upriser7
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Posts posted by upriser7
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Very good hold for Avatar2 internationally..at this rate, it should comfortably be ahead of Titanic before Titanic's re-release
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1 hour ago, NamakFiskKa said:
So jawaan has a decent chance of doing in South India what Pathan did in north
not at the same level. It will definitely open bigger than Pathan or any other Bollywood movie in South but it will still be far away from what likes of Baahubali, KGF, RRR collected in South.
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currently, what are expectations on Titanic's re-release domestically ? Can it do better than Avatar1's last year re-release numbers ?
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Just now, keysersoze123 said:
I was talking about just domestic. Are you looking at net or gross. Someone above posted Dangal gross at 525 cr which should be close to 80m based on XR back in 2015-16 timeframe.
I was referring to gross. yeah..Dangal's gross is around $80M going by 2016 exchange rates. I think Pathaan will likely end up around $70-85M domestically
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31 minutes ago, interiorgatordecorator said:
what magic trick did baahubali 2 pull to gross nearly 3x the first one?
Lot of it is because Baahubali1 didn't operate at its full potential at Indian Boxoffice, specifically North Indian boxoffice. Baahubali1 was primarily a Telugu language movie (South Indian movie), not a Bollywood movie. It was actually quite an ambitious and risky project because the budget at the point of time was way higher than a typical Telugu movie budget and in-order for it to be quite profitable, it not only had to become highest grosser in Telugu but also had to do decently in other dubbed languages which was not at all guaranteed. There was some optimism about it doing decently in other dubbed South Indian languages but the big question mark was Hindi (Bollywood) where the market is huge but South Indian dub movies rarely do well there
Before the release of Baahubali1, highest collections of a South Indian dubbed movie in Hindi was just 20Cr. And most of Baahubali1's cast and crew weren't really familiar to moviegoing Bollywood audience. Baahubali1 team did decent promotions, marketing in Hindi and sold the rights to Karan Johar (a big Bollywood producer/director) who helped in getting good release for the movie. It ended up opening 5Cr+ on opening day, 15Cr+ on opening weekend and had a crazy run due to exceptional WOM and ended up grossing 150Cr in final run just in Hindi (more than 7 times that of prev highest among South Indian dub movies). It was also battling a huge Bollywood big movie from it 2nd week of run onwards but didn't slow down. In a way, Baahubali1 release is one of the most notable moments of Indian industry just because it opened up huge Hindi market for South Indian Dub movies. Since then, there have been lot more big South Indian movies that have started dubbing and releasing movies regularly in North India. Success rate is still low but when it clicks it just blows up big. KGF, RRR wouldn't have grossed this much in India if not for Baahubali1's success.
Baahubali1 also ended on a huge cliffhanger which instantly raised curiosity on Baahubali2. There was roughly 20 month gap between both the first & second part releases and during that time Baahubali's reach in North India grew due to repeated TV telecasts and by the time of release, pretty much all the parts of country and all types of audience were hyped up for the movie...that happens very very rarely in India.
In terms of footfalls, there wasn't huge difference between Baahubali1 & Baahubali2 footfalls in South India...it was North India where Baahubali2's footfalls were almost 4 times that of Baahubali1's footfalls.
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8 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:
is $100m gross possible? That would be really impressive for a bollywood movie. Dangal was under $80m based on then exchange rates if I am not wrong. Still a huge increase from Dangal is uber impressive. Can any other movie challenge these numbers in the near future?
are you asking just about Domestic or WW ? It should cross $100M Worldwide but I don't think it will cross $100M domestic. Under current exchange rates, Dangal would have been around $65M
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13 minutes ago, grim22 said:
Depends on next week. Can either end up being the highest grossing domestic Hindi movie of all time with even less than expected holds from here on out, or the highest grossing domestic Indian movie of all time if holds are better than expected. All depends on the holds this coming week.
I would say there is zero chance of this happening if you are considering all Indian movies, not just Bollywood. It will likely become highest domestic grossing Bollywood movie but it will end up grossing roughly half of Baahubali2 in India.
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1 hour ago, XXR You Ok Annie said:
I have no sense for the Indian market so what kind of numbers are we looking at here? Over RRR? Challenging B2?
if you are asking about overall India, then no it won't come close to Baahubali2. Right now, there is a big gap between 3rd place and 4th place. Pathaan will easily enter 4th place but won't enter top3. Top3 will stay the same - Baahubali2, KGF2, RRR.
This is the current order and approx numbers -
Baahubali2 is around 1350-1400Cr.
KGF2 - around 975Cr
RRR - around 900Cr
Dangal/Baahubali1 - around 525Cr
If I have to guess, Pathaan will probably end in 550-700Cr range.
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CGV start for Sunday is 28K (-7% from Saturday)
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11 minutes ago, rolandka19 said:
https://deadline.com/2023/01/box-office-avatar-the-way-of-water-infinity-pool-cronenberg-1235243380/
Who saw the Bollywood action film Pathaan landing at #5 for the weekend based on its estimated Friday number of $1.87 million (with a $8.4 million (!!!) 5-day total). I sure didn't.
Crazy impressive - I'm seeing a lot of nearly-full and even some sellouts in the major cities. In my local town of less than 50,000 people here in central PA, the next two showings are nearly sold out.
Imagine how much this film would have grossed if it had been in 2,000 + locations - it could have made it to #2 or $3 behind Avatar!
not sure I agree. For Indian movies, I'd say 700-800 locations are more than enough. There isn't widespread demand across all parts of the country for Indian movies like you see for Hollywood movies. Indians are probably like 1-2% of American population...so audience pool is limited.
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41 minutes ago, interiorgatordecorator said:
im an ignoramus
I saw the pthaan trailer and it didnt look too different from something gerard butler would do for some quick cash (or the recent bad F&F at the very best), didnt even look all that insane why is this whats breaking records?
from my ignorant perspective, based mostly on the trailers, I could understand why some of the recent big indian hits performed well ww, but im a bit confused by this one
surely Khan's name isnt enough to drag a fairly generic-looking action move into record breaking territory?
SRK movie hasn't released in nearly 4 years and he hasn't had a proper boxoffice hit for a while...so there was lot of anticipation for his return among his fans. Controversy from Indian RightWing's calls to boycott movie also probably helped in increasing awareness of the movie and some free publicity. And the genre of the movie definitely helped. India is also lot more star driven market than Hollywood. Whenever a big star like SRK does a big commercial movie, it tends to open quite well as it caters to wide variety of audience.
I still haven't watched it yet but apparently this movie is part of SPYverse series which already had 2 movies previously and those were quite popular. tbh I don't think everyone is familiar that this movie is part of Spyverse before watching it but it's still one of the selling factors with some impact
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looking at Friday numbers, I wouldn't be surprised if A2 will have softer drops in Overseas this weekend than the last 2 weeks.
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4 minutes ago, baumer said:
So where does everyone see Avatar part 2 landing on the worldwide box office chart?
It's obviously going to pass Titanic and I don't think it's going to get to End Game but do you think it's got a chance at 2.5 billion? I'm asking with complete ignorance I honestly haven't been paying attention to the box office as close as you guys do so what are you guys think?
I am expecting around 2.375 Billion
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I think there is a slim chance of a $16M+ weekend for A2
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Just now, kayumanggi said:
Where is he getting his numbers?
Probably from here https://www.kobis.or.kr/kobis/business/stat/boxs/findDailyBoxOfficeList.do
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16 minutes ago, Danhjpn said:
I would like OS ~$1.5B total
You mean by end of this weekend ?
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Saturday admissions: 81,287 (-10% vs last Saturday, +140% vs Friday)
Total Admissions: 10,286,975
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I am expecting a 40M weekend
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4 minutes ago, todos said:
Whoa!? Are these sudden strong weekday legs on Avatar?
looks that way...this week's weekdays have shown much better drops than the past weeks
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2 minutes ago, todos said:
SRK
Avatar?
Likely the opposite. Pathaan is around 1.15
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23 minutes ago, XXR You Ok Annie said:
Yes @ 101
any idea what's the 2nd best record is ?
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12 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:
Yes it will beat Dangal Nett (387) with ease and should also go over Gross (511) numbers. KGF 2 Hindi (428 Nett, 514 Gross) is a good target for but I want 475 Nett & 570 Gross.
is Baahubali2 Hindi version gross more than 700C ?
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NZ$17.51M until Wednesday
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19 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:
So can it beat KGF2 or even Bahubali 2 hindi numbers? What is the peak potential? Its great to see local movies exploding this way. Dont remember when there was a bollywood flick doing it in past few years? Isn't Dangal still the biggest Bollywood movie ever?
Baahubali2's Hindi version gross will be safe but it might have a chance to beat KGF2's Hindi version gross depending on its Monday hold. Dangal is still Bollywood's biggest grosser both in India and it's been more than 6 years since Dangal released.
Weekend Thread - Jan 27th-29th | Estimates - Avatar 15.7, Puss 10.6, Otto 6.75, M3GAN 6.37, Pathaan 5.95 | The Way of Water is the fourth-biggest movie of all time! Eleventh DOM! Zoe Saldana the GOAT
in Numbers and Data
Posted
I think these numbers mostly make sense.. maybe Sunday could be slightly higher. Saturday jump as expected would be huge this weekend due to no NFL games on Saturday and Sunday drop will be high because it's the NFL Championship day (2nd biggest day of the year TV ratings wise, only behind Superbowl)