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Everything posted by YM!
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
YM! replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Spider-Man: Homecoming (Thursday previews) North Shore Cinema (all showings in Ultrascreen 3D for now) Mequon, WI 7/6/17 - (5 days before release) 7:00 - 124/301 9:55 - 21/301 Bistroplex Southridge (all showings in Superscreen so far) Greendale, WI 7/6/17 - (5 days before release) 7:15 - 87/156 10:30 - 34/156 Menomonee Falls Cinema (all in 2D so far) Menomonee Falls, WI 7/6/17 - (5 days before release) 7:00 - 59/163 10:00 - 10/163 Notice: All three of these are Marcus Cinemas and have full showtimes on Tuesday or Wednesday. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
YM! replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
I'm going to look at my theater and potentially two more tomorrow. I'd do it tonight but I have a party to go to. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
YM! replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
An $100M OW would still be good for Homecoming. -
$82,765,981
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
YM! replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Grim22 doesn't have a comparable one for WW but he thinks $100M is still on. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
YM! replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
That's what I'm thinking too. $100M-$110M OW seems to be the range. -
That's what I was thinking too. Rabbit will do $105M-$140M unless by some miracle it gets extraordinary reviews but even then opening the week before Black Panther might be a bad idea. However this puts Incredibles 2 in a good position since Peter Rabbit is the only animated family film that could do $100M+ before it opens and the family market would be extremely barren.
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It would not surprise me if no animated movie outside of DM3 did over $200M. Animation this year is like animation in 2011. Me and @narniadis were talking about this last year due to 2016's big overperformance for animated movies. 2018 however seems like a good rebound with Incredibles 2, Grinch, Ralph 2, Animated Spider-Man, Peter Rabbit and Hotel Transylvania 3.
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During an interview in May 2013, Bird reiterated his interest in making a sequel: "I have been thinking about it. People think that I have not been, but I have. Because I love those characters and love that world." He continues, "I am stroking my chin and scratching my head. I have many, many elements that I think would work really well in another Incredibles film, and if I can get 'em to click all together, I would probably wanna do that." At the Disney shareholders meeting in March 2014, Disney CEO and chairman Bob Iger confirmed that Pixar was working on a sequel to The Incredibles, with Bird returning as writer. Before the release of Tomorrowland he even said Incredibles 2 was his next film.
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Animation in 2018 seems like a good rebound. Incredibles 2 could be a slightly smaller Dory and do $450M. Grinch will blow past $300M, Ralph 2 and Animated Spider-Man will be in the same range ($180M-$220M), Hotel Transylvania 3 will do well but decrease from 2 to about $145M. However the first half of the year outside of Peter Rabbit, no animated film has a shot for $100M. Early Man and Laika's untitled film will do sub $50M, Gnomes will do Storks numbers at best, and Stubby will be lucky for $20M. And Anubis just got pushed back to the TBD area.
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YourMother's Theories #1073: The Shrek 4 effect DM and Shrek were very similar in terms of box office. Both had a breakout first film, an overperforming sequel, and a "third" film that's way bigger than the first but has negative reception and is under the second one. Both Shrek 4 and DM3 had very limited appeal outside families and it's fanbase with little to no twists left in store.