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The Fast and the Furiosa

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Posts posted by The Fast and the Furiosa

    The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted

    14 minutes ago, CoolEric258 said:

    Fandango App Monday Tues Wed Thursday

    Blockers 504 1,106 2,931  

    Truth Or Dare 385 760 2,133  

    Upgrade 9 119 522  
    Adrift 63 308 1,268  

    Oceans 8 3,009 4,372 11,114  

    Hotel Artemis 26 166 520  

    Hotel Transylvania 3 1,753 2,674 6,605 14,754

    Christopher Robin 1,560 2,442 5,355 11,509

    The Darkest Minds 130 244 579 1,777

    Slender Man 177 418 1,091 3,737

    House With Clocks 897 1,469 3,607 8,074

    Smallfoot 734 1,261 2,448  

    Bad Times at the El Royale 264 481 1,257 3,350

    The Grinch 3,580 4,860 10,092 17,046
    Second Act 353 611 1,204  

    Dogs Way Home 259 623 1,516 3,257

    Upside 394 1,431 3,669 8,602

    Lego Movie 2 2,552 4,130 8,601 13,320
    How to Train Your Dragon 3 3,724 6,674 12,935 21,313

    Greta 120 287 824 1,962

    Captive State 60      
    Five Feet Apart 613      
    Wonder Park 607      

     

    Captive State comps:

    667% of Upgrade (31.3M)

    231% of Hotel Artemis (7.5M)

    23% of El Royale (1.6M)

    50% of Greta (2.2M)

     

    Kinda hard to find good comps for this, but I guess the Greta comp works best?

     

    Five Feet Apart comps:

    122% of Blockers (25M)

    159% of Truth or Dare (29.7M)

    20% of Ocean's 8 (8.5M)

    471% of Darkest Minds (27.5M)

    346% of Slender Man (39.4M)

    174% of Second Act (11.3M)

    156% of The Upside (31.7M)

     

    Another one that's hard to find good comps on (YA movies just aren't a thing anymore), but I guess it could surprise in the 20s?

     

    Wonder Park comps:

    35% of Hotel Transylvania 3 (15.4M)

    39% of Christopher Robin (9.7M)

    68% of House w/ Clock (18.2M)

    83% of Smallfoot (19.2M)

    17% of The Grinch (11.6M)

    237% of A Dog's Way Home (26.6M)

    24% of Lego Movie 2 (8.2M)

    16% of Dragon 3 (9.1M)

     

    Everything seems to be pointing to the teens here

    Maybe Love, Simon for FFA?

    CAPTAIN MARVEL WEEKEND THREAD l $153M DOM (3rd-biggest March opening), $455M WW (6th biggest WW opening) l Other weekend #s: Dragon 14.7, Madea 12, Lego 3.8, Alita 3.2

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted

    6 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

    Thur Previews was male/female - 60/40

     

    55/45 by end of weekend bodes well for the female % to keep rising.

     

    Then again -  WW was m/f - 45/55 over the first weekend and 48/52 after 2 weeks

    I want to say the Thursday deadline update for Wonder Woman was exactly 50/50 for male/female, but it’s been a while 

    • Like 1

    The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted

    1 minute ago, Thanos Legion said:

    By the way, do we have any idea still why there are these separate CM vs CM 2019 listings on the tracker? Don’t recall that for other movies. I’m like 95% confident that they represent mutually exclusive groups of ticket sales, but it would be really bad for the data if not.

    The hourly and 24 hour tracker has Regular and Imax showings separate (unsure where 3D is added for the 24 hour) however, the total weekend tracker combines everything http://akvalley.pythonanywhere.com/static/fandango_report.txt

    • Thanks 1

    The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted · Edited by The Fast and the Furiosa

    1 hour ago, Porthos said:

    I mean, the overall number may not be that great (though, consider, still 10 days out) (also, I actually don't know how  strong of a 24 hour # that us)

     

    And the competition outside of HTTYD3 is pretty damn weak.

     

    Still, for it to be taking Slot #2 when it most of Sunday is still in that rolling tracker ain't a bad sign at all.

    Funny enough, the 24 hour tracker resets at midnight Monday every week so we still have some hours of data to collect here.

    4-day Weekend Official| Alita $33.50M, Lego $27.75m, Isn't Romantic $16.64M, WMW $12.21m, HDD2U $11m

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted · Edited by The Fast and the Furiosa

    39 minutes ago, Godzilla said:

    Why not? The people who went to see Alita in the FAN event would’ve probably see it the day after on Wednesday. Aquaman’s Amazon shows were a week or two before the release date. 

    Then let’s use Fantastic Beasts as the example. It’s never 1-1. Otherwise you end up with movies with sub 7x Multis which do not make sense given the history of Thursday night shows. Not to mention Tuesday may be an easier day to go to the cinema than Wednesday. Who knows?

    • Like 1

    The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted

    14 minutes ago, TwoMisfits said:

    But wasn't that one a Regal/AMC exclusive with most presales on Atom and not Fandango...plus, buying at the theater got you a $5 ticket (whereas prebuying cost full price)...so wouldn't the presales almost certainly be lower (and not all that helpful in comparison for the 2)...

    Dragon sales are lower now, but they didn’t use to be despite being two weeks further away. This is ignoring all sneak peak showings 

    Wednesday 23rd Jan

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted

    5 hours ago, a2k said:

    Can Glass evade a 70% 2nd weekend drop?

     

    Glass 2.14 on Wed compared to Split's 2.49m.

    Over Thu-Sun Split did +2%, +211%, -45%, -46%.

     

    Glass could do -5%, +190%, +55%, -45% for

    2.0 Thu

    3.8 Fri

    5.9 Sat

    3.3 Sun

    = 13 2nd weekend (-68%); 67.5 10-day

     

     

    Looks like you gave Glass a +90% instead of +190% here

    • Like 1
    • Haha 1

    MLK Weekend Thread: Glass - 40m 3 day, 47m 4 day| Aquaman passes 300m| Dragonball - 21m 5 day

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted

    25 minutes ago, scabab said:

    No it isn't because that was only said earlier today and Box Office Mojo said this

     

    "Looking at a surprise third place position is FUNimation's Dragon Ball Super: Broly, though, as noted in our lede, the studio is not reporting domestic grosses this morning"

    Maybe not FUNimation itself, but Sony almost certainly did for them as the distributor 

    • Like 1

    The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted

    23 minutes ago, RealLyre said:

    how come Captain Marvel is 1.6x ahead of JWFK in pre-sales for the first 8 days but JWFK sold almost 2x tickets on the 8th day? and Jurassic World is supposed to be more walk up friendly :thinking:

    Because Captain marvel was stupid strong in its first couple days. Also, these tickets are well out in advance compared to Jurassic World which was closer to the release date when they went on sale

    • Like 2
    • Thanks 1
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