Poseidon
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Posts posted by Poseidon
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Compared to Frozen, it should fall just short, but it was following the first one quite close so far and with January being a disaster it really might have a chance.
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This one is having a tough round of marketing ahead to make this a big hit.
So far, it doesn't seem like many people know it even exists.
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Isn't it a tradition now, that the Horror movie opening on the first WE in January is overperforming?
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TWOWS earned another $78m from here. Would give LW a finish of about $115m.
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Well, it didn't go too well from there.
Cats is dropping like a rock and Kaninchen is doing mediocre at best.
Let's hope they can recover, but this was a pretty sad christmas in terms of broad appeal at the german BO.
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1 minute ago, sfran43 said:
Average TP in Germany is just ridiculous. There's been damage done, that, if ever, needs years to make up for.
Forced 3D and those TP surpassing Inflation by huge margins are to blame for the horrible loss of admissions.Theaters made it incredibnly easy for Netflix and other streaming services.
Growth for Av TP pretty much tripled inflation over here in the last 10 years.-
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Wow, I was so wrong on LW.
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Whoever thought Cats might recover over the Holidays: Think again. This is going to have trouble reaching $25m.
It's empty everywhere you look at.-
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21 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:
pace today is excellent. Could end up 20% above Monday if it sustains pace till 6PM PST which is not unreasonable. Let us see where things are this evening.
Christmas Day, as far as I remember, usually slows down going into the evening.
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25 minutes ago, IndustriousAngel said:
At least in my theater Cats doesn't look that bad ... maybe it can reach 50-75k OW in Germany?
Book adaption Als Hitler das rosa Kaninchen stahl looks very weak here but I guess Austria is not the main market for it, should do much better in Germany.
Star Wars 9 is uneven ... some shows (4DX or English) are selling like crazy, but those are mostly on smaller screens, while the standard shows on bigger screens make me think of a 40% drop.
Cats should open well into the 100ks. Very solid opening in Germany. Compared to some afternoon numbers of 2013, both Cats and Kaninchen should open to 200k+ over 5 days.
We'll see how it goes from here.
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5 minutes ago, MattW said:
Yeah 5-6 would be plenty good. Wolf of Wall Street did 9m opening day and through Sunday the 5th had made 63m and 116 total dom. Same ratios with a 6m OD is 42 and 75m. And I suspect little women is less OD loaded.
Every major theater you look at in NYC is already sold out all afternoon, even into the evening. Yeah, it's lacking capacities here and there, but this is going to be bigger than $6m.
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2 minutes ago, BestPicturePlutoNash said:
10m on OD for Little Women?
I hope so but that seems a bit much? Unless the trackers here can say otherwise, I’m being more conservative with 5-6m
Walter Mitty did close to 8m in 2013. Even 47 Ronin scored 7m. CD is huge and LW has way more theaters to open in.
Presales look very good, this is going to explode.
Let's hope capacities are big enough next to SW. -
Those predictions for Little Women are obviously way off.
I'm pretty positive, that it'll score at least $10m on OD alone.
Also, Spies in Disguise doesn't look too bad, has quite some tickets sold already.
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59 minutes ago, Bart Allen said:
Beating Black Panther?
That would be Black Panthers 2nd saturday.
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25th best Saturday All-Time for SW.
There's certainly work to do, here, Disney.That's on them.
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6 minutes ago, VenomXXR said:
Like I said, oh Deepest of Wangs, we never saw it coming in 2009 either. I mean, we're talking through 2029 here. We should be onto the Endgame equivalent of the next saga in the MCU by then. Why not whatever that film is? You could even feed nostalgia into that one that you couldn't do with the Infinity Saga! RDJ back? Cap returning?! Who knows!
Or maybe a Harry Potter film with the the OG cast (although Rowling is slowly killing her own franchise, TFA showed us that nostalgia can burn through an overzealous creator).
I'll call it now, we will see a $500m domestic OW by December 30, 2029!I don't think so.
We're now pretty much as high as it gets in terms of premium formats generating additional money.
I feel like we're now at the ceiling of what audiences are willing to pay for a ticket.
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9 hours ago, Aristis said:
Yes it opened on Wed so Thu is deflated.
That's actually better than I thought for Thursday. RO IM would result in 1,1M 4-day (and with a probable 300k+ OD in 1,4M+ 5-day). As this one opened one day earlier it should be better than that...
But those other numbers are awesome! It seems only Hamburg was in holiday yesterday and today yet so the numbers shouldn't be inflated, at least too much.
A lot of schools in Baden Württemberg are on holidays today, so thursday was like a friday here.
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So Deadline went from "about $1m" to $350k or Bombshell.
Seriously, this is embarassing for a website focussed on this stuff.
Either report something worth to be reported or just don't.
This has nothing to do with journalism.
Same for Cats, where they were off by 45% as well.
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Quote
https://deadline.com/2019/12/star-wars-rise-of-skywalker-opening-weekend-box-office-cats-bombshell-1202814594/
That would actually be huge for Bombshell. But well, probably the truth is not even half of that.-
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1 hour ago, Eric loves Rey said:
Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-1 and Counting
Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 4 201 14,647 34,952 41.91% Total Shows Added Today: 1
Total Seats Added Today: 86
Total Seats Sold Today: 762
Comp
6.131x of It: Chapter Two 1 day before release (64.37M)
4.259x of Joker 1 day before release (56.64M)
6.235x of Frozen II 1 day before release (53M)
Adjusted Comp
1.813x of Lion King 1 day before release (41.71M)
Yeah, this is going sub-40M. Reviews really killed the hype here.
There never was hype to be killed.
SW has a huge base viewership, but this did not create any hype in terms of excitement like Endgame or other movies, that exploded in the last week before opening.
This franchise would need a longer break to recover.
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39 minutes ago, Menor said:
What is the OD?
About 300k according to Mark G. of Insidekino:
http://forum.insidekino.de/viewtopic.php?f=11&p=71651#p71649
That's about 70% of TLJ. Of course keep in mind, that TLJ started on a regular thursday with midnights, while TROS opened on a full wednesday without midnights.
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On 12/18/2019 at 5:00 AM, LPLC said:
I heard that this SW could not reach 6 millions admissions in Germany , what are your expectations ?
I see it having trouble even reaching 5m.
OD is pretty underwhelming, 5D-Opening should come in under Frozen. That's a shocker.
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6 minutes ago, filmlover said:
I'm pretty sure there is no universe in which a film adaptation of Cats would've turned out well unless they had done a complete makeover of the source material. This isn't a Jersey Boys situation where it ended up in the hands of the wrong director.
Hooper thought he could do is, so he is to blame, that he tried.
Weekend Thread: Thursday Night Preview - 1917 $3.25M | Like a Boss $1M | Just Mercy $800K | Underwater $500K
in Numbers and Data
Posted
A week after holidays is always a tricky time for Deadline-Estimtes. They may very well compare early numbers to last weeks boosted numbers.