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Jake Gittes

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Posts posted by Jake Gittes

    Best director 2012

    in And The Winner Is...

    Posted

    It's about as DOA as you can get. The footage we saw's killed it's awards chances already in the big categories. Lincoln and Life of Pi are both gonna be better than Django, that thing looks like a mess, and there's honestly no buzz.

    you must be living in a different world.

    Best editing 2012

    in And The Winner Is...

    Posted

    Cloud Atlas could get in here very easily if they pull it off. Editing is something that could make or break the film, and if it does the former, it's going to really stand out. Not sure why exactly Flight could be a contender. Moonrise Kingdom and The Hobbit are also possibilities. And TDKR is most certainly out.

    • Like 1

    Week 13 Frat Pack vs The Batman (Infmous, Narnia, Dav, Goff individs)

    in Chasmmi's Infamous Box Office Game

    Posted

    1) Will TDKR have a Friday increase of more than 45%? Yes

    2) Will TDKR drop less than 55%? Yes

    3) Will TDKR have a Thursday drop of less than 9.5%? Yes

    4) Will Neighborhood Watch have an OW of more than 30 mill? Yes

    5) Will Step Up 4 have an OD of more than 5 mill? Yes

    5) Will NW have an opening day of more than 12 mill? No

    6) Will ASM drop less than 43%? Yes

    7) Will IA4 have a better drop than Brave? No

    8) Will any film in the top 12 fall more than 46%? Yes

    9) Will any film in the top 12 fall less than 20%? No

    10 Will MM have a Sunday drop of less than 30%? Yes

    11) Will TDKR have an international weekend of more than 100 mill (all 5 day grosses will count)? 3000 Yes

    12 Will TDKR open to more than 13 mill in Germany? Yes

    13 Will TDKR open to more than 10 mill in Russia? Yes

    10/13 3000

    11/13 4000

    12/13 5000

    13/13 8000

    Bonus 1: What will TDKR's weekend gross be? 3000 $80,411,393

    Bonus 2: What will TDKR's worldwide weekend (5 days count) gross be? 5000 $180,412,000

    Bonus 3:

    What finishes in spots:

    3 Step Up Revolution

    5 Ted

    7 Brave

    9 Savages

    13 Madagascar 3

    Regarding this weekends scores

    in Chasmmi's Infamous Box Office Game

    Posted

    Yep, I agree with this. We are all in the same boat, we couldn't have known what would happen and we don't have any kind of advantage over one another. Right now it's still the point when I don't particularly care about things like who's going to get the most points and how the rankings are going to change, and all that, but the results absolutely should be counted.

    • Like 1

    TDKR Weekend: $160.89M - #3 ALL TIME HIGHEST OW

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted · Edited by Jake Gittes

    Well what would it have opened with?

    $135-140m at the very least. Obviously there's no way to know for sure, but I feel as confident as I can be when I say it wouldn't have opened lower than DMC. Not with those trailers, that much goodwill from BB and that buzz that was already in the air in Dec 2007 - Jan 2008, before Heath's death.

    Week 12 "You know the thing about chaos? It's fair."

    in Chasmmi's Infamous Box Office Game

    Posted

    1) Will The Dark Knight break the opening day record? 5000 Yes

    2) Will TDKR make at least 100.05 million OD? 3000 No

    3) Will TDKR make less than 74.087 mill OD? 3000 No

    4) Will TDKR make more than 12 mill OW in Australia? 2000 Yes

    5) Will TDKR make more than 5 mill OW in Spain? 2000 Yes

    6) Will TDKR make more than 25 mill OW in UK? 2000 Yes

    7) Will TDKR have a Saturday drop of more than 30%? Yes

    8) Will TDKR make more than 30 mill at midnight? Yes

    9) Will TDKR make more than 15.95 mill at IMAX domestically? Yes

    10) Will TDKR have a per theater average of more than $47,698? No

    11) Will TDKR have a cinemascore of A+? Yes

    12) Will TDKR make at least 60.05 mill on Sunday? No

    13) Will TDKR make at least 57.5 mill on Sunday? No

    14) Will TDKR drop less than 15% on Sunday? Yes

    15) Will TDKR make at least 150 mill more than ASM, IA4 and Ted combined? No

    16) Will TDKR make more than 185 mill OW? 2000 Yes

    17) Will TDKR make more than 192 mill OW? 2000 Yes

    18) Will TDKR make more than 208 mill OW? 2000 No

    19) Will TDKR make less than 174.738 mill OW? 2000 Yes

    20) Will TDKR have a world wide debut of more than 300 mill? No

    21) Will TDKR have a world wide debut or more than 325 mill? No

    22) Will TDKR have a world wide debut of less than 280 mill? No

    23) Will the top 10 films combine to make more than 260 million? Yes

    24) Will ASM drop less than 55.5%? Yes

    25) Will ASM have a Friday increase of more than 50%? No

    26) Will ASM have a Saturday increase of more than 25%? Yes

    27) Will ASM's 6 day (including the BS Canadian Monday previews) be more than TDKR's first two days? No

    28) Will Nikki's first Friday report come out before 1pm PST time (just go to deadline and see when she posts her tentpoles)? Yes

    29) Will Nikki's first posting about TDKR contain the phrase "NOT A RECORD" anywhere in the post? No

    30) Will Nikki's first "projection" about TDKR be higher than the number reported with official Friday estimates? 3000 Yes

    31) On the first three days, will BKB post anywhere at anytime about how the film is not meeting expectations from a box office standpoint? Yes

    32) Will the Weekend Numbers thread (this starts with Thurs midnights and goes until Sunday estimates) reach 300 pages by 9AM on Monday July 23rd? (I'll keep track) Yes

    33) Will IA4 drop less than 50%? No

    34) Will MM drop less than 45%? Yes

    35) Will any film in the top 12, besides MM drop less than 45%? Yes

    36) Will Moonrise Kingdom make more than MAD3? Yes

    37) Will The Avengers drop less than 55%? Yes

    38) Will Prom, MIB and SWATH all drop more than 58%? No

    39) Will The Hunger Games fall less than 25%? Yes

    40) Will The Intouchables fall less than 15%? Yes

    35/40 5000

    36/40 8000

    37/40 10,000

    38/40 12,000

    39/40 15,000

    40/40 25,000

    Bonus 1: What will TDKR's weekend gross be? 5000 $219,256,990

    Bonus 2: What will IA4's weekend gross be? 5000 $23,154,749

    Bonus 3: What will ASM's weekend gross be? 5000 $16,172,955

    Bonus 4: What will TDKR, Avengers and Tyler Perry's combined gross be? 5000 $223,238,213

    Bonus 5: What finishes in spots:

    6 Magic Mike

    8 Moonrise Kingdom

    10 Katy Perry

    11 Madagascar 3

    13 Beasts of the Southern Wild

    2000 each and a bonus of 5000 if all correct

    Bonus 6: According to the International Report in the International section (first report will be the one we go by), Internationally, what finishes in spots:

    3 The Amazing Spider-Man

    4 Ted

    6 Brave

    Results and Standings (Fake increases lead, Cedar jumps, 24lost solidifies)

    in Chasmmi's Infamous Box Office Game

    Posted

    I got 7/12 with estimates, with the possibility of getting 9/12 with actuals. But I got spots 4, 5, 7 and 11 right which is a nice plus.Oh, and while I'm at it, Gizmo is the most likely to get Bonus 1 as he was the only one to go for more than $24m (the estimated result is $24.35m). Then you have Iceroll with $23.6m and Tyler Durden with $23.56m. For Bonus 2, we'll really have to wait for actuals.

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