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Jake Gittes

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Posts posted by Jake Gittes

    baumer's 2012 Summer Game: Domestic Top 12 Prediction Standings

    in Chasmmi's Infamous Box Office Game

    Posted

    ROA is my GL of this year. I put it in the last spot and it's not going to make it even there.I wonder what's going to be #11 now - Ted? Watch? Campaign? Expendables? Ted probably has the most chance, Watch and Campaign don't look like $100m grossers (and they are coming out pretty late) and TE2 would need a monster opening, like $45m at the very least. But I'm not Baumer so I'm not predicting that kind of numbers for it.

    Weekend Estimates: TMB @ 13M, PROM @ 20.2M, ROA @ 15M, MAD3 @ 35.5M

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted

    Hopefully a day is not far off when Sandler finally decides that he's got enough money and begins acting regularly in comedic/dramatic movies by respected directors. He was great in PDL and Reign Over Me and after the failure of Funny People (in which he was great as well) it was painful to see the guy becoming someone he himself just parodied. He's a smart and talented actor, I understand he wants to make money but how much more money does he need to make starring in these turds?

    Week 7: Jaxx vs Donny

    in Chasmmi's Infamous Box Office Game

    Posted · Edited by Jake Gittes

    1) Will Moonrise Kingdom stay in the top 10? Yes

    2) Will The Intouchables increase? No

    3) Will Chernobyl Diaries drop less than 60%? No

    4) Will The Hunger Games increase more than 40% on Saturday? No

    5) Will Battleship decrease by less than 50%? Yes

    6) Will MIB3 finish within at least 7 mill of SWATH? Yes

    7) Will The Avengers have a Friday increase of more than 60%? No

    8) Will Rock of Ages make more than 26.5 mill? Yes

    9) Will That's My Boy make more than 32.5 mill? No

    10) Will Rock of Ages and TMB combine to make more than 60 mill? No

    11) Will That's My Boy decrease by less than 8% on Sunday? No

    12) Will Prometheus decrease by more than 25% on Sunday? No

    10/12 3000

    11/12 5000

    12/12 7000

    Bonus 1: What will Avengers WW total be after the Sunday estimates come out? 4000 $1,421b

    Bonus 2: What will MAD3's WW total be after the Sunday estimates come out? 4000 $285m

    Bonus 3:

    What films finish is spots:

    5 Snow White and the Huntsman

    9 What to Expect

    11 The Dictator

    14 Dark Shadows

    2000 each 7000 bonus if all 4 are right.

    baumer's 2012 Summer Game: Domestic Top 12 Prediction Standings

    in Chasmmi's Infamous Box Office Game

    Posted · Edited by Jake Gittes

    Well any chance there is is very slim. Mad3 has opened too well and will have made too much money prior to June 22 to fail to achieve $170+m after Brave opens. In the worst case scenario it will drop around 60% in its third weekend, and even then it won't just fall off the face of the Earth. Summer weekdays and lack of competition on, for example, June 29 will keep it from disappearing for a while. TASM won't destroy its run either.

    Movies Everyone Likes but You Dont

    in The Speakeasy

    Posted

    HugoBabelNetworkSerenityThe FighterBridesmaidsTouch of EvilThe Third ManPan's LabyrinthGangs of New YorkThe White RibbonThe Hunger GamesThe Color of MoneySlumdog MillionaireTinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spyall Harry Potter films except Prisoner of Azkaban and DH1def. several others I can't remember off the top of my head. Of those listed, I'll definitely rewatch Touch of Evil and The Third Man at least once again, but have no desire to return to all the others.Also, I didn't like Fight Club one bit on the first viewing. I was 16, not very familiar with Fincher's work (only had seen Zodiac and Button by that point, loved both, but in many ways they couldn't be further from FC) and I just totally didn't connect with it - didn't get the point, hardly laughed at all, basically just stared at the screen for two hours trying to understand what the hell I was watching. Flash forward a couple of years and two more viewings, it got to be one of my favourite films of all time.

    Week #6 Africa vs. pre-Alien(s)

    in Chasmmi's Infamous Box Office Game

    Posted · Edited by Jake Gittes

    1) Will Prometheus open to more than 60 mill? No

    2) Will Madagascar open to more than 44 mill? Yes

    3) Will Madagascar have a Saturday increase of more than 20%? No

    4) Will Prometheus make more than 1.5 mill at midnight? Yes

    5) Will SWATH fall less than 46%? No

    6) Will MIB3 have a Friday bump of more than 90%? No

    7) Will Bel Ami have a theater average of more than $4000.00? No

    8) Will Peace Love and Misunderstanding gross more than $60,000? Yes

    9) Will The Avengers fall less than 42%? Yes

    10) Will SWATH have one the two best Saturday increases? No

    11) Will Marigold Hotel have the best drop? No

    12) Out of the films that cost at least 150 million, which will have the best Sunday drop? The Avengers

    10/12 3000

    11/12 4000

    12/12 7000

    Bonus 1: What will be the combined weekend total of Prometheus and Madagascar? $106,761,811

    Bonus 2: What will be the combined total of all 3D films? $134,708,693

    Bonus 3: What will THG's total be after this weekend? $400,131,242

    Bonus 4: What finishes in slots:

    6 Best Exotic Marigold Hotel

    7 What to Expect

    9 The Dictator

    12 Chernobyl Diaries

    SOTM 4

    in Chasmmi's Infamous Box Office Game

    Posted

    Yup. And Intouchables will pass its benchmark in the next several days.The only wildcard is really Moonrise - BOM reports it will expand to 70 theaters, so with a $25k PTA it will earn $1.75m for the weekend. That would mean its total gross will be close to $4 million. Then it'll get another 20 days in release when it will be expanding - I'd say it has a pretty good chance to pass $10m, but it's the only case in the SOTM the outcome of which isn't already set in stone

    New Deadline for Weekly Answers

    in Chasmmi's Infamous Box Office Game

    Posted

    First of all, thanks a lot for this, B.

    A caveat to this is that you have 4 full days to do the questions, I have no idea why some of you wait until the very last minute to submit them.

    Theater counts. At least that's my reason. It's further complicated by the fact that they appear when it's 4 AM where I live, and I can't do the answers earlier than 9 AM, when I wake up (that's Friday already). Now, I'm 13 or 14 hours ahead of forum time, so 9 AM Friday here is 7-8 PM Thursday forum time, and naturally, I usually submit my answers in the last couple of hours.Also I have to say that when I missed the deadline last week, I knew it but still submitted the answers because previously I saw you lock the thread several hours after the deadline - I just assumed (wrongly) that since you can lock the thread after the deadline, yet still many hours before the first hint of the Friday numbers, the minute you lock the thread is essentially the deadline. Despite the fact you never said that anywhere and how serious your words concerning the 11:59 Thursday deadline were back in March/April.P.S. Can't help but ask this now: are you still going to give make-up questions to those who missed the deadline in the past couple of weeks? Since the answers are already there, you might as well just score them when you've got a free minute. Although, on the other hand, there are players who didn't submit their answers at all and will need make-ups, so you could give them to those who came in late with their answers just as well... just curious about this.

    Week 5: Snow White and the Piranha

    in Chasmmi's Infamous Box Office Game

    Posted · Edited by Jake Gittes

    1) Will Snow White open to more than 40 million? YES

    2) Will Piranha 3DD open to more 2.5 mill? NO

    3) Will Greater Glory have a per theater average of more than $4500? NO

    4) Will Battlefield America make more than 500K? NO

    5) Will Piranha have a Saturday drop of more than 20%? YES

    6) Will Snow White have a Saturday increase of more than 10%? YES

    7) Will The Avengers drop more than 49%? NO

    8) Will MIB3 drop more than 55%? YES

    9) Will any film in the top 10 have a Sunday drop of less than 40% from it's previous Sunday? YES

    10) Will Snow White make at least 15 mill more than MIB3? YES

    11) Will any film have a Friday increase of less than 30%? NO

    12) Will Chernobyl Diaries make at least 1 million more than Piranha 3DD? YES

    13) Will Best Exotic Marigold finish in the top 10? YES

    Bonus 1) What will the Avengers WW total be after estimates on Sunday? 1.364,5 B

    Bonus 2) What will The Hunger Games domestic total be after Monday actuals? 398.320 M

    Bonus 3) What films finish in slots:

    4 The Dictator

    6 The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel

    7 What to Expect When You’re Expecting

    11 The Hunger Games

    4 day Actuals pg 62+; MIB3 69.25m TA 47.22m

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted

    Bernie is doing unexpectedly well. Could approach $10m if it doesn't lose the momentum.That PTA for Moonrise is $902 ahead of Dreamgirls... hopefully it maintains the edge. It will be interesting to see how it expands, it has a much better start out of the gate and is supposedly more crowd-pleasing than Life Aquatic, Darjeeling and FMF, so expecting $25m might not be unreasonable. I would really love it if it clicked with mainstream audiences like Royal Tenenbaums did.

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