That One Girl

I mean, I don't use it during the trailers, but he was acting like people were going to "half watch" the entire movie. It doesn't exactly make sense when it was only the trailers

...It's only the trailers. Chill

tell us which ones they are (and reactions)

um, how is this a disappointment?? it has a higher OW than any other singular Marvel movie ever (this can technically count as one since it has the captain America name). it might even end up finishing higher than age of ultron.

Money Monster: $28m - Higher Nice Guys: $60m - Higher Popstar: $25m - Higher Now you see me 2: $65M - Higher Free State of Jones: $43M - Lower The purge: $42m - Higher

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This will break 200M OW. People denying it are crazy

I'm really betting on Central Intelligence being a big success. Hart + The Rock in an action comedy from the director of Were the Millers? Sign me up

UNITED WE STAND

It's pretty much a guarantee, honestly. Horror sequels tend to almost always get not as good reviews as the first, even if it retains the same director. Insidious Chapter 2 comes to mind (another James Wan film).

The Conjuring is gonna decrease for sure. Reviews aren't gonna be as good as the first (we know that for sure), and I feel it'll have bigger drops, so weaker legs. If any horror film this year will break out, Light's Out is gonna do it, although I'm still skeptical on that.

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1) Will Civil War open to more than $150m? Yes 2) Will Civil War open to more than $175m? Yes 3) Will Civil War open to more than $200m? Yes 4) Will Civil War open to more than $220m? No 5) Will Civil War's OW account for more than 82% of the total weekend Box office take? No 6) Would Civil War's Thursday Preview total be within $5m of being enough to win the weekend on its own? Yes 7) Will Civil War drop less than 25% on Saturday? Yes 8) Will Civil War's Sunday make more than $50m? Yes 8) Will Jungle Book drop more than 43% this weekend? Yes 9) Will Huntsman finish above Keanu this weekend? No 10) Will Mother's Day drop less than 57% this weekend? Yes 11) Will Zootopia make more than $4m this weekend? No 12) Will Zootopia pass Batman vs Superman's total gross by the end of the weekend? Yes 13) Will Ratchet and Clank stay above the Boss this weekend? No 14) Will at least 4 films increase over 200% on Friday? No 15) Will Barbershop cross $50m by the end of Saturday? No 16) Will Star Wars the force awakens increase this weekend? No 17) Will hardcore Henry make less than $12,500 this weekend (getting pulled from theatres counts as a yes for this question)? Yes 18) Will BvS have a PTA above $1,200? No 19) Will Hologram for the king finish in the top 12 this weekend? No 20) Will 1920 London have a PTA above $6,500? No 21) Will Kung Fu Panda end the weekend in the top 25? No 22) Will 3rd -8th place's weekend gross combine to be higher than Jungle Book's Weekend Gross? No 23) Will Green Room Finish in the top 10? No 24) Will any film in the top 20 drop more than 70%? No 25) Will Civil War be universally accepted as the film to end all wars and disagreements for films ever? No Bonuses 16/25 - 2000 17/25 - 3000 18/25 - 4000 19/25 - 5000 20/25 - 7000 21/25 - 10000 22/25 - 12000 23/25 - 15000 24/25 - 17000 25/25 - 20000 Part 2 ~ The closest predictor for each question scores 5000 UOS 1. What will Civil War gross opening Friday (including previews)? 90.65 M 2. What will be the difference in total domestic gross between Civil War and Jungle Book by the end of the weekend? 71.65 M 3. How far away from making its (BOM stated) budget will Huntsman be after this weekend? 74.94 M 4. What will Zootopia's weekend Drop be this weekend? 39% 5. How many films (out of all the films that BOM gives a gross for) will drop more than 57.5% this weekend? 16 Part 3 ~ predict which film finishes in the places given. (2000 per film) 3. Keanu 6. Barbershop 8. Ratchet and Clank 10. Batman v Superman 13. Green Room 17. God's Not Dead 2 Bonuses: 3/6 ~ 2000 points 4/6 ~ 5000 points 5/6 ~ 9000 points 6/6 ~ 15000 points

The BFG is going to be huge. All naysayers will be denying they ever said it in 2 months when the film is massive.

Above that, definitely

Part 1 ~ answer yes/no unless otherwise stated (UOS) and are worth 1000 points each UOS. They also only refer to the top 12 UOS. 1) Will keanu open to more than $18m? Yes 2) Will keanu open to more than $22.5m? No 3) Will mothers day open to more than $10m? Yes 4) will the 3 openers' combined OW be higher than jungle book's weekend gross? No 5) Will all 3 wide openers finish in the top 5? Yes 6) Will huntsman drop less than 47.5%? No 7) Will Zootopia drop more than 20%? Yes 8) Will BvS have a sub-$1M day this weekend? No 9) Will Barbershop have a higher Saturday gross than Zootopia this weekend? Yes 10) will miracles from heaven have a better Sunday drop than gods not dead 2? No 11) Will deadpool have a better Friday percentage increase than BvS? No 12) Will criminal stay above my big fat gel wedding? Yes 13) Will allegiant stay above Cloverfield lane? Yes 14) Will hardcore Henry make less than $100k this weekend? Yes 15) Will any film below the top 12 last weekend, move up into the top 12 this weekend? No 16) Will the boss have a PTA above $1,500? Yes 17) Will 2 films have a Friday increase above 200%? Yes 18) Will KFP3 have a Saturday increase over 98.5%? No 19) Willthe man who knew infinity have a PTA above $5000? No 20) Will the hologram for the king turn out to be a threatening message from Lord Snoke? Yes...very much... I'll add bonuses later... Part 2 ~ The closest predictor for each question scores 5000 UOS 1. What will keanu gross OW? 20.65 M 2. What will Huntsman's weekend percentage drop be? 55.6% 3. What well be the difference in dollars of the total domestic grosses of BvS and zootopia after this weekend? 1.7 M Part 3 ~ predict which film finishes in the places given. 3. Mother's Day 5. The Huntsman: Winter's War 8. The Boss 10. Criminal 13. Eye in the Sky Bonuses: 3/5 ~ 4000 points 4/5 ~ 7000 points 5/5 ~ 10000 points

Fav wouldn't be -7, it only counts films he directed since he only directed The Jungle Book. He'd be at 6 positive, 1 negative, so +5. This also doesn't count The Jungle Book of course.

So, a bit off topic, but I think I've found a pretty good way to predict scores for movies on RT before they get released. Basically, it works like this: -Compile together every director, writer (only counting people who wrote the final script), producer, and main 6 leading actors in the film. -Go through each of their filmographies. Give a point whenever a film they produced, wrote, directed, or acted in got a positive score on RT. Give a penalty point (-1) when there was a negative score. -Don't count TV series, TV movies, films labeled as "video" on IMDb, non-theatrical documentaries, or films where they were uncredited in. If it says "additional screenplay material" for a writer or something like that, it's still fair game. -If the film doesn't have a score and has no reviews, no points will be added or removed. However, the film still does not count if there's 4 or less reviews. There has to be at least 5. -If a film ends in the positive numbers, then that means it ends being fresh. If it's in the negative numbers, it ends being rotten. This might not end up being perfect, but it's worth a shot. If you guys want me to try this out on any future films, then please let me know.

idk, I think it'll perform on the same level as star wars, but that's just me

2. Neighbors + Angry Birds + Nice Guys 3. BvS Worldwide 4. BvS Opening Day

I'm pretty sure the thread where Zootopia opened had less pages than this. So a week where a mid-level McCarthy flick and an action bomb apparently gives a lot more to talk about than a successful WDAS flick, along with 2 other new releases. gotcha

The Boss April 9, 3:20 PM, 35% full Cinemark Towson and XD, Towson, MD Trailers: Neighbors 2 (chuckles) Popstar: Never Stop Never Stopping (light laughs) The Darkness The Conjuring 2 Finding Dory (chuckles) Free State of Jones Ghostbusters (chuckles) Some decent sized laughter throughout. A few stayed through the credits to watch the outtakes.

im not arguing against a high opening but i see there being very weak legs

You guys are overestimating conjuring 2. It's gonna drop off from the first. I expect reviews to be mediocre too

I think this will be able to coexist with Secret Life of Pets since SLoP has a bit of a younger target audience. BFG also has a very high probability of skewing a wider variety of ages.