect for this film, as there aren't a lot of great comps at the moment for this range for a Medium-sized movie like this, but the indication is that it should open in the 40s at worst, the 60s at best, likely the 50s when all is said and done. Which uh...yeah, that's what the trackers here are saying. You can ignore or disregard their work all you want, but I have the right to post what I think is interesting and I don't need to get this kind of berating. I'm sure you didn't mean to, but intentions don't equal actions. -
Princess stuff has always had the hugest longevity and staying power with kids and Disney Adults regardless of box office. Bolt made more money than Princess and the Frog, and you probably forgot Bolt was a thing until just now.
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lol was about to say. Was really mad the pig didn’t do fun stuff in the ocean last time. Trailer itself? Looks like a Moana sequel alright. Which is a good thing! If you like Moana. If you don’t? Well…why would you watch this lol
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Will say before the teaser potentially dashes my hopes that I would think going from TV series to movie may actually be a blessing for this creatively? The big issue most of these Disney+ shows have is that their pacing drags, as they all feel like movies being bloated and padded out to be 6 episode TV shows. You could take Obi-Wan or Falcon and the Winter Soldier, remove a subplot here and there, and get a 2.5 hour movie that, at the very least, fixes pacing issues. Condensing a bloated Moana sequel from 130 minutes to about 95 or 100 minutes? Sounds good to me!
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The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
Eric the Clown replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
That is very much not what that data implies whatsoever, and I’ve explained this numerous times already, but go off I guess. 🙄 -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
Eric the Clown replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
Quorum Updates Twisters T-53: 46.87% Awareness, 55.02% Interest The Forge T-88: 13.3% Awareness, 36.58% Interest Beetlejuice Beetlejuice T-102: 57.29% Awareness, 64.67% Interest Speak No Evil T-109: 20.25% Awareness, 47.81% Interest Here T-184: 8.33% Awareness, 34.17% Interest Kraven the Hunter T-200: 27.52% Awareness, 39.64% Interest Bad Boys for Life T-11: 64.06% Awareness, 58.03% Interest Final Awareness: 100% chance of 20M, 88% chance of 30M, 85% chance of 40M, 73% chance of 50M, 58% chance of 60M, 46% chance of 70M Medium Awareness: 100% chance of 70M Final Interest: 79% chance of 20M, 60% chance of 30M, 45% chance of 40M, 31% chance of 50M, 23% chance of 60M, 16% chance of 70M Medium Interest: 75% chance of 20M, 58% chance of 30M, 25% chance of 40M, 8% chance of 50M The Watchers T-11: 28.53% Awareness, 44.61% Interest Final Awareness: 16% chance of 10M Horror Awareness: 33% chance of 10M Final Interest: 49% chance of 10M Horror Interest: 45% chance of 10M Horizon: An American Saga Part 1 T-32: 20.91% Awareness, 36.31% Interest T-30 Awareness: 54% chance of 10M, 17% chance of 20M Medium Awareness: 75% chance of 10M, 17% chance of 20M T-30 Interest: 32% chance of 10M, 6% chance of 20M Medium Interest: 50% chance of 10M -
I mean I know from experience that outside of Harry Potter, the one non-Disney thing most Disney Adults adore is Broadway. And Wicked is one of the most iconic for that demographic. It's basically a Disney movie when you get down to it (not helped by Disney ripping it off like 5 times). At the very least, both dropping on the same day may not cause either movie to bomb, but it's still pretty foolish IMO