Infernus
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Posts posted by Infernus
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7 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:
We haven't reached 4 yet, that's next week (although Spectre will likely win).
Yeah, I know that but we already know that Spectre won't be dropping 45% on Thanksgiving Weekend. And that actually means Peanuts will win, I mistakenly (is this the right word?) bolded Spectre in that post
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Btw we got another answer for our SOTM-3. We have all but the 3rd one. That one can still go both ways although Peanuts has a much higher chance.
1) Peanuts Opening 5 days (until Tuesday) vs Spectre's best 2 days of its OW
2) Peanuts Opening Tuesday percentage change vs Spectre Opening Tuesday Percentage Change
3) Peanuts' Final Gross - Epic Final Gross (107.5M) vs Spectre's final gross - Quantum of Solace Final Gross (168.4M)
4) Peanuts' 2nd Weekend % drop vs Spectre's 4th Weekend % drop
5) Days it takes Peanuts to overtake Goosebumps vs Days it takes Spectre to Overtake Hotel Transylvania 2 (Fastest is winner)
6) Peanuts Total from Day 15 of release vs Spectre total from day 15 of release
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4 hours ago, The Futurist said:
It's interesting to note that the Hunger Games movie franchise numbers completely follow what the readers think of the books.
The first book is beloved, it hooked people into the whole thing.
The Second book is adored, fans favorite book by far.
Mockingjay is a dividing book to say the least, loved by some, hated by others. You have to understand that what happens in the first act of MJ, the book.film, is SO anti climatic that it made people to not root for Katniss as she become mopey & depressed until she become this Kind of Joan of Arc figure people expected but then the author killed Katniss' spirit even more by other events so the book/movie is grim & dark & not uplifting in ANY way.
Dividing the least favorite book into two parts was asking for trouble and it showed.
Maybe they should have changed more things from the book but the success of the first film prevented them from doing that.
The last Potter/Twilight books gave what the fans wanted and were up lifting.
Yeah, well every single HP Book was loved. And I thought people hated the last Twilight book?
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2 hours ago, Jajang said:
I am using these scores .. if there are any errors.. PM away!
Thanks infernus!
Yeah, I only slightly adjusted WrathOfHan's scored list. Also, neither of us checked to see whether everybody gave the same answers as in the weekly questions so you might want to check that.
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1 hour ago, Jajang said:
Overall Scores
Updated to:
- Week 5 included
- SOTM 2 & 4 both included
Going forward i won't show history .. - just totals with the new numbers being added. (all other info is still there i'm just hiding it to simplify the table.)
As before - PM if there is an error.
(GRAND TOTAL = PreSeason Total + SOTM Total + Weekly Total)
# User Pre- season Entry GRAND TOTAL PreSeason Total SOTM Total SOTM 2 SOTM 4 Weekly's Total Week 5 1 Movieman89 YES 143000 10000 26000 7000 19000 107000 18000 2 Infernus YES 132000 10000 21000 8000 13000 101000 13000 3 darkelf YES 130000 10000 22000 6000 16000 98000 14000 4 glassfairy YES 124000 10000 26000 6000 20000 88000 12000 5 DAJK YES 122000 10000 10000 6000 4000 102000 8000 6 DamienRoc YES 122000 10000 27000 7000 20000 85000 12000 7 Exxdee YES 119000 10000 11000 7000 4000 98000 14000 8 WrathofHan YES 117000 10000 1000 7000 -6000 106000 16000 9 Wrath YES 116000 10000 15000 8000 7000 91000 18000 10 chasmmi YES 113000 10000 8000 8000 0 95000 13000 11 thatoneguy (Background Char) YES 113000 10000 5000 8000 -3000 98000 12000 12 Filmovie YES 108000 0 21000 8000 13000 87000 16000 13 Telemachos YES 108000 10000 16000 6000 10000 82000 16000 14 grey ghost YES 91000 10000 2000 8000 -6000 79000 16000 15 Jajang YES 91000 10000 1000 7000 -6000 80000 9000 16 kayumanggi YES 88000 0 -2000 8000 -10000 90000 14000 17 Blankments YES 84000 10000 -8000 6000 -14000 82000 8000 18 misafeco YES 81000 10000 -3000 8000 -11000 74000 9000 19 MikeKaye42 YES 66000 10000 -17000 7000 -24000 73000 12000 20 Kalo YES 59000 10000 2000 8000 -6000 47000 10000 21 bcf26 YES 57000 10000 7000 7000 0 40000 0 22 avi YES 44000 10000 -40000 7000 -47000 74000 15000 23 Alfred YES 42000 10000 8000 8000 0 24000 0 24 99 Trees YES 36000 10000 0 0 0 26000 0 25 Baumer YES 10000 10000 0 0 0 0 0 26 laguy03 YES 10000 10000 0 0 0 0 0 27 The Panda YES 10000 10000 0 0 0 0 0 2nd Place? Pretty Good!
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Option A
3) Spectre (70.4M) 5000 / 7000
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Btw Rock The Kasbah has already crossed 2.9m with its thursday number. Its pretty surprising some people wrongly answered that question...
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40 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:
BOM has the total listed as 10,137,502. I was dividing the smaller total as the numerator for everything, should I do it the other way around?
Yeah, I think. It depends on Chas though whether he wants to see the difference as percent of one's prediction or as percent of the actual gross. I say he should do it the later way (your way). For once, It would be a different thing from the usual. Secondly it would be slightly beneficial to everyone who didn't abstain, thus a small reward for their..er.. hard work.
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12 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:
You're 19% away from the total.
? 12.5/10.15 = 1.23 = difference of 23%...
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3 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:
Because that's where the total is right now.
And what about walk? I am greater than 20% away from its current (and final) gross I think.
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31 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:
The Walk is basically done so the scores are probably final. Pan might still have 1-2M left and Sicario should have about 3-5M left. 220M seems to be the floor for The Martian, I'm predicting a 235M finish.
Then how am I getting an A+ from Martian? And a C from Walk?
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19 hours ago, WrathOfHan said:
Current SOTM 1 results (everyone except myself said total gross, I went with the weekend one):
Chasmmi: +10,000 (Sicario A+ (currently A but will be A+), The Walk A+, The Martian A (currently B but will become A), Pan D)
ThatOneGuy: +8,000 (The Martian A+ (currently A but will be A+), The Walk A, Sicario B, Pan C)
WrathOfHan: +8,000 (The Walk A, Pan A, too soon to say on Martian and Sicario)
Infernus: +4,000 (The Martian A+, Sicario A, Pan C, The Walk C)
misafeco: +4,000 (The Martian A+, Pan B, Sicario B (could become A), The Walk C)
bcf26: +2,000 (abstain)
damienroc: +2,000 (abstain)
darkelf: +2,000 (The Martian A+, Sicario A+, Pan C, The Walk D)
Exxdee: +2,000 (The Martian A+, Sicario, A+, The Walk C, Pan D)
Filmovie: +2,000 (abstain)
glassfairy: +2,000 (abstain)
grey ghost: +2,000 (abstain)
Wrath: +2,000 (abstain)
Alfred: -2,000 (no response)
baumer: -2,000 (no response)
laguy03: -2,000 (no response)
The Panda: -2,000 (no response)
DAJK: -4,000 (The Martian A+, Sicario A+ (currently A but will be A+), Pan D, The Walk D)
treeroy: -4,000 (The Martian A+, Sicario A+, Pan D, The Walk D)
MovieMan89: -6,000 (The Martian A+, Sicario B, Pan C, The Walk D)
Telemachos: -6,000 (The Martian A+, Pan B (currently C but will be B soon), Sicario C (could become B ), The Walk D)
Jajang: -10,000 (The Martian B, Sicario B, The Walk B, Pan D)
Kalo: -10,000 (The Martian A, Sicario B, Pan C, The Walk D)
Blankments: -12,000 (The Martian A (currently A+ but will be A very soon), Sicario A, Pan D, The Walk D)
sakskidz/avi: -20,000 (Sicario B, The Martian B (currently C but will become B ), Pan D, The Walk D)
kaumanggi: -24,000 (The Martian B, Sicario C, Pan D, The Walk D)
MikeKaye42: -24,000 (The Martian B (currently C but will become B ), Sicario C, Pan D, The Walk D)
A lot of the ones on Pan are close to adjusting up and The Martian will still fluctuate some more. If I made any mistakes let me know!
What are you predicting these films' final grosses to be for these scores?
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what happened to my all american?
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Btw, looking at SOTM1, it is seems that most who didn't abstain and gave grosses of the 4 films will lose points due to both Walk and Pan holding really bad. Only those who end up being very close to Martian's and Sicario's final grosses will be saved.
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On 11/15/2015, 11:26:03, WrathOfHan said:
Estimated SOTM 4 Results (I'm not checking for any potential different answers from Week 5):
damienroc: +20,000
glassfairy: +20,000
MovieMan89: +19,000
darkelf: +16,000
Filmovie: +13,000
Infernus: +13,000
Chasmmi: +10,000
Telemachos: +10,000
ThatOneGuy: +7,000
Wrath: +7,000
DAJK: +4,000
Exxdee: +4,000
kayumanggi: +3,000
misafeco: 0
Blankments: -3,000
grey ghost: -6,000
Jajang: -6,000
Kalo: -6,000
WrathOfHan: -6,000
avi: -32,000
MikeKaye42: -38,000
Adjusting the list with the only change that occurred with the actuals (Martians's Sunday, which lost me 5,000 on week 5's questions while gaining Movieman 5,000, thus interchanging our positions..) -
damienroc: +20,000
glassfairy: +20,000
MovieMan89: +19,000
darkelf: +16,000
Filmovie: +13,000
Infernus: +13,000
Telemachos: +10,000
Wrath: +7,000
DAJK: +4,000
Exxdee: +4,000
Chasmmi: 0
ThatOneGuy: -3000
grey ghost: -6,000
Jajang: -6,000
Kalo: -6,000
WrathOfHan: -6,000
kayumanggi: -10,000
misafeco: -11,000
Blankments: -14,000
MikeKaye42: -24,000
avi: -47,000
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4
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Part 1.
1. Will Hunger Games Open to more than $120M? YES
2. Will Hunger Games Open to more than $132.5M? 2000 YES
3. Will Hunger Games Open to more than $145M? YES
4. Where will Mockingjay 2's OW rank alongside the other franchise instalments (1st, 2nd, 3rd or 4th)? 3rd
5. Will The Night Before's OW be at least 10% the gross of MJ2's OW? 3000 YES
6. Will MJ2's Friday be above $55M? YES
7. Will MJ2 drop less than 35% on Sunday? NO
8. Will MJ2 have a Saturday PTA above $10,000? YES
9. Will the Secrets in their Eyes open in the top 4? No
10. Will Peanuts drop less than 48%? YES
11. Will legend have a PTA above $32,000? 2000 NO
12. Will Spectre cross $150M by Saturday? YES
13. Will Love the Coopers stay above The Martian? 3000 YES
14. Will Goosebumps remain above Bridge of Spies yet again? YES
15. Will Prem Ratan Dham Payo have a PTA above $4000? NO
16. Will My All American stay in the top 15? Yes
17. Will The Last Witch Hunter actually do what it is supposed to and drop over 52% this weekend? YES
18. Will Hotel Transylvania's weekend be at least 10% of Peanuts'? 2000 NO
19. Will By the Sea finish above Trumbo? YES
20. Will a film drop at least 47% on Sunday? YES
21. Name any film that drops less than 33% this weekend (or choose none)?3000 Spotlight
22. Will the 3 new openers combine to at least $150M? YES
23. Will
JemRock the Kasbah cross $2.9M by the end of the weekend? YES24. Will Bridge of Spies' Total Gross overtake The Visit's Total Gross by the end of the weekend? 2000 YES
25. Does Tyrian Lannister die at the end of MJ2? (Note any actual spoiler answers will result in death by cannon
) Dunno
Bonus
15/25 2000
16/25 3000
17/25 4000
18/25 5000
19/25 6000
20/25 8000
21/25 10000
22/25 12000
23/25 15000
24/25 17000
25/25 20000
Part 2:
1. What will MJ2's OW be? 5000 143m
2. What will The Night Before's OW gross be as a percentage of MJ2's OW? 5000 12.2%
3. What will Legend's PTA be? 5000 17,000
4. What will The Martian's total gross be by the end of Sunday? 5000 213.8m
5. What will Paranormal Activity's percentage drop be? 5000 61%
Part 3:
Places
3. The Night Before
6. Spotlight
9. The 33
11. BoS
14 MY All American
17. Prem Ratan Dhan Payo
2000 each
4/6 2000 bonus
5/6 5000 bonus
6/6 8000 bonus
There we go, 100k up for grabs
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7 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:
Hopefully, I'll be having a gain from the SOTM if it happens.
I'll increase a good 15,000 too, from 13k to 28k.
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Except for the Saturday increase for HT2, I doubt any other answer will change. Martian's Sunday is also on edge but it is definitely going to only increase with the actuals. Of course, a 35% drop for Sicario instead of the estimated 29 and a 39% drop for WoodLawn instead of the estimated 43.7 could happen
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Oh, if only the actuals put woodlawn ahead of Sicario.
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I really don't understand why Woodlawn suddenly dropped 44% after all those good holds? Why? And Why this very weekend?
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18 minutes ago, MrFanaticGuy34 said:
Also...another interesting thing happened. HT2 has now finally surpassed Big Daddy as Adam Sandler's highest grossing film, DOM-wise.
Really impressive that Big Daddy held that record for 16 years.....and now eventually, the record is coming to an end....thanks to HT2.
Thats not impressive. That just goes on to show what a flop Sandler has been for the past so many years.
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Yaaar... I was all for Love the Coopers over The 33 simply due to it seeming much more appealing to the GA. But most others and Mojo said otherwise. Now not being an american or in america, I didn't know the least bit about their buzz or whatever hype their, any ads or anything else. Heck I had never even heard their names and wouldn't have cared the least bit but for the Winter Game. So who was I to challenge the others' views?...
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Don't think so. Lot depended on China, but the WOM seems to be really bad. Hopefully it gets to 110-115m there. UK is really good and the difference between skyfall and it there will be much less than what we thought. France got a record OD and will almost definitely well outgross Skyfall. This combined with the near 200m in US would put it at a disadvantage of around 60m compared to Skyfall. Seeing as Skyfall made 1.16B that means it only needs to lose less than 100m in all the other markets. It will lose some in some markets, will increase in some, especially the growing ones, and will remain stable in some. So I think it can happen. Will come pretty close atleast.
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) Dunno
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Chasmmi's Winter Game - Grey Ghost is the WINNER!
in Chasmmi's Infamous Box Office Game
Posted · Edited by Infernus
Yeah it will definitely have the lower drop but we had to answer for what will have or do the higher or faster, for whatever was asked in the questions. Peanuts' drop will be higher, so it wins.