YM!

So they finally learned how to budget TV shows.

If I knew this counted as Disney, I’d voted for it 😭

“Directed by Emmy winner Peter Hastings (The Epic Tales of Captain Underpants), Dog Man‘s plot is thrust into motion when a dog and a police officer are injured together on the job. A life-saving surgery thereafter changes the course of history when Dog Man is born. Half dog, half man, Dog Man is sworn to protect and serve — as long as he isn’t distracted by squirrels — as he doggedly pursues his arch-nemesis: the feline supervillain Petey the Cat. But the rivalry between Dog Man and Petey is upended by the arrival of an adorable kitten clone of Petey, Lil Petey, who changes the game for both of them.” Yes! They’re keeping the child custody battle!

Couldn’t they make a practical cowl?

Reshoots are May through August (unsure if it’s the intended Spring shoot or if additional, thinks it’s probably the spring shoot moved around). Guessing that, a substantial amount is getting reshot but tbh what’s important is a good movie comes out of this as Sam will likely have a key role in the MCU onward and they want to get this right. It’s probably much better for the MCU in the long run for this to overbudget and be well acclaimed vs rushing it and adding another mediocre project to this coming May like what was originally the plan (tbh they shouldn’t have done filming when the strikes were about to start like Thunderbolts). I do wonder if they remove Sabra. I imagine the character will be heavily edited from the comics and given a new name but the fandom on Twitter seems adamant on boycotting it because of Sabra. Like the suit overall but preferred the FaTWS suit, has a bit too much blue and I miss the helmet.

IMAX?

Lucy couldn’t handle the Gru

Part of the trailer leaked

Guessing this and Stitch will be theatrical, with the latter being a Thanksgiving title.

So they’re just polishing material, and likely adding it some levity and the heartfelt stuff between the family

Love this movie and happy it made it but deserved so much higher

Yeah doubt this makes Summer 2025.

Believe it goes live at 12/11 EST/CST

Can we just agree there’s a middle ground between “nah this will crash and burn” and “everything is hunky dory?”

That should be grounds for permaban imho

I had another reason added on there in that current malaise over CBMs last year alongside the mixed reception of MCU phase 4/5 but I just don’t think 175m+ is realistic right now. Also, a 120-160m opening is still quite a bit of money and near the lower-mid range and beyond, it takes the record. Shit, even if it does 160-175m, that’s still fucking great. Sure, Deadpool 1 adjusts to 170/195m on the holiday weekend but CBMs were in a different place then and I do think there’s some capacity issues that our box office is still having. Even then, that’s the only real example we have for R-rated openers. I don’t think even with a likely sizable trailer blowup, it’s realistic to gung ho quite just yet.

Yeah sub 100m for DP3 won’t happen barring a botched marketing campaign and truly toxic WOM. Think the range for it is 120-160m which is where the first two opened, leaning moreso towards 130-140m. Not sold on 150m being a lock quite yet but it’s probably our best bet this year. Anything over 175m is unrealistic due to R rating and the MCU currently having brand issues.

Decent roundup this year but there’s a few notes I got: Feel like Leo should’ve gotten Gosling’s best actor spot. Robbie not getting in is surprising considering she was the best performance in Barbie. Lowkey if Ferrera gets the win for the speech and Bassett couldn't that kinda bullshit (think Hsu was the clear choice last year but Bassett deserved it more than Curtis) but think Da’Vine will likely clench it Charles Melton got shafted for Best Supporting Actor Sad Heron or Across didn’t get more than just Animated Feature. Not surprised at Ninja Turtles not making it, gave Lego Movie vibes Lmao Wish got jackshit. It’s joever for WDA rn Wahzhazhe for Best Original song let’s go Moon got fucked over with no Best Screenplay nomination

Thank god Saltburn didn’t get any nominations nor Peaches for original song. Let’s fucking go!

Would Spidey even be ready filming for late 2025? Yeah, dont think 4 movies+3 LA shows is a good idea per calander year. Think the schedule will likely be: 2025: Cap 4 in May/TB in July/F4 in November Ironheart, Wonder Man and Daredevil being shows 2026: Blade in Feburary/SM4 in May/Shang-Chi 2 or DS3 in July 2027: DS3 or SC2 in February/Armor Wars in May/a psuedo Avengers in November 2028: Avengers 5/F42 2029: Secret Wars

Tbh, I think the disappointment in the past MCU projects or even disappoint in GoTG not having much in LaT is morr realistic than IW disappointment. Do think there is clear excitement for Wolverine’s return but I’m not sure even with the seven year wait from Logan if its enough, as The Flash (although not an apt comparison at all as Jackman is wayyyyyyy more relevant than BatKeaton in the modern age) proved that wait time and nostalgia may not be enough. I just don’t think it will be the 450/1B that fans are hoping for, more like 350/800m considering where the MCU and CBMs are at rn. Think like IO2, it and DP3 are the most likely biggest films of the year but everything must go right for them. One little slip can stop either from reaching full potential.

Guardians 3 had no competition on the lead up, and thanks to good WOM legged it to a solid total. Mario was dying down and tbh if it weren’t for the last minute WOM/reviews, it was looking for a sub 110m OW. If anything one could argue, DP3 has slightly more on the lead up. Think Wolverine gives it a boost but it won’t be as big as some fans hoped, Logan was the swan song during peak CBM times and it still did about the same as other X-Men movies and even then X-Men box office wise was never as big as Spider-Man movies. Another boost could be I think the recent CBM cynicism might help the movie due to the comedic satire vs hinder but as of rn, even when the trailer blows up due to fan craze, I still don’t think that we should go gung-ho on OW because of not just the R rating but also I think OW will depend very much on WOM/reviews (don’t think 200m opening was even happening during 2021-2022 hypothetical). Shawn Levy is a good journeyman though so who knows. Thinking around 125-150m OW, the rest depends on legs. Feel like at absolute best, maybe 170m if the marketing campaign is aces/if reviews are raves/if WOM is strong amongst the GA+nerds. A lot of variables need to go right for this to be the behemoth and as of rn, I would rather be realistic than optimistic.

Think an Incredibles 3/Nemo 3/legacyquel Monsters 2 with grown up Boo could do it even with MU reception but yeah 100m would be great. Feeling 90-110m rn.