YM!

Yeah, @aabattery you need to be more realistic, that's why I'm lowering my Ninjago prediction from $600M to $450M domestic.

INB4 The Star does more than Thor and JL combined.

How?

So comment predicts: Monday: This won't hit $400M after all. Tuesday: $450M is on the table. Wednesday: It won't even hit $350M. Rise and repeat.

So how can GV2 reach $370M?

@Eevin

Also all four had worse Sunday drop (MD), than GV2.

Wonder if GV2 increases to $65M-$66M.

Guardians 2 seemsto have better staying power than other MCU sequels which is very good. The only good comparison for CW will be IW, which will act very similar, most of the GA will flock OW, giving it an OW around $185M-$200M. But even with no competition its legs will be around 2.3x.

If they every got the rights for Power Pack. I can see Marvel Studios dipping their hands into the animated family movie side. Power Pack could do BH6 or even Incredibles numbers. Superior Foes of Spider-Man would be dope.

❌❤️4️⃣???

Question: How can GV2 get to $370M? What weekday numbers do you think we are getting for GV2?

I still think there's enough room for all 3 to survive (CU, C3, DM3) this summer, since Cars 3 won't be as big as MU, and DM3 seems like it'll do slightly under Minions. I also see a small chance ?? breaking out, but it needs good reviews.

Madagascar 3 (not the best comparison but a comparison) opened two weeks before Brave and dropped 42% on Brave's OW. I'm seeing Brave's OW bigger than C3.

Wimpy Kid would be lucky to end at $25M domestic.

Thinking Underpants has a big OW (around $50M-$55M) since not only is it the first major family movie since Boss Baby (since Wimpy Kid will fall harder than Smurfs 3), and it's been getting decent trailer views, one clip alone has 6.5M views. As with Strange and Trolls there's more than enough room for WW and CU to survive on OW. Assuming a 2.75x-3x multiple, Underpants should fly to $137.5M-$165M domestic. Besides with a cheaper than usual budget since it got outsourced, Underpants if it does over $350M WW, it could hopefully join Trolls, BB, Dragon, Shrek, Panda and Madagascar as a franchise.

A:C opens to $3.97M AUD according to numero.

Both, I grew up ready the Captain Underpants books as a kid. Not to mention we tend to underestimate Dreamworks movies here.

Even though I'm the biggest stanner for the LCU, I'm seeing something like $125M/$115M for Ninjago ($240M WW )

Good, I need that $40M OW.

Remember Ninjago in September, it'd be nice if a few extra tickets for OW.

That isn't happening.

How much should we expect from China though, the week after it opens, Transformers come. And the weeks before have The Mummy and Wonder Woman.

Out of curiosity how much does GV2 need to drop third, fourth, and fifth weekend for $370M+?

Not feeling Jungle Book: Origins thinking it may flop.