Napoleon
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Posts posted by Napoleon
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2 hours ago, Claudio said:
Fast X with $140M Dom, $680M WW
Mermaid $290-$310M , $520-550M WW
Transformers probably $45M OW and low $120M total, $320M WW
Flash $80M OW, low 200M Dom and low $600M WW
Elemental $40M OW, 120 Dom, high $200M WW
If that happens, aren’t all of these movies losing money theatrically?
I think you’re being generous with your Blue Beetle prediction, can it really do much better than Shazam 2?
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I'm not tracking presales but a superficial look at the one IMAX screen in my city (Fortaleza/CE), The Flash's sales for the first screening (Wednesday night previews) are way lower than Spiderverse's, but significantly better than Transformers' (which has barely sold anything). It's nice to see that we now have advance ticket sales for most movies, this used to be rare. I didn't know Spiderverse was so strong.
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17 hours ago, cahramel said:
By the way, I feel like the Snow White movie might flop in LATAM. At least in my country the reactions haven't been good at all to the casting of Zegler.
I think it will do well in Latin America because Gal Gadot is very popular. Wonder Woman was a big hit in Mexico and Brazil.
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Already booked my ticket for the first IMAX screening available in English, on June 14. I don't care what other Snyder fans say, I'm excited to see my favorite Batman again (Ben Affleck) and the references to Man Of Steel.
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Some earlier reactions were making it seem like this was more than just a good movie, but a really outstanding movie, the kind of movie that audiences would want to see many times in theaters, like Top Gun Maverick or The Force Awakens. You don’t see Tom Cruise praising a movie like he did with this one. You didn’t see James Gunn falsely praising Shazam 2 to sell tickets. I believe the hype. There’s a chance this will have an atypically leggy run. In the case a $70m opening is not a bad start at all.
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24 minutes ago, Durden said:
The Flash, starring Ezra Miller in the titular role, is pacing to open in the $70 million range, according to sources who have access to tracking data.
People were making fun of the Unbiased Snyder Fan but I guess he really had a source for this, he was spot on about the industry tracking
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There's no movie this year I'm more confident in its quality than this one, but for box office potential it kinda worries me how it doesn't look like nothing new or different from what we've seen in the previous M:I or recent Bond films. Hopefully the perfection of the last two M:I movies makes this not an issue at all for audiences. The stunt that has been the main selling point is just not as exciting as the ones in Ghost Protocol and Rogue Nation, and the new character played by Hayley Atwell also doesn't look as interesting as Rebecca Ferguson's first appearance and Henry Cavill in Fallout.
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1 hour ago, thajdikt said:
100M OW will happen, I have no doubt about that. Sales on Tuesday will confirm. I´m expecting this to comfortably go over 100M. 120M+
I agree. The Flash will be huge.
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On 5/18/2023 at 3:43 AM, Mr Roark said:
This movie has been hyped by its own property and the show biz like anything I’ve ever seen. Yet, the trailer looks kinda mediocre especially from a VFX and cinematic standpoint.
WB needs desperately The Flash to become a hit, after five flops in a row. Five. That’s crazy. They should’ve let Snyder finish his story with Darkseid back in 2017.
On 5/18/2023 at 3:49 AM, Mr Roark said:They literally lost 6 years after JL and I’m pretty sure a couple of JL films by Snyder between 2019 and 2022 would’ve been more successful that the crappy stuff they released.
Without mentioning that they would’ve avoided all the annoying Twitter campaigns etc etc that lead to ZSJL.
And besides, ZSJL has been widely well received and a shorter version of that movie would’ve been 100% superior than the Frankenstein monster that was Whedon’s JL.
It's sad that online talk about the DCEU, especially the Zack Snyder films, have become so toxic that a lot of people won't have an honest discussion about this. But you're absolutely right. There was a lot of doom and gloom about the BVS reception and box office legs, but the predictions didn't materialize until after Snyder left and WB gave the complete creative control to someone else. Following BVS, Suicide Squad and Wonder Woman broke opening records and were huge worldwide. Aquaman also became their biggest movie worldwide following Justice League. To me it doesn't make any sense to claim the Snyder films ruined the DCEU and are responsible for the box office bombs that happened so many years later, like the Shazam and Suicide Squad sequels. I hope one day people here can admit that. Ideally, The Flash would be the movie to finally unite every segment of the DC fandom, as the movie does seem to please everyone, though I'm not really expecting that because people online love negativity.
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This has been the best season of Survivor in ages
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On 5/8/2023 at 2:37 PM, ThatWaluigiDude said:
Box office 4 - 7 may
Movie Box Office (R$) Change (%) Total (R$) Admissions Admissions total (Est) 1 Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3 30.175.000 --- 33.288.000 1.330.000 1.470.000 2 The Super Mario Bros Movie 7.082.000 -58.7% 120.542.000 326.000 5.900.000 3 Evil Dead Rise
2.405.000 -58% 18.700.000 110.000 961.980 4 Knights of the Zodiac 665.000 -82.6% 4.900.000 31.820 240.000 5 Dungeons & Dragons - Honor Among Thieves 593.000 -83% 22.000.000 25.860 1.050.000 6 Left Behind: Rise of the Antichrist
477.000 -71.6% 2.400.000 23.120 120.590 7 John Wick 4: Baba Yaga 318.000 -79% 50.000.000 12.000 2.380.000 8 Air 312.000 -59.4% 5.300.000 8.000 175.840 9 Sadako DX (The Ring 4) 155.000 -86.6% 1.400.000 7.430 73.610 10 The Origin of Evil (Pre-release) 135.000 --- 135.000 6.140 6.140 1.92M admissions this weekend, with R$42.82M on the box office.
GotG 3 had the second best opening of the year, slightly above Wakanda Forever but bellow Thor L&T and DS2, however it did saw the best opening of the franchise by a good margin and it is the movie no. 9 to sell 1 million tickets. Evil Dead Rise will also join the club soon, it has also entered this year's top 10.
Mario, despite the drop, remains strong and it is now officially the top movie of the year - and it will probably remain like this for a while. The rest of the list saw bad drops, with a special shout out to the awful second week of Knights of the Zodiac and The Ring 4, gotta be some of the worsts second weeks holds of all time.
Next weekend, it will release Barraco em Família, Origin of Evil, No Bears, Love Again, Mafia Mamma and Book Club 2.
That's surprising for Evil Dead Rise. The 2013 remake sold 356,000 tickets in Brazil. I don't understand why it's doing so well, maybe it just came at the right moment (with no horror hit as competition) and had effective trailers.
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7 hours ago, JWR said:
No, Zack. They GOT it. They just didn't like it.
That's not what he said at all, the tweet is misleading. Here's the quote from their own article:
"I think, and maybe I’m wrong. but I feel like a lot of people went into the movies for going like, 'Oh, it’s the superhero romp, right? Let’s have fun with it,'" Snyder said. "And we gave them this sort of hardcore deconstructivist, heavily layered, experiential modern mythological superhero movie that needs…that you really need to pay attention to." He continued, "That was not cool [for them]. That’s not something anyone wanted to do. They were like, 'What? No! That’s exhausting. How about, why do they fight at night?' I hate that."
He didn't suggest people didn't understand, he said people were expecting a different thing.
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18 hours ago, ringedmortality said:
So why is Guardians 3 doing better overseas this time around? Does the darker tone just work better in other places?
18 hours ago, Jonwo said:I mean look at how well Batman does in many OS countries. In the UK, The Batman beat every MCU film that year apart from Doctor Strange and even then the difference was minimal.
This is an interesting point. In 2016, Batman v Superman and Suicide Squad beat Captain America: Civil War in Europe, and basically tied in Latin America and Africa, according to the Focus report.
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10 hours ago, Porthos said:
I dunno. Microsoft just made waves today by telling the truth about XBox. Shows it can be done.
Damn I really know nothing about the videogame business, I thought Xbox was the best / most popular console.
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38 minutes ago, dudalb said:
1000% Agreed. By any logic, her creditbility should be zero.
But people are suckers for a pretty face, and her shitcki has always been "Look at me, I am a cute blond who is a heavy duty geek".
Grace has had a lot of scoops that turned out to be true. It would be logical for her to have zero credibility if everything she posts were later proven to be false, but that's not the case. And that's true for all of those scoopers, all of them get false tips sometimes. Even Deadline was fooled by a tip that Henry Cavill would be at the DC panel on last year's San Diego Comic Con.
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2 hours ago, kayumanggi said:
So there's a cast, and it's not a closely guarded secret if the director is telling people he's just going to lunch with. Where are the trust worthy scoopers to leak it? Has Grace said anything?
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18 minutes ago, Firepower said:
Can Guardians dip slightly below 100 mln?
No way. That would be the worst case scenario, which Guardians 3 will easily avoid with positive reviews, an aggressive marketing and a marketplace not so crowded anymore. It should do very well in walk-ups.
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On 4/25/2023 at 12:37 AM, kayumanggi said:
What about Millie Bobby Brown and Jenna Ortega?
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Are these the same movie?
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After these reactions I'm even more certain it will be a pretty big hit at the box office. There was a lot of stuff going against The Flash: there's a cbm backlash going on right now, Ezra Miller is controversial, some CGI looks terrible in the trailers already, and on the surface it doesn't seem to bring nothing new and it's just a rehash of No Way Home. Not to mention a lot of people have a bias against the DCEU or even DC as a whole. Everyone thought this movie was doomed before buzz that it was outstanding started to circulate. So if it's getting this kind of positive response, I believe the hype. It will be huge with audiences.
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Great trailer, except for a few CGI shots. Love to see Ben Affleck back, he's always been my favorite Batman.
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Impressive for Evil Dead Rise even if falls short of a $20m opening, considering how other WB movies performed this year with a similar lack of marketing effort. This goes to show how strong the horror genre is, especially if the movie comes from a recognizable brand and are positively reviewed.
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17 hours ago, JohnnyGossamer said:
Definitely think Muschietti is a good filmmaker for it and it has the novelty of being DCs first big film to bring back and bridge characters from other, earlier DC films. That should help it. But, so far is the multiverse thing becoming played out... I wonder that too. I assume that's what that individual mean. We've seen X-Men do it with Days of Future Past. We've seen the MCU do it with Endgame, Multiverse of Madness, No Way Home, Loki. We saw Quatumania illude to it enormously with Kang as well. We've seen it with Spider-verse and we'll see it with its upcoming sequels too. And, of course, we saw it with the Oscar winning Everything Everywhere All At Once.
So, I think The Flash should be okay as there's novelty in bringing back Keaton's Batman, Affleck's Batman, Zod, etc. But, I'm not certain how much more multiverse the public is willing to stomach on a huge scale in superhero films. Maybe I'm way off base here?
I trust the buzz that the movie is outstanding, because we don’t see that often. Especially for a project like The Flash, which everyone was already writing off. There are too many signs pointing to it being great. I’m thinking it will do something unique with the multiverse concept. Otherwise, execs and insiders wouldn’t all be saying the same thing. They all have seen all those other multiverse movies too.
And having read the Flashpoint comics, and watched the adaptation on the CW series, I can totally see why this could be a great and special film. It’s a really promising story.
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Classic Conversation Thread
in Box Office Discussion
Posted
There are just as many great creative people out there who aren't abusive. There's no excuse for this type of male behavior to be tolerated in any workplace.