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Eric the Clown

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Everything posted by Eric the Clown

  1. https://www.boxofficepro.com/long-range-tracking-pixars-onward-and-the-way-back/ lol of course Dolittle drops below my threshold at the last minute. Ah well, what are you gonna do? And I guess the other numbers seem right. Been predicting this exact range for Onward for the longest time.
  2. https://www.boxofficepro.com/long-range-tracking-pixars-onward-and-the-way-back/ 8-Week Tracking and Forecasts Release Date Title 3-Day (FSS) Opening Tracking Range 3-Day (FSS) Opening Forecast % Chg from Last Week Domestic Total Range Domestic Total Forecast % Chg from Last Week Distributor 1/17/2020 Bad Boys for Life $25,000,000 – $35,000,000 $32,000,000 $70,000,000 – $100,000,000 $85,000,000 Sony / Columbia 1/17/2020 Dolittle $20,000,000 – $35,000,000 $22,000,000 -21% $70,000,000 – $110,000,000 $84,000,000 -18% Universal 1/24/2020 The Gentlemen $10,000,000 – $15,000,000 $12,000,000 $30,000,000 – $50,000,000 $38,000,000 STX 1/24/2020 The Last Full Measure n/a n/a Roadside Attractions 1/24/2020 Run n/a n/a Lionsgate / Summit 1/24/2020 The Turning $10,000,000 – $15,000,000 $13,000,000 -7% $25,000,000 – $40,000,000 $34,000,000 -11% Universal 1/31/2020 Gretel and Hansel $5,000,000 – $10,000,000 $5,500,000 $10,000,000 – $20,000,000 $11,000,000 United Artists Releasing 1/31/2020 The Rhythm Section $10,000,000 – $15,000,000 $12,000,000 $30,000,000 – $45,000,000 $38,000,000 Paramount 2/7/2020 Birds of Prey (and the Fantabulous Emancipation of One Harley Quinn) $40,000,000 – $60,000,000 $49,000,000 $100,000,000 – $150,000,000 $125,000,000 Warner Bros. 2/14/2020 Fantasy Island $17,000,000 – $22,000,000 $17,000,000 $44,000,000 – $57,000,000 $44,000,000 Sony / Columbia 2/14/2020 The Photograph $13,000,000 – $18,000,000 $15,000,000 $30,000,000 – $42,000,000 $35,000,000 Universal 2/14/2020 Sonic the Hedgehog $20,000,000 – $30,000,000 $26,000,000 $65,000,000 – $100,000,000 $86,000,000 Paramount 2/21/2020 Brahms: The Boy 2 $7,000,000 – $12,000,000 $8,000,000 $15,000,000 – $28,000,000 $17,800,000 STX 2/21/2020 Call of the Wild $15,000,000 – $20,000,000 $15,000,000 $50,000,000 – $65,000,000 $50,000,000 Fox 2/28/2020 The Invisible Man $20,000,000 – $40,000,000 $30,000,000 $60,000,000 – $105,000,000 $80,000,000 Universal 3/6/2020 Onward $50,000,000 – $70,000,000 $60,000,000 NEW $175,000,000 – $250,000,000 $227,000,000 NEW Disney / Pixar 3/6/2020 The Way Back $12,000,000 – $17,000,000 $13,000,000 NEW $40,000,000 – $60,000,000 $43,500,000 NEW Warner Bros.
  3. If 1917 follows Hustlers: 43.1M If it follows Ad Astra: 41.17M If it follows Ford v Ferrari: 48.71M
  4. Dolittle Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-7 and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 27 49 5,272 0.93% Total Seats Sold Today: 0 Comp 0.312x of Maleficent 7 days before release (718K) 0.352x of Jumanji (1.66M) 😬
  5. Underwater Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report Final Count Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 18 182 2,322 3.88% Total Seats Sold Today: 92 Comp 0.424x of Crawl (424K) 0.280x of Scary Stories (651K) 0.938x of 47 Meters Down (484K) 0.910x of Countdown (469K) 0.486x of Doctor Sleep (730K) 1.221x of Black Christmas (281K) 0.336x of The Grudge (604K) Well...at least 1917's doing good.
  6. Like a Boss Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report Final Count Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 34 418 4,864 3.47% Total Shows Added Today: 2 Total Seats Added Today: 200 Total Seats Sold Today: 256 Comp 1.665x of Stuber (1.25M) 0.595x of Good Boys (1.25M) 0.385x of Hustlers (963K) Decided to drop the other comps, since I feel like they'll be way too low. Guess that number is fine enough for a low teens opening, which is passable enough for comedies these days
  7. Just Mercy Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report Final Count Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 35 403 4,675 8.62% Total Seats Sold Today: 224 Comp 0.544x of Gemini Man (870K) 0.595x of Black and Blue (402K) 0.816x of Harriet (489K) 0.692x of 21 Bridges (485K) Yeah this looks like it's following the footsteps of Goldfinch/Good Liar. Ah well.
  8. 1917 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report Final Count Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 33 1,137 6,609 17.20% Total Shows Added Today: 4 Total Seats Added Today: 1,250 Total Seats Sold Today: 620 Comp 2.354x of Angel Has Fallen (3.53M) 2.399x of Ad Astra (3.60M) 2.682x of Rambo (3.49M) 1.305x of Terminator (3.07M) 5.099x of Midway (4.72M) 2.850x of Ford v Ferrari (5.98M) 4.797x of Neighborhood (4.32M) Well shit. With numbers like these, 45M isn't even out of the question. Of course anything over 30M would be an amazing accomplishment, and that's not to say this movie is doing bad if it doesn't hit these high numbers, but the potential looks to be there.
  9. https://letterboxd.com/2019/#highest-rated-animation @Blankments duuuuuuuuuuuuuuuude
  10. Started a long time ago. Sales have been pretty decent so far, about 5 times more than Dolittle, though of course I'm tracking Big Willie's home turf, so there's bias here.
  11. Dolittle Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-8 and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 27 49 5,272 0.93% Total Seats Sold Today: 2 Comp 0.329x of Maleficent 8 days before release (756K) 0.408x of Jumanji (1.92M) Yeah, this is not looking pretty. At least it'll be funny to see the BTS reports
  12. Underwater Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-1 and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 18 90 2,322 3.88% Total Seats Sold Today: 23 Comp 0.581x of Crawl 1 day before release (581K) 0.320x of Scary Stories (746K) 1.125x of 47 Meters Down (580K) 3.214x of Countdown (1.65M) 0.486x of Doctor Sleep (730K) 1.525x of Black Christmas (351K) 0.738x of The Grudge (1.33M) ...yeesh. Not surprised at those numbers tho
  13. Like a Boss Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-1 and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 32 272 4,664 3.47% Total Seats Sold Today: 110 Comp 2.450x of Stuber 1 day before release (1.84M) 1.432x of Good Boys (3.01M) 0.575x of Hustlers (1.44M) 1.519x of Black and Blue (1.03M) 1.162x of Harriet (697K) Decided to add in a couple more black-led comps, since a Haddish vehicle probably will mean a Philly overperformance. Today's sales were inflated by Girls Night Out showings, but hey, that's still money for the movie. We'll see how things turn out, though its reviews are definitely making me go "hmm"
  14. Just Mercy Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-1 and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 35 179 4,675 4.41% Total Seats Sold Today: 72 Comp 0.499x of Gemini Man 1 day before release (798K) 1.000x of Black and Blue (675K) 0.765x of Harriet (459K) 0.799x of 21 Bridges (559K) Yeah, pretty soft jump today all things considered. But hey, tomorrow might get a good walkup boost.
  15. 1917 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-1 and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 29 517 5,359 9.65% Total Seats Sold Today: 158 Comp 2.572x of Angel Has Fallen 1 day before release (3.86M) 2.027x of Ad Astra (3.04M) 2.497x of Rambo (3.25M) 1.258x of Terminator (2.96M) 6.462x of Midway (5.98M) 2.988x of Ford v Ferrari (6.27M) 3.946x of Neighborhood (3.55M) Yeah, great stuff. Not much else to say, though we'll see if the numbers go any higher.
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