Poseidon
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Posts posted by Poseidon
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10 minutes ago, Ronin46 said:
Let it go. They are new to extrapolating the numbers. They made a post about it and it was very early in the day when they made a suggestion. Stop being a pain in the ass about it or you will lose that source of information and discussion.
He's doing a great job. There's no way for him to ever get much closer, as there are pattern, you can't forsee sometimes. The estimates are always within a 10% range and that's all you will get, especially that early in the day,
As a bonus: he's not into stupid stunts and games when sharing numbers.
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That number is a bit anti-climatic after the posting suggesting good numbers.
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3 minutes ago, Eric in Boots said:
There, I changed it to 30M in the title thread, even though that's not as silly or fun.
And there you have the whole problem. If the staff isn't interested in structuring the chaos these weekend topics will always stay an inside joke for a handful of chosen ones.
Those who come here for information were always screwed and I still think that's a shame for a site that's called Boxofficetheory.
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3 minutes ago, MovieMan89 said:
Don’t look now, but if it followed RO daily holds through next Monday it would be at $470m+…
Looks a bit unlikely for A2 to follow RO-pattern for Monday.
On the other hand: King Kong did it in 2005 after a 94% increase on CD.
Sherlock Holmes 2 "only" jumped 12,5% in 2011 after a huge 146% jump on CD.
With Avatar right in the middle of these 2 for CD, a 20% jump on the 26th would be huge afte a $30m CD. Everything above that would actually be mindblowing.
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And keep in mind that, while the storm is gone, it was still pretty cold in big parts of the US on the 25th, with a lot of snow and still windy weather, so I wouldn't rule out some more rebound effect on the coming weekdays when winter weather goes back to "normal".
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There were many reasons to wait to see the movie after christmas.
Snow storm, saving it as a family experience, having money/gift cards after christmas, Runtime.
May this be the start of at least a tiny bit of the old BO magic after all the doom and gloom that poisoned the topics for the last couple of days.
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$40,8m canadian Dollar equals $30m US.
Let's just hope that this childish messing around with numbers at least brings this kind of joy as a christmas gift.
That would be an epic recovery in a pretty dark environment our beloved business is these days.
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7 minutes ago, aabattery said:
14.5 is how many pages we'll get through before we get the actual number.
It's the number of acres of dying rain forest the traffic of this board causes while people search for actual information in a topic about numbers.
Speaking of those troubles: Is there a way to get notified by EVERY posting by a user you follow in a topic? Currently I'm only notified about the first unread positing a member posted, but I don't get direct access to following postings by said user.
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Just now, Legion in Boots said:
I don't know where 18.3 comes from but there is one very obvious way to combine it with 14.5...
18.3m was the real number the day the 14,5m-running gag was born if I am getting the story right.
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12 minutes ago, Brainbug said:
Basically @ZeeSoh made that number up for one of the weekdays and since then its assumed that every day is a 14,5M Day for Avatar.
Which is true, ofc.
Thank you, very appreciated.
I needed the information to play that annoying guessing game that's going on for years and that I still hate with passion.
But there you go, possibel meanings:
1. It just means that Disney estimates are lowballs, without a specific hint at the real numbers.2. It could be specific and means, that Avatar is $3,8m (18.3-14.5) higher than Disney estimated , so 25,3m CD.
3. It's 26% higher than Disney Estimate (again, 18.3 vs. 14.5) and would put it at $27,1m.
4. Whatever
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Could somebody please explain the 14.5m-incident to me please?
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13 minutes ago, Deep Wang said:
See, I think I interpret the numbers as Thurs/Fri being the most impacted by the weather and then the great drop on Saturday was some catch up from people that missed out the previous couple of days 🤷♂️
All you would need is insight into numbers. Look at California, compare it to the rest of the country and there you go...
I still think there's a lot of paths open for the movie, so the performance from here is, in my opinion, still a mystery with a wide range of outcomes.
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Is there any comparison of 3D-Shares worldwide?
I read that UK and US are only about 60-65% in 3D. Is there some kind of pattern there with the movie underperforming in markets where 3D was killed completely by studio greed and ten years of pointless and sloppy 3D-converted mess? -
Looks like a lot of fun with a bunch of legends on screen. I'm in.
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Tomorrow TTP is going to pass Black Adam tomorrow. Quite some achievment.
TTP will sit around $62m going into Thanksgiving week and probably at around $67m after TG (I looked at Hacksaw Ridge as a 2016 comparison) off a $2,6m weekend. Should be on its way to finish between $75m and $80m.
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21 minutes ago, John Marston said:
People exaggerating about audiences changing habits because not every movie is a hit. The fact is movies that have no appeal will not do well and has always been t case. Make stuff people want to see and they will come. It’s even happened this year with many no. Blockbusters (Elvis, Crawdads, Smile, Ticket to Paradise)
The problem is, there used to be 2 Elvis', 2 Crawdas, 2 Smile, 2 Tickets or even more a year.
The problem is, that people got very picky in what they chose to watch at the movies and that's the problem here.
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That's a great trailer. I think this could do well over $150m alongside Avatar over christmas.
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Ticket to Paradise looks like it might only drop in the 20-25% range this weekend with the expansion.
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Ticket to Paradise seems to have great WOM.
Wednesday over Monday is a pretty great achievment.
The Lost City did't do it. The Women King with its A+ CS couldn't do it.
Crawdads just barely did it. And scored a 5.2 multiplier. Would be about $85m for TTP. I guess that's too high, but maybe something like $70m?
Who knows, if it could make it to TG-Weekend with a healthy screencount.
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9 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:
I think they could have gone for $5 instead of $3. Europe usually do €4 IIRC, that would be $5 equivalent in USA.
Germany is going with 5€ (that's even including premium seats) next week for the 2 day "Kinofest".
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Will we ever get back to a full schedule or will this be the future of cinema?
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8 hours ago, Ecks Ecks Are said:
I feel the opposite. Getting his numbers without having to deal with him is the best possible outcome. Him laughing about it on Twitter is like someone who can't get into a nightclub laughing at the people inside, while still trying to get in. Ironic.
That kind of feels right. All people wanted from him were numbers.
Those numbers are still there, he just happend to have access and delivered them.
Self Made "Popstars" came and left.
And maybe there will be another one who doesn't do it for people to beg at him, but just because she or he thinks it's nice to inform this place.
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10 minutes ago, BlaineGabbert said:
Still no saturday numbers for Nope?
Nope.
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22 minutes ago, vale9001 said:
Playing that acqua song in a Barbie movie would be just so lame, like the guns N' roses fights scenes in a thor Movie cause you know movie is rock and inspired by the 80s!
I think it could work quite well, but not in the obvious way, but as an ironic statement in a sad piano version in a scene where things didn't go her way.
Christmas-New Year Weekdays Thread || Avatar $20.1M THU - Top 10 DOM or Bust!
in Numbers and Data
Posted
Seems like he forgot to shave, so he put them back into his jeans for thursday...