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Jonwo
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Posts posted by Jonwo
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1 minute ago, YourMother said:
He'll be really fired up then, and considering F8 has a lot of minorities in major roles which may attract Davin. The Mayan has spoken, 4/14/17-4/16/17 is when the weekend thread hits the fan.
He'll probably banned again by the time Wonder Woman is out. I'm sure he'll say something out of line on one of the thread within the first month of his return...
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14 minutes ago, CJohn said:
I would watch the hell out of a live action CGI Chicken Little. If Lion King works as a CGI movie, Disney will adapt other movies with no human element.
It'll probably be Oliver and Company or The Great Mouse Detective that get the realistic CGI treatment before they get to Chicken Little.
In all seriousness, I think The Rescuers would make a decent CG/live action film
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2 minutes ago, PanaMovie said:
Europe is going crazy for BATB
Nice!!
The live action Disney films apart from Pete's Dragon have done solid to huge business.
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1 minute ago, Walt Disney said:
I remember people saying that the studios don't choose what trailers play with what movies, except in rare cases. So it is more likely that the theaters decided to put the trailer in front of BATB.
Probably they think it's a compatible trailer for the film.
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There was a Wonder Woman trailer with my showing of BATB which is a genius move by WB. They'll gotten double the amount of eyeballs attaching it to that compared if they'd attached to Kong. Whether that translate into dollars remains to be seen.
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BATB will dominate until Fast 8 although I imagine The Boss Baby's seven day opening will knock it from number 1 in three weeks.
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Just now, That One Guy said:
The Long Haul will probably make like 20M domestic but it'll still be a success. The films are cheap to make.
It has a new cast as well so I imagine they've spent less on this one than they did on the last Wimpy Kid film.
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1 minute ago, franfar said:
1) True, but it depends on if the downward decline of the Wimpy Kid franchise
1 1 Diary of a Wimpy Kid Fox $64,003,625 3,083 $22,126,166 3,077 3/19/10 2 2 Diary of a Wimpy Kid: Rodrick Rules Fox $52,698,535 3,169 $23,751,502 3,167 3/25/11 3 3 Diary of a Wimpy Kid: Dog Days Fox $49,008,662 3,401 $14,623,599 3,391 8/3/12 It might make like 40-45m, and get more gravy via OS markets
2) Again, depends on the cost
I can't imagine the marketing costs are big for the Wimpy Kid films, I imagine they only need $40-50m WW to break even. I imagine it's the sort of film which does decently on home entertainment, streaming and television.
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Just now, YourMother said:
August will save Emoji tbh thanks to nothing being there.
I think SPA is on thin ice, they are churning out films which admitfully do include hybrids but I think oversaturation of their films could hurt them in the long run.
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Just now, franfar said:
This thread comes at you fast.
Diary of a Wimpy Kid, Emoji Movie, Valerian. That's all I can think of.
Diary of the Wimpy Kid probably cost $15-20m so it doesn't need to make huge grosses to be profitable.
Emojimovie could either do decently or it'll sink Sony Pictures Animation.
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Just now, franfar said:
I think GOTG will have high OW of like 130m, but no higher than like 145-150. You're gonna get the traditional Marvel fans along with some families, since it'll be the first family hit film since Boss Baby.
And if the reviews are stellar like the original, I would give it a multi of... 2.8x. or 3x at the very best. Because while the competition in the following weeks may look weaker, they're still there and will fight for those family dollars.
It still has around 2 weeks of essentially no competition, so it's 2nd weekend drop shouldn't be too bad.
$130m OW would be solid for GOTG2, I think it could go higher but it wouldn't be dissapointing if it had an OW similar to Iron Man 2.
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20 hours ago, Barnack said:
If Wonder Woman manage to beat BvS really opening weekend, I doubt DC fans will be going to be trolled hard on Youtube, that would beat all expectation, Wonder Woman beating the opening of a movie featuring Batman, Superman and a little bit of Wonder Woman, that would be seen by anyone has an undeniable huge success.
No need to beat BvS for that either, beating Suicide Squad would also do that.
Wonder Woman doing over MOS or Suicide Squad's OW would pretty much guarantee a sequel.
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1 minute ago, grim22 said:
What's everyone got for the bomb of summer? Valerian should be the top pick I guess.
Valerian is too obvious, the second bomb probably will be King Arthur.
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16 minutes ago, grim22 said:
I can see F8 at 120M+, WW at 110M+ and Alien at around 60M. If not for Prometheus, Covenant would have probably done much better IMO.
I have a good feeling about Wonder Woman, it's played in front of my showing of BATB and got a good reaction.
I think Fast 8 will drop from Fast 7 but $115-120m would be solid for it
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Beauty and the Beast is just brilliant, it's no surprise it's doing so well. I suspect it'll be the highest opening weekend of the year until Star Wars The Last Jedi as I doubt any other release will come close.
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35 minutes ago, YourMother said:
NINJAGO OW over HT2 OW and then Kingsman does $55M OW breaking Ninjago's record the week after.
Ninjago will probably get $35-40m OW, I could see Kingsman breaking the September record though
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1 minute ago, filmlover said:
T2: Trainspotting is looking at a $26K PTA average from 5 theaters according to Deadline. Solid, if not exactly explosive.
To be fair, it was always going to have a limited audience and I suspect it's made its money just from the UK alone. Anything else is just gravy
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4 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:
Re-shoots are an expensive habit with Ritchie. They ballooned the Man From Uncle budget about 50% (after they cut it when they lost Cruise) and that film was also delayed a year from when it was supposed to open. I think Sherlock Holmes was also a 6 month release delay, Ritchie helped make WB a lot of money with the Holmes movies so they gave him a long leash even after UNCLE lost them a packet. But it makes me wonder if the rumors are true about Arthur why Disney would hire him for Aladdin - that could be a John Carter like disaster
Ritchie needs to do an M.Night and go back to shooting low budget crime films rather than big tentpoles
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2 minutes ago, EmpireCity said:
I heard a wild rumor that Warner Bros. had to pay to basically shoot King Arthur twice.
It was pushed back three times and was meant to come in 2016, doesn't strike me as a film WB has confidence in
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1 minute ago, Arlborn said:
A Tarzan-like result domestically would be pretty fine for it to be honest as I think it does more than Tarzan OS.
Probably will be difficult for a Tarzan run, I imagine Pirates, Alien and WB's own Wonder Woman will cut its legs, it might get to $100m domestic
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3 minutes ago, YourMother said:
One part of me notices trailer views and social media however the other notices crowd reactions and social media too.
Guardians 2 will increase from the first but I wonder if it's going to be $125-130m rather than $150-160m?
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7 minutes ago, Hatebox said:
Get Out is trending #1 on UK Twitter. Expect a big OW for that here.
I'm expecting Split numbers which would be great against BATB
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6 minutes ago, TelemAAchos said:
Blumhouse doesn't go over 10m for sequels and 5m for originals.
That's true even non horror films like Whiplash! I suspect his most expensive project was probably The Normal Heart for HBO.
James Wan's pretty good at keeping budgets sensible although The Conjuring 1 and 2 were more expensive due to being period pieces.
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12 minutes ago, filmlover said:
Well, at least Jason Blum can still pride himself on for delivering big studio hits even though his own studio is a flop.
To be fair, Orion which I think is a MGM subsidiary isn't exactly Universal Pictures and I suspect Blumhouse has made profit from Split and Get Out to cover any losses.
BEAUTY AND THE BEAST WEEKEND THREAD | Late Sunday Numbers (Asgard) - 48-49M | Official Weekend Estimate: 170M; OS OW: 180M; WW OW: 350M
in Numbers and Data
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Spring does work for Disney so they may stick with that month for Lion King. I imagine it'll be March or August 2019 at the earliest.