DAJK

I hope it fails. Screw that.

Bruh, you had the most Sky-high expectations of probably anyone on the entire internet. Batman is doing fine, it’s okay.

I honestly don't see this doing much better than Boss Baby 2. Would be really nice if we could have another Home-sized hit, but I would be utterly shocked if that happened.

I mean... you could make it a hell of a lot more interesting

Just as an example, one theatre that I tracked had roughly 325 tickets sold as of 3:00 PST. Ended with 482 for the night. That comp would pretty much bring Batman to a hair under 40M true Friday, if walk-ups are just as strong. That being said, I feel like Friday night walkups are usually at least slightly stronger than Thursday preview screenings for such a fan-heavy movie.

Locally, The Batman is perhaps an hour or so away from having the second-biggest true Friday of the pandemic era (behind NWH of course). And given how strong walk-ups were last night, I'm genuinely curious how high it could soar...

I'm not there yet, but I'm on board for 200.

I know I’m not a consistent member of the tracking team, but let’s be honest here. The tracking team only has access to limited data, most of us only track individual markets, and we spend hours each week doing so, compiling data and crunching numbers and coming up with relatively accurate predictions based on very limited data. Yea, we get it wrong sometimes, but I would argue that the team we have in the tracking thread is one of the best non-insider, non-professional sources for box office on the internet. So thank you tracking team! Don’t listen to any negativity. You guys all rock!

Yea... let’s just say this ended up being FAR more walkup heavy than I ever would have thought If this keeps up over the entire weekend... we’re in for a treat.

Yea this was great. I want another viewing to solidify everything I thought, but it ruled. And it’s walkups tonight are MUCH stronger than I anticipated.

Cineplex (has basically a monopoly on Canadian movie theaters) doesn't seem to have tickets on sale yet...? But smaller chains/indie theaters are preselling already and they're selling... pretty well.

Canada only added something like 150k

Starting to get worried about 125M OW. Pace isn’t as strong as I’d hoped it would be. Still hoping though.

Kind of hard to find comps for a Wednesday night screening but... at least Batman was ahead of Death on the Nile about 10-15x what Nile did for its Wednesday night screenings at the locations I've tracked lol.

I'm programming trailer 2 with Batman screenings. Also, I'm kind of shocked this made it past Chinese censors. Did WB really give up on the Dumbledore/Grindlewald relationship? Or is China getting a different cut?

I'm pretty confident in predicting over BVS dom total for this, but under BVS worldwide.

15 years ago this would have made 200M domestic. Now, I'm just hoping it isn't another Atomic Blonde. Going to go with 35/110 for now. Looks like (as I've seen many others have already put it) loads of fun.

The first Top Gun was also made in the 80s, right in the middle of the Cold War. I feel like filmmakers and Hollywood in general has become slightly more self-reflective since then.

Why?

Let’s be honest, I don’t think anyone wants to escape the movies just to see a realistic portrayal of american military

I'd say that a barren March schedule will do more for this movie than the reviews (as long as WOM isn't toxic). But yes, if it opens to 150M, I'd say 400M would look good.

Just going to throw out there, sales have picked up SIGNIFICANTLY at multiple theatres in my area over the last 24 hours. Not sure if it's enough to put me fully on board the 150M train, but the momentum is encouraging. We'll see how the next 48 hours go.

Not at all. A lot of things actually changed in my life for the worse towards the end of 2019, and coupled with the pandemic and everything else that has gone on since then, life's never actually felt the same since. 2019 felt like the end of innocence for me, and I feel really nostalgic for those last fleeting moments.

Imo LEGO Movie 2 is better than a lot of people gave it credit for, but it's only the third best animated sequel of 2019 for me. Maybe that just has more to do with how great of a year 2019 was for movies in general though...

I genuinely think this belongs in the Batman thread, because it certainly is not based on any buzz or tracking data. This isn’t the “box office gut feeling/dreams” thread.