YM!

We’re not going to see action like this again until Sept. 8, when Warner Bros. and New Line again, resuscitate the box office with the feature adaptation of Stephen King’s It which is expected to take in $50M. From DHD in the Annabelle 2 previews page.

The Nut Job 5: Don't Nut on the Hair

http://deadline.com/2017/08/spider-man-homecoming-busts-past-300m-at-domestic-b-o-1202147022/

Considering how big Horror has become these past few years, I wonder if Venom is a good movie and is scary, will it breakout?

2017 is the year of horror. Get Out amazed and did $175M, Split broke out and did near $140M, Annabelle can do a solid $40M/$100M run, and IT can be a juggernaut.

I think IT is going to be big, maybe not the $100M+ Panda is thinking but I can easily see a $65M-$90M OW.

I know Disney is the kingpin of franchises and cinematic universes, but WB plays a strong second fiddle and can yank the spot: For the big hitters, they have DCEU, MonsterVerse, Potter, and potentially Bond For the low budget but big hits they have both The Conjuring Universe and The Legoverse.

$40M OW is possible.

WB is doing good with these low budget, mid blockbuster cinematic universes (TCU and LCU).

If Venom is good, it could be Sony's new franchise. But if it's bad it can damage Homecoming 2. I am really wondering how Homecoming 2 will do, it's in the absolute worst spot.

To be honest, although Homecoming had a good but silent run and was tied for my favorite Spider-Man movie with SM2, it didn't really bring anything new to the GA. We have seen Spidey in the MCU and team up with Iron Man before.

Homecoming may be a good indicator on how none Avengers teamups will perform in the MCU. I'm thinking Thor Rangarok and Homecoming are going to act very similar to each other domestic OW and about the same final domestic gross ($325M+ vs $315M) except I think, Rangarok will have an under 55% drop on it's second weekend due to Veterans Day but drop 60%+ against JL.

Considering Homecoming is ending with a 2.7x-2.8x is in line for an MCU movie (better than the 2.66x average), CBMs in general and very good for a CBM teamup (only it, Avengers, GV2, and TWS in terms of MCU teamups/sequels). However although it was slightly worse than TFA's second weekend drop, it was the worst Spider-Man and MCU movie drop and it's third weekend although stable was in line with the big teamups that crash and burn in terms of legs. It's OW was also heavily frontloaded ($50.5M/$117M). All and All, Homecoming is a huge hit but even though it help fixed Spidey's image, it didn't have insane WOM as some predicted.

http://deadline.com/2017/08/annabelle-creation-nutjob-2-dunkirk-box-office-preview-1202145555/ Annabelle: $30M+ NJ2: $12M-$14M

There wasn't really any backlash. There were three groups of people with opinions on it. The ones who thought best Spider-Man ever, the ones who thought it was good but doesn't top Raimi's 1 and 2, and the ones who thought it wasn't that great or sucked. The only reason they were arguments was because of WOM, the ones who loved Homecoming thought WOM and legs was excellent while everyone else thought it was good or solid.

My local Marcus Cinema, a midwestern cinema chain dropped Valerian too.

And for that $18M budget, it'll be a huge success and one of Affirm Films biggest hits.

Low End for Venom: $25M (x2.5x) = $62.5M domestically if F4 level bad High End is: $85M (x3x) = $255M domestically assuming if really good and capture the Halloween moviegoers. My Guess: $45M (x2.56x) = $115M

And just like that, I nutted.

Idk why but I'm thinking he's Carnage.

No. Tele is stanning for Ninjago more.

Some contradictions before the trailer. The Star was in a holiday position where it could potentially make solid business like the HT series near Halloween. It also has the first animated Christmas movie in a while, with the potential to attract Christians (Prince of Egypt adjusts to $180M+ in a competitive holiday season). Murder won't eat into it's audience at all, and DH2 like most comedy sequel would have decreased. However that trailer was awful and I'm currently thinking $20M/$70M.

If The Star looked decent, I would've been like Baumer with IT/iJack with Spider-Man in terms of predicting a breakout but it looked like shit.

Also I'm impressed with @raegr sticking to his bold $530M/$1.2B-$1.3B prediction.