Jump to content

Eric the Clown

Junior Admin
  • Posts

    37,399
  • Joined

  • Days Won

    459

Everything posted by Eric the Clown

  1. Dolittle Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-12 and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 27 41 5,272 0.78% Total Seats Sold Today: 0 Comp 0.325x of Maleficent 12 days before release (748K)
  2. November 25 King Richard: Serena Williams is basically the biggest thing in tennis right now, so I think a biopic about her and Venus and their relationship with their dad has great potential box office wise. Will Smith starring also doesn’t hurt. Let’s just say Creed numbers for right now. 30/40/105 (3.5x, 2.62x) Raya and the Last Dragon: After a slew of sequels, it is nice to see Disney Animation follow Pixar and go back to their bread and butter and create new and exciting IPs, and this sounds like another winner. Being a more action-heavy movie helps it stand out compared to the other Princess movies, and with the directors also having a lot of experience working on Disney’s previous hit films this past decade, I think they have an idea on what people like to see. It also helps that December looks really weak this year, so late legs could be easier to obtain. 60/85/265 (4.42x, 3.12x)
  3. November 20 Happiest Season: A lesbian Christmas romcom? The POWAH of Love, Simon. And I guess that’s a good idea on where it’ll open and end at. The premise seems like one that will get plenty of positive headlines, and should be enough of a warm crowdpleaser, especially with the Christmas season ahead of it. Unless it really turns out bad, it’ll be a modest little moneymaker. 15/60 (4x) Godzilla vs. Kong: For what it’s worth, King Kong is more recognizable and a bigger draw than Mothra and Ghidora. So I can see a scenario where there’s a bit more interest among casual fans and the GA compared to King of the Monsters. But....yeah, this won’t do well. Ignoring The Eternals, people got burned by the last couple Godzilla movies and I think people just don’t really care about these monsters or this shared universe anymore. Better than King of the Monsters? Maybe. I’m not predicting that, but it’s not impossible. But don’t expect something great here. 35/90 (2.57x)
  4. Did I say you should not talk about Star Wars? You can talk about the movie's performance. What I'm saying is that discussing how Star Wars was ruined, and complaining about JJ, KK, Rian, Iger, or whoever has gone on long enough. It already was toxic enough weeks ago, but that was because it just came out and there was merit to discuss this. But now, it's old news, nobody's going to change their minds, and it was going to lead to a toxic discussion that would last multiple pages. I want this place to be a fun environment to talk about box office, and talking about how much people hate JJ or The Last Jedi was not going to help. Besides, what else can you really add to this blame game three weeks later? Is there anything else that needs to be talked about at this point?
  5. November 13 Dark Water: Adrian Lyne finally returns after an 18-year hiatus. Lyne’s work is arguably hit-and-miss, so I’m not expecting anything amazing critically, but the premise is good, and the cast is strong, especially since Ana de Armas is arguably the breakout star of Knives Out. Only other concern is how Disney/Fox can handle this being sandwiched inbetween both Eternals and Raya, but I’m sure Disney will have some idea on what they’re doing. 23/70 (3.04x) Clifford the Big Red Dog: Now that’s what I call nostalgia! I loved the PBS show and the books growing up. Let’s see who is in charge of this...Walt Becker, the director of Wild Hogs, Old Dogs, and Alvin and the Chipmunks: The Road Chip And Paramount wonders why they’re in last place. 15/45 (3x)
  6. November 6 The Eternals: Papa Feige has something special up his sleeves with this one, I can smell it. Not just because of director Chloe Zhao (Please see The Rider) nor the cast, but just in the way it fits into the Marvel universe. Celestial beings, alien races, century-spanning storyline, cosmic intergalactic shit. It all sounds so grand and epic and cool that I think it’ll really show like that in the movie. Outside of that, there’s pretty much nothing competition-wise until Thanksgiving (I know there’s Godzilla vs. Kong, but uh.... 😬), and Marvel is still likely going to be the biggest thing ever by this point, so expect another winner. And y’know what, let’s predict a big winner. 140/400 (2.86x)
  7. Moderation NOPE. We already talked about "what ruined Star Wars" for weeks now. We don't need to continue on longer. If you really think it's necessary to talk about this (it isn't by the way), go to the Fanboy Wars thread. Anybody else who continues this will get repercussions.
  8. Dolittle Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-13 and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 27 41 5,272 0.78% Total Seats Sold Today: 2 Comp 0.331x of Maleficent 13 days before release (760K)
  9. https://www.boxofficepro.com/long-range-tracking-does-the-invisible-man-show-breakout-potential-updates-on-bad-boys-for-life-dolittle-and-more/ 8-Week Tracking and Forecasts Release Date Title 3-Day (FSS) Opening Tracking Range 3-Day (FSS) Opening Forecast % Chg from Last Week Domestic Total Range Domestic Total Forecast % Chg from Last Week Distributor 1/10/2020 1917 (Wide) $24,000,000 – $29,000,000 $27,000,000 13% $90,000,000 – $120,000,000 $100,000,000 6% Universal / DreamWorks 1/10/2020 Just Mercy (Wide) $11,000,000 – $16,000,000 $12,000,000 -14% $45,000,000 – $65,000,000 $51,000,000 -14% Warner Bros. 1/10/2020 Like a Boss $15,000,000 – $20,000,000 $13,500,000 -21% $45,000,000 – $60,000,000 $45,000,000 -12% Paramount 1/10/2020 Underwater $5,000,000 – $10,000,000 $6,500,000 $12,000,000 – $25,000,000 $14,000,000 -22% Fox 1/17/2020 Bad Boys for Life $21,000,000 – $31,000,000 $32,000,000 28% $70,000,000 – $100,000,000 $85,000,000 33% Sony / Columbia 1/17/2020 Dolittle $25,000,000 – $45,000,000 $28,000,000 -30% $90,000,000 – $140,000,000 $102,000,000 -30% Universal 1/24/2020 The Gentlemen $10,000,000 – $15,000,000 $12,000,000 $30,000,000 – $50,000,000 $38,000,000 STX 1/24/2020 The Last Full Measure n/a n/a Roadside Attractions 1/24/2020 Run n/a n/a Lionsgate / Summit 1/24/2020 The Turning $10,000,000 – $15,000,000 $14,000,000 $25,000,000 – $40,000,000 $38,000,000 Universal 1/31/2020 Gretel and Hansel $5,000,000 – $10,000,000 $5,500,000 $10,000,000 – $20,000,000 $11,000,000 United Artists Releasing 1/31/2020 The Rhythm Section $10,000,000 – $15,000,000 $12,000,000 $30,000,000 – $45,000,000 $38,000,000 Paramount 2/7/2020 Birds of Prey (and the Fantabulous Emancipation of One Harley Quinn) $40,000,000 – $60,000,000 $49,000,000 $100,000,000 – $150,000,000 $125,000,000 Warner Bros. 2/14/2020 Fantasy Island $17,000,000 – $22,000,000 $17,000,000 $44,000,000 – $57,000,000 $44,000,000 Sony / Columbia 2/14/2020 The Photograph $13,000,000 – $18,000,000 $15,000,000 $30,000,000 – $42,000,000 $35,000,000 Universal 2/14/2020 Sonic the Hedgehog $20,000,000 – $30,000,000 $26,000,000 $65,000,000 – $100,000,000 $86,000,000 Paramount 2/21/2020 Brahms: The Boy 2 $7,000,000 – $12,000,000 $8,000,000 $15,000,000 – $28,000,000 $17,800,000 STX 2/21/2020 Call of the Wild $15,000,000 – $20,000,000 $15,000,000 $50,000,000 – $65,000,000 $50,000,000 Fox 2/28/2020 The Invisible Man $20,000,000 – $40,000,000 $30,000,000 NEW $60,000,000 – $105,000,000 $80,000,000 NEW Universal
  10. October 23 Everybody’s Talking About Jamie: I like the premise, but I’m not a huge fan of the pre-Halloween release date. It’ll probably get lost in the shuffle once November rolls around. I don’t have anything else to say, and I want to get this month over with, so let’s just say this does around Judy numbers. 8/28 (3.5x)
  11. October 16 Snake Eyes: This really does show how dire Paramount is at the moment. The previous GI Joe movies weren’t that big to begin with, so what shot does this spin-off have? Not even mentioning the creative team behind it. The director of Allegiant and the writer of Huntsman: Winter’s War doesn’t make me hopeful for anything good. Sorry Henry Golding. You deserve better. 18/43 (2.39x) Halloween Kills: While I’m optimistic for A Quiet Place’s sequel, I’m not seeing the same thing for this one. All the nostalgia and JLC hype from the first one will be nonexistent here, and I don’t feel like people were all that jazzed for the last Halloween in the first place, so a big drop should happen. But it could just get past the century mark, since there’s very little in the way of horror this October. 45/100 (2.22x)
  12. https://deadline.com/2020/01/star-wars-rise-of-skywalker-the-grudge-uncut-gems-weekend-box-office-2020-1202820066/
  13. October 9 Death on the Nile: Orient Express had a decent opening, but great legs through the November and December holidays, becoming a huge hit for Kenneth Branagh. The sequel though...I have concerns. Not only does its October release date mean it gets zero boost from the holidays, with a couple exceptions, the cast just isn’t really as fun or as buzzy, which was the big reason why people wanted to see the last movie. And I’d also argue that the majority of people who saw Orient Express liked it fine enough, but aren’t really jazzed for a follow-up. So there will be a drop in store, but probably still enough to make a good profit. 20/68 (3.4x) Fatale: Noticed the director for this also did Traffik, The Intruder, and Black and Blue, so I guess I know what to expect quality-wise. And I guess Black and Blue numbers sound about right for a no1curr surrounded by so many potentially buzzy projects. 7/17 (2.43x) Respect: Jennifer Hudson as Aretha Franklin is flawless casting. Just putting that out there. MGM is already starting their marketing campaign early with this one, and pushing this into awards season shows a lot of confidence here. Aretha Franklin’s also iconic in her own right, which only helps the movie’s chances. Obviously doing 75M or whatever would be great, but I’m gonna be optimistic and say this movie has something special up its sleeve. 25/115 (4.6x) The Witches: Burton’s Charlie and the Chocolate Factory aside, Roald Dahl adaptations have all gone down the same route. Mediocre or downright flop at the box office, gains a cult following years later. Considering this is a Zemeckis film, that sounds about right here. 15/50 (3.33x)
  14. October 2 BIOS: I dig the plot for this. I’m a total sucker for these last man on Earth concepts. The only real issue I have is the director, whose last movie was Repo Man back in 2010. Then again, he did direct the one Game of Thrones episode nerds creamed over, so I guess maybe he just needs good material? Regardless, I think the concept is interesting enough that it could grab people’s attention, and having Tom Hanks as the lead certainly doesn’t hurt. 25/80 (3.2x) The Trial of the Chicago 7: As always, it’s hard to judge movies that will open in limited first and decipher their wide opening. But I have hopes for this one. Molly’s Game was solid, and there’s a great cast and story here that will make people invested. Pretty much all of this movie’s chances rest on the Oscar buzz, but let’s just be optimistic on this one. 25/105 (4.2x) Venom 2: KNOCK KNOCK LET THE DEVIL IN. As much as Venom took us by surprise, both in opening and legs, it didn’t have that great of legs. And while the Hardy and Harrelson ham will still attract people, I think others had their fill already with the first. But it’s still going to be a hit, and should help set up Venom 3, when Tom Holland puts it above 300M. 70/170 (2.43x)
  15. A guy in the Tracking Thread said the movie reminded him of Devil Inside, which....woof
  16. Dolittle Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-14 and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 27 39 5,272 0.74% Total Shows Added Today: 1 Total Seats Added Today: 112 Total Seats Sold Today: 5 Comp 0.325x of Maleficent 14 days before release (747K)
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use and Guidelines. Feel free to read our Privacy Policy as well.