YM!

I was talking about breakout hits. Black Panther will be massive.

I think if any non Avengers/JL CBMs this and next year have a great to do over $350M it's Black Panther and Wonder Woman.

This is the first major black superhero movie that's also being released in Black History Month, with Marvel's goodwill and has a four day OW. This will be massive.

I think Black Panther has a great chance of doing IM1 numbers domestic.

If that's how it works Ninjago better cross $700M too.

Remember rig the tickets in Ninjago's favor for OW, and it's all good.

Ninjago over Avengers or bust for domestic.

As long as Deadpool 2 has a heart and doesn't repeat the same jokes from its first movie and Family Guy, and is actually good, it'll be fine.

Damn good increase for GV2 ($27.6M) and Snatched ($6.5M). Yep. WOM is definitely kicking in for GV2. Right @Napoleon

22JS had no competition for its demo unlike Dead2ool. When opens after Han Solo, deals with Bumblebee second weekend, Incredibles 2 third weekend, and Jurassic World 2 in its fourth weekend.

I'd be ecstatic if Ninjago does anything over $35M OW, thinking in that range.

TBH @baumer I'm probably going full loonie for a certain movie in September with Jackie Chan and Michael Pena.

Good.

None yet. @Rth espanola we have The V for you and a sacrifice. Please bless us with numbers.

Can we stop to realize that this thread went from weekend performances of KA and Snatched, to Guardians 2 potential, to Deadpool 2's potential, to CBMs, then to The Star box office potential? I love this forum.

In fact only Me, you, @narniadis, and @FantasticBeasts thought $150M would happen for BB. Everyone was thinking Peabody numbers, some said sub $100M.

It's even being co produced by Sony's Christian film label: Affirm Pictures. Even Walden Media and Jim Henson is helping. I can see it playing to the religious crowd.

Fixed it due to a typo.

Box office wise if Emoji, The Star, and Rabbit flop, they may be finished for a while.

To be honest I do not see much box office potential for SPA outside those 2 films, for the most part I tend to be an optimist for animated films.

I remember a time when everyone thought Home, Trolls, and Baby would flop due to bad marketing. Again, The Star just needs to look appealing.

This is also true. But I think Sony may surprise us for once, as previously stated this and Animated Spider-Man are their only films that have some potential to do over $150M domestic. As long as it looks appealing to the GA as with HT1 and HT2 did during the Halloween season, it could break out.

Again, it can have mixed reception on RT (40%-55%), but as with Dreamworks is kind of proving now, they just need to make the film appeal to the GA and families.

Again, if Sony makes The Star look fun, funny, and faithful it may surprise us.

Just for some comparisons for The Star (as an Christmas themed family movie) All of these released first weekend/second weekend of November: Polar Express, which dealt with Incredibles, Spongebob, and National Treasure: Total Lifetime Grosses Domestic: $185,618,322 59.9% + Foreign: $124,140,582 40.1% = Worldwide: $309,758,904 Domestic Summary Opening Weekend: $23,323,463 (#2 rank, 3,650 theaters, $6,389 average) % of Total Gross: 14.3% > View All 17 Weekends Widest Release: 3,650 theaters Close Date: March 10, 2005 In Release: 121 days / 17.3 weeks Christmas Carol (2009) dealt with Planet 51: Total Lifetime Grosses Domestic: $137,855,863 42.4% + Foreign: $187,430,783 57.6% = Worldwide: $325,286,646 Domestic Summary Opening Weekend: $30,051,075 (#1 rank, 3,683 theaters, $8,159 average) % of Total Gross: 21.8% > View All 13 Weekends Widest Release: 3,683 theaters Close Date: February 4, 2010 In Release: 91 days / 13 weeks. Elf which dealt with Brother Bear, Looney Tunes, Cat in The Hat, The Haunted Mansion, and to a lesser extent Lord of The Rings: Total Lifetime Grosses Domestic: $173,398,518 78.7% + Foreign: $47,044,933 21.3% = Worldwide: $220,443,451 Domestic Summary Opening Weekend: $31,113,501 (#2 rank, 3,337 theaters, $9,323 average) % of Total Gross: 17.9% > View All 17 Weekends Widest Release: 3,381 theaters Close Date: March 4, 2004 In Release: 119 days / 17 weeks Santa 2 dealt with Harry Potter 2 and Treasure Planet: Total Lifetime Grosses Domestic: $139,236,327 80.6% + Foreign: $33,618,738 19.4% = Worldwide: $172,855,065 Domestic Summary Opening Weekend: $29,008,696 (#1 rank, 3,350 theaters, $8,659 average) % of Total Gross: 20.8% > View All 14 Weekends Widest Release: 3,352 theaters Close Date: February 6, 2003 In Release: 98 days / 14 weekends