Brainiac5
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Posts posted by Brainiac5
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2 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:
Tuesday, December 5, 2017
<<Prev Day <Wk <Mo <Yr >Yr >Mo >Wk >>Next Day TD YD Title (Click to View) Studio Daily Gross % +/- YD / LW Theaters / Avg Gross To-Date Day 1 1 Coco BV $2,490,329 +67% -25% 3,987 $625 $114,094,216 14 2 2 Justice League WB $1,719,702 +51% -42% 3,820 $450 $200,264,849 19 3 3 Wonder LGF $1,394,244 +74% -28% 3,449 $404 $89,875,310 19 4 4 Thor: Ragnarok BV $1,023,330 +36% -12% 3,148 $325 $293,410,703 33 5 5 Murder on the Orient Express (2017) Fox $887,502 +53% -25% 3,201 $277 $86,308,555 26 6 6 Daddy's Home 2 Par. $753,242 +62% -15% 3,403 $221 $84,104,376 26 7 7 Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri FoxS $616,674 +43% +41% 1,430 $431 $14,584,574 26 8 8 Lady Bird A24 $559,199 +30% +12% 1,194 $468 $17,826,393 33 9 9 A Bad Moms Christmas STX $429,805 +55% -17% 2,251 $191 $65,444,960 35 10 10 The Star Sony $414,788 +84% +8% 2,822 $147 $27,998,217 19 11 11 Roman J. Israel, Esq. Sony $276,189 +52% -41% 1,669 $165 $9,985,302 19 12 12 The Disaster Artist A24 $105,590 +6% - 19 $5,557 $1,416,213 5 - - Blade Runner 2049 WB $59,469 +29% +11% 434 $137 $90,890,898 61 - - Titanic (20th Anniversary) Par. $40,664 +7% - 87 $467 $517,359 5 - - Marshall ORF $40,090 +44% +564% 651 $62 $9,217,983 54 - - Jigsaw LGF $21,911 +13% -33% 301 $73 $37,645,137 40 - - The Florida Project A24 $18,563 +15% -17% 120 $155 $4,889,251 61 - - The Shape of Water FoxS $16,808 +5% - 2 $8,404 $199,462 5 - - Last Flag Flying LGF $16,382 +26% -1% 110 $149 $849,621 33 - - Victoria and Abdul Focus $11,110 +19% -36% 131 $85 $22,062,390 75 - - Darkest Hour Focus $9,974 -9% -26% 4 $2,494 $432,793 14 - - The Foreigner STX $9,707 +29% +4% 130 $75 $34,232,826 54 - - It WB (NL) $9,432 +12% -25% 231 $41 $327,364,246 89 - - Let there be Light ADC $8,470 +40% -48% 121 $70 $7,133,644 40 - - Kingsman: The Golden Circle Fox $8,123 +14% -28% 163 $50 $100,067,840 75 - - The Killing of a Sacred Deer A24 $7,898 +11% -26% 41 $193 $2,205,074 47 - - The Mountain Between Us Fox $7,556 +51% -21% 167 $45 $29,934,137 61 - - Geostorm WB $7,421 +43% -14% 165 $45 $33,090,946 47 - - Tyler Perry's Boo 2! A Madea Halloween LGF $6,960 +28% -14% 212 $33 $47,175,047 47 - - American Made Uni. $6,460 +26% -5% 93 $69 $51,284,050 68 - - My Little Pony: The Movie LGF $4,769 +80% +174% 180 $26 $21,878,144 61 - - Despicable Me 3 Uni. $4,355 +35% -26% 152 $29 $264,486,920 159 - - Happy Death Day Uni. $3,495 +9% -20% 100 $35 $55,634,865 54 - - Same Kind of Different as Me PFR $1,401 +48% -33% 30 $47 $6,345,109 47 - - A Question Of Faith PFR $1,197 +3% -59% 21 $57 $2,582,380 68 - - Leap! Wein. $418 +28% -68% 29 $14 $21,857,497 103 - - Wind River Wein. $336 +18% -49% 9 $37 $33,800,390 124 - - Kepler's Dream INDEP $292 -2% - 11 $27 $2,172 5 - - The Stray Purd. $258 +27% -6% 6 $43 $1,575,857 61 - - Painted Woman Amor $207 +3% - 3 $69 $5,006 26 <<Prev Day <Wk <Mo <Yr >Yr >Mo >Wk >>Next Day BVS day 19
2 2
$1,867,311
26.6% / -54.3%
4,102 / $455JL day 19 2
$1,719,702
51.1% / -41.9%
3,820 / $450
Almost the same amount. -
1 hour ago, efialtes76 said:
Wednesday - 1.08M(-37%)
Thursday - 1.02M(-5%)
Friday - 2.45M(+140%)
Saturday - 3.92M(+60%)
Sunday - 2.35M(-40%)
Weekend -8.72M(-47.7%)
It may be closer to 10mil
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12 minutes ago, fmpro said:
He/she meant 700 mill yuan
i really doubt 700 mill WW will happen
If it’s heading for a 245ish Finish then 700ww is certainly possible .
All the films has to do is be well over 400o.s Monday and aim for a 455finish.
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14 minutes ago, JB33 said:
Yeah I must say @Brainiac5 you've been pretty cool during this tough release of JL. Props to you for that, given how big of a fan you are.
I know the film isn’t big as I hoped for it to be ,However I’m happy There’s actually a JL film to watch As I have been waiting my whole life for such a thing to exist.
Going this weekend to see it again with a group.
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13 minutes ago, RamblinRed said:
i really appreciate the positive energy Brainiac tries to bring to the JL discussion even though the numbers really don't warrant it. I'm a data analyst for a living and way too cynical to have that positive outlook.
Barring something really unforseen 250 is all but dead for JL.
If it simply matches FB from this point on it gets to 247. Unfortunately it is running consistently 8-10% behind FB right now. That is putting it at about 242 if it can maintain that and not erode faster than FB once TLJ comes out.
My gut is that it will fall further behind FB's pace next week. TLJ is looking at a 200+ opening. That is potentially 50M higher opening weekend than R1. Theaters will adjust their screen counts to maximize their ability to meet that demand. That means it is highly likely that TLJ will end up on more screens than R1 did opening weekend. Once those screens go to TLJ, they are unlikely to go back to old releases as the demand starts to satiate a little after a week or two. More likely it goes to new releases over Christmas.
I'm actually interested to see what ends up higher between JL and Coco. JL right now is on a path for about 242. Coco is now just 9M behind Moana so that would be 239 if it matches Moana going forward and it is running really close to Moana now and it looks like it has the potential to start running ahead of Moana's pace this week. if JL gets hit harder by TLJ (and potentially Jumanji as that looks like a potential breakout based on current tracking) and Coco continues to show strength over the holidays - with less animated competition as Ferdinand is only tracking about 50-60% of Sing I could see Coco slipping past JL late in its run. The animated features also tend to stay in the theaters longer over the holidays and new year period than live action releases. Moana and Sing stayed in theaters at least a month longer than FB did.
None of us are truly gonna know until it happens.
247 is pretty damn close.
Ill take the 240+ As it’s much higher than the 215 many here were claiming.
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16 minutes ago, Diana Prince said:
It didn’t crawl over either. Someone even wrote a long analysis about why it would miss the 100 million mark based on Thor’s numbers. Goes to show that there is room for more than one SH movie. Kudos to both movies! With over one week left, wonder whether it can get to 700m, which would be close to your 105-108 wish?
I saw the hater article about how the film wouldn’t make 100mil China which I found to be ridiculous.
Theres no crawl for it to get there only a walk.
700ww? I think it can as the film look to be heading for 240+/460 Finish.
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18 minutes ago, YourMother said:
Pretty much this not to mention with the amount of wide releases coming soon and Jedi absorbing more screens than R1
We have no ideal how the holiday push oshonnahelp this film and its catching up with the percentage drops of the two previous comps.
Nothing is a promise but things are still up in the air.
The film should be looking at 212 after this weekend.
Edit:I’ll take the 245 (2.6x)as well.
The film should be at 410o.S next Monday
and will only need 45mil more for a 700ww Finish.
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4 minutes ago, YourMother said:
I don’t think $250M is happening maybe $245M.
That’s very close and doesn’t Put 250 as dead.
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1 minute ago, ZeeSoh said:
I was going by when we get the numbers but yeah you are right it will cross today on Tuesday.
Weekend #3 and beyond are very important for this film.
It will determine if it’s a 230-240mil film or a 250domestic.
Im hoping for the 250dom
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Just now, ZeeSoh said:
Justice League should cross 200m mark tomorrow which would be its 18th day.
For reference that would tie it with Sing, which also crossed 200 in 18 days, at #77 spot on the fastest to $200m at the box office.
Today.
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12 minutes ago, ZeeSoh said:
-75.5% drop from yesterday and -45.8% drop from last week for JL. FB for reference had a 74.9 and 41.8 drop respectively
Amazing -26.4% drop from last Monday for DH2
MJ2 had a 72% drop and a 46.4% mon-mon.
JL is in good shape.
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55 minutes ago, Olive Skywalker said:
Tuesday est after service fees
Coco - 29.7m/563m -5.8% / +36.6%
Justice League - 5.9m / 667.2m - 6.3%
Darkest Hour - 3.3M/20.4m +8.1%
Fireworks(Japan) - 1.5M/74.5M -28.5%
Viking(Russia) - 0.62m/13m -19.5%JL 100mil is a done deal
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1 minute ago, RamblinRed said:
Highly unlikely. FB made 51M from this day forward and JL is making less on a daily basis.
It would have to outpace FB (which is it running behind in dailies) from this point forward against a stronger slate of movies (TLJ vs R1, Jumangi vs Passengers) over Christmas.
The more likely scenario is that it falls farther off of FB's pace after the 15th, which is why 235-240 seems likely to me.
Best case scenario is likely holding the 92% week against week of FB which would give it about another 47M for a 244M total.
Im thinking JL have bigger Tuesday increases and will give it that other 6mil.
Not saying it’s a Guaranteed by its a possibility.
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10 minutes ago, a2knet said:
Multipliers after 3 weekends [final multi] :
FB 183.09/74.40 = 2.46x [3.15x]
MJ2 227.37/102.67 = 2.21x [2.74x]
JL 197.41/93.84 = 2.10x
So JL should end with about a 2.6x(243dom)
Edit:If JL can manage better holds than MJ2 from here on out If May have a chance at 250dom.
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2 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:
1 1 Coco BV $26,114,000 -48.6% 3,987 - $6,550 $108,689,404 - 2 2 2 Justice League WB $16,580,000 -59.7% 3,820 -231 $4,340 $197,335,921 - 3 3 3 Wonder LGF $12,500,000 -44.9% 3,449 +277 $3,624 $88,032,623 - 3 4 4 Thor: Ragnarok BV $9,659,000 -42.7% 3,148 -133 $3,068 $291,406,599 $180 5 5 5 Daddy's Home 2 Par. $7,500,000 -43.3% 3,403 -115 $2,204 $82,814,446 $69 4 6 6 Murder on the Orient Express (2017) Fox $6,700,000 -49.1% 3,201 +49 $2,093 $84,772,513 $55 4 7 11 Lady Bird A24 $4,543,990 +12.0% 1,194 +403 $3,806 $17,089,441 - 5 8 10 Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri FoxS $4,530,000 +2.9% 1,430 +816 $3,168 $13,670,520 - 4 9 7 The Star Sony $4,000,000 -42.3% 2,822 -15 $1,417 $27,279,653 $20 3 10 8 A Bad Moms Christmas STX $3,480,000 -28.9% 2,251 -55 $1,546 $64,831,823 $28 5 11 9 Roman J. Israel, Esq. Sony $1,935,000 -56.5% 1,669 - $1,159 $9,503,090 $22 3 12 N The Disaster Artist A24 $1,220,831 - 19 - $64,254 $1,220,831 - 1 13 12 The Man Who Invented Christmas BST $863,053 -36.2% 674 +48 $1,280 $3,150,475 - 2 14 N Titanic (20th Anniversary) Par. $415,000 - 87 - $4,770 $415,000 - 1 15 14 Call Me by Your Name SPC $281,280 -31.9% 4 - $70,320 $908,175 - 2 16 15 Jigsaw LGF $220,000 -40.7% 301 -82 $731 $37,600,988 $10 6 17 N The Shape of Water FoxS $166,800 - 2 - $83,400 $166,800 - 1 18 N Wonder Wheel Amazon $140,555 - 5 - $28,111 $140,555 - 1 19 24 My Friend Dahmer FR $140,000 -0.9% 90 +15 $1,556 $939,294 - 5 20 17 The Florida Project A24 $129,240 -38.2% 120 -44 $1,077 $4,873,123 - 9 21 21 Darkest Hour Focus $109,000 -37.7% 4 - $27,250 $411,481 - 2 22 18 Tyler Perry's Boo 2! A Madea Halloween LGF $106,000 -43.1% 212 -36 $500 $47,164,878 $25 7 23 22 Last Flag Flying LGF $100,000 -37.0% 110 +12 $909 $816,844 - 5 24 34 The Foreigner STX $76,000 +8.7% 130 +26 $585 $34,216,587 $35 8 25 32 Jane (2017) Abr. $73,286 -11.9% 49 -2 $1,496 $1,253,205 - 7 That’s less than a 60% drop for JL ,If it follows MJ2 or FB then it should fall 40%next weekend.
10mil fourth weekend may be in play.
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Just now, Olive Skywalker said:
until Dec.17th
It will lose 60% showtimes this weekend and 90% next weekend, I don't think it'll be extended.
So this week will pretty much be Its last push?
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11 minutes ago, Olive Skywalker said:
Sunday est after service fees
Coco - 112.6m/500.2m -11.2%Justice League - 18.7m / 654.7m -28%
Fireworks(Japan) - 12.95M/70.55M -60%
Darkest Hour - 5.88M/14.04m +8.2%
Viking(Russia) - 2.05m/11.55m -53%
- Coco Sunday drop is on par with Zootopia(-11.8%), FSS is up 147% vs OW
- Normal drop for JL, will cross 100M USD on Monday
Can JL reach 110mil?
How much longer does it have there ?
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38 minutes ago, bangbingchan said:
JL will crack $100M tomorrow in China.1st DC film to hit the spot.better than BvS
Even better that it won’t have to crawl to get there.
Not to mention it opened lower than BVS there by 4-5mil.
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3 hours ago, Barnack said:
If that hold:
FB: $18,118,111 weekend, 183,080,514 at that time, for a 234m run
MJ2: $$18,857,547 weekend, 227,369,547 total, for a 281.6m run
If JL continue to follow Fantastic beast (do has well relative legs than FB:)
15.8/18.1*(234-183)+196.5 = 241m
If JL continue to follow MJ2:
15.8/18.85*(281.6-227.4)+196.5 = 242m
Relative trend:
Those 2 had a good -40 drop for the next weekend, but JL -61% is very similar to their 3 weekend drop and like them there is not really much competition on wide new release for a while, it could follow theirs trajectories or not too far from the 240m dbo from now on I guess.
They did: 30m and 35m after December 15 and were better counter programming to the Star Wars competition I imagine.
If JL next week hold is similar then I think it’s getting to 240dom.
That’s roughly a 2.6x.
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27 minutes ago, Olive Skywalker said:
Saturday est after service fees
Coco - 127m/387.5m +148%
Fireworks(Japan) - 32.1M/57.5M +28%
Justice League - 26.2m / 636.2m +118%
Darkest Hour - 5.5M/8.22m +102%Viking(Russia) - 4.36m/9.5m -15%
Thor: Ragnarok - 1.48m / 743m [end of run]- Coco Sat increase is better than Zootopia(+136%), and Pixar finally has its first 100M+ daily;
$58.6M total as of today, beats Mexico as Coco's biggest OS market
- Great increase for JL, it has become DCEU's biggest movie in yuan
- Thor R ends its run with 743M yuan.
So JL will end it’s run closer to 105-108mil than just 100mil
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4 minutes ago, narniadis said:
hate to break it to ya, but IF the 4.8 holds then there is no statistical way it gets over 17m let alone comes close to 18m.
Don’t shoot the messenger
Maybe the 4.8 is a typo?
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40 minutes ago, Diana Prince said:
Who’s right?! Deadline has completely different numbers.
If 18.5 Holds up For JL then that’s the best 3rd weekend drop among The two previous Thanksgiving Comps.
Both Of those Films dropped 40% In weekend #4. Yet to know if JL will follow suit.
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23 minutes ago, LeoC said:
Why increase on Thur? Holidays somewhere?
I believe all the films are just stabilizing.
Wednesday (7/12) #s - JL - $1.12m
in Numbers and Data
Posted
Dailies are about $20,000 or so behind BVS and about $400,000 Behind SS.
If JL does 9.5mil this weekend then it’s 4th weekend will be more than BVS 4th weekend and Two million behind SS.
I think W.O.M is extremely better than BVS and SS.
JL Really needed that Big opening weekend.