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titanic2187

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Everything posted by titanic2187

  1. I went for 725m and 1.5b+ WW after its opening weekend and in my head was no way this is going to be lower than AoU.
  2. I guess the less-white-american friendly theme making the movie less accessible to part of the audience, same thing happen to ratatouille, the french-themed pixar films
  3. In a year where female-centric film was so strong, their significant male co-stars will be all go to supporting actor, making the field be extra-competitive. As for supp. actress, if octavia didn't get nomination last year, i think her chance will be higher for this round, unless you are meryl, two nomination in 2 consecutive year is a bit hard. And so far, the hype for SOW just isn't as near as La la land, I doubt that each branches in academy is going to full force on this
  4. I am going with 10 with those category......if SOW win best picture, I wouldn't rule out for $100m total, it would be a the 1st fantasy to win BP since LOTR 3
  5. fox searchlight is now focusing their push for three billboard 1st as 3B increases massively starting last weekend. And, the shape of water would likely receive the most nomination for 90th oscar, double-digit i suppose, it will be better for them to expand by the weekend when oscar's list revealed. With film being more GA-friendly, it could do more than 70m total
  6. well, if a nostalgic-fueled element can drive multiple billions films like JW, SW7 , 3D wow factor would drive avatar to 760.5m and 2.79b WW easily as avatar was the sole beneficiary during 3D-boom period for 3 months....
  7. Avatar shouldn't be in this list....it's not a masterpiece, but surely a more than satisfying pop-corn flick...
  8. some nice comeback after losing too much of screens in x-mas, it's been up for 3 consecutive week, assuming no increase in theater count afterward, ladybird can leverage with at least 1m gross on weekend by the time when oscar nomination list revealed.
  9. Thor 1 with 60% 3D share , while it dropped to 39% for thor2, any % reported for thor 3? I dont seem to remember there is any
  10. Three billboard needs too!! it seriously need another round of expansion, that PTA just isn't dropping after adding 200%+ of theater
  11. even we take $52.8m 5 days opening for Jumanji, the movie still hasn't drop by half at this point of release, and it's been a month. It's time to consider the possibility of $1b WW for Jumanji
  12. Agree, I can clearly remember how people put Avatar on the menu when that 220m opening weekend happened, and almost none of us predicted it will go lower than 700m, let alone lower than titanic and JW. If really a bunch of people went for 650m during its 220m, then only it is really "normal" number
  13. avatar add 683m after its opening weekend, it is bigger than the entire gross of TLJ Carry over effect is significant in box office market, when a movie open big, no matter how bad it drop, no way it will have low raw/absolute number..... Here is why the absolute gross never taken into consideration when we interpret its legs.... Unless you want to claim that, get out that total of 176m, with just 33m opening, had much much bad legs than TLJ, the legs was only 142m
  14. yes, it managed to reduce it weekly drop from 94.4% for friday to 90% drop for sat
  15. I think it's unfair to blame american, american critics have done their part to fuel the movie, and the theaters across nation are welcoming its release.... It's competition after all i think, too many family friendly movie in play.....and meanwhile even the live action movies now are greatly family-friendly.....
  16. I am still remember a tons of people said that, carrie fisher last appearance in TLJ could boost its gross, but when TLJ look to drop 33% from its predecessor and follow SW trilogies 's pattern. Many factors that worked in favour of TLJ didn't get materialized, carrie fisher+Holiday+ 90% critically acclaimed RT score + so called A cinemascore + movie pass+ higher internal opening weekend multiplier than TFA....... The raw gross for TLJ is definitely a success, but the legs is truly disappointing......
  17. TD YD Title (Click to View) Studio Daily Gross % +/- YD / LW Theaters / Avg Gross To-Date Day 1 1 Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle Sony $6,125,000 +188% -43% 3,849 $1,591 $262,260,909 24 2 - The Post Fox $5,900,000 +3,993% +1,088% 2,819 $2,093 $10,389,237 22 3 - The Commuter LGF $4,560,000 - - 2,892 $1,577 $4,560,000 1 4 3 Insidious: The Last Key Uni. $3,424,000 +161% -73% 3,150 $1,087 $39,665,140 8 5 - Proud Mary SGem $3,175,000 - - 2,125 $1,494 $3,175,000 1 6 4 The Greatest Showman Fox $3,050,000 +137% -27% 2,938 $1,038 $85,803,868 24 7 2 Star Wars: The Last Jedi BV $2,723,000 +62% -58% 3,090 $881 $582,997,584 29 8 - Paddington 2 WB $2,400,000 - - 3,702 $648 $2,400,000 1 9 6 Pitch Perfect 3 Uni. $1,433,000 +128% -57% 2,505 $572 $90,432,225 22 10 5 Darkest Hour Focus $1,245,000 +67% -32% 1,693 $735 $32,460,552 52 11 7 Molly's Game STX $1,080,000 +86% -53% 1,708 $632 $17,910,167 19 12 11 I, Tonya Neon $956,000 +212% +24% 517 $1,849 $7,654,816 36 - 8 The Shape of Water FoxS $730,000 +63% -14% 723 $1,010 $24,451,892 43 - - Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri FoxS $635,000 +280% +242% 1,022 $621 $26,843,459 64 - 10 Coco BV $629,000 +103% -59% 1,362 $462 $194,172,440 52 - 12 Ferdinand Fox $600,000 +130% -74% 2,154 $279 $72,628,094 29 - 9 All the Money in the World TriS $345,000 -1% -67% 1,408 $245 $22,171,060 19 - - Wonder LGF $291,000 +88% -60% 970 $300 $127,679,574 57 - - Marshall ORF $134,619 +13,707% +8,647% 378 $356 $9,618,807 92 - - Thor: Ragnarok BV $92,000 +138% -41% 242 $380 $312,733,320 71 - - Downsizing Par. $83,000 -42% -87% 412 $201 $23,881,239 22 - - Hostiles ENTMP $76,000 +96% -12% 42 $1,810 $621,468 22 - - Condorito: La Pelicula LGF $53,000 - - 153 $346 $53,000 1 - - Daddy's Home 2 Par. $41,000 +69% -71% 201 $204 $103,092,955 64
  18. I hope something like janaury 2013 could repeat itself, where a bunch of award players playing crazily.....
  19. I would love to see TA is ahead of TLJ, TA is a revolutionary attempt, this is where the starting point of the concept of franchise being upgraded to universe.....
  20. They are all paving the way for oscar players.....i guess the expansion plan and surge in box office will be significant due to moviepass+ lack of new release
  21. Best Picture normally will goes to those movie with great art value, and great crafting skill of philosopher of visual art, with little story... This is why la la land, manchester by the sea , moonlight get so much hyped among critics and members,for them, great story/plot isn't the most essential part but the way of crafting the visual art.
  22. if the figure for three billboard holds, it will be super great! 200%+ increase of theater count correspondingly increase by 200%+ in box office? it's rare! 2nd live for 3B!!
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