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franfar

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Everything posted by franfar

  1. Part A: 1. Will Spiderman make more than $100M? 1000 Yes 2. Will Spiderman make more than $125M? 2000 Yes 3. WIll Spiderman drop more than 15% on Saturday? 3000 No 4. Will Spiderman make more than 75% of the total gross of all films reported on BOM this weekend? 4000 No 5. Will Friday account for at least 40% of Spiderman's weekend gross? 5000 Yes 6. Will Depsicable Me drop more than 50%? 1000 Yes 7. Will Baby Driver drop less than 50%? 2000 Yes 8. Will Cars 3 stay above The House? 3000 Yes 9. Will Wonder Woman increase more than 35% on Saturday? 4000 Yes 10. Will the top 12 films all make more than $1M? 5000 Yes 11. Will The Big Sick's PTA stay above $6,000? 1000 Yes 12. Will Captain Underpants stay above The Hero? 2000 Yes 13. Will The Book of Henry make less than $75,000 for the whole weekend? 3000 No 14. Will Baywatch stay above Alienl? 4000 No 15. Will Guaradians cross $385M by the end of the weekend? 5000 Yes 16. Will All Eyez on me have a PTA above $900? 1000 Yes 17. Will Transformers have a PTA above $2,250? 2000 Yes 18. Will City of ghosts have a PTA above $5,000? 3000 Yes 19. Will Undercover Grandpa have a PTA above $1,500? 4000 No 20. Will Superpowerless' total Weekend gross be more than 0.5% of Spiderman's Friday gross? 5000 Yes 21. Will Spiderman's Actuals be Higher than the official final estimates for the weekend on BOM? 1000 Yes 22. Will Wonder Woman's first Deadline weekend estimate be within 500k of the actual total? 2000 No 23. Will any film in more than 100 theatres drop more than 80%? 3000 Yes 24. Will the whole weekend total of every film be above $175M? 4000 Yes 25. Will Tom Holland go all Emo and then snap the spine of someone he loves? 5000 Yes Bonus: 15/25 2000 16/25 3000 17/25 5000 18/25 7000 19/25 10000 20/25 15000 21/25 20,000 22/25 25,000 23/25 33,000 24/25 40,000 25/25 50,000 Part B: The top 3 predictions will score points as follows: Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points 2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points 3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points 1. What will Spiderman make for its 3 day OW? 135m 2. What will The House's Saturday gross be? 1.4m 3. What will The Transformers' percentage drop be? 57% Part C: There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here: 3. Baby Driver 5. Transformers: The Last Knight 7. Cars 3 10. The Mummy 12. Pirates of the Carribean 15. The Big Sick
  2. 1. Will Transformers outgross Cars 3 Domestically? No 2. Will Spiderman make more than $40M Opening Day? Yes 3. Will Baby Driver outgross the Mummy? No 4. Will the Big Sick make more than $20M? Yes 5. Will Girls Trip make more than $6M opening day? Yes 6. Will Spiderman make more than $115M Opening weekend? Yes 7. Will Valerian outgross Baywatch Domestically? No 8. Will Captain Underpants make the final domestic top 15 list? Yes 9. Will Wonder Woman make $400M? No 10. Will Spiderman make more than $310M by the end of the game? Yes 11. Will Annabelle have an Opening Weekend above $30M? Yes 12. Will Dunkirk make more than $500M worldwide? No 13. Will the House drop more than 60% on its second weekend? Yes 14. Will Planet of the Apes outgross Despicable Me Domestically? No 15. Will Atomic Blonde open above the Emoji Movie? No
  3. I think we'll be having bigger than average drops for DM3, so I'm iffy on 200m.
  4. What a mediocre OW. It could miss 200m. The characters I'd say are an asset, but not the spin-off movie. But with this big of a drop, who knows.
  5. Haven't really checked this thread since Friday. So DM3 is getting 75m. Hmm, much lower than I expected. So that would require a 4x multi. Do you think that's feasible, esp. as a sequel?
  6. I'd say it's more likely than it getting 100m Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
  7. I've only seen DM1 and DM2, haven't felt the urge to see Minions. Looks like trash.
  8. Girls Trip (Top 10) The Glass Castle (26th or lower) Wish Upon (26th or lower)
  9. Part A: 1. Will Despicable Me Open to more than $100M? 1000 Yes 2. Will The House Open to more than $25M? 2000 No 3. Will Baby Driver have a 5 day of more than $22M? 3000 Yes 4. Will the three main openers combine to more than $150M? 4000 Yes 5. Will The House overtake Baby Drivers Domestic Total by the end of the weekend? 5000 No 6. Will Wonder Woman drop less than 40% 1000 Yes 7. Will Transformers drop more than 57.5% 2000 Yes 8. Will All Eyez Stay above Captain Underpants? 3000 No 9. Will Guardians 2 have a lower percentage drop than Pirates 5? 4000 Yes 10. Will it comes at Night drop more than 65%? 5000 Yes 11. Will Will Big Sick have a PTA above $10k? 1000 Yes 12. Will 13 minutes have a PTA above $6,000? 2000 No 13. Will Rough Night have a PTA above $900? 3000 Yes 14. Will My Neighbour Totoro's apparent Sunday release be reported in BOM's Weekend Actuals list? 4000 No 15. Will Tele finally be taken in by the subtle brilliance that is the Minions? 5000 Of course Bonus: 9/15 5000 10/15 8000 11/15 12,000 12/15 16,000 13/15 20,000 14/15 24,000 15/15 30,000 Part B: The top 3 predictions will score points as follows: Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points 2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points 3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points 1. What will Despicable make for its 3 day OW? 125m 2. What will be the difference in The House and Baby Driver's total gross by the end of Sunday? 7m 3. What will All Eyez of Me's Domestic gross be by the end of Sunday? 43m Part C: There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here: 2. Baby Driver 4. Transformers 7. 47 Meters Down 10. Rough Night 12. Guardians 16. Megan Leavey
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