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Hei25

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  1. Tuesday (April 2nd Holiday) Daily Estimates: 1. Dumbo / 103.609 adm. / Total =410.665 adm. 2. Captain Marvel / 29.724 adm. / Total = 1.226.672 adm. 3. Us / 6.869 adm. / Total = 90.107 adm. 4. Five Feet Apart / 6.582 adm. / Total = 67.710 adm. 5. HTTYD 3 / 4.007 adm. / Total = 920.916 adm. Huge numbers on the holiday for Dumbo, in fact it's 2nd biggest day after Sunday. The movie will have a very solid first week, and with the lack of family friendly movies in the upcoming weekends and Easter Holidays in two weeks it almost locked that it will reach the 1M adm. milestone.-
  2. Weekend (28th - 31st March) Estimates: 1. Dumbo 264.403 adm. OW. 2. Captain Marvel 76.591 adm. (-43%) / Total = 1.183.993 adm. 3. Us 25.175 adm. (-37%) / Total = 78.279 adm. 4. Five Feet Apart 13.888 adm. (-17%) / Total = 58.135 adm. 5. The Old Man and The Gun 12.125 adm. (-36%) / Total = 35.797 adm. Great OW for Dumbo, it's Saturday and Sunday numbers were very good. Tomorrow is a holiday so today's number will be also very good. A final over 1M admissions is in play now. March ended very well, the best month of the year, also april be very good having in mind that Dumbo has started now, Shazam! on next weekend, Easter holidays and the most awaited movie ever A:EG.- 2019's Biggest OW in Admissions (100k+ adm. only): 1. Captain Marvel / 470.013 adm. 2. Dragon Ball Super: Broly / 373.680 adm. 3. Ralph Breaks the Internet / 342.952 adm. 4. Dumbo / 264.403 adm. 5. HTTYD 3 / 210.633 adm. 6. Glass / 100.872 adm.
  3. Thursday 28th March Estimates: 1. Dumbo / 29.133 adm. OD. 2. Captain Marvel / 6.941 adm. (-47%) / Total = 1.114.343 adm. 3. Us / 2.745 adm. (-45%) / Total = 55.849 adm. 4. The Old Man and the Gun / 1.095 (-30%) / Total = 24.767 adm. Solid OD for Dumbo, a movie that is family friendly will play strong on weekend. I think that will open somewhere btw 135k-165k adm. over the 4 days weekend. CM as expected, it won't have a good Multi, despite that it's total will be excelent one considering it's a CBM. Before Shazam! opens I will try to post a chart of the genre. CM will be easily a topm 10. 2019 Biggest Opening Day 1. Dragon Ball Super: Broly / 108.795 adm. 2. Captain Marvel / 98.791 adm. 3. Ralph Breaks The Internet / 84.947 adm. 4. HTTYD 3 / 53.631 adm. 5. Dumbo / 29.133 adm. 6. Spider-Man: into the Spider-Verse / 24.266 adm. 7. Glass / 24.085 adm. 8. Happy Death Day 2U / 20.081 adm. 9. Mary Poppins Returns / 20.048 adm.
  4. Weekend (21st - 24th March) Estimates: 1. Captain Marvel / 135.121 adm. (-47%) / Total = 1.065.649 adm. 2. Us / 39.810 adm. OW 3. The Old Man and the Gun / 18.811 adm. OW 4. HTTYD 3 / 18.539 adm. (-9%) / Total = 903.901 adm. 5. Five Feet Apart / 16.801 adm. (+9%) / Total = 37.443 adm. 6. Green Book / 16.643 adm. (-37%) / Total = 312.162 adm. Decent hold for CM in it's 3rd weekend, with the lack of competition I thought that it would hold better, but it's enought good. It locked finish above 1.2M admissions but won't make much more over that milestone. Dumbo will hit theathers next weekend and give some stamina to BO, I hope a strong OW over 150k adm. at least.
  5. Weekend (14th - 17th March) Estimates: 1. Captain Marvel / 255.086 adm. (-46%) / Total = 854.208 adm. 2. Green Book / 26.305 adm. (-23%) / Total = 287.856 adm. 3. The Prodigy / 23.674 adm. OW. 4. HTTYD / 20.142 adm. (-20%) / Total = 879.904 adm. 5. Five Feet Apart / 15.344 adm. OW. Captain Marvel achived a massive hold, way better than expected comming from such huge OW also after seeing how it fell in thursday (-73%) but it's Fri-Sun numbers were superb. Yet it's hold is a bit worst than A:IW one, and it's weekdays weren't bad but were a bit soft. 1M admissions certainly is locked and a finish above 1.2M adm. is likely. With this result I can't be more hyped with A:Endgame OW.
  6. Weekend 7th March - 10th March Estimates: 1. Captain Marvel / 470.013 adm. OW 2. Green Book / 34.286 adm. (-32%) / Total = 250.271 adm. 3. HTTYD 3 / 25.048 adm. (-43%) / Total = 851.761 adm. 4. A Dog's Way Home / 19.480 (-45%) / Total = 166.189 adm. 5. Cold Pursuit / 16.109 (-43%) / Total = 136.674 adm. 2019's Biggest OW in Admissions (100k+ adm. only): 1. Captain Marvel / 470.013 adm. 2. Dragon Ball Super: Broly / 373.680 adm. 3. Ralph Breaks the Internet / 342.952 adm. 4. HTTYD 3 / 210.633 adm. 5. Glass / 100.872 adm. Massive OW for CM, in fact the biggest of the year. After such a huge OD I expected that it will be more frontloaded and even fall short of 400k adm. but that was very far from this result. CM achieved the 34th biggest OW ever, and the 9th over the CBM chart. Actuals may put it a bit higher. With this in mind, now it's total result is in the legs. I see it having a multiplier somewhere btw the last year's biggest OW for CBM. Using their multiplier, it's proyected total will be: -DP2 (2.95): 1.376.000 adm. -A:IW (3.34): 1.563.000 adm. These are rough proyections, may diffier with final result.
  7. I can't see this finishing any close to BP WW total. IMO a more likely goal would be beat IM3. Yet, It may develop solid legs and reach it.
  8. 7th March Daily Estimates: 1. Captain Marvel / 98.791 adm. OD 2. Green Book / 3.097 adm. (-53%) / Total = 219.150 adm. 3. HTTYD 3 / 2.119 adm. (-74%) / Total = 828.908 adm. Huge OD for CM, in fact the 3rd biggest CBM ever, just behind A:IW and BvS (Holiday). This is very encouraging comming from very poor weekends. Let's see if this can push forward this quiet BO season. 2019 Biggest Opening Day 1. Dragon Ball Super: Broly / 108.795 adm. 2. Captain Marvel / 98.791 adm. 3. Ralph Breaks The Internet / 84.947 adm. 4. HTTYD 3 / 53.631 adm. 5. Spider-Man: into the Spider-Verse / 24.266 adm. 6. Glass / 24.085 adm. 7. Happy Death Day 2U / 20.081 adm. 8. Mary Poppins Returns / 20.048 adm.
  9. Thursday 17th January Estimates: Ralph Breaks the Internet / 34.632 adm. (-44%) / Total = 991.881 adm. Dragon Ball Super: Broly / 26.891 adm. (-76%) / Total = 567.911 adm. Glass / 24.085 adm. OD. Creed II / 17.328 adm. OD Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse / 11.761 adm. (-54%) / Total = 154.573 adm. The Mule / 5.440 adm. (-50%) / Total = 192.900 adm. Aquaman / 5.088 adm. (-42%) / Total = 819.927 adm. Bohemian Rhapsody / 3.662 adm. (-30%)/ Total = 1.529.566 adm. Steep fall for almost all the board, DBS Broly as expected had the worst hold but comming from that huge OD it's thursady figures are very solid. Glass oepened a bit below expectations, and Creed II in the other side had a very decent OD. Today Ralph will become the first movie to reach the 1M admissions milestone.- Dragon Ball Super: Broly OD actuals puts it as the 12th biggest OD ever and the 4th Biggest between Animated movies.-
  10. Very solid run. It's OW will surpass Bumblebee entre run. And has a shot to match Aquaman total. Previous entries played like average movie. This is one is playing like a midblockbuster. It's OW is playing like a Blockbuster, compares to last year top OWs it may rank in the top 5 in terms of admissions.
  11. Friday 11th Estimates: 1. Dragon Ball Super: Broly 87.031 adm. (-20%) / Total = 195.826 adm. 2. Ralph Breaks the Internet 43.974 adm. (-28%) / Total = 664.813 adm. 3. Spider-Man in to the Spider-Verse 16.913 adm. (-30%) / Total = 41.179 adm. 4. The Mule 11.545 adm. (+9%) / Total = 124.027 adm. 5. Aquaman 8.570 adm. (-2%) / Total = 758.910 adm. DBS Broly holded surprisingly well after that huge OD, it even holded better than Ralph and the Spidey. Also again The Mule having the highlight of the top 10. DBS Broly is heading to an OW around 350k adm. and even can reach 400k, 50k less than Fukkatsu no F entire run.
  12. Thursday 10th January Dragon Ball Super: Broly 108.795 adm. OD Ralph Breaks The Internet 60.989 adm. (-30%) / Total = 620.839 adm. Spider-Man in to the Spider-Verse 24.266 adm. OD The Mule 10.581 adm. (+22%) / Total = 112.482 adm. Aquaman 8.744 adm. (-38%) / Total = 750.340 adm. DBS Broly acomplished one of the best ODs ever. I think the most impressive along with "It" back in 2017. This will be a very froantloaded movie, but it may finish way above the last of the franchise 450.000 adm. Ralph despite facing 2 animated releases holded amazingly well, and despite it collapse when HTYD3 it may contend for being one of the biggest movie of 2018.- The Animated adaptation of the Spider hero opened very well having in mind the competition is facing and should have a decent run, finishing around 400k adm. The Mule didn't want to keep behind the amazing run of the animated stuff, and delivered a very solid increase to start it's second week of release.- All time top Attended Opening Days (100k adm. ++) Movie Adm. Year Furious 7 (*) 268.840 2015 Fate 8 (*) 246.005 2017 Monsters University (**) 189.756 2013 Simpsons The Movie (**) 184.956 2007 Avengers: Infinity War 167.160 2018 It (2017) 153.168 2017 Secret Life of Pets (**) 149.158 2016 Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Pt. 2 144.214 2011 Batman vs. Superman (*) 137.000 2016 Harry Potter and The Half Blood Prince 129.853 2009 The Chronicles of Narnia 114.017 2006 Dragon Ball Super: Broly 112.948 2019 Minions 110.202 2015 Fifty Shades 106.624 2015 The Incredibles 2 103.348 2018 Metegol (**) 102.867 2013 Puss in Boots 102.533 2011 Fast and Furious 6 (*) 101.037 2013 (*) = Holiday Weekend (**) = Weekend Holidays
  13. Yep, around that amount of USD will be right. Where's heading ? I think that this movie will be very froantloaded, but will improcedente from previous entries with ease. A Final around 700k adm. seems likely. WOM is strong, so maybe it surprise us with a better than expected legs.
  14. Thursday 10th December: Dragon Ball Super: Broly 103.531 admissions. Mindblowing OD for the beloved anime series. One of the few movies to open above the 100k milestone.
  15. As in all Latinoamercia, DBS Broly should win with a very froantloaded OW. I expect a very strong OW in Mexico.
  16. In Argentina it already hitted x5 Multiplier a feat that only local or animated hits can do. Yet is locked to reach x6 at least. It's weekend holds are amazing, but it's weekdays are superb for this time of the year. It's one of the highlights of the year here so far.
  17. Weekend (29th November - 2nd December) Estimates: 1. Bohemian Rhapsody / 102.228 adm. (-8%) / Total = 1.147.154 adm. 2. Dr. Seuss's The Grinch / 87.606 adm. (+7%) / Total = 201.520 adm. 3. Fantastic Beats and The Crimes of Grindelwald / 54.474 adm. (-32%) / Total = 475.111 adm. 4. BTS: Burn The Stage Movie / 46.194 adm. OW / Total = 48.072 adm. 5. Robin Hood / 33.636 adm. OW. 6. Instant Family / 28.203 adm. OW. 7. First Man / 17.540 adm. OW. Bohemian Rhapsody the high point of the end of the year, keeps rollin doing amazing business. It's a very surprising hit, for me the most impressive one.
  18. Weekend (15th - 18th November + Monday holiday): 1. Fantastic Beast: The Crimes of Grindelwal / 258.566 adm. 2. Bohemian Rhapsody / 232.029 adm. / Total = 835.633 adm. 3. The Nutcraker and the Four Realms / 49.717 adm. / Total = 189.714 adm. 4. Peppermint / 24.907 adm. 5. Smallfoot / 17.734 adm. / Total = 374.878 adm. 6. HellFest / 12.790 adm. 7. Halloween / 11.815 adm. / Total = 220.693 adm. 8. Venom / 10,419 adm. / Total = 747.771 adm. 9. Loving Pablo / 8.197 adm. 10. BlacKkKlansman / 7.011 adm. Good 4 day OW for FB2, it opened 10% below the first one and with monday numbers it looks even better. Despite that it will fall short of the first entry, surely next weekend will fall to the 3rd spot with a harsh drop thanksthe SuperFinal of Libertadores cup which will drop a Champion. Bohemian Rhpasody is beating every expectation and fell less than 10% in the normal 4 day weekend, it locked finish above 1M admissions, yet I can see the roof of this hit. I will suffer a harsh drop next weekend but an increase in the following weekend seems likely. Next weekend also will feature the release of Illumination's The Grinch a movie that should do solid business till the end of the year.
  19. Weekend (8th-11th November) Estimates: # MOVIE Week Admissions Screens Change LW TOTAL 1 Bohemian Rhapsody 2nd 191.197 360 -13% 509.853 2 The Nutcraker and the Four Realms 2nd 51.017 254 -7% 124.193 3 Halloween 3rd 23.446 143 -51% 200.456 4 Overlord New 16.660 149 - 16.660 5 Venom 6th 16.010 85 -40% 730.358 6 Smallfoot 7th 14.561 97 7% 352.126 7 A Star is Born 5th 8.206 31 -27% 155.962 8 Alfa 3rd 6.652 93 -56% 73.576 9 Cold War 2nd 5.189 25 -41% 16.408 10 Camino Sinuoso New 4.780 131 - 4.780 Massive hold for Bohemian Rhapsody, the movie based in the aclaimed band took the first spot in it's second weekend with in my opinion the best hold of the year (a weekend with massive rain and the Superclasico Final) a really impressive feature, next weekend will be pushed by holiday in monday but will face FB2, if can hold in mid -20% it will be pushing to reach 1M adm. All other movies had diferent holds, but the 2nd increase in a row for Smallfoot is a huge sign that the market needs a family movie (Illumination's The Grinch may drop big numbers in 2 weeks)
  20. Thursday 1st November Estiamtes: 1. Bohemian Rhapsody / 38.590 adm. OD. 2. Halloween / 5.570 adm. (-60%) / Total = 120.917 adm. 3. The Nutcracker and the Four Realms / 5.016 adm. OD. 4. Venom / 2.856 adm. (-44%) / Total = 681.233 adm. Very good opening for Bohemian Rhapsody and if the WoM is strong this could be a solid weekend, it may target in the high 100ks or even reaching 200k adm. Halloween fell hard and will finish way above any expectation. Venom still playing strong and will finish above 700k adm. an amazing result for a CBM.
  21. Weekend (25th - 28th October) Estimates: # MOVIE Week Admissions Screens Change LW TOTAL 1 Halloween New 88.335 286 - 88.335 2 Venom 4th 50.384 216 -37% 660.852 3 Alfa New 34.886 163 - 34.886 4 El Potro: Lo Mejor del Amor 4th 25.172 153 -47% 502.930 5 Smallfoot 5th 22.269 146 1% 311.130 6 A Star is Born 3rd 21.421 71 -29% 126.295 7 Disney's Christopher Robin 3rd 17.049 126 -35% 110.977 8 Solo el Amor New 14.094 52 - 14.094 9 Rojo New 11.959 52 - 11.959 10 Goosebumps 2: Haunted Halloween 3rd 9.031 105 -29% 64.805 Second weekend in a row with very low numbers, Halloween opened above but with a disappointing start (125-150k range was a very good start). Venom and El Potro are easily the highlights of Ocotber, the first one has topped x3 multiplier mark with chances to reach 3.5 a very hard achievement for a CBM. Let's see if Bohemian Rhapsody can make an impact on next weekend. I see it opening above 130k adm.
  22. Same in Argentina, you can get 2x1 tickets or 50% discount very easy with credit cards, cinema apps ir coupons. That 3.76 USD avg tkt price has the promotion discounts in the equation 'coz depending on cinemas the full price of tickets goes from 230-250ARS (6,1-6,7 USD) in 2D format.
  23. Weekend (11th-14th October) Estimates: # MOVIE Week Admissions Screens Change LW TOTAL 1 Venom 2nd 147.566 306 -30% 429.248 2 El Potro: Lo Mejor del Amor 2nd 106.692 304 -44% 365.845 3 A Star is Born New 45.217 165 - 45.217 4 Disney's Christopher Robin New 37.178 206 - 37.178 5 Smallfoot 3rd 30.398 169 -42% 238.791 6 Goosebumps 2: Haunted Halloween New 25.152 154 - 25.152 7 The Nun 6th 10.497 52 -51% 1.133.947 8 Acusada 5th 8.984 36 -44% 352.043 9 El Angel 8th 4.879 18 -30% 1.320.533 10 The Wife 5th 4.370 13 6% 50.898 Massive hold for Venom pushed by the holiday today, it would be great if it develop Logan or DP legs but I don't see it happend, so the goal for consider this a succes is 600k adm. A Star is Born opened way softer than expected, yet it can develop good legs. Same with CR. El Potro held well, and with this movie 2018 is closing as one of the best years ever for local movies. Today is holiday, so if number deserve it I will post them tomorrow.
  24. The ticket prince avg. right now increased a 25% and will finish the year 5-7% inflation. So tkt price will increase ~35% while ER will finish with a 120-135% depreciation over the year.
  25. Weekend (4th-7th October) Estimates: # MOVIE Week Admissions Screens Change LW TOTAL 1 Venom New 208.934 333 - 208.934 2 El Potro: Lo Mejor del Amor New 188.400 377 - 188.400 3 Smallfoot 2nd 51.820 277 -54% 190.044 4 The Nun 5th 21.154 84 -62% 1.116.252 5 Acusada 4th 16.086 71 -66% 337.915 6 Slenderman 2nd 10.169 77 -73% 60.000 7 The Predator 3rd 8.187 63 -81% 165.976 8 Johnny English: Strikes Again New 7.475 82 - 7.475 9 El Angel 8th 6.994 36 -59% 1.313.078 10 Mile 22 2nd 6.313 60 -82% 50.899 Very solid OW for Venom, October is a very bad month so an OW above 200k looks very good, more having in mind the genre. El Potro was a bit frontloaded but it's OW is a big surprise the 3rd best for a local movie, in a very good year for locals. It will fade fast but thanks it's strong start and next week holiday on monday, it's total will be good. Then all the holdovers fell the hit of the new releases, sports events and the very good weather. TOP Opening Weekends of 2018 (100k+ adm.) Movie OW 1 Avengers Infinity War 864.202 2 The Incredibles 2 642.549 3 Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom 505.912 4 The Nun 430.306 5 Hotel Transylvania 3 425.157 6 Coco 409.717 7 Deadpool 2 342.896 8 El Angel (*) 330.886 9 Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle 268.215 10 Black Panther 247.154 11 Fifty Shades Freed 231.230 12 El Amor Menos Pensado (*) 215.134 13 Venom 208.934 14 The First Purge 202.095 15 El Potro: Lo Mejor del Amor (*) 188.400 16 Mission: Imposible - Fallout 174.106 17 Ant-Man and the Wasp 164.023 18 Nada A Perder 163.528 19 Re Loca (*) 161.084 20 Animal (*) 159.387 21 The Meg 145.485 22 Mi Obra Maestra (*) 143.064 23 Rampage 137.500 24 Ready Player One 131.179 25 Acusada (*) 130.706 26 Ferdinand 117.045 27 Smallfoot 112.616 28 Teen Titans Go! The Movie 106.153 29 Maze Runner: The Death Cure 101.091 (*) = Local Movie
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