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Poseidon

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Posts posted by Poseidon

  1. 21 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

    Its was a holiday in Canada yesterday. 

    It still dropped better than GotG2 in 2017 with the same holiday on that day and is now posting the same numbers and caught up pace. 

     

    Guardians 3 is having a hell of a run. 

    • Like 2
  2. They weren't expecting this at all, were they when they decided to make this open to critics weeks and weeks before release. 

     

    I thought the trailers didn't look bad, but also didn't push any buttons for me to get excited.

     

    Should have gone with the Atlantis-Theme after all I guess. 

     

    Let's just pretend it's de Santis behind it all. 

  3. People seem to have forgotten, that those Fandango Polls are pretty much useless or at best a very vague hint:

     

    https://ew.com/movies/2019/05/22/spider-man-far-from-home-fandango-summer-movies-survey/

     

    Usually, the only solid hint are family movies showing up high in that list. See Lion King and TS4 for 2019. 

     

    Here's the 2018 edition: https://www.boxofficepro.com/avengers-deadpool-2-summer-movies/

    • Like 2
  4.  

    US Box Office with its system of not releasing admissions is actually pretty bad for movies like mario, as it's going to be compared to a movie like Avatar 2, but is actually so much bigger with the huge amount of discounted kids tickets and premium screens having a smaller impact. Also, it will probably play much better in rural places with lower ticket prices.

     

    I would really love to see real admission comparisons. Thy will be absolutely huge for Mario. 

     

     

  5. 2 minutes ago, Mulder said:

    People already proclaiming a 'NCU' are honestly putting the cart before the horse. Breakdown why Mario worked vs Detective Pikachu first.

     

    Because Super Mario Bros delivered what the Games/Brand is all about and Warner for whatever reason thought it was a good idea to just ignore Ash on his adventure to catch them all as the main selling point. 

  6. On 3/21/2023 at 7:55 PM, Hiccup23 said:

    I think we are still adjusting from the pandemic.

     

    Look at last year: Sonic 2 was the first family film of the year and it came out April 8th. Sing 2 was the only family film holdover from 2021 and made $86.3M in 2022. 

     

    This year, Puss in Boots 2 made $127M in 2023. Mario is coming out at the same time as Sonic 2 did and will easily out-gross Sonic 2.  If anything it is finally adjusting back to normal. I think studios want to see the family demand in January-March before dropping films in that timeframe. Puss in Boots 2 success shows there is that demand. 

     

    Also let's not ignore Avatar 2 and Spider-Man: No Way Home, which while not family films, do attract families. 

     

    Of course we are adjusting. but on the other hand, there are still some high profile movie going to Netflix. Sony Animation missed out on 4 movies via netflix and now has only the two Spider-Verse movies scheduled for the next 2 years.

  7. Universal dated a surprise-opening in June with an original animation movie: "Ruby Gillman, Teenage Kraken"

    Opening it against Harold probably means that one will be moved to another date.

     

    Starting the marketing campaign 3 months before the movie opens is quite unique for such a former big player. 

    • Like 1
  8. 13 minutes ago, DAJK said:

    Just an anecdote, Mummies is currently the #1 selling film in Canada today as of 12:00 PST (about 40% ahead of Shazam's total ticket sales as of right now) on Shazam's OPENING NIGHT!

     

    Now, Shazam's higher ticket price and PLFs will more than make up for that, but this is sad LMAO.

     

    Great to see that at least in Canada some people use their brains. 

    Why in the world wouldn't any US Studio buy the distribution rights for "Mummies" and open in a deserted market?

     

    It's doing fairly decent business in Europe. 

     

    Of course it won't be a huge hit, but the theaters have so much room right now. Why say "no" to a $30m movie? 

    • Like 1
  9. 1 hour ago, ThomasNicole said:

    I think Mario will be a succesful movie but nothing mindblowing 

     

    Like 75M OW and 250-300M totals (that depends on reception) 

     

    The final trailer looks awesome tho

    It's the first kids movie of the year. Wehave to keep that in mind. 

    This could either mean underperformance due to a lack of theatrical promotion or on the other side a huge run by families waiting for 4 month to get another opportunity to go to the movies. 

     

    I think this will break out big time and it'll be option #2.

    • Like 2
  10. This is something that just bugs me. Kids are the future of moviegoing, but in 2023, the schedule asks some tough questions of families.

    The first movie for families opens in April. Yeah, you heard right. The whole first quarter of the year is a complete loss for studios.

    Unortunantely, as the year moves on, it doesn't get better. There is a real lack of movies and when there are some, they come in pairs. It's actually quite unbelievable.

     

    How could Hollywood let those audiences go without a fight? First it was women, now it looks like families are next. 

     

    Those are the currently planned releases for 2023:

    April 2nd Super Mario Bros

     

    May 26th The Little Mermaid

    (June 2nd Spider Man into the Spider Verse 2) I wasn't sure if I should count this one as a classic family movie. 

     

    June 16th Elemental

     

    June 30th Harold and the Purple Crayon

     

    July 28th Haunted Mansion

    Aug 4th Teenage Mutant Ninja Turnles

     

    Sep 29th Paw Patrol

     

    Nov 17th Trolls 3

    Nov 24th Wish

     

    Dec 15th Wonka

    Dec 22nd Migation

     

     

    And that's it. 11 movies the whole year. Nothing in October, a month that proved like a good date for Animation before Covic came, nothing round President's Day. 

    Before the Pandemic, Family Movies made up for about 1/5th of the Top 100. And keep in mind, that it's even more in admissions due to lower ticket prices. 

     

    I just hope, this is not how it's going to be from now on. If kids don't get used to go to the movies from early on, they won't come as adults. It's as simple as that. 

    • Like 2
  11. I'm not quite sure what's going on.

     

    Ant-Man and the Wasp, even after Infinity War, only had a mild increase in overall BO compared to the first one. 

    I never even thought about Ant-Man as a $300m-Movie. The Character is pretty much second rate and you could actually argue, if he's more of a supporting actor within the Avengers. 

     

    The start, in my opinion, is pretty fine. The real problem is the B-Cinemascore and i'm waiting for the movie, when audiences quitly decide, that it's enough for now. 

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