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Brainiac5

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Everything posted by Brainiac5

  1. Brainiac5
    Remember it will come close to covering a 2x on Sunday (if my predicted numbers holds up). I think most of you just wrote the film off to quickly IMHO.
  2. Brainiac5
    So far JL has held better with the exception of Monday which still wasn’t by much. JL Tuesday increase was better and I’m assuming Its Wen increase will be better or on par. JL very well can catch up with BVS Weekend to Weekend Numbers going forward.
  3. Brainiac5
    As long as it doesn’t crash and burn like BVS then it’s not to far fetch. JL Second Weekend might Best BVS.
  4. Brainiac5
    Better Tuesday’s increases can certainly close the gap.
  5. Brainiac5
    I’ll take a disappointment/Underperformance over a flop any day. BVS also has this label but it comes with its insane bad holds ,where’s JL will be a disappointment/Underperformance with much better reception and good will going forward and Better holds. JL has a chance to have a second weekend bigger than BVS despite opening 70mil less. That says a lot as JL has Competition and BVS didn’t.
  6. Brainiac5
    But sucessful
  7. Brainiac5
    If it holds better than MJ2 this weekend then 300 Domestic is certainly alive. Anything over 180 10day puts 300 domestic on the table. @a2knet
  8. Brainiac5
    Put it this way 93o.w M-T 7.5+10.7+12+10=49.2 The film will nearly cover a 2x in 10days MJ earned more than 100 mil more afterwards FB earned also earned More than 100mil after wards. If JL holds up and and looking at 170-180 after 10days then its possible. (Note) this is a hopeful prediction and a best case scenario.
  9. Brainiac5
    A lower Weekend doesn’t automatically gives a films worse or equal Legs. JL can very well have a Second Weekend bigger than BVS while its Dailies for this week will also be above it.
  10. Brainiac5
    You know these things are predictions and not one of them are exact science. I know 300 requires a 3.2x as I was just giving him an example of what the film can look like if it does so.
  11. Brainiac5
    When you think about BVS Reception then 300mil(3x) looks good for it’s sequel. If it keeps the same Dom/O.S Ratio Then your looking at 900mil ww. Not saying it’s gonna do that but just giving you an example as to what it can look like.
  12. Brainiac5
    The verdict is still out for JL . This film certainly can earn a CBM 3x(281)Multiplier. Now if the film can hold better than Let’s Say FB I’m the coming weeks then it’s Multipier can go as far as 3.2x(300) .If it holds the same Domestic to Foreign ratio Then the headlines jumped the gun.
  13. Brainiac5
    I fixed that for you.
  14. Brainiac5
    FB also increased by 17% On Wed. Same increase gives JL 12.5mil. -12% On Thursday gives it 11mil Can JL Second Weekend look like this Fri +92% = 21mil Sat -10% = 19mil Sun -40% = 11mil for 51mil (-45%drop)? 72mil 5day? 185mil (1.98x)10day total?
  15. Brainiac5
    O.S the film seem to be doing fine as it had a 17.5mil international Monday. If things keep up then it should be over or close to 325mil Foreign by Monday. If So then I’ll say 450 is the floor.
  16. Brainiac5
    it has better W.O.M but not extremely better W.o.M. Ill take its Twitter Ratio over BVS any day 2:1 vs 6:1
  17. Brainiac5
    JL really haven’t budged all day.
  18. Brainiac5
    I just realized for the rest of the week JL will be above BVS Dailies (🤣). If BVS Monday included N/A Then JL is running ahead in the Foreign markets with no Holiday.
  19. Brainiac5
    This film may end closer to 500mil foreign than many people realized(the coming days will tell us more). I Say 700mil is the floor as the film should earn closer to 475 IMO . Thats slightly under MJ2 Multiplier as I don’t think the two films Multipliers are gonna be much different . lm pretty sure 225 is the floor(at the moment).
  20. Brainiac5
    How does that compare to the rest of the Thanksgiving Amnimated films ?
  21. Brainiac5
    If JL can be 175/325=500 then 700mil will be the floor.
  22. Brainiac5
    I’m not sure but I will say if it doesn’t include SK and China’s Tuesday then 18.7mil International day is good for the film as the film will have a 26mil day when adding N/A Monday total. Im pretty sure it includes China’s Monday but don’t know about the Tuesday.
  23. Brainiac5
    So 17 mil overseas Monday? does anyone knows how much it made on Monday ? That will help us predict where it’s foreign total will be on Monday.
  24. Brainiac5
    1.99x=102 2x=103 2.1=108 Ill take either.
  25. Brainiac5
    By the way if you believe it will finish with 450 OS then there’s a chance it can go above that as The Domestic total should be over 225. So 700mil ww isn’t off the table yet.
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