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Everything posted by Eric Deetz
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It Ends With Us | Sony | August 9, 2024
Eric Deetz replied to Box Office Hit's topic in Box Office Discussion
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Oh, I remember there was a lot of people saying stuff like this a year ago. Like somehow because Barbie and Mario were popular and stuff like Little Mermaid or Guardians of the Galaxy underperformed (though still made more money than most movies would ever dream of), that people were sick of these sequels and nostalgic toy commercials and wanted something fresh and new...and somehow these nostalgic toy commercials that only made their money because they are nostalgic toy commercials were proof of that? I even got pushback from people when I said the Barbie movie was a toy commercial. Which like...huh????????
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I mean even if it was ready for Memorial Day, which I doubt it was, there would still be a conflict of interest because Twisters and Furiosa are both WB movies overseas. And while I know Furiosa didn't do anything, I'm sure Warner had higher expectations, and it's not like these studios have an obvious crystal ball that can predict everything that will happen. In the end, while we're probably not gonna get a sequel, Twisters is likely going to be a strong performer domestically to make up for OS shortcomings, locked to be in the top 10 for the summer, will probably be a big hit on PVOD in a month. I don't think Uni/Warner's kicking themselves because they didn't have it open on a holiday...well, okay Uni's not kicking themselves, but the Zas sucks, so that's an even nicer win lol
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I mean I guess? But Twister was a big hit OS back in the day. At 254M, it was only behind Independence Day and Mission: Impossible for movies that year. And like obviously Bill Paxton and Helen Hunt are great, they weren't Tom Cruise or Mel Gibson-level movie stars that sold the film on their presence. Just seems weird to me that tornadoes would be totally cool and exciting outside of America back in 1996, but then only appeal to Americans in 2024. Maybe the country music is to blame here? Or maybe WB just didn't know what they were doing?
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The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
Eric Deetz replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
And y'all doubted our king @Shawn Robbins. Couldn't be me! -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
Eric Deetz replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
Quorum Updates 1992 T-43: 20.08% Awareness, 45.16% Interest Megalopolis T-71: 16.76% Awareness, 38.8% Interest The Wild Robot T-71: 21.35% Awareness, 38.9% Interest Flight Risk T-92: 22.14% Awareness, 46.33% Interest Venom: The Last Dance T-99: 45.86% Awareness, 54.52% Interest Paddington in Peru T-183: 28.75% Awareness, 35.25% Interest Twisters T-1: 62.08% Awareness, 59.57% Interest Final Awareness: 100% chance of 20M, 89% chance of 30M, 86% chance of 40M, 75% chance of 50M, 57% chance of 60M, 46% chance of 70M Tentpole Awareness: 100% chance of 30M, 91% chance of 40M, 82% chance of 50M, 73% chance of 60M, 45% chance of 70M Final Interest: 78% chance of 20M, 61% chance of 30M, 48% chance of 40M, 35% chance of 50M, 23% chance of 60M, 17% chance of 70M Tentpole Interest: 100% chance of 20M, 93% chance of 40M, 71% chance of 50M, 57% chance of 60M, 36% chance of 70M Deadpool & Wolverine T-8: 69.24% Awareness, 68.4% Interest Final Awareness: 29% chance of 100M DC/MCU Awareness: 50% chance of 100M Final Interest: 78% chance of 100M, 11% chance of 200M DC/MCU Interest: 83% chance of 100M, 17% chance of 200M The Crow T-36: 33.18% Awareness, 44.86% Interest T-30 Awareness: 80% chance of 10M, 55% chance of 20M Low Awareness: 50% chance of 10M, 17% chance of 90M T-30 Interest: 60% chance of 10M, 35% chance of 20M Low Interest: 29% chance of 10M, 7% chance of 20M The Forge T-36: 14.98% Awareness, 39.92% Interest T-30 Awareness: 16% chance of 10M Low Awareness: 12% chance of 10M T-30 Interest: 32% chance of 10M Low Interest: 25% chance of 10M -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
Eric Deetz replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
This needs to be a movie yesterday holy shit -
Legend.
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The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
Eric Deetz replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
https://thequorum.com/weekly-unaided-awareness-chart-gladiator-ii-comes-in-on-the-light-side/ -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
Eric Deetz replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
Quorum Updates Harold and the Purple Crayon T-16: 23.86% Awareness, 33.11% Interest Borderlands T-23: 35.5% Awareness, 44.14% Interest Cuckoo T-23: 17.06% Awareness, 41.47% Interest It Ends with Us T-23: 25.2% Awareness, 40.97% Interest Afraid T-44: 9.83% Awareness, 38.55% Interest The Front Room T-51: 18.48% Awareness, 39.18% Interest The Lord of the Rings: The War of the Rohirrim T-149: 17.96% Awareness, 42.07% Interest Den of Thieves: Pantera T-177: 19.38% Awareness, 35.36% Interest Captain America: Brave New World T-212: 48.34% Awareness, 54.83% Interest Twisters T-2: 62.95% Awareness, 58.55% Interest Final Awareness: 100% chance of 20M, 89% chance of 30M, 86% chance of 40M, 75% chance of 50M, 57% chance of 60M, 46% chance of 70M Tentpole Awareness: 100% chance of 30M, 91% chance of 40M, 82% chance of 50M, 73% chance of 60M, 45% chance of 70M, Final Interest: 78% chance of 20M, 61% chance of 30M, 48% chance of 40M, 35% chance of 50M, 23% chance of 60M, 17% chance of 70M Tentpole Interest: 100% chance of 20M, 93% chance of 40M, 71% chance of 50M, 57% chance of 60M, 36% chance of 70M -
IF YOU CAN FEEL IT...
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The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
Eric Deetz replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
Despicable Me. That's why. Universal's not gonna hurt one of their own movies, especially a potential billion-dollar hit. If they put the movie out last week, then DM4 loses all its PLFs to Twisters and gets hit with a potentially bad second weekend drop. By having it on DM4's third weekend, DM4 gets a little more IMAX/Dolby play, resulting in the great second weekend hold it just had, and then will hold well yet again this week thanks to double features with Twisters, and therefore more cash money. From what I can gather, almost every market that got the movie last week got DM4 earlier than its domestic debut. Twisters' release date still isn't perfect, but last week isn't as ideal as it seems, at least for Uni's bigger picture.