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Posts posted by Infernus
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1 minute ago, kayumanggi said:
Biggest (and only?) success story since Minions back in June.
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Btw, really liking that Sat figure for Creed.
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13 minutes ago, kayumanggi said:
900m no longer in the cards?
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Below 200m seems a definite now for TGD with that 5 day. Even a 3.5 Multi on that 5 day would keep it below 200.
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News of OD/OW trends has actually been really bad for The Good Dinosaur from a lot of international markets. It seemingly flopped badly in major markets like Germany, Italy and France. UK OD is all right probably but behind BoS OD.
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16 hours ago, The Dark Alfred said:
Fri HG £1.14 Bond £5.4 Bridge £3.7 GD £3.6 Black Mass disappoints £0.27
5.4m £ for Bond?
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That would be a beautiful drop for bond, thanksgiving and all considered. 200 can happen, with good holds.
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The increase seems a little too low for both creed and TGD. I don't think they should have any problem having a 3 day over 30 and 40m respectively.
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Thats really great for Creed. Movies usually increase at least 2.2 times (120%) on Thanksgiving friday, family movies even increase 2.5/2.6. That increase would mean atleast a 35m weekend for Creed. Fantastic
6
6.46
14.2
13.2
7.9
35.3m Weekend
47.8m 5-day
150m+ Dom confirmed
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3 hours ago, Exxdee said:
Well, you get points for the gross and placements. The big points are if you hit 13/15 in the top 15, you get 500,000 bonus points. If you want more in-depth info, look at Chas's main post on the main thread (box office discussion). I got confused too in the beginning =)
No, no I know all that. What I meant was - what points would I lose? Is there a penalty for including an ineligible film? Will I still be penalized for being more than 40m away from its final gross? Or will my 14th place simply be considered as empty and I wouldn't lose any points but simply lose out on getting points on that one and the additional bonuses that it affects. I don't think there was anything related to this in the Main Post.
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Bad news from everywhere... Sub 600 may indeed happen, if these be any indication of its gross. Hopefully we get some good news later in the day.
What went wrong? Or rather, what didn't go right?
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55 minutes ago, Exxdee said:
Well, it isn't going to make the top 15, so you lose full points on it. Even if it did, it wouldn't have counted and you still lose all points like if you had The Martian in your top 15. Jobs was platform released a week before the game started I think, that's why it was ineligible. :/
Hmm. One more question then, what 'full points'?
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I just found out Jobs wasn't eligible for the top 15 dom prediction. I picked it. And I am 100% sure some others did too. So what happens to those who picked it?
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12 hours ago, Exxdee said:
Darn it, The Revenant and Joy were my favourites. Is Steve Jobs eligible? I know it wasn't counted for domestic 15, so I'm assuming no.
Room
Spotlight - Best Picture, Best Supporting Actor, Best Adapted Screenplay
Bridge of Spies
Carol
The Danish Girl
Brooklyn
The Big Short
Wait, Jobs wasn't eligible for the top 15? What happens to those who picked it?
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49 minutes ago, chasmmi said:
In the spectre example you only get points for actor and director (but the points are tripled). You don't win/lose anything for extra nominations
In the second example you lose points to the value of the categories you chose, other nominations have no effect.
If you choose to be specific on categories, then you reduce that films influence on you to just those categories and no others
Hmm. Allright, I think I got it now. Thanx for clearing it up. This does make it even more twisted and thus even more interesting. Picking categories has quite some cons associated with it.
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40 and 70 are the targets now for Creed and Good Dinosaur respectively, for the 5-day period. That would possibly translate to around 135m and 235m totals for them. Still very very good for Creed. Good for Dino too although above 250 would be a delight!
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Um, what happens if I predict two categories for a movie and it does get nominated in those and also gets nominated in one another. Eg-
Predict
Spectre - Best actor and director
Result
Spectre gets nominated for actor, director and picture.
So will I now get double the points for Actor and director + given points for picture?
Similarly if I predict a category and it doesn't get nominated for it but does get nominated for other categories, will I simply just lose 15000+triple the category's points. Or will I lose those points but also get points for the given category that it did get nominated for and that I didn't specifically predict?
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Danish Girl : Best Actor, Best Supporting Actress (or actress if vikander gets into the lead category), Best Makeup
Good Dino: Best Animated Feature
Bridge of Spies - Best Supporting Actor, Best Picture, Original ScreenPlay, Cinematography
Creed
Spotlight - Best Picture. original Screenplay, Supporting Actor (or just actor if Keaton gets into lead), Director,
Carol-Best Actress, Best Picture, Best Director, best supporting actress (unless rooney gets nominated into lead), best adapted screenplay
Room - Best Actress, Best Picture, Best Adapted Screenplay,
Brooklyn - Best Actress, Best Adapted Screenplay, Best picture
Peanuts - Best Animated feature
The Big Short
Trumbo
P.S I really hope you'd consider the supporting/non-supporting thing. There is still not a clear line between what the academy would consider what, so some I predicted into supporting category may get nominated in the lead category. I just hope you'd consider that since that could result in really REally big losses here for no particular fault of mine. Especially since I specifically, particularly mentioned the ones that I think may get here-there, beforehand. If I get wrong in this manner for any other movie or category you may definitely cut points. This also means that you may only consider those if and only if the particular actors I mentioned get nominated (or if they don't in either this or lead category) and otherwise just ignore that particular category even if some other actor from the movie gets nominated for the same category. So i am actually specifically predicting the very actors to get nominated in return for just your consideration of the ambiguity that isn't even my fault.
P.P.S, although if the actor I say may get nominated into either lead or supporting category for a particular film gets nominated into either, I hope that would mean I would still get points for it. And lose points only if they don't get into either.
P.P.P.S -Or, in the end, if you don't agree to this then just ignore what I wrote in the brackets and just consider the category i wrote outside to be my predict (except for the danish girl, for it just ignore the supporting actress predict if you don't agree and take it as Danish Girl - Actor, Makeup)
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Already back to fourth in a week...
Rot in Hell, Hunger Games
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Still at 83% with 30 reviews in.
Maybe not a great movie but the reviews do seem a little harsh due to it being Pixar and the follow up to IO (as we all expected), and anyways they still most say it is a pretty enjoyable film. In the end not every movie can be a masterpiece and if at the end of a movie I feel that that was time well passed and enjoyed, that is enough for me, even though I too harbour higher expectations for Pixar.
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Usual time and rules apply:
Part 1:
1. Will The Good Dinosaur have a 3 day Weekend above $40M? YES
2. Will The Good Dinosaur have a 3 day Weekend above $50M? 3000 NO
3. Will The Good Dinosaur have a 3 day Weekend above $60M? No
4. Will Creed and Frankenstein's combined OW be higher than Good Dinosaur's Combined Friday and Saturday? NO
5. Will Creed's OW be double that of Frankenstein's? YES
6. Will the top 3 New entries enter the charts at 1st, 3rd and 4th respectively?2000 NO
7. Will The Danish Girl have a PTA above $20,000? YES
8. Will Spectre finish above Peanuts? 2000 Yes
9. Will at least 2 films have a Friday increase of at least 185%? NO
10. Will the Martian stay above Spotlight? NO
11. Will The Secret in their eye's Sunday stay above $1M? No
12. Will Mockingjay 2 overtake Spectre's Total gross by the end of the weekend? 2000 YES
13. Will Bridge of Spies' PTA stay above $1000 YES
14. Name any film in the top 15 that drops less than 45% (or choose none).3000 Brooklyn
15. Will Goosebumps drop more than 55%? NO
16. Will the combined total Grosses of the three highest new entries by Sunday exceed MJ2's OW total? 2000 YES
17. Will Pan drop less than 30%? YES
18. Will we all do better for once this weekend? IF SO WILLS GOD
12/18 2000 points
13/18 3000 points
14/18 4000 points
15/18 6000 points
16/18 8000 points
17/18 10000 points
18/18 15000 points
Part 2
1. What will be Good Dinosaur's Total by end of Sunday? (5000) 62.8m
2. What will Creed's Saturday gross be? (5000) 11.6m
3. What will be the difference in weekend gross between Frankenstein and Peanuts? (5000) 8.2m
Part 3
3. Creed
5. Peanuts
8. Spotlight
10.Victor Frankenstein
12. Love the Coopers
3/5 3000
4/5 6000
5/5 10000
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1 hour ago, Telemachos said:
Eh, tough call. I like 'em about the same.
So its Only as good as Martian?
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And about the greater than 10% thing, NB is at 9.998% of MJ2 as per the estimates. Surely that would be considered = 10? That equals to 10 just by rounding off the third decimal digit!
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Oh My God.... This weekend was such an epic fail for me :'( And I thought I had seen it through well.
Weekend #s. MJ2 51.6/75.7M, TGD 39.2/55.6M lowest Pixar opening since Bugs Life, Creed 30/42M biggest OW for a boxing movie
in Numbers and Data
Posted
Yeah. Why aren't those twitter boxes showing up in the quotes?