Wrath

Abstain

Wk9 - yes

Huh. A real Friday of 50 is better than I expected.

I disagree just in that its a matter of degrees. Saying a movie that makes less than 250-300M is one "the GA isn't really interested in" overstates things. I think Solo's BO was dented somewhat by TLJ being so polarizing, but even if things had gone well (a world in which TLJ was solid, if unspectacular), it would never have broken out to anything comparable to the main-line SW movies. Its just a question of budgeting and expectations. If everyone had gone into it thinking "Ant-Man" then it would have been great.

Weird. I saw it with my daughter tonight, and she timed it, exactly half an hour of trailers and commercials before the movie actually started. To be fair, we got the extended Tenet trailer, which looked great, but really went on for a long time.

It dropped 230M DOM and 350M WW, though.

That Tenet trailer was wild, especially since its like 5 minutes long and its not at all clear (if you don't already know) what it is until its over.

Not really. SW has always been a US thing, not really a WW thing. All the SW movies have done lackluster outside the US.

I agree, but I think the problem was after TLJ they had SO MUCH ground to cover they just had to do everything fast.

It wasn’t great, but it was good and a satisfying conclusion.

1. Will Star Wars Open to more than $180M? 1000 NO 2. Will Star Wars Open to more than $220M? 2000 NO 3. Will Star Wars Open to more than $200M? 3000 NO 4. Will Star Wars have a single day above $95M? 4000 YES 5. Will Star Wars make double its Sunday Gross on Friday? 5000 YES 6. Will Cats open to more than $10M? 1000 YES 7. Will Cats open to more than $15M? 2000 NO 8. Will Cats open to more than $12.5M? 3000 NO 9. Will Cats OW make more than 5% of Star Wars' OW? 4000 YES 10. Will Cats make more than double Bombshell's Weekend gross? 5000 YES 11. Will Jumanji drop more than 60%? 1000 YES 12. Will Frozen drop more thaan 45%? 2000 YES 13. Will Richard Jewell stay above Ford vs Ferrari? 3000 NO 14. Will Queen and Slim stay in the top 10? 4000 NO 15. Will Dabaang 3 make more than $2M? 5000 YES 16. Will Black Christmas have a larger percentage drop than Last Christmas? 1000 YES 17. Will Knives out have a PTA above %1,500? 2000 YES 18. Will Beautiful day in Neighbourhood drop less than 40%? 3000 YES 19. Will Playmobil make more than $20k this weekend? 4000 YES 20. Has the moon lost her memory? 5000 Probably for good. Bonus: 12/20 3000 13/20 5000 14/20 8000 15/20 12000 16/20 16,000 17/20 20,000 18/20 26,000 19/20 32,000 20/20 40,000 Part B: The top 3 predictions will score points as follows: Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points 2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points 3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points 1. What will Star Wars make for its 3 day OW? 177M 2. What will Cats make on Saturday? 4.7M 3. What will Knives Out percentage drop be? -40% Part 😄 There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here: 3. Cats 5. Bombshell 7. Ford vs Ferrari 8. Jewell 10. Dabaang 3 12. Queen and Slim

In a lot of circles Jewell is being seen in a political light as, essentially, a pro-Trump movie. So that’s hurting it, and while Trump has plenty of die-hard fans, the connection is too vague to pull them out. And that’s on top of it being a tough sell to begin with.

1. Will Jumanji make more than $37.5M? 1000 YES 2. Will Jumanji make more than $52.5M? 2000 NO 3. Will Jumanji make more than $45M? 3000 YES 4. Will Jumanji make more than all other new entries combined? 4000 YES 5. Will Jumanji increase on Saturday from its 'true Friday' (Friday gross minus Previews total)? 5000 YES 6. Will Richard Jewel open to more than $12M? 1000 YES 7. Will Richard Jewel open to more than $15M? 2000 NO 8. Will Black Christmas open to more than $12M? 3000 NO 9. Will Black Christmas open to more than $15M? 4000 NO 10. Will Richard Jewel open to more than Black Christmas? 5000 YES  11. Will Frozen stay in the top 2? 1000 YES 12. Will Bombshell enter the top 5? 2000 NO 13. Will Ford vs Ferrari stay above Queen and Slim? 3000 YES 14. Will Playmobil drop more than 77%? 4000 YES 15. Will this be the final wide release worth talking about in 2019? 5000 Obviously. There's a movie about short girls or something that apparently might do ok, but nothing else looks noteworthy. Bonus: 9/15 5000 10/15 8000 11/15 12,000 12/15 16,000 13/15 20,000 14/15 24,000 15/15 30,000 Part B: The top 3 predictions will score points as follows: Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points 2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points 3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points 1. What will Jumanji's OW be? 48M 2. What will Frozen' percentage drop be? -44% 3. What will Knives Out's PTA be? 2,800 Part 😄 There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here: 2. Frozen 2 4. Jewell 6. Bombshell 8. Ford vs Ferrari 10. Dark Waters 12. 21 Bridges

China South Korea Romania Ukraine United Arab Emirates

Wk7 - No

Johnson saved himself by actually making a good movie this time.

OMG. I'm a straight guy and I'd totally buy that.

1. Will PlayMobil make more than $3M? 1000 Yes 2. Will Playmobil make more than $4.25M? 2000 No 3. Will Playmobil make more than $5.5M? 3000 No 4. Will Playmobil enter the top 3? 4000 No 5.Will Playmobil make more than Dark Waters? 5000 No 6. Will Frozen stay above $50M? 1000 No 7. Will Queen of Slim stay above Beautiful Day? 2000 Yes 8. Will Knives Out drop more than 50%? 3000 No 9. Ford vs Ferrari's PTA stay above $2,500? 4000 No 10. Will Charlie's Angels drop more than 70% 5000 No  11. Will Maleficent have a bigger percentage drop than Last Christmas? 1000 No 12. Will 21 Bridges drop more than 52.5%? 2000 No 13. Will JOker stay above Harriet? 3000 No 14.Will Frozen 2 overtake Aladdin domestically by the end of the weekend? 4000 No 15. Will Playmobil shock the world and become the family animated choice for the rest of 2019? 5000 Probably Not Part B: 1. What will PlayMobil's OW be? $3.30M 2. What will Charlie's Angels' percentage drop be? 55% 3. What will Knives Out's PTA be? $4250 Part 😄 There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here: 3. Ford v Ferrari 5. A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood 7. 21 Bridges 8. Playing With Fire 10. Playmobil 12. Joker

So, just over 5.2M. Hmm. WK6 - No Not super confident on this one.

To be fair, that's an EXTREMELY high bar.

With Chris Evans in it, I'm guessing... Edit - Just saw it tonight. Such a fun movie, and everyone killed it. I mean, from an acting standpoint. They're not ALL the murderer.

Nope.

1. Will Knives Outs make more than $13M? 1000 YES 2. Will Knives Out make more than $20M? 2000 NO 3. Will Knives Out make more than $16M? 3000 YES 4. Will Frozen make more than $65M? 4000 YES 5. Will Frozen cross $250M domestic by end of Saturday? 5000 YES 6. Will Queen of Slim make more than $7M? 1000 YES 7. Will Queen of Slim make more than $9M? 2000 NO 8. Will Queen of Slim open in the top 3? 3000 NO 9. Will Beautiful Day in neighbourhood overtake Doctor Sleep domestically by the end of the weekend? 4000 YES 10. Will JOjo Rabbit overtake Parasite domestically by the end of the weekend? 5000 YES  11. Will Midway have a bigger percentage drop than Playing with Fire? 1000 NO 12. Will Terminator drop more than 52.5%? 2000 YES 13. Will Last Christmas stay above Joker? 3000 YES 14.Will Charlie's Angels have a PTA above $500? 4000 NO 15. Will Galaxy Quest shock us all and enter the top 1, winning winter in the process? 5000 Probably will ... why not...wouldn't it be glorious. Bonus: 9/15 5000 10/15 8000 11/15 12,000 12/15 16,000 13/15 20,000 14/15 24,000 15/15 30,000 Part B: The top 3 predictions will score points as follows: Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points 2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points 3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points 1. What will Knives Out's? 17M 2. What will Charlie's Angels' percentage drop be? -58% 3. What will Frozen make on Friday? 27M Part 😄 There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here: 2. Knives Out 3. Ford v Ferarri 5. A beautiful day in the neighbour hood 7. Midway 9. The Good liar 11. Charlies Angels

Wk5 - No

Just saw my first commercial for this. Maybe I’m crazy but it seemed surprisingly engaging.